联合研究丨组合推荐 [Table_Title] 金融制造行业 5 月投资观点及金股推荐 research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 长江金融行业（地产、非银、银行）和制造行业（电新、机械、军工、轻工、环保）2025 年 5 月投资观点及金股推荐。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 邬博华 于博 赵智勇 SAC：S0490514040001 SAC：S0490520090001 SAC：S0490517110001 SFC：BQK482 SFC：BUX667 SFC：BRP550 王贺嘉 蔡方羿 徐科 SAC：S0490520110004 SAC：S0490516060001 SAC：S0490517090001 SFC：BUX462 SFC：BUV463 SFC：BUV415 刘义 吴一凡 马祥云 SAC：S0490520040001 SAC：S0490519080007 SAC：S0490521120002 SFC：BUV416 SFC：BUV596 SFC：BUT916 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 13 %% %% %% %% ...

非银金融 行 业 研 究 非银金融 2025 年 05 月 05 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 36% 48% 60% 2024-05 2024-09 2025-01 非银金融 沪深300 《关注 1 季报超预期标的，万能险新 规 利 于 改 善 利 差 损 — 行 业 周 报 》 -2025.4.27 《传统券商和保险持仓下降，金融科 技持仓回升—2025Q1 主动权益基金 非银重仓股点评》-2025.4.23 《中概股回流预期利好港交所，个险 营 销 体 系 改 革 升 级 — 行 业 周 报 》 -2025.4.20 券商 1 季报业绩同比高增，险企 1 季报投资业绩分化 ——行业周报 | 高超（分析师） | 卢崑（分析师） | | --- | --- | | gaochao1@kysec.cn | lukun@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790520050001 | 证书编号：S0790524040002 | lukun@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790524040002 周观点：券商 1 季报业绩同比高增，险企 1 季报投资业绩分 ...

行业走势图 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 36% 48% 60% 2024-05 2024-09 2025-01 非银金融 沪深300 数据来源：聚源 相关研究报告 非银金融 行 业 研 究 非银金融 2025 年 05 月 05 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 《关注 1 季报超预期标的，万能险新 规 利 于 改 善 利 差 损 — 行 业 周 报 》 -2025.4.27 《传统券商和保险持仓下降，金融科 技持仓回升—2025Q1 主动权益基金 非银重仓股点评》-2025.4.23 《中概股回流预期利好港交所，个险 营 销 体 系 改 革 升 级 — 行 业 周 报 》 -2025.4.20 券商 1 季报业绩同比高增，险企 1 季报投资业绩分化 ——行业周报 | 高超（分析师） | 卢崑（分析师） | | --- | --- | | gaochao1@kysec.cn | lukun@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790520050001 | 证书编号：S0790524040002 | lukun@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790524040002 周观点：券商 1 季报业绩同比 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the regulatory actions taken by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange against Diga Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. and its associated parties due to various violations during the IPO application process, leading to the termination of their IPO review. Group 1: Regulatory Actions - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange issued three written warning letters and three public criticism decisions on April 30, 2025, against Diga Pharmaceutical and related parties [2][3] - The IPO application for Diga Pharmaceutical was accepted on June 16, 2023, but was terminated on June 12, 2024, due to the withdrawal of the application by the issuer and the sponsor [27] Group 2: Violations Identified - Diga Pharmaceutical and its key executives failed to fully disclose independence flaws and rectification measures, as well as internal control deficiencies related to sales, procurement, and inventory management [4][8] - The sponsor, Minsheng Securities, did not adequately scrutinize the issuer's independence issues and internal control irregularities, leading to inaccurate verification opinions [5][17] - The law firm, Shanghai Zechang, and the accounting firm, Tianjian, also failed to conduct thorough checks on the issuer's independence and internal control issues, resulting in regulatory warnings [19][21] Group 3: Specific Issues - The issuer prioritized purchasing from suppliers controlled by the actual controller, which raised concerns about independence and internal control [8][19] - There were discrepancies in the accounting treatment of returns, with the issuer misclassifying a return as a post-balance sheet adjustment, which should have been reflected in 2020 instead of 2019 [10][24] - The issuer's internal controls were found to be inadequate, with missing documentation and improper handling of sales and inventory management [9][15]

Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of CNY 7.716 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 35.14% [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 257 million, an increase of 539.36% year-on-year [2] - In Q1 2025, operating revenue was CNY 1.537 billion, down 17.03% year-on-year [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was CNY 82.464 million, up 452.32% year-on-year [2] - Total assets at the end of Q1 2025 were CNY 14.070 billion, with net assets attributable to shareholders at CNY 10.589 billion [2] Business Overview Lithium Industry - The company entered the lithium industry in 2013 and currently operates two lithium mines: Sichuan Lijiagou and Zimbabwe's Kamativi [3] - It has three production bases for lithium salt products, with a total lithium hydroxide capacity of 63,000 tons and lithium carbonate capacity of 36,000 tons [5] - A new lithium hydroxide production line of 30,000 tons is expected to be completed in 2025, increasing total lithium salt capacity to nearly 130,000 tons [5] Explosives Industry - The company has an industrial explosives production capacity of over 260,000 tons and nearly 90 million detonators [4] - It actively participates in industry consolidation and has expanded its business across various regions, including Sichuan, Xinjiang, Tibet, and others [4] - The company provides approximately 70% of the explosive products for the Sichuan section of the Sichuan-Tibet Railway [10] Resource Management Lithium Resource Control - The company holds a 68% controlling interest in the Kamativi lithium mine, with an annual processing capacity of 2.3 million tons of lithium ore [7] - The self-sufficiency rate for lithium concentrate is expected to improve in Q2 2025 as production ramps up [9] Customer Base - The company has established strong relationships with major clients in the lithium sector, including Tesla, Panasonic, and CATL [8] - A significant portion of the company's orders comes from overseas clients, indicating a robust international market presence [8] Overseas Expansion - Since acquiring New Zealand's Red Bull Company in 2013, the company has developed a strong capability for overseas expansion [11] - It aims to leverage its cost and efficiency advantages in the explosives sector to enhance its business in Africa and Australia [12]

