证券研究报告 | 行业周报 | 公用事业 公用事业 报告日期：2025 年 03 月 16 日 绿电直供凸显环境属性，清洁能源迎来专项资金 ——环保与公用事业行业周报 投资要点 ❑ 行情回顾 本周，公用事业板块指数上涨 2.19%，涨跌幅在 31 个申万一级行业中排名第 11，跑赢沪深 300 指数 0.61%；本周，环保板块指数上涨 2.53%，涨跌幅在 32 个 申万一级行业中排名第 9，跑赢沪深 300 指数 0.94%。截至 2025 年 3 月 7 日，公 用事业（申万）PE（TTM）为 16.87 倍，PB（LF）为 1.48 倍；环保（申万）PE （TTM）为 21.60 倍，PB（LF）为 1.48 倍。 ❑ 行业重要动态 ❑ 核心观点与投资建议 ❑ 公用事业行业，本周重点关注个股组合：佛燃能源+东方电子+中国核电。 A.绿电运营板块。去年以来政策推动典型高耗能行业参与绿证绿电交易，绿电环 境价值有望进一步兑现；此外新能源全面入市有望带动电价下行，叠加电网发债 持续推进下绿电企业国补欠补问题有望改善。考虑到当前绿电估值已处价值洼地， 尤其是港股绿电普遍处于破净状态，后续可进一步关注新能源大基地 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the electricity sector [4] Core Viewpoints - The electricity sector is experiencing fundamental improvements alongside a shift in market style, highlighting the importance of strategic positioning opportunities [10][16] - Coal prices have rapidly declined to around 692 CNY/ton, creating excess opportunities in thermal power generation [3][16] - The average coal price for the year to date (as of March 14) is 745 CNY/ton, down 174 CNY/ton compared to the same period last year [16] - The report emphasizes the significance of the recent cross-regional green electricity trading achievement, marking a milestone in the establishment of a unified national electricity market [16] - The National Development and Reform Commission is accelerating the construction of the electricity spot market, aiming to establish a comprehensive national electricity market system [16] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The electricity sector index rose by 1.86%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.27 percentage points [1][51] - The report notes a significant increase in inflow and outflow at the Three Gorges reservoir, with inflow up 54.55% and outflow up 12.94% year-on-year [16][31] Key Recommendations - Focus on undervalued thermal power stocks such as Huadian International, Anhui Energy, and Huaneng International, as well as leading thermal power renovation equipment manufacturers like Qingda Environmental Protection [3] - Emphasize investments in undervalued green electricity sectors, particularly in Hong Kong-listed green electricity and wind power operators [3] - Suggested stocks include New天绿色能源 (H), Longyuan Power (H), and China Nuclear Power [3] Market Performance - The report highlights that the electricity sector has adjusted significantly, suggesting a favorable environment for investment due to market style shifts and fundamental support [16] - The report provides a detailed analysis of stock performance, with specific recommendations for companies based on their earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the power and utilities sector, with specific recommendations for various companies based on their performance and market conditions [3][20][21]. Core Insights - The power sector outperformed the broader market, with the public utility sector index rising by 2.19% and the electricity sub-sector by 2.21% during the week ending March 14, 2025 [1][7]. - Significant investments are being made in renewable energy projects, particularly in the "Shagou Desert" area, with major state-owned enterprises planning substantial capacity expansions [2][23]. - The report emphasizes the acceleration of the electricity spot market construction and the establishment of a unified national electricity market system [2][28]. Summary by Sections Weekly Market Review - The public utility sector index closed at 2287.91 points, up 49.11 points, while the electricity sub-sector closed at 3042.41 points, up 65.87 points, indicating strong performance compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, which rose by 1.59% [1][7]. - Among the electricity sub-sectors, photovoltaic power generation saw a rise of 4.68%, followed by thermal services at 3.80%, and comprehensive energy services at 3.57% [14][19]. Investment Recommendations - For thermal power, the report recommends companies like Sheneng Co. and Funeng Co., while cautiously recommending Waneng Power and Huadian International [3][19]. - In the green energy sector, it suggests investing in Three Gorges Energy and keeping an eye on new energy companies like Xintian Green Energy [3][19]. - The report highlights the stable performance of large hydropower companies, recommending Changjiang Electric Power, and notes the growth potential in nuclear power with a recommendation for China Nuclear Power [3][19]. Industry Developments - The report discusses the ongoing construction of the "Shagou Desert" renewable energy base and the promotion of cross-regional energy dispatch projects to enhance energy supply security [2][22]. - It notes that Xinjiang's electricity export volume reached 126.4 billion kilowatt-hours in 2024, marking a continuous increase over five years [2][23]. - The establishment of a national carbon market and the first cross-regional green electricity transaction are highlighted as significant steps towards market integration [28][29].

