Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the industry, indicating that the industry index is expected to outperform the benchmark index by more than 10% [6]. Core Insights - The non-ferrous metals industry index decreased by 5.42% over the past two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 index and ranking 28th among 31 first-level industries [12]. - Precious metals, energy metals, minor metals, industrial metals, and new metal materials all experienced varying degrees of decline during this period [12]. - The report highlights significant price movements, with tungsten prices rising sharply by 25.09% over the past two weeks, while other metals like silver and tin saw substantial declines [19][38]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The non-ferrous metals industry index fell by 5.42% from January 26 to February 6, 2026, underperforming the CSI 300 index [12]. - Precious metals decreased by 2.49%, energy metals by 11.47%, minor metals by 4.25%, industrial metals by 4.29%, and new metal materials by 9.25% [12]. Precious Metals - As of February 6, COMEX gold closed at $4,988.60 per ounce, up 0.11% over the past two weeks, and up 14.89% year-to-date [20]. - COMEX silver closed at $77.53 per ounce, down 24.92% over the past two weeks, but up 7.28% year-to-date [20]. - The report suggests focusing on companies like Shandong Gold, Zhongjin Gold, and Hunan Gold due to the current market dynamics [21]. Industrial Metals - LME copper settled at $12,840.00 per ton, down 0.62% over the past two weeks, but up 2.14% year-to-date [29]. - Domestic copper prices averaged 99,560 RMB per ton, down 1.68% over the past two weeks [29]. - Companies to watch include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Jiangxi Copper, and Tongling Nonferrous [29]. Minor Metals - Black tungsten prices rose to 673,000 RMB per ton, up 25.09% over the past two weeks [38]. - Tin prices on LME fell to $47,155 per ton, down 16.69% over the past two weeks [38]. - The report recommends focusing on companies like Xiyang Tin, Huaxi Silver, and Xingye Silver due to the current market conditions [39]. Rare Earths - The China Rare Earth Price Index reached 265.43, up 11.37% over the past two weeks [52]. - Neodymium oxide closed at 757,500 RMB per ton, up 12.64% over the past two weeks [52]. - Companies to focus on include China Rare Earth, Northern Rare Earth, and Shenghe Resources [53]. Energy Metals - Electrolytic cobalt averaged 420,000 RMB per ton, down 3.89% over the past two weeks [61]. - Lithium carbonate (battery-grade) averaged 134,500 RMB per ton, down 21.35% over the past two weeks [64]. - Companies to monitor include Tianqi Lithium and Ganfeng Lithium due to the evolving market landscape [64].

Group 1: Overall Market Performance - As of February 9, 2026, 271 companies on the Shanghai Stock Exchange have issued positive performance forecasts for 2025, with 168 expecting profit increases and 85 companies turning losses into profits [1] - In the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, 391 companies have disclosed their expected performance for 2025, with nearly 60% of these companies anticipating year-on-year net profit growth, including 39 companies expecting over 100% profit growth [1] - The year 2025 is seen as a pivotal year for the "14th Five-Year Plan," showcasing resilience and structural highlights in the operations of companies listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange [1] Group 2: Nonferrous Metals Industry - The nonferrous metals industry is projected to see an industrial added value growth of 6.9% in 2025, surpassing the national average by 1.0 percentage points, with production of ten major nonferrous metals exceeding 80 million tons for the first time [2] - The total profit of large-scale enterprises in the nonferrous metals sector is expected to reach 528.45 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.6%, marking a historical high [2] - Leading companies in the nonferrous metals sector are exhibiting a "volume-price resonance" characteristic, with significant increases in production and prices of key minerals like gold, copper, cobalt, and lithium contributing to profit growth [2] Group 3: Key Companies in Nonferrous Metals - Zijin Mining is expected to achieve a net profit of 51 to 52 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 59% to 62%, driven by rising prices of gold, silver, and copper [2] - Luoyang Molybdenum, the largest cobalt producer globally, anticipates a net profit of 20 to 20.8 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 47.80% to 53.71% [3] - Huayou Cobalt expects a net profit of 5.85 to 6.45 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 40.80% to 55.24%, benefiting from upstream resource production and recovering downstream material business [3] Group 4: Electronics Industry - The electronics industry is experiencing significant growth driven by AI, with smart hardware becoming a primary growth engine [4] - Huaqin Technology forecasts a revenue of 170 to 171.5 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 54.7% to 56.1%, and a net profit of 4 to 4.05 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 36.7% to 38.4% [4] - Shengyi Technology anticipates a net profit of 3.25 to 3.45 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 87% to 98%, driven by strong demand in automotive electronics and AI servers [4] - Rockchip is expected to achieve a revenue of 4.387 to 4.427 billion yuan in 2025, with a net profit of 1.023 to 1.103 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 71.97% to 85.42% [4]

