Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent volatility in the global risk asset market, particularly focusing on the surge in demand for precious metals and the performance of the Huabao ETF amid geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic factors [1][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Geopolitical risks have led to a significant drop in global risk assets, prompting some investors to take profits, which has resulted in a sharp decline in gold and silver prices [1]. - Despite the market downturn, the Huabao ETF saw a net subscription of 142 million units, indicating a counter-trend investment in the non-ferrous metals sector [1]. - The demand for non-ferrous metals is supported by macroeconomic factors such as the Federal Reserve's ongoing easing policies, rising geopolitical uncertainties, and concerns over the sustainability of U.S. debt and deficits [3]. Group 2: Industry Outlook - The non-ferrous metals sector is expected to maintain a high profitability state for an extended period, driven by new demand from emerging industries such as renewable energy, AI, and aerospace [4]. - Domestic non-ferrous metal companies are valued lower compared to their international counterparts, despite having similar growth potential and core competitiveness [4]. - The industry is experiencing a significant output gap due to a long-term contraction in capital expenditures since 2011, which continues to support prices and highlight the strategic value of these metals [3]. Group 3: Performance Indicators - As of January 28, 2025, 24 out of 60 listed companies covered by the non-ferrous ETF have released earnings forecasts, with 21 companies expected to be profitable, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [3]. - The Huabao ETF covers a wide range of metals, including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, allowing investors to capture the overall sector's performance effectively [5].

Group 1 - The rare earth index experienced a significant decline of 7.25% during intraday trading [1] - Among the constituent stocks, Huahong Technology hit the daily limit down, while Shenghe Resources fell over 7% [1] - Other notable declines included Zhongjin Rare Earth dropping over 6%, and Xiamen Tungsten and Northern Rare Earth both decreasing by more than 5% [1]

Core Insights - On January 29, a total of 3,766 stocks in the A-share market received financing funds for purchase, with 662 stocks having purchase amounts exceeding 100 million [1] Financing Purchase Amounts - The top three stocks by financing purchase amount were Zijin Mining, Bluefocus, and Northern Rare Earth, with amounts of 4.113 billion, 3.26 billion, and 2.486 billion respectively [1] Financing Purchase Proportions - Five stocks had financing purchase amounts accounting for over 30% of the total transaction amount on that day. The top three were Dezhan Health, Huilong Shares, and Shenzhen Airport, with proportions of 47.08%, 37.87%, and 37.33% respectively [1] Net Financing Purchases - A total of 52 stocks had net financing purchases exceeding 100 million. The top three in net financing purchases were Zijin Mining, Tianfu Communication, and Bluefocus, with net amounts of 1.042 billion, 891 million, and 869 million respectively [1]

Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing development of a comprehensive strategic partnership between China and the UK, focusing on cooperation in education, healthcare, finance, and technology sectors, including AI and renewable energy [5][8] - The macroeconomic analysis indicates that China's GDP for 2025 reached 1401879 billion, growing by 5.0%, with significant contributions from the tertiary sector [10] - The report emphasizes the strong performance of the new materials sector, which outperformed the broader market indices, indicating a growing demand for innovative materials in manufacturing [17] Domestic Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4157.98, with a slight increase of 0.16%, while the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.30% [3] - The A-share market showed a mixed performance, with sectors like media and liquor leading gains, while semiconductor and electronic components lagged [9][13] International Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 30772.79, down by 0.67%, while the Nikkei 225 saw a slight increase of 0.62% [4] Industry Analysis - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a strong rebound, with a 15.65% increase in the industry index, driven by developments in space photovoltaic technology [20] - The semiconductor sector continues to show robust growth, with global sales reaching 752.8 billion USD in November 2025, marking a 29.8% year-on-year increase [18] - The communication industry index outperformed the broader market, with a 12.82% increase in December, indicating strong demand for telecommunications equipment [27] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a balanced investment strategy, focusing on sectors like AI, high-end manufacturing, and cyclical resources, while also considering opportunities in financial and cultural sectors [9][14] - In the media sector, the report recommends focusing on companies benefiting from improved policy environments and the acceleration of AI applications, particularly in gaming and film [23][25]

