格隆汇2月2日｜今日石化板块回调，鲁西化工、华峰化学分别跌8.9%和6.8%，带动石化ETF下跌 2.6%，但资金选择继续抢筹，盘中获净申购3200万份，冲击"19连吸金"。 事实上，近期资金持续流入石化ETF(159731)，从1月7日起已经连续18个交易日获资金净申购，合计净 流入13.51亿元，居同标的产品第一。 相关产品： 消息面上： 石化ETF(159731)跟踪石化产业指数，基础化工+石油石化双轮驱动，占比超91%，细分领域覆盖炼油化 工 (25.4%)、聚氨酯 (10.6%)、钾肥 (8.6%)、磷肥及磷化工(7.1%) 等关键细分领域，直接受益于反内卷显 效下，石化行业出清带来的涨价预期，权重股包括万华化学（全球 MDI龙头）、中国石油（国内油气 龙头）、中国石化（国内炼化龙头）、盐湖股份（国内钾肥龙头）等。 光大证券指出，2025年以来，石化行业从简单的"减油增化"到强调明确未来高附加值转化的方向，标志 着政策进入新阶段，随着全球石化产能的调整与重组及国内治理"内卷式"竞争行动的展开，未来低价恶 性竞争有望被遏制。 ①伊朗地缘局势紧张程度加剧，原油的地缘政治风险溢价上升，油价上涨。"欧佩克+ ...

Core Viewpoint - Salt Lake Co., Ltd. has experienced fluctuations in stock price and trading volume, with a notable decline in recent days despite a year-to-date increase in stock value [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On February 2, Salt Lake Co. saw a stock price drop of 2.01%, trading at 32.12 CNY per share, with a total transaction volume of 1.907 billion CNY and a market capitalization of 169.965 billion CNY [1]. - Year-to-date, the stock price has increased by 14.06%, but it has declined by 10.58% over the last five trading days [1]. - The company has appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" once this year, with a net purchase of 133 million CNY on January 5 [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Salt Lake Co. reported a revenue of 11.111 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.34%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.503 billion CNY, which is a 43.34% increase year-on-year [2]. - The company's main business revenue composition includes 79.16% from potash products, 18.32% from lithium products, and 2.40% from other sources [1]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Salt Lake Co. was 190,000, a decrease of 5.45% from the previous period [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 160 million shares, an increase of 34.006 million shares from the previous period [3].

数据显示，截至2026年1月30日，中证稀有金属主题指数(930632)前十大权重股分别为洛阳钼业、北方 稀土、华友钴业、盐湖股份、赣锋锂业、厦门钨业、中矿资源、天齐锂业、中钨高新、中国稀土，前十 大权重股合计占比59.71%。 资金流入方面，拉长时间看，截至2026年1月30日，稀有金属ETF基金近5个交易日内有4日资金净流 入，合计"吸金"3964.99万元。 场内ETF方面，截至2026年2月2日午间收盘，中证稀有金属主题指数(930632)下跌3.16%。成分股方面 涨跌互现，西部材料领涨9.49%，东方钽业上涨5.25%，雅化集团上涨3.52%；中金岭南领跌，株冶集 团、锡业股份跟跌。稀有金属ETF基金(561800)换手13.97%，半日成交3494.57万元，市场交投活跃。 近期，稀土板块进入击球区，氧化镨钕价格环比上涨11.03%，中钇富铕矿加工费进一步升至4.1万元/ 吨，反映冶炼环节出清与格局优化持续兑现；12月我国稀土永磁出口量创历史同期新高，叠加海外补库 需求仍存及越南将稀土列为国家战略资源并禁止原矿出口，全球稀土供给收紧预期强化。 稀有金属ETF基金（561800）跟踪的CS稀金属指 ...

Group 1 - The chemical sector is experiencing capital inflow, with the chemical ETF (159870) seeing a net subscription of 80 million units during trading [1] - Short-term price adjustments for PX/PTA are influenced by declining national crude oil prices, but the overall upward price trend remains intact, making this a good time for investment [1] - The global refining industry is facing long-term losses, particularly in Europe due to high costs and aging facilities, leading to capacity reductions, while new capacity is mainly concentrated in the Asia-Pacific region [1] Group 2 - As of February 2, 2026, the CSI sub-industry chemical theme index (000813) shows mixed performance among its constituent stocks, with Tianqi Lithium leading at a 0.52% increase, while Luxi Chemical is among the laggards [1] - The latest price for the chemical ETF (159870) is 0.88 yuan, closely tracking the CSI sub-industry chemical theme index [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI sub-industry chemical theme index (000813) as of January 30, 2026, include Wanhua Chemical and Yilong Co., with these stocks collectively accounting for 44.82% of the index [2]