刚果民主共和国2025年铜出口量同比增长近10%至340万吨，进一步巩固其全球第二大铜生产国地位，仅次于智利。这一增长主要由外资企业主导 的矿山扩产推动，为承受供应压力的全球铜市场提供了关键缓冲。 根据刚果政府在开普敦矿业会议上发布的初步数据，2025年该国铜出口量自2024年的310万吨增至340万吨。外资矿企占据其铜产量主体，其中 Tenke Fungurume矿与Kisanfu项目全年产量分别达51.9万吨和22.8万吨。 产能扩张正为紧缺的全球铜市注入供应。过去一年，铜价累计上涨40%，并于2026年1月底突破14500美元/吨，创下历史新高。价格上涨背后是全 球矿山事故频发与运营中断，叠加清洁能源转型及人工智能发展所驱动的结构性需求攀升。 Ivanhoe Mines创始人兼联席董事长Robert Friedland本周表示 "刚果将成为世界铜产量领导者。" 智利仍以美国地质调查局估测的530万吨年产量稳居全球榜首。但刚果近年来排名迅速跃升，已超越秘鲁与中国，其对全球供应的贡献在过去十年 增长逾两倍。 供应紧张推动铜价创新高 与之形成反差的是，刚果2025年钴出口量骤降近80%至4.45万吨，主因政府 ...

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices showed mixed performance today, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.09% to close at 4131.99 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.35% to 14160.93 points, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 1.08% to 3284.74 points. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 200.12 billion, a decrease of 123.7 billion from the previous day [1]. Rare Metals Sector Performance - The rare metals sector led the market gains today, driven by rising futures prices. Notable stocks included Zhongtung High-tech and Zhangyuan Tungsten, which hit the daily limit, while Xiamen Tungsten and Jinchuan Group rose over 7%, and Huayou Cobalt increased by over 5%. This momentum also boosted the Rare Metals ETF and related funds, which rose by more than 3.5% [1]. Rare Metals ETF Details - The Rare Metals ETF, which tracks the CSI Rare Metals Index, saw a rise of 3.86% today and has gained 15.70% year-to-date, with an estimated scale of 6.588 billion. Other related ETFs also showed positive performance, with the Industrial Bank Rare Metals ETF rising by 3.79% and the Rare Metals ETF Fund increasing by 3.53% [2]. Commodity Price Movements - There was a significant increase in commodity prices today, with lithium carbonate rising over 5%, nickel up over 4%, and other metals like tin and stainless steel increasing by over 2%. The main contract for lithium carbonate on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange surged by 9%, reaching 150,000 yuan/ton [3]. Global Rare Metals Market Trends - The global rare metals market is expected to continue its upward trend through 2026, with prices for rare earths, lithium, tungsten, cobalt, and nickel on the rise. This surge is attributed to three main factors: changes in global macroeconomic conditions, tightening supply constraints, and structural growth in demand from emerging industries [4][5]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - Supply constraints are a key driver of the current market dynamics, with countries like Indonesia and Vietnam implementing significant restrictions on exports of nickel and rare earths, respectively. China's export controls on certain rare metals further solidify its dominant position in global supply [4][6]. On the demand side, sectors such as electric vehicles, energy storage, and advanced manufacturing are driving robust demand for rare metals, indicating a structural growth trend [5][6].

Group 1 - The A-share market showed mixed performance on February 11, with small metals sector leading the gains, particularly companies like Dongfang Molybdenum and Zhongtung High-tech hitting the daily limit, while Zhangyuan Tungsten and Xianglu Tungsten reached new highs [1] - The rapid development of high-demand sectors such as new energy and photovoltaics has significantly increased the demand value for tungsten and other small metals, which are essential functional materials [1] - According to data released by Zhongtung Online on February 11, the domestic price for 65% black tungsten concentrate rose to 697,000 yuan per ton, an increase of 7,000 yuan per ton compared to the previous trading day; similarly, the price for 65% white tungsten concentrate also increased by 7,000 yuan per ton to 696,000 yuan per ton [1] Group 2 - Huaxi Securities indicated that expectations for post-Spring Festival inventory replenishment are rising as the market approaches 2026, leading some holders to replenish their positions at lower prices, which has improved short-term transaction volume marginally [1] - The current situation of tight supply for tungsten raw materials has not yet eased [1]

