[Table_Reportdate] 2025年12月04日 [证券分析师： Table_Authors] 方霁 S0630523060001 fangji@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： 李嘉豪 S0630525100001 lijiah@longone.com.cn [晨会纪要 Table_NewTitle] 20251204 重点推荐 财经要闻 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 晨 会 纪 要 [table_summary] ➢ 1.阿里云Q3营收同比增长34%，华为Mate 80系列与夸克AI眼镜发布——电子行业周报 2025/11/24-2025/11/30 ➢ 2.看好年末风格切换与"开门红"推进下的板块配置机会——非银金融行业周报 （20251124-20251130） ➢ 1.李强主持国务院第十七次专题学习 ➢ 2.国务院原则同意《长三角国土空间规划（2023-2035年）》 ➢ 3.国务院国资委召开中央企业"十五五"规划编制专题座谈会 ➢ 4.美国11月ADP就业人数减3.2万人，低于预期 | 系列与夸克 眼镜 ...

- The provided content does not include any specific quantitative models or factors, their construction methodology, detailed construction process, evaluations, or backtesting results[1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20][21][22][23][24][25][26][27][28][29][30][31][32][33][34][35][36][37][38][39][40][41]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The focus is on the **AI GPU and AI smartphone** sectors in **China**, particularly the developments surrounding **Bytedance** and its **Doubao AI smartphones** [1][4][7]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Bytedance's Winter Force Conference**: Scheduled for December 18-19, 2025, in Shanghai, it will showcase advancements in agentic AI and updates on Doubao's LLM and AI applications. Monthly token usage for Bytedance's services increased to **900 trillion**, a **77%** rise from **508 trillion** in May [7][10]. - **Local AI GPU Vendors**: Two companies, **Moore Thread** and **MetaX**, are set to be listed on China's A-share STAR board. Moore Thread anticipates **2025 revenue** between **Rmb1.2 billion** and **Rmb1.5 billion**, indicating a **210%** growth from 2024. MetaX expects **2025 revenue** between **Rmb1.5 billion** and **Rmb2.0 billion**, reflecting a **134%** growth [4][7]. - **AI Inference Computing**: The ability of local AI GPU chips to support strong AI inference computing is still uncertain. Current reliance on Nvidia's **5090 gaming graphics chips** and other local chips persists [7][10]. - **Huawei's Kirin 9030 Processor**: The new processor powers the **Mate 80** series smartphones, boasting a **35%** performance improvement over the previous model, despite limitations in foundry processes [10]. Additional Important Insights - **China's Semiconductor Self-Sufficiency**: The self-sufficiency ratio in semiconductors rose to **24%** in 2024 from **20%** in 2023, with expectations to reach **30%** by 2027. This growth is driven by advancements in CPU and GPU production, particularly with Huawei's **Ascend 910B** chips [31][34]. - **Market Trends**: China's semiconductor equipment imports increased by **20%** year-over-year in October 2025, indicating strong demand and spending in the second half of the year [11][12]. - **Stock Performance**: Notable performers include **SICC** (+21.1%) and **Naura** (+0.4%), while underperformers include **GigaDevice** (-17.8%) and **Empyrean** (-17.6%) [18][19]. Conclusion - The developments in AI GPU and smartphone sectors, particularly with local vendors and Bytedance's initiatives, indicate a robust growth trajectory in China's tech landscape. The ongoing improvements in semiconductor self-sufficiency and equipment imports further support this positive outlook.

Core Insights - Apple is aggressively pursuing AI technology, competing with ByteDance, Google, and Alibaba, as the sector sees significant capital inflow, exceeding 18 billion yuan over six consecutive trading days [1] - The consumer electronics sector is experiencing a revival, driven by the integration of AI technology with smart hardware, leading to structural opportunities [1] - The global smartphone market is entering an AI-native era, with predictions of AI smartphone penetration rising from approximately 18% in 2024 to nearly 60% by 2029 [1] Group 1: AI Smartphone and Market Trends - The smartphone market is transitioning to an AI-native phase, with major brands like Apple and Huawei leveraging generative AI as a core selling point to shorten upgrade cycles [1] - AI smartphone shipment penetration is expected to increase significantly, indicating a robust growth trajectory for the sector [1] Group 2: AI Smart Glasses - AI smart glasses are emerging as a key platform for AI applications, with products like Ray-Ban Meta gaining market acceptance [2] - The decline in hardware costs and the maturation of the supply chain are expected to position AI glasses as the next major wearable product after TWS earbuds [2] Group 3: Robotics and Supply Chain Opportunities - Traditional consumer electronics component manufacturers are actively entering the robotics sector, driven by the high demand for precision components in humanoid robots [2] - Companies like Lens Technology are leveraging their manufacturing expertise to tap into the robotics supply chain, anticipating a significant increase in humanoid robot shipments [2] Group 4: Expanding AI Ecosystem - The AI ecosystem is continuously expanding, with Apple's Siri evolving towards an AI Agent model, potentially driving a wave of smartphone upgrades and AR glasses adoption [2] - Collaboration between terminal manufacturers and AI companies is enhancing ecosystem development, facilitating deeper integration of computing power, hardware, and application scenarios [2] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - Focus on AI smartphones and AR glasses penetration opportunities, recommending companies like Luxshare Precision, GoerTek, Lens Technology, Yian Technology, and Jien Technology [3] - Highlight AI applications and edge opportunities, with recommendations for ZTE, Guanghetong, and others [3] - Emphasize the robotics supply chain, identifying key suppliers like Sanhua Intelligent Controls and Top Group as potential beneficiaries [3] - Pay attention to Google AI edge hardware suppliers like Tailin Microelectronics, which are integrated into major platforms [3][4]