1月29日，全球金属市场强势上涨。热门ETF——工业有色ETF万家（560860）收涨1.78%再创新高，成 分股白银有色8连扳，铜陵有色8连阳2连板，云南铜业2连板，盛和资源涨停且7连阳，江西铜业涨超 9%，中金黄金涨超8%，中国铝业涨超7%，北方稀土涨超6%。年初至今不到一月，工业有色ETF万家 （560860）已经上涨36.63%。 工业有色ETF万家（560860）紧密跟踪中证工业有色金属主题指数，一键打包铜（29.2%）、铝 （26.7%）、稀土（15.3%）、钨钼（6.4%）等"工业金属+战略资源"龙头，捕获周期复苏红利，同时对 冲通胀及地缘风险。 铜：AI数据中心、国家电网 "十五五"4万亿投资预期、新能源车 渗透率提升，带动长期用铜需求预期。 铝：受光伏 、储能 、以铝代铜趋势推动需求，印尼电力扰动预期支撑供给端逻辑。中国电解铝社会库 存74.2万吨（1月26日），处于历史低位。 锡：全球储采比仅14年，显著低于铜（43年）和锌（19年）为工业金属中最低。1月23日中国锡社会库 存为10,678吨（约1.07万吨），高端焊料需求刚性支撑价格。缅甸锡矿复产进程持续不及预期，2026年 全年产量预 ...

转自：智通财经 注：智通财经VIP为内容资讯产品，并非投资建议。以下内容仅为资讯价值展示非对相关公 司的推荐建议，非未来走势预测。投资有风险，入市需谨慎。 市场热点一 油气 消息面上，NYMEX原油期货主力合约日内突破64美元大关，现涨1.8%。 《九点特供》：盘前必读的特供早报。 1月26日08:17《九点特供》 解读海外映射，指出国际油价涨近3%，在解读海外局势后，并梳理了涨价 的逻辑，提及国内焦点公司洲际油气，截至1月29日收盘，其4日收获3次涨停。 洲际油气(600759) < 01-29 15:43:38 沪 融 5.69 所属行业:石油石化 +4.80% > > 查看所属板块 > 油气设服 天然气 +0.52 +10.06% +1.74% 最相关 +0.97% 成交量 5.48 最 高 5.69 856万手 今 开 昨 收 5.17 最 低 5.12 成交额 46.4亿 换手率 20.65% 总市值 236亿 ▲ 213.13 市盈动 热股 财联社热股榜TOP13 > 分时 五日 日K 周K 月K 分钟▼ [0] MA5 前复权 5.69 5.69 1月26日08:17《九点特供》解读海外 指出国 ...

证券之星消息，1月29日小金属板块较上一交易日下跌1.04%，厦门钨业领跌。当日上证指数报收于 4157.98，上涨0.16%。深证成指报收于14300.08，下跌0.3%。小金属板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600392 | 盛和盗源 | 30.03 | 10.00% | 205.07万 | | 59.61亿 | | 600111 | 北方稀土 | 56.11 | 6.09% | 389.63万 | | 216.25亿 | | 000831 | 中国稀土 | 58.61 | 3.64% | 113.94万 | | 66.62亿 | | 600259 | 中稀有色 | 84.52 | 2.51% | 23.57万 | | 19.87亿 | | 001280 | 中国舞山 | 97.00 | -1.02% | 41.79万 | | 41.98亿 | | 600459 | 贵研铂业 | 26.17 | -1.62% | 112.69万 | | ...