消息面上： ①伊朗地缘局势紧张程度加剧，原油的地缘政治风险溢价上升，油价上涨。"欧佩克+"成员国宣布继续 暂停增产，3月保持原油产量不再提高。 今日石化板块回调，鲁西化工、华峰化学分别跌8.9%和6.8%，带动石化ETF下跌2.6%，但资金选择继 续抢筹，盘中获净申购3200万份，冲击"19连吸金"。 事实上，近期资金持续流入石化ETF(159731)，从1月7日起已经连续18个交易日获资金净申购，合计净 流入13.51亿元，居同标的产品第一。 相关产品： 石化ETF(159731)跟踪石化产业指数，基础化工+石油石化双轮驱动，占比超91%，细分领域覆盖炼油化 工 (25.4%)、聚氨酯 (10.6%)、钾肥 (8.6%)、磷肥及磷化工(7.1%) 等关键细分领域，直接受益于反内卷显 效下，石化行业出清带来的涨价预期，权重股包括万华化学（全球 MDI龙头）、中国石油（国内油气 龙头）、中国石化（国内炼化龙头）、盐湖股份（国内钾肥龙头）等。 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不 对所包含内容的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并 ...

Core Viewpoint - The petrochemical industry is experiencing fluctuations in stock performance, with significant policy changes expected to optimize supply-side dynamics and enhance the competitive advantages of leading enterprises [2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of February 2, 2026, the China Securities Petrochemical Industry Index has decreased by 2.78%, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [1]. - The top-performing stock is Sanmei Co., which increased by 1.75%, while Luxi Chemical led the decline with an 8.18% drop [1]. - The Petrochemical ETF (159731) has fallen by 2.79%, with a latest price of 1.01 yuan and a turnover rate of 6.58% [1]. Group 2: Fund Flows and ETF Performance - The Petrochemical ETF has seen continuous net inflows over the past 18 days, with a peak single-day net inflow of 348 million yuan, totaling 1.351 billion yuan [1]. - As of January 30, 2026, the Petrochemical ETF's net value has increased by 69.05% over the past two years [2]. - The ETF has achieved a maximum monthly return of 15.86% since its inception, with the longest streak of monthly gains lasting 9 months and an average monthly return of 5.59% [2]. Group 3: Policy Impact - Recent government policies aimed at "decarbonization," "environmental protection," and "cancellation of export tax rebates" are expected to suppress low-level redundant construction and disorderly expansion in the chemical industry [2]. - The policies are part of a broader strategy to optimize supply-side dynamics and enhance the competitive advantages of leading enterprises in the petrochemical sector [2]. Group 4: Index Composition - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Petrochemical Industry Index account for 55.71% of the index, with Wanhua Chemical and China Petroleum being the top two [2].

Group 1 - The chemical sector is experiencing fluctuations in line with the broader market and commodity prices, with a notable net subscription of 131 million units for the chemical ETF (159870) [1] - The chemical industry has historically shown strong cyclicality, with demand spanning various essential sectors, maintaining steady growth despite significant supply shocks [1] - Supply-side changes are significant, with the EU facing high energy costs leading to a continued exit from the market, while the U.S. is attempting to bring manufacturing back, albeit at high costs [1] Group 2 - The implementation of a dual control system for carbon emissions in 2024 will impose strict supply limitations on several industries, including refrigerants, chromium salts, sulfur, PVC, and high-energy-consuming sectors [1] - Specific industries facing clear supply restrictions include refrigerants due to the Montreal Protocol, chromium salts driven by increasing demand for high-temperature alloys, and sulfur as a byproduct of refining [1] - The chemical ETF (159870) closely tracks the CSI segmented chemical industry theme index, which consists of large-cap, liquid stocks from various sub-industries [2]

