Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has experienced a significant surge, with public equity funds seeing a strong start to the year, as nearly half of these products have reached historical net asset value highs, and over 90% have achieved positive returns [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The A-share market has shown a strong upward trend, with over 3,700 stocks rising and more than 100 hitting the daily limit in the last two days [6]. - The trading volume has increased significantly, surpassing 2 trillion yuan, reaching 2.48 trillion yuan [6]. - The performance of the non-ferrous metal sector has been particularly strong, with a year-to-date increase of 21.94%, and 18 constituent stocks within this sector have seen gains exceeding 50% [3]. Group 2: Fund Performance - Among 4,780 comparable active equity funds, 2,347 have achieved historical net asset value highs this year, representing 49.1% of the total [2]. - Over 90% of active equity funds have recorded positive returns since the beginning of the year, with 149 funds showing gains of over 20% [2]. - The top-performing funds, managed by the same fund manager, have achieved returns of 52.64%, 51.95%, and 46.61% respectively [2]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Investment strategies are shifting from liquidity-driven to profit-driven, with a recommendation for investors to maintain a contrarian mindset as market leadership may rotate quickly [1]. - The focus on resource-related sectors has provided significant advantages in the current market environment, with many top-performing funds heavily invested in non-ferrous metals and technology stocks [3][4]. - Analysts suggest that the market may stabilize and recover post-Spring Festival, with emerging technologies and value stocks expected to perform well [7].