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China emphasizes the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy and the possibility of reducing reserve requirements and interest rates based on economic conditions [2] - The expansion of the cross-border currency pool business pilot for multinational companies aims to facilitate the centralized use of cross-border funds [3] - The State Council will hold a press conference to discuss measures to boost consumption, involving multiple government departments [4] Group 2 - The Ministry of Commerce indicates ongoing communication with the U.S. regarding trade issues, advocating for dialogue and cooperation [5] - The Financial Regulatory Bureau stresses the importance of enhancing the urban real estate financing coordination mechanism and ensuring housing delivery [6] Group 3 - China has submitted a supplementary document to the WTO for consultations with Canada regarding additional tariffs on key products [7] - Various companies report on their operational status, with some indicating that new projects will not significantly impact performance [9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16][17][18] Group 4 - Financial performance updates reveal significant profit growth for some companies, such as Hongmian Co. with a projected net profit increase of 568%-608% [22] - Other companies report varying performance metrics, with some experiencing declines in sales or profits [24][25][26]

Monetary Policy - The central bank emphasizes the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, with plans to lower reserve requirements and interest rates at an appropriate time. New structural monetary policy tools will be created to support investment in technology innovation, promote consumption, and stabilize foreign trade [2][8] - The central bank conducted a 359 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation on March 13, with a net withdrawal of 686 billion yuan for the day, marking three consecutive days of net withdrawal [9] Market Performance - The A-share market experienced a decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.39% to 3358.73 points, and the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.99%. The technology sector saw significant pullbacks, while resource stocks performed well [11][12] - The Hang Seng Index closed down 0.58% at 23462.65 points, with technology and consumer stocks leading the declines. Southbound funds recorded a net purchase of 5.466 billion HKD [11][12] Corporate Developments - Jiangsu Wuzhong clarified that it holds exclusive agency rights for the AestheFill product until August 28, 2032, and has not received any information that would change this status [14] - Xpeng Motors held a spring launch event, introducing the new G6 and G9 models, priced between 176,800 to 198,800 yuan and 258,800 to 278,800 yuan respectively [14] - Weibo reported a net income of 457 million USD for Q4 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 1.48%, with net profit down 89.35% [14] Financial Sector - The scale of bank wealth management products reached 22.68 trillion yuan by the end of February, showing a growth of over 170 billion yuan from the previous month [19] - The Financial Regulatory Bureau emphasized the need to address risks in local small financial institutions through various measures, including capital supplementation and market exit [19] Real Estate Market - As of the end of January, the inventory of new residential properties in 50 key cities was 31,093 million square meters, a 1% decrease month-on-month and an 11% decrease year-on-year [22] Industry Insights - Shenzhen introduced a special long-term government bond funding support plan for trade-in