Core Viewpoint - Chemical-themed ETFs are becoming a significant direction for capital inflow, with over 26 billion yuan net inflow this year, leading to a total scale exceeding 50 billion yuan [1][2]. Group 1: Fund Inflows and ETF Growth - As of January 29, 2026, the net inflow into chemical-themed ETFs reached 26.189 billion yuan, with notable contributions from Penghua Chemical ETF (14.42 billion yuan), Fortune Chemical 50 ETF (5.702 billion yuan), Huabao Chemical ETF (3.452 billion yuan), and Tianhong Chemical ETF (1.424 billion yuan) [2]. - The total scale of chemical-themed ETFs has increased over 20 times in the past year, growing from 2.159 billion yuan on January 1, 2025, to 53.957 billion yuan by January 29, 2026 [2]. - The number of listed chemical-themed ETFs has risen from 5 to 7 within the same period [2]. Group 2: Performance of Major ETFs - The largest chemical-themed ETF, Penghua Chemical ETF, saw its scale increase from 1.449 billion yuan at the beginning of last year to 33.967 billion yuan [2]. - Other ETFs also experienced significant growth, with Fortune Chemical 50 ETF rising from 0.174 billion yuan to 7.641 billion yuan, and Huabao Chemical ETF from 0.408 billion yuan to 7.815 billion yuan [2]. - Multiple chemical-themed ETFs have reached new highs in share volume, with Penghua Chemical ETF at 36.718 billion shares, Fortune Chemical 50 ETF at 7.604 billion shares, and Huabao Chemical ETF at 7.953 billion shares [2]. Group 3: Institutional Interest and Market Trends - Public funds have increased their allocation to the chemical sector, with the allocation ratio rising to 4.7% by the end of Q4 2025, reflecting a trend of bottom reversal [4]. - Key areas of focus include lithium battery materials, potassium fertilizers, polyurethane, and fluorochemical sectors, with significant stocks being Tianqi Lithium, Cangge Mining, and Yanhua Chemical [4]. - Analysts suggest that the chemical sector is expected to see improved profitability due to the end of the expansion cycle and favorable valuation and positioning [4]. Group 4: Fund Managers' Perspectives - Fund managers have expressed a positive outlook on the chemical sector, maintaining high allocations to cyclical chemical stocks, particularly in phosphorous and potassium fields [5]. - There is an emphasis on the potential for significant profit increases driven by sustained demand and supply-side disruptions [5]. - Future strategies include focusing on sectors with improving supply-demand dynamics and profitability recovery, particularly in refrigerants, coal chemicals, and potassium fertilizers [5].

Investment Rating - The report provides a "Buy" rating for several companies in the non-ferrous metals sector, including Shandong Gold, Zijin Mining, and China Hongqiao [9]. Core Views - The macroeconomic sentiment has cooled, leading to a general decline in metal prices, particularly in precious metals where silver and gold experienced significant drops [1]. - The report highlights the ongoing supply constraints in the copper market, with major mining companies reducing their production forecasts due to capacity limitations [2]. - The aluminum market is expected to experience short-term fluctuations due to geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic policies, with demand anticipated to recover as the peak season approaches [3]. - Nickel prices have shown volatility, influenced by macroeconomic sentiment and supply-side cost pressures, with expectations of limited downside due to rising production costs [4]. - Tin prices are supported by macroeconomic factors and supply chain bottlenecks, although demand remains weak ahead of the Chinese New Year [5]. - Lithium prices have retreated from highs due to regulatory impacts and market liquidity tightening, but there is expected support from supply-side maintenance and pre-holiday stocking [6]. Summary by Sections Precious Metals - Significant declines in silver and gold prices were noted, with silver dropping 36% and gold falling over 12% in a single day [1]. - Companies to watch include Xinyi Silver, Shengda Resources, and Zijin Mining [1]. Industrial Metals - Copper inventories increased globally, with a notable rise in U.S. stocks, while Chinese inventories decreased [2]. - The report suggests monitoring companies like Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum [2]. - Aluminum production is stable, but demand is fluctuating due to seasonal factors and geopolitical issues [3]. - Nickel prices fell by 5.4% due to macroeconomic sentiment, with supply-side cost pressures expected to limit further declines [4]. Energy Metals - Lithium prices have decreased, with battery-grade lithium carbonate dropping 5.6% to 160,000 CNY/ton [5]. - The report indicates that companies like Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium should be monitored [5]. Cobalt - Cobalt prices have stabilized, with a slight increase in electrolytic cobalt prices [8]. - Companies to focus on include Huayou Cobalt and Liyuan Resources [8]. Company Announcements - Zijin Mining announced a significant acquisition of a gold mining company, which could enhance its resource base [36]. - Huayou Cobalt signed a cooperation agreement for an integrated battery supply chain project in Indonesia [36]. - Tianqi Lithium reported progress on its lithium production expansion project [36].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co., Ltd. has completed the cash acquisition of a 51% stake in Minmetals Salt Lake Co., Ltd., making it a subsidiary of Qinghai Salt Lake [1] - The acquisition was executed through a cash payment of approximately 4.6 billion yuan to the controlling shareholder, China Salt Lake Industry Group Co., Ltd. [1] - The transfer of the 51% stake has been officially registered, and Minmetals Salt Lake is now included in the consolidated financial statements of Qinghai Salt Lake [1]