已披露公司中近6成公司净利润实现同比增长。 2025年，黄金的避险与货币属性在全球地缘政治摩擦频发和主要经济体降息预期的推动下愈加显现，黄 金价格屡创新高，这直接增厚了拥有巨量黄金储备的企业的利润。此外，有色行业规模以上企业工业增 加值增长6.9%，高于全国规上工业增加值增速1.0个百分点，十种有色金属产量首次突破8000万吨大 关。规模以上企业实现利润总额5284.5亿元，同比增长25.6%，创下历史新高。下游新兴产业发展拉动 铜、铝等大宗金属消费需求，以新质生产力为核心的需求推动行业产品结构向高附加值领域升级。 龙头公司普遍呈现"量价共振"特征：一方面，主要矿产品产量提升；另一方面，金、铜、钴、锂等价格 因素对盈利带来显著增厚。如紫金矿业报告期主要矿产品产量同比增加，其中矿产金约90吨、矿产铜约 109万吨、矿产银约437吨、当量碳酸锂约2.5万吨。2月9日早间，紫金矿业发布2026-2028年主要矿产品 产量规划，计划到2028年将其矿产金产量提升至130-140吨，矿产金进入全球前三位。受益于金、银、 铜的价格持续上升，紫金矿业预计2025年实现归母净利润510-520亿元，同比增加59-62%。 河 ...

Core Viewpoint - The articles highlight the strong performance and growth potential of various companies in the tungsten industry, driven by rising tungsten prices and increasing demand across multiple sectors such as aerospace, military, and renewable energy. Company Summaries - **China Tungsten High-Tech (000657)**: A leading player in the tungsten industry with a complete value chain from mining to manufacturing, benefiting from high self-sufficiency and significant profit elasticity due to rising tungsten prices. The company is positioned well in high-end manufacturing and military applications [1]. - **Xiamen Tungsten (600549)**: A comprehensive new materials leader with a strong presence in tungsten, rare earths, and lithium battery materials. The company is a major APT producer and benefits from dual market demand in tungsten and rare earths, with a clear long-term growth trajectory [2]. - **Zhangyuan Tungsten (002378)**: A private sector leader in the tungsten industry with a complete production system and high resource self-sufficiency. The company is well-positioned in high-end tungsten markets and is expected to see steady profit growth due to rising demand and supply constraints [3]. - **Xianglu Tungsten (002842)**: Focused on deep processing of tungsten, the company has a strong customer base and benefits from rising processing fees alongside tungsten prices. Future growth is expected through technological upgrades and high utilization rates [4]. - **Luoyang Molybdenum (603993)**: A global mining leader with significant tungsten operations, benefiting from high-quality overseas resources and a diversified metal portfolio. The company is expected to see profit growth as tungsten supply-demand dynamics improve [5]. - **Guangsheng Nonferrous Metals (600259)**: A state-owned enterprise with a focus on tungsten and rare earths, benefiting from dual price increases and strong resource integration capabilities. Future growth is anticipated through expanding resource reserves and high-end applications [6][7]. - **Hunan Gold (002155)**: A key mining platform in Hunan with a stable tungsten production and high resource self-sufficiency. The company benefits from rising prices across multiple metals, providing a unique advantage in the small metals sector [8]. - **Antai Technology (000969)**: A leader in high-end refractory metals, focusing on high-value tungsten products for semiconductor and aerospace applications. The company is expected to grow through increased domestic demand and technological advancements [9]. - **Jinmo Co., Ltd. (601958)**: A leading player in the molybdenum industry with significant tungsten operations, benefiting from low-cost resources and a complete production chain. The company is expected to see profit elasticity as tungsten prices rise [10]. - **Dongfang Tantalum (000962)**: A leader in rare metals with a strong tungsten processing capability, benefiting from stable demand in military and aerospace sectors. Future growth is expected from increasing domestic production of high-end tungsten products [11]. - **Xingye Mining (000426)**: A multi-metal mining company with significant tungsten resources, benefiting from price increases and a diversified portfolio that mitigates risks [12]. - **Zhuye Group (600961)**: A veteran in non-ferrous metal smelting with advantages in tungsten recycling and processing. The company is expected to see profit improvements through expanded processing capacity and technological upgrades [13]. - **Zhongkuang Resources (002738)**: A leader in lithium and rare metals with stable tungsten production, benefiting from price increases and a diversified business model [14]. - **Shengxin Lithium Energy (002240)**: A lithium leader with significant tungsten resources, providing stable profits and enhancing resilience against market fluctuations [15]. - **Huayou Cobalt (603799)**: A global leader in cobalt and lithium materials, with a strong tungsten business that supports overall profitability through market synergies [16]. - **Hanrui Cobalt (300618)**: Focused on cobalt and tungsten processing, benefiting from rising demand in high-end manufacturing and renewable energy sectors [17]. - **Xiamen Xinda (000701)**: Engaged in tungsten product trading and supply chain services, benefiting from price increases and a mature supply chain system [18]. - **Aluminum Corporation of China (601600)**: A leader in the non-ferrous sector with a focus on tungsten resource development, benefiting from market dynamics and resource value reassessment [19]. - **Tin Industry Co., Ltd. (000960)**: A global leader in tin with a strong tungsten portfolio, benefiting from price increases and a comprehensive multi-metal strategy [20]. - **Nanshan Aluminum (600219)**: A leading aluminum processor with a focus on tungsten-related materials, expected to grow through high-end manufacturing demand [21].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1][65]. Core Viewpoints - Precious Metals - Gold: As of February 6, the COMEX gold futures contract reached $4,988.60 per ounce, a 1.65% increase month-on-month. The SPDR Gold ETF decreased by 0.1% to 1,076 tons. Gold prices are expected to remain volatile in the short term, but the long-term outlook remains positive due to unresolved U.S. debt issues and weakening dollar credit [4]. - Industrial Metals: Industrial metals experienced a decline during the week. Copper prices fell by 3.45% to 100,100 yuan/ton, with domestic copper social inventory at 335,800 tons as of February 5. Aluminum prices dropped by 5.1% to 23,315 yuan/ton, with domestic aluminum social inventory at 836,000 tons. Tin prices decreased by 12.7% to 357,000 yuan/ton, with domestic social inventory at 9,389 tons. The demand for tin is expected to grow due to advancements in AI technology [5][6][7]. Summary by Sections 1. Nonferrous Metal Index Trends - As of February 6, 2026, the nonferrous metal index closed at 10,463.08 points, down 9.2% month-on-month. The precious metal index fell 17.4%, the industrial metal index decreased by 9.5%, and the energy metal index dropped by 3.9% [10]. 2. Precious Metals - Gold prices are expected to stabilize after recent fluctuations, with a long-term upward trend anticipated due to macroeconomic uncertainties and the weakening of the dollar's credit [4][64]. 3. Industrial Metals - **Copper**: The supply bottleneck is expected to persist, with long-term price support anticipated due to increasing demand from AI applications. Short-term price fluctuations are expected [6]. - **Aluminum**: The market is characterized by tight supply and strong demand, with a positive long-term outlook for aluminum prices [6]. - **Tin**: Tin is expected to benefit from increased demand due to its role in AI technology, despite recent price declines [6]. 4. Energy Metals - Lithium prices and inventory levels are being monitored closely, with significant fluctuations expected in the market [47]. 5. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the gold, copper, and aluminum sectors. Specific companies to watch include Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Tianshan Aluminum [7][64].

