Summary of Longxin Technology's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Longxin Technology - **Industry**: Semiconductor, specifically DRAM storage Key Points and Arguments 1. **Revenue Growth Projections**: Longxin Technology expects a revenue increase of 38% to 56% in Q4 2025, reaching between 22.9 billion to 25.9 billion yuan, with total annual revenue projected between 55 billion to 58 billion yuan [1][4][2] 2. **Profitability Improvement**: The company anticipates a significant turnaround in net profit, with a forecasted non-GAAP net profit between 3.86 billion to 4.06 billion yuan, indicating a return to profitability driven by rising memory prices and increased production capacity [1][4][2] 3. **Capacity Utilization**: In the first half of 2025, Longxin's capacity utilization rate is projected to be 94.63%, reflecting strong downstream demand [1][4] 4. **Capital Expenditure Plans**: Longxin's capital expenditures from 2022 to the first half of 2025 are projected at 35.4 billion, 43.7 billion, 71.2 billion, and 24.1 billion yuan, indicating a strong commitment to capacity expansion [1][4] 5. **Market Position**: The domestic DRAM market is estimated to be between 60 billion to 70 billion USD, with Longxin positioned as a market leader with potential for increased market share [1][6] 6. **Supply Chain Impact**: Longxin's IPO is expected to catalyze the entire industry, enhancing the certainty of capital raising for expansion, which will positively affect the supply chain [2] 7. **Material Procurement**: Longxin's raw material procurement is primarily distributed across chemicals (30%-40%), spare parts (about 40%), photoresists (10%), silicon wafers (7.5%), and gases (4%) [10] 8. **Domestic Supplier Performance**: Longxin shows strong performance in domestic supplier replacement, with key suppliers being domestic listed companies such as Yake Technology and Dinglong Co. [11] 9. **Future Demand Trends**: Longxin's demand for raw materials is expected to grow significantly, driven by process upgrades and increased material requirements per wafer [12] 10. **Equipment Procurement Focus**: The demand for equipment is concentrated in lithography (over 20%), etching (about 20%), and CVD/ALD deposition (15%-20%) [13] 11. **Domestic Equipment Suppliers**: Companies like North Huachuang and Zhongwei have secured significant orders from Longxin, indicating a shift towards increased reliance on domestic equipment [15] 12. **Testing Equipment Market**: The domestic testing equipment market is projected to reach 300-400 billion yuan, with companies like Jin Ce Electronics gaining substantial orders from Longxin [16][18] Additional Important Insights - **Growth Potential for Partners**: Companies like Zhaoyi Innovation, which relies on Longxin for niche DRAM foundry services, are expected to see profits of at least 3.5 billion yuan, potentially exceeding 4 billion yuan in 2026 [7] - **Advanced Packaging Technology**: The POP (Package on Package) technology is anticipated to have broad applications in storage, with companies like Xinfeng already developing relevant products [22] - **Future of Testing Equipment**: The testing equipment industry is experiencing growth, particularly in advanced processes, with significant potential for domestic companies [20] This summary encapsulates the key insights from Longxin Technology's conference call, highlighting its growth prospects, market position, and the broader implications for the semiconductor industry.

来源：纪要逻辑社 Q：长存公司近期盈利表现如何？盈利大幅改善 的核心驱动因素是什么？ A：长存公司近期盈利实现显著提升，核心驱动因素是行业景气周期下产品价格的大幅上调，推 动毛利 率和净利润快速增长。具体来看，25年 Q3毛利率已达38%，Q4预估可进一步攀升至 47%，距离海外龙 头50%-60%的水平仅一步之遥。同时，严格的成本管控和上半年资本支出缩 减带来的折旧优势，也为 盈利改善提供了支撑。 尽管前三季度净利仍亏损19.6亿，但招股书预测 全年将实现20-30亿利润，其中 25年Q4单季利润 预期高达70-80亿，产品成本刚性使得所有涨价都能直接转化为利润。 Q：长存公司未来业绩增长的核心动力有哪些？ 全球存储市场格局对其有何影响？ A：长存公司未来业绩增长主要依赖两大动力： 一是加速扩产以匹配市场需求，应对全球存储供 需紧 张的格局；二是客户构成多样化，目前服务器业务收入占比已从个位数跃升20%-30%，业 务结构实现 重大转变。从行业环境来看，市场分析认为未来三年全球存储供需或将持续紧张，这 一格局将支撑存 储产品价格持续看涨，为公司业绩增长提供有力支撑。此外，AI服务器需求激 增，叠加三星、美光 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.09%, while sectors like cultural media, education, and the internet performed well, while forestry and energy equipment sectors faced declines [1] - The semiconductor sector exhibited divergence, with the chip ETF (159995) down by 0.74%, while individual stocks like Hu Silicon Industry, Northern Huachuang, and Shengmei Shanghai saw increases of 1.12%, 1.06%, and 1.01% respectively [1] - However, companies like Beijing Junzheng and Chip Origin experienced poor performance, with declines of 5.11% and 2.99% respectively [1] Group 2 - The global semiconductor sales have seen year-on-year growth for eight consecutive quarters, with WSTS revising its forecasts for 2025 and 2026, predicting double-digit growth for three consecutive years from 2024 to 2026 [3] - Domestic semiconductor industry growth is driven by AI demand, the rise of domestic chip design companies, and localized manufacturing needs, with a focus on wafer foundry, advanced packaging, and upstream semiconductor equipment materials [3] - The chip ETF (159995) tracks the National Chip Index, comprising 30 leading companies in the A-share semiconductor industry, including SMIC, Cambricon, Changdian Technology, and Northern Huachuang [3]

