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化工反内卷逻辑明了,石化ETF(159731)规模创新高
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-27 02:12
石化ETF(159731)及其联接基金(017855/017856)紧密跟踪中证石化产业指数,从申万一级行业分 布来看,基础化工行业占比为60.02%,石油石化行业占比为32.43%。行业新一轮景气周期开启,下游 化工品的利润修复改善在望。 每日经济新闻 西南证券认为,全球视角来看,化工行业已经处于新一轮景气周期的起点。我国化工企业在过去几年从 做大到做强,具备了更为坚实的利润基础和更为可观的利润弹性。 截至2月27日10点整,石化ETF(159731)涨0.84%,持仓股万华化学、恒力石化、光威复材涨幅居前。 从资金净流入方面来看,石化ETF(159731)近20个交易日资金净流入总计10.95亿元。石化ETF最新份 额达17.52亿份,最新规模18.74亿元。 春节假期期间,国际油价高涨,拉动聚酯链上的各产品开年首日普涨。业内人士分析,2026年,包括聚 酯在内的化工行业整体将运行在"反内卷"的逻辑当中,以价换量的模式已逐渐淡出历史舞台,涤纶长丝 在26年将很难出现低于成本价的情况。叠加现阶段并不太平的世界局势,预计26年的聚酯将呈现出一个 偏强的态势。 ...
运力紧张推升油轮运费 全球油轮费率续创六年新高丨A股明日线索
A股明日线索 1、运力紧张推升油轮运费,机构:"油运大时代"的高度与持续性或超预期 根据智通财经报道,租用一条超大型油轮(VLCC)把原油从中东运到亚洲的价格,继周二突破17万美元/日后,周三又突破20万美元的关口,续创 2020年以来新高。 同时,据央视财经,在美国与伊朗可能爆发军事冲突的背景下,近期中东地区的原油出口明显走高。由于贸易商们希望在潜在冲突爆发前锁定运 力,近期油轮的运输成本也随之大幅攀升。 2、上游元器件成本的持续攀升,多家手机厂商或将集中涨价 据证券日报,从供应链、行业机构及多家手机厂商内部获悉,2026年中国手机市场正迎来一轮全范围的涨价潮,这也是行业多年来首次出现多品 牌、全品类同步调价的情况。据了解,从3月开始,手机市场涨价节奏将进一步加快。此前已上市的机型价格调整相对温和,今年3月份之后发布的 新品,售价预计普遍上涨1000元以上。其中,中高端旗舰机型涨幅更为明显,部分型号的售价可能比上一代高出2000元至3000元。 本轮手机市场涨价的背后,是上游元器件成本的持续攀升。作为手机核心部件之一的存储芯片,自2024年下半年触底反弹后价格持续走高,2026年 伊始涨幅进一步扩大。供应链 ...
横盘略强高速轮动,坚守中盘兼顾节奏
Orient Securities· 2026-02-26 05:42
Market Strategy - The market is expected to experience a slight upward trend amidst a sideways movement, with a focus on mid-cap stocks while maintaining operational rhythm [2] - The index showed a pattern of initial decline followed by recovery in February, aligning with the expectation of a "sideways trend with slight strengthening" [2] - The improvement in domestic risk assessment is seen as a long-term confidence restoration rather than a catalyst for a strong market rally [2] Style Strategy - Mid-cap blue chips are trending positively, while technology growth stocks are expected to experience rotation [3] - Chemical and non-ferrous metals mid-cap blue chips have continued to lead the market in February, consistent with previous assessments since November [3] Industry Strategy - The transportation sector is witnessing high passenger flow and diversified demand, with significant inter-regional mobility becoming the norm [4] - As of now, railway passenger volume has increased by 4.1% year-on-year, while road mobility has risen by 5.1%, both lower than the 5.3% increase in civil aviation passenger volume [4] - The preference for self-driving travel remains high, with 86% of road mobility attributed to non-commercial vehicles, reflecting consumer demand for comfort and in-depth travel experiences [4] Thematic Strategy - The commercial aerospace sector presents rebound opportunities, particularly in inflation-related leading companies [5] - Despite lower-than-expected launch numbers in February, the commercial aerospace sector is anticipated to rebound due to ongoing domestic and international industry development [5] - Key developments in the commercial aerospace sector, including the potential for intensive verification of reusable rocket tests from March to June, are expected to catalyze growth [5]
河西区春节假期交出亮眼成绩单
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-25 22:06
春节期间,河西区立足自身文旅资源禀赋,精准对接市民日益提升的品质文化生活需求,精心策划一系 列主题鲜明、形式多样的文旅商活动,涵盖主题互动、文博展览、文艺演出、民俗体验等多个类别,以 多元场景、丰富内容解锁新春文旅新体验,充分展现河西文化魅力与城市活力。 转自:天津日报 深挖文博场馆资源 打造特色文化体验 (来源:天津日报) 为满足群众多样化、多层次的精神文化需求,河西区精准对接区内优质文艺院团与演出剧院,精心策划 组织一系列精品文艺演出,让新春舞台精彩纷呈、暖意满满。天津大剧院、天津歌舞剧院、天津京剧院 等多家知名单位同台献艺,立足自身特色,带来了兼具品质与观赏性的专属力作,假日期间集中上演相 声、话剧、儿童剧、京剧、音乐会等各类精品演出20余场,全方位覆盖不同群体的文化喜好,让节日氛 围愈发浓厚。 天津大剧院推出《开心麻花・三生沉浸版》与经典音乐剧《长腿叔叔》,兼顾娱乐性与艺术性;天津歌 舞剧院精心筹备《中外名曲新春交响音乐会》《笙声聚团圆 骏马踏新春》民乐导赏音乐会,以中西器 乐之声传递新春祝福;天津京剧院则献上经典京剧《锁麟囊》《四郎探母》《扈家庄》等佳作,尽显国 粹底蕴。此外,各类特色演出精准适配不 ...