programs, aiming to promote the replacement of approximately 160,000 vehicles and the sale of 3.2 million home appliances by the end of 2025 [24] - Omdia's latest research predicts that global IT budgets will reach 12 trillion USD by 2031, with 8.2 trillion USD allocated for IT investments [24]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Outperform the Market" for the electricity sector [6]. Core Insights - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has announced a target for renewable energy to account for 30% of computing power centers by 2026, emphasizing green and low-carbon computing. This is expected to increase the demand for renewable energy consumption in data centers, leading to sustained growth in green electricity and green certificate consumption [1][10]. - The report expresses optimism regarding the transformation of thermal power companies into renewable energy operators, recommending several companies such as Sheneng Co., Shanghai Electric, and Huaneng International [5][10]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - From February 14 to February 21, the electricity sector (882528.WI) declined by 0.12%, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which rose by 1.00%. Year-to-date, the electricity sector has fallen by 5.09%, while the CSI 300 index has increased by 1.11% [2][14]. - The sub-sectors of thermal power, hydropower, and gas power saw changes of -0.93%, -1.25%, and -1.07% respectively during the same period [14][22]. Coal Prices and Inventory - The spot price of thermal coal in Qinhuangdao decreased by 2.67% month-on-month and by 23.64% year-on-year, with a current price of 730 RMB/ton [3][31]. - Coal inventory at Qinhuangdao increased by 3.38% month-on-month and by 40.88% year-on-year, reaching 7.03 million tons as of February 21 [4][36]. Investment Recommendations - The report continues to favor companies transitioning from thermal power to renewable energy operations, including Wanan Electric, Sheneng Co., and Huaneng International. It also recommends stable companies like China Nuclear Power and Three Gorges Energy [5][10]. - Specific recommendations include Longjiang Electric, benefiting from the injection of the Wuhai Power Station, and Huaneng Hydropower, which is expected to benefit from improving provincial market electricity prices [5][10]. Key News and Announcements - Jiangsu Province is encouraging renewable energy hydrogen production projects to participate in the electricity market, aiming for innovative management models [48]. - The Chongqing electricity spot market is set to begin trial operations on March 11, 2025, with a focus on optimizing clearing results based on real-time market conditions [48].

证券研究报告| 行业周报 2025 年 03 月 02 日 电力 煤价加速下跌重视火电超额机会，2025 能源工作强调绿色保供 本周行情回顾：本周（2.24-2.28）上证指数报收 3320.90 点，下降 1.72%，沪深 300 指数报收 3890.05 点，下降 2.22%。中信电力及公用事业指数报收 2752.47 点，下降 1.03%，跑赢沪深 300 指数 1.19pct，位列 30 个中信一级板块涨跌幅榜 第 15 位。 本周行业观点： 投资建议：本周煤价快速下跌至 700 元/吨附近，重视火电超额机会。市场对于 电价预期已经相对充分，区域电价风险基本出清、煤价下跌或超预期，建议关注 重点火电标的：皖能电力、申能股份、华电国际、浙能电力。推荐布局低估绿电板 块，推荐优先关注低估港股绿电以及风电运营商，建议关注新天绿色能源（H）、 龙源电力（H）、中闽能源、福能股份。把握水核防御，水电板块，建议关注长江 电力、国投电力、川投能源、华能水电；核电板块，建议关注中国核电和中国广核。 风险提示：原料价格超预期上涨；项目建设进度不及预期；电力辅助服务市场、绿 证交易等政策不及预期。 增持（维持） 行业走势 ...

证券研究报告| 行业周报 2025 年 03 月 02 日 电力 煤价加速下跌重视火电超额机会，2025 能源工作强调绿色保供 本周行情回顾：本周（2.24-2.28）上证指数报收 3320.90 点，下降 1.72%，沪深 300 指数报收 3890.05 点，下降 2.22%。中信电力及公用事业指数报收 2752.47 点，下降 1.03%，跑赢沪深 300 指数 1.19pct，位列 30 个中信一级板块涨跌幅榜 第 15 位。 作者 分析师 张津铭 执业证书编号：S0680520070001 邮箱：zhangjinming@gszq.com 本周行业观点： 投资建议：本周煤价快速下跌至 700 元/吨附近，重视火电超额机会。市场对于 电价预期已经相对充分，区域电价风险基本出清、煤价下跌或超预期，建议关注 重点火电标的：皖能电力、申能股份、华电国际、浙能电力。推荐布局低估绿电板 块，推荐优先关注低估港股绿电以及风电运营商，建议关注新天绿色能源（H）、 龙源电力（H）、中闽能源、福能股份。把握水核防御，水电板块，建议关注长江 电力、国投电力、川投能源、华能水电；核电板块，建议关注中国核电和中国广核。 风险 ...