东吴器械也表示，7月7日国产DRAM内存龙头长鑫存储正式启动上市征程，12月30日晚发布招股书。国产半导体设备迎来历史性发展机遇， 26年或将开启确定性强的扩产周期，设备全行业订单增速有望超30%、达50%+。 中证指数官网数据显示，半导体设备ETF（561980）跟踪中证半导，标的指数中"设备"含量较高，将近60%！且半导体设备+材料+集成电路 设计三行业占比超90%，均为芯片产业链中/上游的"卖铲子"领域，国产替代空间广阔。 2025年最后一个交易日，长鑫IPO进展引爆市场关注，半导体产业链多股拉升。上游半导体设备ETF（561980）高开1.31%，成份股芯源微、 雅克科技涨超4%，艾森股份、拓荆科技涨超3%，盛美上海、安集科技、中科飞测、北方华创等强势跟涨。 消息面上，长鑫科技12月30日晚间正式递交招股书，拟在科创板挂牌上市，计划募资295亿元进一步提升公司在DRAM行业的核心竞争力。 中信证券发布研报认为，国内最大的DRAM存储企业长鑫存储上市已受理，招股书披露公司2025年第四季度利润超预期，同时长鑫技术加速 迭代追赶全球先进水平，未来上市有望持续拉动扩产，设备国产化率有望逐步提升。 该指数重点 ...

Group 1 - Longxin Technology submitted its prospectus on December 30, 2025, aiming to raise 29.5 billion yuan to enhance its core competitiveness in the DRAM industry [2] - The listing of Longxin, the largest DRAM storage enterprise in China, is expected to drive expansion and increase the domestic equipment localization rate [2] - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) opened up 1.31%, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as Chipone Microelectronics and Yake Technology, which rose over 4% [1][2] Group 2 - The semiconductor equipment sector is anticipated to experience a strong expansion cycle starting in 2026, with industry-wide order growth expected to exceed 30%, potentially reaching over 50% [2] - The index tracking the semiconductor equipment ETF has a high concentration in leading companies, with nearly 80% of the top ten holdings, indicating significant elasticity [5] - The index has shown a year-to-date increase of 63.92% as of December 30, 2025, outperforming other mainstream semiconductor indices [5]

Core Viewpoint - Changxin Technology plans to raise 29.5 billion yuan through an IPO, totaling 34.5 billion yuan with its own funds, to invest in storage-related projects, indicating a sustained boom in the storage sector [1][3]. Group 1: Investment Plans and Market Position - Changxin Technology aims to upgrade its manufacturing lines for storage wafers and DRAM technology, as well as conduct research on advanced DRAM technologies [3]. - The company is recognized as the largest and most advanced DRAM manufacturer in China, covering a range of products including DDR4, LPDDR4X, DDR5, and LPDDR5/5X, and ranks first in China and fourth globally in DRAM shipments [3]. - The demand for storage products has surged due to the explosion of AI applications, leading to significant price increases, with DRAM and NAND Flash prices rising over 300% since September [3]. Group 2: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The storage capacity shortage is expected to be a key investment theme through 2026, driven by the rising demand for AI GPUs and related technologies [4]. - The trend towards 3D stacking in storage is increasing the value of equipment in etching, film deposition, and measurement processes, with a high requirement for domestic production rates [4][5]. - The semiconductor equipment ETF (159516) is highlighted as a strong investment direction due to the lack of storage original manufacturers in the A-share market and the ongoing demand for semiconductor equipment [5]. Group 3: ETF Performance and Market Dynamics - The semiconductor equipment ETF (159516) has seen a net inflow of nearly 2.2 billion yuan over the past 20 days, with a year-to-date growth of over 200%, currently reaching a scale of over 8.8 billion yuan, ranking first among similar products [1][9]. - The ETF is positioned to benefit from the dual drivers of storage expansion and advanced process expansion, with a clear catalyst and relatively low valuation [6]. - Recent data shows a significant increase in the import of lithography machines, indicating strong expansion demand, with imports totaling 46 billion yuan in November alone [6].