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing a significant surge, driven by macroeconomic factors, strong industrial performance, and positive earnings forecasts for listed companies in the sector [3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The non-ferrous metal sector saw a wave of stock price increases, with notable performances including eight consecutive trading days of gains for silver and four for Hunan Gold, alongside seven stocks hitting the daily limit [1]. - The Huabao Non-Ferrous Metal ETF (159876) reached a historical high, with a peak increase of over 4.1% and a final rise of 1.44%, indicating market resilience [1]. - The ETF recorded a trading volume of 283 million yuan, an increase of 23 million yuan compared to the previous day, and a net subscription of 117 million units, accumulating over 1.4 billion yuan in the past 20 days [1][3]. Group 2: Macro Factors - The Federal Reserve's pause on interest rate cuts, coupled with expectations for future easing, has enhanced the appeal of precious metals as a hedge against inflation [3]. - According to CITIC Securities, as long as the Federal Reserve remains in a rate-cutting cycle, there will be upward momentum for non-ferrous metal prices [3]. Group 3: Industrial Performance - Key metals such as gold, copper, and rare earths have seen substantial price increases, with spot gold approaching 5,600 USD/ounce, LME copper rising over 7%, and rare earth prices for core products like neodymium oxide and praseodymium oxide increasing by over 120,000 yuan/ton [3]. - The overall performance of the non-ferrous metal sector is supported by positive earnings forecasts, with 21 out of 24 companies expected to report profits, indicating a strong fundamental backing for the recent price increases [3]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Southwest Securities anticipates a resource supercycle in the non-ferrous metal industry, with prices for metals like gold, copper, aluminum, tin, and rare earths expected to systematically rise [3]. - Huafu Securities suggests that the non-ferrous metal sector will significantly benefit from economic recovery, with its cyclical nature likely to yield excess returns amid policies aimed at expanding domestic demand [3].

来源：上海证券报·中国证券网 | 陸号 | 证券代码 | 证券名称 | > | 所属申万行业名 ... 当目净流入额 [行业类别]2级 [单位]亿元 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | [截止日期]最新( ... | | 1 | 600519.SH | 贵州茅台 | > | 33.39 白酒エ | | 2 | 300058.SZ | 蓝色光标 | > | 28.98 广告营销 | | 3 | 000858.SZ | 五 | > | 17.03 白酒工 | | র | 600111.SH | 北方稀土 | > | 15.41 小金属 | | 5 | 002230.SZ | 科大讯飞 | > | 15.40 软件开发 | | 6 | 000901.SZ | 航天科技 | > | 12.26 汽车零部件 | | 7 | 600986.SH | 浙文互联 | > | 10.51 广告营销 | | 8 | 601318.SH | 中国平安 | > | 9.68 保险工 | | 9 | 000568.SZ | 泸州老窖 | イ | 8.53 自酒工 | | 10 | 3 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing bull market in the non-ferrous metals sector, driven by monetary easing expectations and supply-demand tightness, highlighting significant investment opportunities in this space [3][5][8]. Group 1: Reasons for Price Increases - The non-ferrous metals sector has seen substantial price increases, with gold prices rising by 64% over the past year, indicating a strategic shift towards physical assets as the U.S. dollar weakens [5][6]. - Industrial metals like copper and tin have also surged, with copper prices increasing by 44% and tin by 43%, primarily due to declining inventories and rising demand from sectors like renewable energy and AI [6][8]. - The combination of anticipated monetary easing and tight supply-demand dynamics is expected to drive further price increases in commodities and stocks [8]. Group 2: Four Underlying Logics - The weakening U.S. dollar is expected to make metals more expensive, as the market anticipates further interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve [10][11]. - Supply constraints are significant, with global mining companies underinvesting in new projects, leading to longer lead times for new production [12][14]. - The demand from AI and renewable energy sectors is replacing traditional demand from real estate, creating a new engine for metal consumption [15][16]. - Geopolitical tensions, particularly between the U.S. and China, are elevating the strategic importance of key minerals, leading to increased trade barriers and price volatility [19][21]. Group 3: Key Investment Directions - Gold and silver are seen as anchors of value, with silver expected to benefit from both industrial demand and price corrections [22]. - Copper, aluminum, and tin are highlighted as essential industrial metals, with companies like Zijin Mining and China Aluminum positioned favorably due to supply-demand dynamics [23][24]. - Rare earths and minor metals are viewed as strategic assets, with companies like Northern Rare Earth and Guangsheng Nonferrous benefiting from supply chain advantages [25]. - Lithium is identified as a cyclical opportunity, with prices rebounding significantly, and companies like Ganfeng Lithium positioned to capitalize on this trend [25].