Market Overview - A-shares are performing significantly better than Hong Kong stocks, with expectations for a spring rally following a pre-holiday downturn [1] - Gold prices surged, breaking $5,200 per ounce, driven by geopolitical tensions and market speculation [1] Oil and Shipping Industry - The cost of renting a Very Large Crude Carrier (VLCC) to transport Middle Eastern oil to China has skyrocketed to over $170,000 per day, tripling since the beginning of the year [2] - Korean shipping company Changjin Shipping is set to become the largest VLCC operator globally by acquiring second-hand ships and securing charter agreements [2] - Companies like COSCO Shipping Energy and COSCO Shipping Holdings are also experiencing significant price increases due to tight shipping capacity [2] Rare Earth and Metals - Prices for rare earth elements, such as neodymium and dysprosium, have increased, with neodymium oxide averaging 885,000 yuan per ton [3] - Companies in the metals sector, including Minmetals Resources and Aluminum Corporation of China, have seen stock prices rise significantly due to increased demand [3] Real Estate Sector - Shanghai has introduced favorable policies for the housing market, allowing non-local residents to purchase additional properties and increasing the maximum housing provident fund loan amount from 1.6 million to 2.4 million yuan [4] - Real estate companies like Country Garden and Beike have seen stock price increases following these announcements [4] - The demand for steel and cement is expected to rise due to the recovery in the real estate market, benefiting companies like Chongqing Steel and Ansteel [4] Cement Industry - Anhui Conch Cement announced a plan to repurchase A-shares worth between 700 million and 1.4 billion yuan, leading to a nearly 8% increase in stock price [5] - Other companies in the cement sector, such as China Resources Cement, also experienced stock price gains [5] Consumer Sector - The restaurant sector is benefiting from positive consumption data during the Spring Festival, with companies like Haidilao seeing stock price increases [5] - The U.S. has reduced tariffs on Chinese goods, which may benefit export-oriented textile manufacturers [5] Lithium Market - Zimbabwe has imposed a ban on the export of raw minerals and lithium concentrates, which is expected to drive up prices for lithium carbonate and lithium concentrates globally [7] - Key companies in the lithium sector, such as Tianqi Lithium and Ganfeng Lithium, are likely to be affected by this export ban [7] Gold Mining Sector - Zhaojin Mining Industry is expected to benefit from rising gold prices due to geopolitical tensions, with analysts predicting a significant increase in gold prices in the coming years [8] - The company reported a revenue of 12.052 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a 54.1% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 2.117 billion yuan [9] - The company has substantial gold reserves and is developing a major underwater gold mine, which is projected to significantly contribute to future production [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the non-ferrous metals sector, including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Huayou Cobalt, among others [3]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the U.S. non-farm payrolls exceeded expectations with an addition of 130,000 jobs in January, leading to a decrease in the unemployment rate to 4.3%. This has resulted in a cooling of interest rate cut expectations [2]. - The report expresses a positive long-term outlook for gold prices, driven by central bank purchases and a weakening U.S. dollar credit [2]. - The report notes that silver prices may continue to weaken due to pressure from photovoltaic demand and rising costs in silver paste, indicating a trend towards cheaper metals [2]. Summary by Sections Industry and Stock Performance - The report indicates that the SW Non-ferrous Index rose by 1.67% during the week, while the COMEX gold price increased by 1.51% and COMEX silver decreased by 0.33% [9]. - The report provides a detailed performance analysis of key stocks, with several companies recommended for investment based on their earnings forecasts and valuations [3]. Base Metals - The report discusses the fluctuations in base metal prices, noting that aluminum prices have been under pressure due to high inventory levels and seasonal demand declines as the Chinese New Year approaches [25][26]. - Copper prices experienced volatility, initially rising but later falling due to strong U.S. employment data and cautious market sentiment ahead of the holiday [45]. Precious Metals and Minor Metals - The report states that gold and silver prices have seen fluctuations, with gold averaging 1101.52 CNY per gram, down 0.83% from the previous week, while silver prices fell significantly [74]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing geopolitical tensions and their impact on precious metal prices, with a focus on the potential for price recovery as market conditions evolve [78]. Energy Metals - The report highlights a clear shortage in the energy metals sector, particularly lithium and cobalt, with expectations for price increases post-holiday as demand recovers [9]. - Nickel prices are anticipated to rise due to the implementation of Indonesia's nickel ore export quota policy [9].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has experienced a significant surge, with public equity funds seeing a strong start to the year, as nearly half of these products have reached historical net asset value highs, and over 90% have achieved positive returns [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The A-share market has shown a robust performance with over 3,700 stocks rising and more than 100 stocks hitting the daily limit up [6]. - The trading volume has increased significantly, surpassing 2 trillion yuan, reaching 2.48 trillion yuan [6]. - The metals sector has been a key driver, with the sector rising 21.94% year-to-date, and 18 constituent stocks gaining over 50% [3]. Group 2: Fund Performance - Among 4,780 comparable active equity funds, 2,347 have achieved historical net asset value highs, representing 49.1% of the total [2]. - Over 90% of active equity funds have recorded positive returns since the beginning of the year, with 149 funds increasing by over 20% [2]. - The top-performing funds, managed by the same fund manager, have reported year-to-date returns of 52.64%, 51.95%, and 46.61% respectively [2]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Investment strategies are shifting from liquidity-driven to profit-driven, with a recommendation for investors to maintain a contrarian mindset as market leadership may rotate quickly [1]. - Focus areas for future investments include semiconductor chips and AI applications, with an emphasis on maintaining a balanced portfolio [6][7]. - The outlook for the market remains optimistic, with expectations for stabilization and recovery, particularly in emerging technologies and value stocks [7].

Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market showed a positive performance during the Spring Festival, with the Hang Seng Technology Index rising over 3% and the overall Hang Seng Index increasing by 1.4% [1] - The A-share market also experienced a "New Year opening red," with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 4100 points [1] - Despite the initial positive performance, the Hong Kong market faced a downturn post-holiday, particularly in internet stocks, while sectors like materials, real estate, energy, and healthcare supported the market [1] Sector Performance - The performance of various sectors in the Hong Kong market is as follows: - Materials: +21.60% - Real Estate and Construction: +19.06% - Energy: +18.94% - Industrial: +16.70% - Healthcare: +10.39% - Financials: +6.10% - Information Technology: -8.77% [2] Investment Opportunities - There are significant investment opportunities in the Hong Kong market, particularly in sectors like industrial metals, high-end manufacturing, and innovative pharmaceuticals [3][16] - The influx of southbound capital has led to a change in pricing logic for Hong Kong stocks, making them more sensitive to changes in risk appetite from mainland investors [4] - The appreciation of the Renminbi since December 2024 has increased the attractiveness of Chinese assets, benefiting companies listed in Hong Kong that report earnings in Renminbi [5] Economic Factors - The Federal Reserve is in a rate-cutting cycle, and the expected changes in liquidity are limited, indicating a stable environment for the Hong Kong market [9] - The correlation between Hong Kong stocks and A-shares has strengthened, suggesting that Hong Kong stocks may experience passive increases alongside A-shares [4] Fund Management Insights - Fund manager Zhou Hanying, with extensive experience in global investments, is optimistic about sectors such as non-ferrous metals, AI, and innovative pharmaceuticals [3][16] - The upcoming fund, 景顺长城衡瑞精选混合, will focus on a balanced investment strategy, allowing for a maximum of 50% allocation to Hong Kong stocks to leverage Zhou's expertise [11]

证券研究报告 | 2026年02月25日 基金投资价值分析 一键布局有色全赛道——南方中证申万有色金属 ETF 投资价 值分析 一键布局有色全赛道 近期有色板块调整并非趋势终结：有色金属板块近期出现短期波动，但市场 基本已消化了特朗普提名沃什为下一任美联储主席的冲击，降息仍是大方 向，贵金属根本逻辑并未改变，各金属品种的定价有望回归基本面。 宏观、供需、资金维度均支撑贵金属定价：宏观层面，美联储开启降息周期， 全球流动性转向宽松，直接利好有色金属价格；从供需来看，历史上央行购 金与黄金价格存在较强相关性，近年来央行购金快速提升，支撑金价表现； 此外，黄金投资价值的提升吸引了大量投资者涌入以 ETF 计价的黄金市场。 新兴产业的发展为工业金属提供大量新增需求：在产业层面，人工智能、新 能源这些新兴产业的发展远远超出市场预期，新兴领域的发展成为需求增长 的新引擎，比如 AI 数据中心建设、电网升级、新能源转型等，这为铜、铝 等金属带来了需求弹性、打开长期需求增长空间。 南方中证申万有色金属 ETF（512400）是南方基金发行的一只以跟踪中证 申万有色金属指数为目标的 ETF 基金，基金经理为崔蕾女士，是市场上有 ...

转自：智通财经 沪深股通今日合计成交3195.37亿，其中北方稀土和宁德时代分居沪股通和深股通个股成交额首位。板 块主力资金方面，有色金属板块主力资金净流入居首。ETF成交方面，巴西ETF易方达（520870）成交 额环比增长489%。 龙虎榜方面，通源石油今日冲高回落，获五家机构买入3.85亿，同时遭两家一线游资（国泰海通证券上 海中山东路、国泰海通证券成都北一环路）合计卖出1.38亿。东岳硅材强势涨停，获一家量化资金（开 源证券西安太华路）买入1.02亿，一家一线游资（国泰海通证券成都北一环路）买入0.59亿。 一、沪深股通前十大成交 今日沪股通总成交金额为1513.17亿，深股通总成交金额为1682.2亿。 | | 沪股道( | 2月25日 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 排名 | 股票代码 | 股票名称 | 成交金额(亿元) | | 1 | 600111 | 北方株士 | 19.19 | | 2 | 601899 | 三十四年第 | 18.82 | | 3 | 601138 | 工业富联 | 18.17 | | ਪ | 603986 | 北易创新 | 14.76 | | ...

