●2月27日美股成交额前20：英伟达跌逾5%，投资者担心AI支出可持续性 周四美股成交额前20中，多只股票有重要表现。英伟达收跌5.46%，虽营收和业绩指引超预期，但投资 者担忧人工智能支出可持续性。特斯拉收跌2.12%，其Cybercab项目经理离职。闪迪收高3.09%，香橼研 究发布做空报告。美光、博通、AMD等收跌。奈飞收高2.29%，其CEO将访问白宫。台积电收跌。赛富 时收高4.03%，因财报超预期、巨额回购及乐观指引，公司提高股息，推出500亿美元股票回购计划， 发布乐观业绩指引，重申长期营收目标，虽目标价下调，分析师仍维持积极评级。 [2] ●2月27日热门中概股多数下跌 百度跌5.65%，小马智行涨4.64% 2月27日，热门中概股多数下跌，纳斯达克中国金龙指数收跌1.78%。上涨股包括腾讯音乐、富途控股 等，其中小马智行涨幅达4.64%；下跌股有台积电、阿里巴巴等，百度跌5.65%，贝壳跌5.53%，万国数 据跌7.11%，慧荣科技跌8.34%。美股周四收盘涨跌不一，科技巨头英伟达和软件巨头Salesforce业绩未 提振大盘，美国上周初请失业金人数低于预期。道指涨0.03%，纳指跌1.18 ...

按照一般规律，黄金下跌时，美元往往会上涨，两者呈现负相关。 但昨晚的行情打破了这一规律。 美元指数在2月25日晚间低开低走，盘中虽然一度挣扎翻 红，上涨了0.16%，但收盘时还是被砸了下去。 2026年2月25日到26日，全球金融市场的投资者们目睹了罕见的一幕：传统意义上的"避险双雄"——黄金和美元，竟然肩并肩一起"跳水"了。 而另一边，代表风险偏好的股市却一片欢腾，尤其是半导体和存储芯片板块，涨得让人目瞪口呆。 这可不是简单的板块轮动，而是市场底层逻辑正在发生 一场静悄悄的革命。 | 国际黄金价格在连续上涨四个交易日后，出现了明显的回调。 | | --- | | 上一个交易日，金价高开低走，尾盘跳水下挫了1.25%。 | | 到了2月25日晚间，行情变得更加戏剧化。 | | 金价低开高走，上半场表现强劲，盘中一度上涨1.38%，大部分时间都震荡在上涨1.00%左右。 | | 然而，熟悉的剧本再次上演，尾盘又出现了跳水走势。 | | 这次跳水非常凌厉，金价从上涨1.12%的位置急速下挫，最终涨幅收窄至仅0.14%，不过好在没有翻绿。 | | 收盘时，国际黄金价格定格在5183美元/盎司附近。 | | 从更高的 ...

| 菲利华 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 4/3 | 300395.SZ | +5.21% | | 沪电股份 | | --- | 龙虎榜机构热股 龙虎榜显示，今日2家机构净买入3.84亿。 今天机构龙虎榜上榜43只个股，净买入29只，净卖出13只。当日机构买入最多的个股前三位是：润泽科技（6.05亿）、沪电股份（3.84亿）、菲利华（3.32 亿）。 公司国内规模最大、技术实力最强的PCB制造商之一，是英伟达 AI 服务器 PCB 主力供应商。 | 上榜热股 | 实时涨跌幅 ◆ 买/卖家数 ◆ | | --- | --- | | 润泽科技 | | | 300442.SZ | +17.71% 2/2 | | 3日 | | | 沪电股份 | | | 002463.SZ | +10.00% 2/2 | | 3日 | | 龙虎榜知名游资 公司参股子公司熹联光芯的硅光芯片可以用于CPO 杰普特 一、液冷 高澜股份 个股龙虎榜 公司为字节跳动公司提供的12U浸没液冷模组，是业内首款一体式浸没液冷产品 消息面上，2月25日，英伟达AI基础设施负责人Dion Harris在加州总部向媒体展示了下一代 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [12] Core Insights - The communication sector saw a 2.35% increase in the 6th-7th week of 2026, ranking 6th among primary industries in the Yangtze River region; since the beginning of 2026, it has risen by 0.44%, ranking 27th [2][6] - Tower's silicon photonics revenue doubled, with a high demand for 1.6T, and capacity expansion plans have been adjusted with prepayments secured; silicon photonics modules continue to penetrate the market [2][10] - Vertiv's orders and backlog reached new highs, with a shipment-to-order ratio rising to 2.9 times [2][10] - ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 has industry-leading generation availability, while Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro tops the charts, and Anthropic's annual revenue is growing rapidly at $14 billion [2][10] - OpenAI's cumulative computing expenditure is expected to exceed $600 billion by 2030, with an upward revision of revenue forecasts [2][10] Summary by Sections Market Performance - In the 6th-7th week of 2026, the communication sector increased by 2.35%, ranking 6th among primary industries; since the start of 2026, it has risen by 0.44%, ranking 27th [2][6] - Among companies with a market capitalization above 8 billion, the top three gainers this week were Dawei Technology (+39.4%), Shengke Communication (+31.7%), and Shenling Environment (+29.6%); the top three decliners were Tongyu Communication (-11.7%), Dingtong Technology (-9.7%), and Xinke Mobile (-9.3%) [6] Company Highlights - **Tower**: In Q4 2025, revenue reached $440 million, a year-on-year increase of 13.7%, with GAAP net profit of $80 million, up 45.3%. The company expects silicon photonics revenue to reach $228 million in 2025, doubling from 2024, and has raised its capacity target from 3 times to over 5 times the Q4 2025 shipment [7] - **Vertiv**: In Q4 2025, revenue was $2.88 billion, a year-on-year increase of 22.7%, with GAAP net profit of $450 million, up 203.1%. The company reported a significant increase in organic orders, with a year-on-year growth of 252% [7] AI Model Developments - On February 12, ByteDance launched Seedance 2.0, achieving industry-leading performance in complex scenarios with a high generation availability rate [8] - Anthropic completed a $30 billion Series G financing round with a post-money valuation of $380 billion, reporting an annual revenue of approximately $14 billion [8] - On February 19, Google released Gemini 3.1 Pro, which ranked first in AI analysis, showing significant improvements in reasoning capabilities [8] Future Projections - OpenAI updated its financial outlook, projecting cumulative computing-related expenditures to exceed $600 billion by 2030, with training costs expected to rise significantly in 2025 and 2026 [9]