- The provided content does not include any quantitative models or factors, nor their construction, evaluation, or backtesting results[1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20][21][22][23][24][25][26][27][28][29][30][31][32][33][34][35][36][37][38][39][40][41][42][43][44][45][46][47][48]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that A-shares are expected to experience improvements in fundamental expectations, macro liquidity, policy and industry themes, and chip pressure digestion in December, potentially leading to an early start of the spring rally [1][2] - The spring rally is a significant calendar effect in A-shares, characterized by improvements in fundamental expectations, macro liquidity, and policy/industry themes [2][3] - The observation window for the first two points is from early to mid-December, while the third point is around mid-December [3] Group 2 - In terms of structural performance, small-cap stocks have a higher win rate (75% since 2010), with leading sectors typically being cyclical or growth-oriented, both of which have win rates exceeding 80% since 2010 [3] - The cyclical sector is driven by price increase expectations, while the growth sector is driven by industry themes, with a focus on aviation equipment, AI-related energy storage, and power grid equipment for the former, and chemicals and energy metals for the latter [3] Group 3 - ByteDance has launched the "Doubao Phone Assistant," aiming to integrate AI capabilities at the OS level, indicating a shift from being a standalone app to a more integrated approach [4] - The product is still in the early exploration phase, but the partnership with Nubia for high-frequency iterations shows ByteDance's commitment to capturing the AI native entry point in mobile [4][5] - ByteDance's strategy involves open collaboration to provide its AI models as the "brain" for various hardware brands, avoiding supply chain risks and enabling rapid penetration into the Android ecosystem [4] Group 4 - The next key focus for ByteDance is the "Force Byte Original Power Conference" on December 18-19, where new members of its ecosystem may be announced, potentially involving upgrades to multimodal model capabilities or new hardware partnerships [5] - The integration of AI across devices, such as through the Ola Friend AI earphones, creates a closed-loop experience for users, enhancing the functionality of the phone assistant [5] Group 5 - Newray Energy (300593) is positioned to leverage its existing products and technologies in AIDC power systems, with potential breakthroughs in overseas customer bases [7] - The rapid development of AI technology is driving a significant upgrade in data center power supply systems, presenting opportunities for Chinese power electronics companies to enter overseas supply chains [7] - The company has established a comprehensive power supply solution from AC supply to terminal chip levels, and has a strong foundation in serving major international clients like Samsung and Nokia [7]

Investment Rating - Maintain "Add" rating for the industry [8] Core Insights - The upcoming ByteDance Force Conference on December 18 is expected to showcase advancements in cloud infrastructure, large models, and application deployment, potentially leading a new wave of AI enthusiasm [1] - The Doubao large model has seen significant growth, with daily token usage exceeding 30 trillion by September, indicating rapid AI deployment [2] - The Doubao mobile assistant, set to launch on December 1, will enhance user efficiency by automating complex tasks on mobile devices [3] - The Huoshan Cloud business is projected to generate 10 billion yuan in revenue in 2024 and over 20 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate exceeding 100% [4] - The industry is witnessing rapid advancements in AI models and cost reductions in computing power, which will facilitate broader application deployment and create a commercial AI ecosystem [5] Summary by Sections Doubao Large Model - The Doubao model's daily token usage has increased by over 137 times since its last update, showcasing its growing adoption [2] - The upcoming conference is expected to introduce various innovations in the model's capabilities, including multi-modal understanding and enhanced reasoning abilities [2] Doubao Mobile Assistant - The mobile assistant will have system-level access and the ability to perform tasks like ordering food through automation, significantly improving daily efficiency [3] - The assistant is priced at 3,499 yuan and is currently available in collaboration with ZTE [3] Huoshan Cloud Business - Huoshan Engine aims for substantial revenue growth, targeting 100 billion yuan in 2024 and over 200 billion yuan in 2025, with a long-term goal of reaching 1 trillion yuan [4] - Computing power is identified as a core resource for supporting model training and application execution [4] Agent Tools and Industry Solutions - The conference will also focus on upgrading agent development tools and enhancing AI deployment capabilities across various industries [4] - The industry is expected to see stronger solution implementation across sectors such as finance, education, and gaming [4] Related Companies - Key companies in the cloud segment include Cambrian, Digital China, and Dongyangguang, while in the edge segment, ZTE and others are highlighted [6]