Group 1 - The core focus of the news is the IPO progress of Changxin Technology, which has sparked significant market interest, leading to a rise in multiple semiconductor stocks [1][2] - Changxin Technology's IPO application has been accepted, with plans to issue up to 10.622 billion new shares and raise 29.5 billion yuan, potentially making it the second-largest IPO by fundraising scale since the launch of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [2][3] - The semiconductor equipment ETF has seen a net inflow of over 100 million yuan over four consecutive trading days, indicating strong investor interest in the sector [1][2] Group 2 - Key stocks in the semiconductor sector, such as Chipone Technology and Yake Technology, opened with gains exceeding 4%, while others like Aisen Co. and Tuojing Technology saw increases over 3% [2] - The semiconductor equipment ETF tracks the CSI Semiconductor Industry Index, which has a high concentration of equipment-related stocks, accounting for nearly 60% of the index [3][7] - The CSI Semiconductor Index has shown a year-to-date increase of 63.92%, with a maximum rise exceeding 80%, outperforming other mainstream semiconductor indices [7]

Core Viewpoint - The recent block trade of Tuojing Technology indicates significant trading activity, with a notable volume and value, reflecting investor interest despite a slight decline in stock price [2][3] Group 1: Block Trade Details - On December 30, a block trade of 310,000 shares of Tuojing Technology was executed, amounting to 103 million yuan, at a price of 330.86 yuan, which represents a discount of 0.94% compared to the closing price [2][3] - Over the past three months, Tuojing Technology has recorded a total of 11 block trades, with a cumulative transaction value of 946 million yuan [2] Group 2: Stock Performance - The closing price of Tuojing Technology on the same day was 333.99 yuan, reflecting a decrease of 0.88%, with a turnover rate of 1.68% and a total trading volume of 1.594 billion yuan [2] - In the last five days, the stock has seen a cumulative decline of 7.14%, with a net outflow of funds totaling 306 million yuan [2] Group 3: Margin Financing Data - The latest margin financing balance for Tuojing Technology stands at 1.257 billion yuan, having increased by 157 million yuan over the past five days, marking a growth rate of 14.32% [3]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - On December 30, a total of 10 stocks from the STAR Market experienced block trading, with a cumulative transaction amount of 172 million yuan, indicating active trading in the sector [1]. Group 1: Trading Activity - A total of 17 block trades were recorded, with a cumulative trading volume of 2.4415 million shares [1]. - The stock with the highest transaction amount was Tuojing Technology, with a trading volume of 310,000 shares and a transaction amount of 103 million yuan [1]. - Other notable stocks in terms of transaction amounts included Canxin Co. and Jianlong Micro-Nano, with transaction amounts of 18.4941 million yuan and 13.2 million yuan, respectively [1]. Group 2: Price Performance - All stocks involved in block trading were sold at a discount, with the highest discount rates observed for Shijia Photon, Guoguang Electric, and Aerospace Hongtu, with discount rates of 21.08%, 15.73%, and 13.49% respectively [1]. - The STAR 50 Index rose by 1.01%, with 226 stocks (37.73%) in the STAR Market experiencing price increases [1]. - Among the stocks that underwent block trading, the average price change was a decline of 0.30%, with Canxin Co., Aifute, and Shijia Photon showing the highest increases of 4.49%, 3.76%, and 1.41% respectively [1]. Group 3: Institutional Participation - There were 3 transactions involving institutional buyers or sellers, with the highest institutional buying amounts for Tuojing Technology, Huayi Technology, and Aifute, amounting to 103 million yuan, 2.4712 million yuan, and 2.0041 million yuan respectively [2]. - In terms of capital flow, 4 stocks saw net inflows from major funds, with the highest net inflows for Shijia Photon, Canxin Co., and Tuojing Technology, amounting to 57.6398 million yuan, 42.5456 million yuan, and 32.3065 million yuan respectively [2]. - Conversely, Guoguang Electric, Aerospace Hongtu, and Huaguang New Materials experienced the highest net outflows, totaling 65.4989 million yuan, 28.5148 million yuan, and 25.9997 million yuan respectively [2].

Group 1 - A total of 88 stocks in the A-share market experienced block trading today, with a total transaction value of 2.359 billion yuan [1] - The top three stocks by transaction value were Giant Network at 302 million yuan, Muyuan Foods at 187 million yuan, and New Asia Electronics at 130 million yuan [1] - Among the stocks, 4 were traded at par, 4 at a premium, and 80 at a discount; the highest premium rates were for Shenghua Biotech at 8.2%, Vanke A at 2.6%, and Jinko Power at 1.07% [1] Group 2 - The top buying amounts from institutional special seats were led by Giant Network at 302 million yuan, followed by Changchuan Technology at 105 million yuan and Tuojing Technology at 103 million yuan [2] - The top selling amounts from institutional special seats were led by Jinko Power at 99.4 million yuan and Zhongji Xuchuang at 16.36 million yuan [2]