（来源：淘金ETF） 1. 中际旭创（300308）作为全球高速光模块领域的绝对龙头企业，中际旭创深度绑定英伟达、微软、谷 歌等北美头部云厂商，是AI算力爆发周期内最具确定性的核心受益标的。800G与1.6T高速光模块出货 量稳居全球前列，产品结构持续向高端迭代，毛利率与盈利水平稳步抬升。随着英伟达GB300与Rubin 新一代算力平台规模化落地，单机光模块用量大幅提升，直接推动公司订单持续高增。在CPO共封装光 学领域，企业技术储备完善，与产业链上下游协同推进下一代互联方案，长期成长空间进一步打开。北 美四大云厂商资本开支同比增长超60%，叠加英伟达业绩超预期，公司未来两年业绩确定性极高，产能 持续满载，客户结构优质且壁垒深厚，是光模块板块中业绩弹性最强、成长逻辑最清晰的龙头企业。 2. 新易盛（300502） 专注于高速光模块研发、生产与销售的新易盛，是国内少数具备全球竞争力的核心企业，产品覆盖数据 中心、电信传输全场景，在400G、800G高端模块领域出货量位居行业第一梯队。企业海外收入占比 高，深度绑定全球主流云厂商与设备商，订单能见度高且交付能力突出。受益于AI数据中心建设提速 与高速互联需求爆发， ...

跨境支付鼻祖陷入困局。 跨境支付鼻祖，要被卖了。 2026年2月24日，彭博社披露了一则重磅消息：全球支付巨头PayPal或将被收购。受此消息影响，PayPal股价当日应声大涨，两天内涨幅高达13%。 回望2021年，PayPal股价触及310美元历史高点、市值登顶超3600亿美元，此后一路陷入长期颓势，股价暴跌超80%。而此次收购传闻带动的股价反弹， 也恰恰反映出资本市场早已对其独立发展的前景失去信心，反倒更期待其被收购重组。 如今这家市值仅剩约430亿美元的企业，一边面临着核心业务被苹果、谷歌等科技巨头挤压、利润不及华尔街预期的业绩困局，一边迎来了PE机构、行业 竞争对手的收购邀约，旗下Venmo、Braintree等资产更是成为了多方争抢的"香饽饽"。 这家曾缔造出"PayPal Mafia"、改写硅谷科技版图的企业，从初创时的合并重组，到巅峰时成为全球支付霸主，再到如今的进退维谷，其发展轨迹不仅是 一家企业的兴衰史，更折射出全球支付行业的重构。 PayPal的诞生，堪称硅谷创业故事的经典缩影。其背后诞生的"PayPal Mafia"，更是成为了影响全球科技界乃至政界的传奇存在。 PayPal的前身是两 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [2] Core Insights - The CDN industry is undergoing a transformation driven by AI, evolving from static caching to intelligent computing, with a projected global market growth from $27.8 billion in 2025 to over $79.2 billion by 2034, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.3% [7][19] - The rise of AI is reshaping the CDN landscape, as service providers transition from low-margin bandwidth intermediaries to high-stickiness edge cloud suppliers, emphasizing the importance of technology and compliance in the new ecosystem [71] Summary by Sections CDN Transition to AI Era - The CDN market is entering the AI and computing 4.0 era, evolving from static resource acceleration to intelligent edge services [11] - The CDN industry is positioned in the midstream of the network service value chain, with upstream hardware vendors and telecom operators providing foundational infrastructure [14] - The global CDN market is expected to grow significantly due to demands from video streaming, gaming, and AI, with North America leading the market [19][23] AI and Edge Computing - The demand for "CDN + edge computing" is reshaping the industry ecosystem, as traditional roles of CDN and origin servers are evolving to meet the needs of real-time interactions and AI inference [28][37] - CDN providers are becoming essential platforms for edge computing, leveraging their extensive global nodes to facilitate real-time processing and reduce upstream traffic costs [42] CDN and Edge Preprocessing - The industry is entering a "Tokens explosion" era, with token consumption expected to increase tenfold by 2026, prompting CDNs to shift towards edge preprocessing [44] - Data sovereignty issues are leading CDNs to potentially act as intermediaries in value exchanges between AI and content creators, allowing for new revenue models [49] Financial Metrics of Major CDN Providers - Cloudflare is rapidly growing its revenue through a subscription model, while Akamai focuses on large enterprise clients, showcasing different business strategies [52] - In 2025, Cloudflare's revenue is projected to reach $2.168 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 29.8%, while Akamai's revenue is expected to be $4.208 billion, growing at 5.4% [55][56] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on technologically advanced and commercially viable CDN service providers such as Cloudflare, Akamai, Fastly, and Wangsu Technology [69]