周二A股市场出现了高开后冲高受阻的态势，且动量资金回补的态势较为犹豫，因此，有分析人士对短 线走势一度持有较为谨慎的看法。 周三A股市场出现了较为强劲的走势。其中，在周二表现突出的实物资产主线在周三再接再厉，成为A 股最靓的"仔"，从而推动着上证综指在盘中一度涌现出突破年内高点的态势。 不过，在午市后，中国石油（601857）等指标股的主动性抛压再度出现，主要股指有所受阻。看来，在 当前位置处，仍有实力资金压盘，意图进一步压低爬升速率，以营造慢牛、长牛氛围。 人民币资产重估呼声渐趋响亮 如此就使得短线A股的活力再度显现出来，不仅是个股交易力度迅速升温，涨停板家数再度逾百家；而 且，上证综指在盘中再度逼近年内高点，已有突破的苗头。以往经验显示出，一旦技术性突破态势出 现，会引发更多的增量买盘涌入，从而推高股指的扬升速率。虽然会给持股者带来更多的短线收益率， 但也意味着短线加速的概率迅速增强，从而带来后续更为宽幅的震荡走势，既不契合原先的慢牛预期， 也会给后续走势带来更多的波动风险，就如同前期的国际金价、银价就是因为短线进入主升浪，然后就 出现了高位宽幅震荡行情，给参与者带来了更多的不确定风险。 因此，在周三午市 ...

证券研究报告 | 2026年02月25日 基金投资价值分析 一键布局有色全赛道——南方中证申万有色金属 ETF 投资价 值分析 一键布局有色全赛道 近期有色板块调整并非趋势终结：有色金属板块近期出现短期波动，但市场 基本已消化了特朗普提名沃什为下一任美联储主席的冲击，降息仍是大方 向，贵金属根本逻辑并未改变，各金属品种的定价有望回归基本面。 宏观、供需、资金维度均支撑贵金属定价：宏观层面，美联储开启降息周期， 全球流动性转向宽松，直接利好有色金属价格；从供需来看，历史上央行购 金与黄金价格存在较强相关性，近年来央行购金快速提升，支撑金价表现； 此外，黄金投资价值的提升吸引了大量投资者涌入以 ETF 计价的黄金市场。 新兴产业的发展为工业金属提供大量新增需求：在产业层面，人工智能、新 能源这些新兴产业的发展远远超出市场预期，新兴领域的发展成为需求增长 的新引擎，比如 AI 数据中心建设、电网升级、新能源转型等，这为铜、铝 等金属带来了需求弹性、打开长期需求增长空间。 中证申万有色金属指数投资价值分析 中证申万有色金属指数（000819.SH）发布于 2012 年 5 月 9 日，指数从沪 深市场申万有色金属及非 ...

今日内容 周二国际金价震荡收跌，开盘报5221.49美元/盎司，最高上行至5249.87美元/盎司，最低下探至5092.54 美元/盎司，最终报收于5132.01美元/盎司。 周二在岸人民币对美元收盘报6.8849，较上一交易日涨265个基点。人民币对美元中间价报6.9414，较上 一交易日调贬16个基点。美元指数涨0.15%报97.8931。 央行周二开展5260亿元7天逆回购操作，当日有8524亿元7天逆回购到期，6000亿元14天逆回购到期，因 此单日净回笼9264亿元。 地缘政治方面，白宫就伊朗问题表示，美国的首选方案永远是外交手段，但必要时也愿意使用致命武 力。伊朗外长阿拉格齐表示，在上一轮谈判达成的共识基础上，伊朗将在日内瓦与美国恢复谈判，决心 在最短时间内达成一项公平合理的协议。宏观事件方面，芝加哥联储主席古尔斯比表示，在有更多证据 表明通胀正持续回落之前，不适合进一步降息。在此前连续四个交易日上涨后，国际金价出现技术性回 调，昨日震荡收跌。 风险提示：近期国际金价波动较大，市场不确定性较高，请投资者注意风险管理。 图一：伦敦现货黄金与上金所Au9999收盘价 图二：SPDR黄金持仓量与伦敦现货 ...