[晨会纪要 Table_NewTitle] 20251202 [table_summary] 重点推荐 财经要闻 [Table_Reportdate] 2025年12月02日 [证券分析师： Table_Authors] 方霁 S0630523060001 fangji@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： 李嘉豪 S0630525100001 lijiah@longone.com.cn 晨 会 纪 要 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 ➢ 1.阿里云Q3营收同比增长34%，华为Mate 80系列与夸克AI眼镜发布——电子行业周报 2025/11/24-2025/11/30 ➢ 2.看好年末风格切换与"开门红"推进下的板块配置机会——非银金融行业周报 （20251124-20251130） ➢ 1.法国总统马克龙将访华 ➢ 2.日本2年期国债收益率升至1%，20年期国债收益率升至2.88% ➢ 3.美国11月ISM制造业PMI为48.2，预期49 | 系列与夸克 眼镜发布——电 1.1. 阿里云 Q3 34%，华为 Mate 80 A ...

Core Viewpoint - The AI mobile phone concept stocks in the A-share market are actively performing, with notable gains from companies like Daoming Optics and Furong Technology following the release of ByteDance's Doubao mobile assistant technology preview version and the subsequent launch of Nubia M153 by ZTE [1][2]. Group 1: Company Performance - Daoming Optics has achieved a 10.01% increase in stock price, with a total market value of 9.4 billion and a year-to-date increase of 73.92% [2]. - Furong Technology also saw a 10.01% rise, with a market value of 12.1 billion and a year-to-date increase of 32.11% [2]. - Meixin Technology recorded a 7.18% increase, with a market value of 4.729 billion and a year-to-date increase of 29.47% [2]. - Transsion Holdings experienced a 5.25% rise, but has a year-to-date decrease of 20% with a market value of 85 billion [2]. - Baiwei Storage increased by 4.13%, with a market value of 54.5 billion and a year-to-date increase of 88.53% [2]. - Green Precision saw a 3.11% increase, with a market value of 6.573 billion and a year-to-date decrease of 3.16% [2]. Group 2: Market Trends - The Nubia M153, equipped with the Doubao mobile assistant technology, was released in limited quantities and sold out quickly at a price of 3,499 yuan for the 16GB+512GB configuration [1]. - ZTE is leading the hardware definition, product design, and manufacturing for AI mobile phones, indicating a strong market position [3]. - The AI mobile phone sector is experiencing significant interest and investment, as evidenced by the performance of related stocks and the strategic partnerships being formed [3].

【市场复盘】 本周一 （12月1日），科创人工智能ETF华夏（589010）收盘上涨1.63%。在经历早盘的短暂下探后， ETF迅速收复失地并站稳分时均线。持仓股方面多点开花，乐鑫科技强势领涨超8%，晶晨股份、复旦 微电等核心权重股涨幅均超4%，有效提振了板块情绪。流动性方面，全天成交额突破1.67亿元，交投 十分活跃。值得关注的是，该ETF获得超1亿元的巨额资金净流入，显示出主力资金对人工智能赛道长 期价值的坚定认可。机器人ETF(562500) 表现强势，全天走势稳健，最终以1.26%的涨幅收于日内最高 点0.961元，一举修复早盘微跌情绪。持仓股方面，多头氛围浓厚，超八成个股飘红，固高科技大涨超 6%领跑板块，拓邦股份、均普智能涨幅超4%。流动性方面，全天成交额突破9.2亿元，资金博弈激烈但 承接有序，显示出市场对机器人赛道在震荡行情中依旧保持高度的配置热情。 开源证券认为，把握人形机器人 "从技术验证到商业化落地" 关键期，优先布局具备技术优势、生态优 势和资本化提速的头部整机企业。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 2. 近日，宇树科技股份有限公司申请的"GAMEBOT"商标注册成功，国际分类为42类设计 ...