今日早参 2026 年 2 月 26 日 张继强 研究所所长、固收首席研究员 座机：13910012450 邮箱：zhangjiqiang@htsc.com 陈慎 房地产行业首席研究员 座机：021 38476038 邮箱：chenshen@htsc.com 今日热点 风险提示：房地产政策波动，房地产市场复苏不及预期，部分房企经营风 险。 研报发布日期：2026-02-25 研究员 刘璐 SAC:S0570519070001 SFC:BRD825 固定收益：AI 叙事的转变 ——基本面观察 2 月第 2 期 2026 年以来，全球 AI 叙事正在经历一次重要的边际变化，我们至少看到了 三层叙事的转变。 第一层叙事：对 Scaling Law 开始出现一些分歧。 过去几年 AI 投资的核心引擎来自于 Scaling Law 的经验规律：模型越大、数 据越多、算力越强，性能越好。但这条规律正在出现一些裂痕。 风险提示：AI 开支不及预期，地缘政治风险。 研报发布日期：2026-02-25 研究员 张继强 SAC:S0570518110002 SFC:AMB145 吴靖 SAC:S0570523070006 房地产 ...

2月26日，A股三大股指开盘走势分化，其中沪指涨0.09%报4151.07点，深成指涨0.14%报14495.86点， 创业板指跌0.24%报3346.74点，科创50指数涨0.37%报1478.73点。锂矿概念大幅高开，金圆股份封一字 涨停，江特电机、永杉锂业、国城矿业、大中矿业、融捷股份、永兴材料等涨幅靠前；磷化工板块延续 强势，澄星股份3连板，六国化工、和邦生物、川发龙蟒、湖北宜化、云天化跟涨。昨日市场冲高回 落，创业板指盘中一度涨超2%，沪深两市成交额达2.2万亿，全市场超4000只个股上涨，其中109只个 股涨停。 盘面上，市场焦点股豫能控股（5板）高开0.09%，电网设备板块汉缆股份（4板）低开0.61%，光纤光 缆概念股法尔胜（3板）低开0.41%，算力工程概念股罗曼股份（3板）低开0.01%，有色金属板块江钨 装备（5天4板）高开2.03%，磷化工板块澄星股份（2板）高开10.03%。 公司动态：减持、停牌、更名与立案，多事交织 牧原股份：公司于2026年2月25日召开第五届董事会第十三次会议，审议通过《关于变更公司名称的议 案》，拟将公司名称由"牧原食品股份有限公司"变更为"牧原食品集团股份 ...

纳斯达克中国金龙指数收跌0.47%，热门中概股里，阿特斯太阳能跌5.3%，新东方跌5.1%，大全新能源跌2.9%，小鹏跌2.7%，万国数据跌2.4%，网易、理想 跌超1%，阿里、腾讯至多跌约0.5%，唯品会涨1.9%，亚朵涨2.5%，贝壳涨3%，老虎证券涨4.2%。 美股三大指数集体收涨，纳指涨1.26%，标普500指数涨0.81%，道指涨0.63%。大型科技股全线上涨，奈飞涨约6%，微软、Meta涨超2%，英伟达、英特尔、 特斯拉、亚马逊涨超1%，苹果、谷歌小幅上涨。加密货币概念股普涨，Circle涨超35%，Coinbase涨超13%，BMNR涨超10%，Strategy涨超8%，Robinhood 涨超5%。CME集团收跌3.7%，创去年5月份以来最大单日跌幅。 ...