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is experiencing a positive market response, with a stock price increase of 2.93% and a trading volume of 5.745 billion yuan, indicating strong investor interest and market activity [1]. Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum is primarily engaged in the mining and processing of non-ferrous metals, including molybdenum, tungsten, cobalt, and copper, and is recognized as one of the top five molybdenum producers globally and the largest tungsten producer [3][4]. - The company has a comprehensive integrated industrial chain and is also the second-largest producer of cobalt and niobium globally, as well as a leading copper producer [3][4]. Production and Revenue Insights - The company holds an 80% stake in the NPM copper-gold mine in Australia, with gold production guidance for 2023 set to increase by 56% to 69% compared to 2022, projecting an output of 25,000 to 27,000 ounces [3]. - In 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum plans to complete the acquisition of the Odin Mining project in Ecuador, aiming for production by 2029 [3]. - The company reported a revenue of 145.485 billion yuan for the first nine months of 2025, a decrease of 5.99% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 72.61% to 14.280 billion yuan [9]. Market Position and Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the company had 304,200 shareholders, reflecting an increase of 28.08% from the previous period [9]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include significant institutional investors, with Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holding 695 million shares, an increase of 47.472 million shares [9]. Financial Performance - The company has distributed a total of 21.562 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.576 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [9].

Group 1 - The top 20 stocks with significant capital inflow as of February 11 include Northern Rare Earth (1.499 billion), Greeenmei (1.426 billion), and Zijin Mining (0.910 billion) [1] - Northern Rare Earth experienced a price increase of 5.02%, while Greeenmei saw a rise of 9.95% [2] - Other notable stocks with substantial inflows include Zai Sheng Technology (0.816 billion) and Zhongtung High-tech (0.736 billion), both showing a price increase of 10% [2][3] Group 2 - The sectors represented among the top inflow stocks include small metals, energy metals, and glass fiber [2] - Companies like Huayou Cobalt and Lianhua Holdings also reported significant inflows of 0.531 billion and 0.513 billion respectively, with price increases of 5.45% and 9.95% [2] - International Composite Materials led with a remarkable price increase of 20.04% alongside an inflow of 0.428 billion [3]