事件：4 月25 日，江苏金租公布2024 年报及2025 年一季报。2024 年实现归母净利润29.4 亿 元/yoy+10.6%，实现营收52.8 亿元/yoy+10.3%；1Q25 归母净利润7.7 亿元/yoy+8.4%。2024 年公司每股 分红0.27 元，分红率为53.15%/yoy+2.02pct，对应25/4/25 股息率为5.18%。 25/4/25 收盘价对应公司25-27E 动态PB 分别1.17x、1.10x、1.03x。 24 年生息资产规模保持双位数增长，1Q25 净利差环比提升。1）资产规模看：24 年面对外部环境不确 定性增加与租赁行业竞争加剧双重挑战，公司保持战略定力、推动资产规模稳步扩张；24 年末公司资 产总额1373 亿元/yoy+14.5%（1Q25 末较年初+8.9%），其中融资租赁资产规模1278 亿/yoy+12.0%；新 增投放829.2 亿元/yoy+14.5%，其中直接租赁投放金额同比增长22%、直租占比达到47%。2）1Q25 净 利差环比提升：24 年公司租赁业务净利差为3.62%/yoy+0.01pct，1Q25 净利差为3.91%/yoy+0.2 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 6.07 [8][9]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 5.278 billion in 2024, representing a year-over-year growth of 10.26%, and a net profit of RMB 2.943 billion, up 10.63% year-over-year, slightly exceeding expectations [1]. - The company continues to focus on small and micro enterprises, enhancing its service capabilities and maintaining strong asset quality, with a non-performing asset ratio of 0.91% [2][3]. - The dividend payout ratio increased by 1.6 percentage points to 53% in 2024, reflecting the company's commitment to returning value to shareholders [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of RMB 1.544 billion, a year-over-year increase of 20.47%, and a net profit of RMB 772 million, up 8.41% year-over-year [1]. - The financing lease asset balance reached RMB 127.803 billion by the end of 2024, an increase of RMB 13.694 billion or 12.00% year-over-year [2]. Asset Quality - The company maintained a non-performing financing lease asset ratio of 0.91% at the end of 2024, consistent with the previous year, and a provision coverage ratio of 430.27%, despite a year-over-year decline of 18.12 percentage points [3]. Business Strategy - The company has adopted a dual-line business model of "vendor leasing + regional direct sales," establishing deep strategic partnerships with over 5,800 vendors and dealers [4]. - The focus remains on serving small and micro enterprises, with strong bargaining power on the asset side, indicating potential for continued growth in business scale and profitability [2]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are projected to be RMB 0.56, RMB 0.61, and RMB 0.67 respectively, with a book value per share (BPS) of RMB 4.67 for 2025 [5]. - The report assigns a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 1.3 for 2025, reflecting the company's stable profit growth and improved dividend payout [5].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the financing leasing industry in the first quarter of 2025 Core Insights - In the first quarter of 2025, the total bond issuance by financing leasing companies reached 1766.14 billion, representing a decrease of 5.99% compared to the same period last year and a decline of 6.77% from the fourth quarter of 2024 [2][3] - The issuance of non-structured products accounted for 52.39% of the total, while structured products made up 47.61% [2] - AAA-rated bonds dominated the non-structured products, comprising 88.33% of the total issuance [9] - The average issuance rates and spreads for leasing companies' bonds showed a downward trend compared to the previous year, with notable differences across various maturities and ratings [16][18] Summary by Sections Bond Issuance Situation - In Q1 2025, 95 leasing companies issued bonds, with 61 companies disclosing their credit ratings [6] - AAA-rated companies accounted for 59.02% of the total, while AA+ and AA-rated companies made up 32.79% and 8.20%, respectively [6][13] - The largest issuance category was ABS, totaling 735.44 billion, which constituted 41.64% of the total issuance [3] Specialty Bond Issuance Trends - The report highlights various specialty bonds, including green bonds, sustainable development-linked bonds, rural revitalization bonds, and technology innovation bonds [10] - In Q1 2025, green bonds had an issuance of 245.16 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.60% [10] - Conversely, rural revitalization bonds and technology innovation bonds saw significant declines in issuance, with decreases of 52.79% and 50.00%, respectively [10] Analysis of Issued Bond Rates and Spreads - The average issuance rates for non-structured products showed a decline compared to the previous year, with spreads widening slightly overall [16] - The most significant differences in issuance rates and spreads were observed in 3-year AA+ rated bonds, followed by 9-month and 2-year AA+ rated bonds [16][18] - AAA-rated financial leasing companies had lower issuance rates and spreads compared to most AAA-rated commercial leasing companies [18][21]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the market is expected to stabilize and gradually rise, with a focus on high-quality development and technology sectors amidst external uncertainties and internal economic transitions [2] - The recent performance of the CSI 500 Quality Growth Index shows a mixed trend among constituent stocks, with notable gainers and losers, indicating volatility in the market [1][3] - The CSI 500 Quality Growth ETF has seen significant growth in both scale and shares over the past two weeks, ranking in the top third among comparable funds [1][2] Group 2 - The political bureau meeting emphasized the importance of maintaining strategic focus and adapting to external uncertainties while promoting high-quality development [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI 500 Quality Growth Index account for 24.26% of the index, highlighting the concentration of performance among a few key companies [3][5] - The ETF closely tracks the CSI 500 Quality Growth Index, which selects 100 companies with strong profitability and growth potential, providing diverse investment options for investors [2]

Group 1 - The A-share market shows stable performance in major indices, with a notable preference for defensive dividend assets, while high-growth sectors are undergoing adjustments [1] - A total of 1,156 listed companies in the A-share market plan to distribute cash dividends for the 2024 fiscal year, amounting to a total of 1.13 trillion yuan, with 841 companies expected to have dividends exceeding 0.1 yuan per share, representing 72.75% of the total [1] - The high dividend ETF (563180) is gaining traction, with significant trading volume, and it tracks a high-yield strategy index focusing on dividend leaders, emphasizing dividend quality and capability [1] Group 2 - Citic Securities highlights the investment value of dividend stocks, which offer high dividend yields and low valuation levels, making them particularly valuable in the current market environment characterized by uncertainty [2] - In the context of global economic stagnation risks, the demand for dividend assets is becoming more rigid, especially in essential consumption sectors such as agriculture, food and beverage, utilities, and transportation, which can withstand economic cycles and provide stable shareholder returns [2] - Dividend assets are increasingly viewed as a scarce resource with long-term investment value, transcending their defensive attributes in the face of a more uncertain global order [2]