三个关键词解码动能转换新逻辑 ——二〇二六年地方两会观察(上)
Ke Ji Ri Bao· 2026-02-25 05:44
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the integration of technology and industry in China, highlighting the advancements in traditional industries and the emergence of new industries, which collectively drive high-quality development during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period. Group 1: Traditional Industry Upgrading - Traditional industries are not synonymous with outdated capacities; they are being enhanced through technological integration, allowing them to elevate their capabilities without losing their foundational strengths [2] - Shandong province's manufacturing sector has achieved significant growth, with 19 key industrial chains established, maintaining its position among the top manufacturing provinces in China [2] - Weihei Guangwei Composite Materials Co., a pioneer in carbon fiber development, has successfully replaced imported materials with domestically produced carbon fibers, supporting major national projects [2] Group 2: New Industry Development - New industries are experiencing rapid growth, driven by strategic planning and ecosystem cultivation, particularly in the electric vehicle sector, where Zhengzhou BYD has produced over 1 million vehicles, contributing 170 billion yuan in output [5] - Hubei province has made significant breakthroughs in technology, including the world's first 6G system prototype and the domestic quantum computer, showcasing its strong innovation capabilities [6] - Guizhou province has established itself as a leader in computing power, with a scale exceeding 160 EFLOPS, emphasizing the need for improved infrastructure to support data processing [6] Group 3: Regional Innovation Ecosystems - Various regions are building comprehensive innovation ecosystems, transitioning from isolated breakthroughs to systematic arrangements, with Guangdong leading in innovation capabilities for nine consecutive years [8] - In Zhejiang, new enterprises are emerging, with over 6,000 new high-tech companies expected by 2025, reflecting a commitment to enhancing technological innovation [9] - Xinjiang has established 160 national and ministerial-level innovation platforms, with a 3.2-fold increase in high-tech enterprises, indicating a robust foundation for innovation [10]
三个关键词解码动能转换新逻辑
Ke Ji Ri Bao· 2026-02-25 01:19
一年之计在于春。1月底至2月初,各省(区、市)密集进入"两会时间"。会场内外,"科技创新"成 为高频议题。 从传统产业的淬炼升级,到新兴产业的聚链成势,再到区域创新生态的系统优化,2025年乃至整 个"十四五"以来,各地前沿技术不断涌现,科技与产业深度融合取得新成效,驱动发展动能深刻变革, 映照出一个锐意进取、充满创造活力的新时代中国。 淬火—— 传统产业"原地升维" 传统产业不等于落后产能。现代化产业体系,不止于"去旧迎新",更以科技淬火,让传统产业"原 地升维"——在原有基础上嫁接新质基因,让老根基长出新动能。 传统产业是山东经济的压舱石。山东省省长周乃翔作政府工作报告时亮出成绩单:"十四五"时期, 现代化产业体系实现新跃升,19条标志性产业链立起先进制造业强省四梁八柱,制造业总体规模和综合 实力稳居全国第一梯队。 威海光威复合材料股份有限公司的发展颇具代表性。2025年12月,这家国内最早研发碳纤维的民营 企业,成功获评"国家级制造业单项冠军"。山东省政协委员、公司董事长卢钊钧介绍,企业已实现从 T300到T1100、M40J到M65J等全系列碳纤维的国产化替代,产品为诸多"大国重器"提供了关键材料支 ...
三个关键词解码动能转换新逻辑——二〇二六年地方两会观察(上)
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-24 23:26
◎本报记者 一年之计在于春。1月底至2月初,各省(区、市)密集进入"两会时间"。会场内外,"科技创新"成为高 频议题。 原标题:三个关键词解码动能转换新逻辑——二〇二六年地方两会观察(上) 【科技新观察】 从传统产业的淬炼升级,到新兴产业的聚链成势,再到区域创新生态的系统优化,2025年乃至整个"十 四五"以来,各地前沿技术不断涌现,科技与产业深度融合取得新成效,驱动发展动能深刻变革,映照 出一个锐意进取、充满创造活力的新时代中国。 淬火—— 传统产业"原地升维" 传统产业不等于落后产能。现代化产业体系,不止于"去旧迎新",更以科技淬火,让传统产业"原地升 维"——在原有基础上嫁接新质基因,让老根基长出新动能。 传统产业是山东经济的压舱石。山东省省长周乃翔作政府工作报告时亮出成绩单:"十四五"时期,现代 化产业体系实现新跃升,19条标志性产业链立起先进制造业强省四梁八柱,制造业总体规模和综合实力 稳居全国第一梯队。 威海光威复合材料股份有限公司的发展颇具代表性。2025年12月,这家国内最早研发碳纤维的民营企 业,成功获评"国家级制造业单项冠军"。山东省政协委员、公司董事长卢钊钧介绍,企业已实现从T300 到 ...
当前重点看好大飞机和军贸
Orient Securities· 2026-02-23 07:49
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the defense and military industry [4] Core Insights - The focus is on increasing allocations in the large aircraft and military trade sectors, with expectations for growth in these areas due to geopolitical events and advancements in core technologies [8] - The large aircraft sector is expected to see accelerated development, particularly with the C919 aircraft, as key components are set to achieve certification and production targets [11][12] - Military trade is anticipated to benefit from heightened defense spending in the Middle East due to regional tensions, with expectations for increased market share for Chinese military exports [12] - The commercial aerospace sector is viewed positively for the first half of the year, despite recent adjustments and lower-than-expected launch activities [13] - Domestic demand in the military sector is expected to recover, with potential for exceeding current market pessimism as the "14th Five-Year Plan" progresses [14] Summary by Sections 1.1 Large Aircraft - The report highlights that the current market has low expectations for the large aircraft sector, particularly regarding the C919's delivery volumes. However, advancements in engine and onboard systems are expected to accelerate, potentially leading to a faster-than-expected development pace in the next two years [11][12] 1.2 Military Trade - The report notes that escalating tensions in the Middle East are likely to increase defense spending and military imports in the region. China's military trade share is expected to rise as countries diversify their defense procurement sources [12] 1.3 Commercial Aerospace - Despite recent adjustments in the commercial aerospace sector, the report maintains a positive outlook for investment opportunities in leading companies, particularly in satellite manufacturing and related technologies [13] 1.4 Domestic Military Demand - The report suggests that the market has been overly pessimistic regarding domestic demand recovery. It anticipates that as geopolitical uncertainties rise and the "14th Five-Year Plan" is implemented, demand in the military sector may recover faster than expected [14] 1.5 Investment Recommendations - The report recommends actively investing in core targets within the large aircraft and military trade sectors, while monitoring the commercial aerospace sector for potential catalysts. Specific companies are highlighted for investment consideration [16]
“卡脖子”:中国哪些新材料高度依赖日本进口及国外进口?国产企业又如何突破?
材料汇· 2026-02-17 14:42
点击 最 下方 "在看"和" "并分享,"关注"材料汇 添加 小编微信 ,遇见 志同道合 的你 (欢迎一级市场投资朋友加入微信群)正文 引言 当前,国际局势风云变幻,国际关系的紧张态势为全球产业链供应链的稳定带来了不容忽视的不确定性。在这一宏大背景 下,一个关乎中国高端制造业命脉与国家安全的问题愈发凸显—— 我们在关键战略新材料上,究竟在多大程度上受制于 人? 特别是我们的近邻日本,它并非仅仅是众多进口来源国之一。在光刻胶、大硅片、高端聚合物等数十种堪称"工业血液"的 新材料领域,日本企业凭借数十年的技术积累,构建了难以撼动的全球垄断地位。数据显示,中国在 半导体核心材料、高 端电子化学品、氢能关键部件 等多个维度,对日依赖度 超过50%,部分高端品类甚至达到近乎100%的绝对依赖 。这意味 着一场外交风波或一次出口管制,就可能让我们的芯片产线、先进显示工厂乃至新能源汽车的推进面临停滞风险。 本文将深度拆解这份中国新材料产业的"卡脖子"清单,清晰揭示哪些环节紧握在日本手中,哪些又广泛依赖其他发达国 家,目前国产化进展如何。认清这份依赖图谱,不仅是为了预警风险,更是为了明确我们必须全力攻坚的自主化方向。 第一部 ...
光威复材今日大宗交易折价成交5.5万股,成交额212.47万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 09:00
2月12日,光威复材大宗交易成交5.5万股,成交额212.47万元,占当日总成交额的0.33%,成交价38.63 元,较市场收盘价39.62元折价2.5%。 | 交易日期 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 成交价格 | 成交量 | 成交金额 买方营业部 (万元) | 卖方营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | (元) | (万股/万份) | | | | 2026-02-12 | 300699 | 光威复材 | 38.63 | 5.50 | 212.47 华福证券有限责任 | 华泰证券股份有限 | | | | | | | 公司上海浦明路证 | 公司广州天河城证 | | | | | | | 劳营业部 | 券营业部 | ...