行 华福证券 公用事业 2025 年 03 月 02 日 业 研 究 行 业 公用事业 周报（02.24-02.28）：25 年能源工作承上启下， 加速铺开现货市场，八部委推进环卫车数智化 投资要点： 行情回顾：2月24日-2月28日，燃气板块上升1.32%，环保板块下降0.05%， 水务板块下降 0.95%，电力板块下降 1.37%，同期沪深 300 指数下降 2.22%。 定 期 报 告 2025 能源工作：推进能源绿色转型，助力"十四五"圆满收官&"十五五" 谋篇布局。2025 年 2 月 27 日，国家能源局印发《2025 年能源工作指导意见》。 其中提出了 2025 年能源工作的主要目标，包括：新增新能源发电装机规模 2 亿千瓦以上；非化石能源发电装机占比提高到 60%左右，非化石能源占能源消 费总量比重提高到 20%左右；新能源消纳和调控政策措施进一步完善；初步建 成全国统一电力市场体系，资源配置进一步优化。在积极稳妥推进能源绿色低 碳转型方面，提出：稳步推进重大水电工程建设，积极推动海上风电项目开发 建设；推动抽水蓄能装机容量达到 6200 万千瓦以上，核准一批条件成熟的沿 海核电项目。2025 ...

Revenue and Profit Performance - Revenue for the third quarter was RMB 3.82 billion, a decrease of 4.13% year-over-year[2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 584.84 million, down 16.60% compared to the same period last year[2] - Total revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 reached RMB 10,485,353,878.79, a slight increase from RMB 10,358,802,323.47 in the same period of 2023[12] - Net profit attributable to the parent company's shareholders increased to RMB 10,498,086,051.23 in 2024 from RMB 9,524,895,496.80 in 2023[11] - Net profit attributable to parent company shareholders reached 1.77 billion yuan, up 8.4% YoY from 1.64 billion yuan[14] - Sales revenue from goods and services reached 11.34 billion yuan, up 2.9% YoY from 11.02 billion yuan[16] Assets and Liabilities - Total assets as of the end of the reporting period were RMB 50.97 billion, an increase of 0.55% from the end of the previous year[3] - Total assets as of September 30, 2024, were RMB 50,967,046,212.19, compared to RMB 50,689,626,503.76 at the end of 2023[9] - Total liabilities decreased to RMB 21,254,227,868.84 in 2024 from RMB 22,737,017,242.39 in 2023[10] - Long-term loans increased to RMB 14,765,386,851.84 in 2024 from RMB 14,208,380,082.34 in 2023[10] - Accounts receivable rose to RMB 5,158,390,731.97 in 2024 from RMB 4,813,537,246.86 in 2023[9] - Cash and cash equivalents decreased to RMB 5,199,865,949.38 in 2024 from RMB 5,830,935,117.58 in 2023[8] - Total equity attributable to the parent company's shareholders increased to RMB 23,625,663,398.15 in 2024 from RMB 21,921,508,684.41 in 2023[11] - Capital reserves grew to RMB 6,979,434,933.13 in 2024 from RMB 6,304,481,651.09 in 2023[11] Shareholder Information - Shareholders' equity attributable to the parent company increased by 7.77% to RMB 23.63 billion compared to the end of the previous year[3] - The total number of ordinary shareholders at the end of the reporting period was 32,168[5] - The largest shareholder, Fujian Energy Group Co., Ltd., holds 57.55% of the company's shares[6] Earnings and Returns - Basic earnings per share for the quarter were RMB 0.24, a decrease of 14.52% year-over-year[2] - Weighted average return on equity (ROE) for the quarter was 2.66%, down 0.83 percentage points from the same period last year[3] - Basic earnings per share (EPS) stood at 0.70 yuan, up 7.7% YoY from 0.65 yuan[15] - Total comprehensive income amounted to 2.16 billion yuan, up 11.5% YoY from 1.93 billion yuan[15] Cash Flow and Investments - The company's operating cash flow for the first nine months of the year was RMB 3.24 billion, an increase of 18.71% year-over-year[2] - Cash flow from operating activities totaled 11.62 billion yuan, up 3.2% YoY from 11.25 billion yuan[16] - Operating cash flow increased to 3,243,344,897.67 RMB, up 18.7% compared to the previous year[17] - Investment cash outflow rose to 1,992,435,669.62 RMB, a 55.2% increase from the previous year[17] - Financing cash outflow decreased to 4,223,929,331.05 RMB, down 21.7% compared to the previous year[17] - Net cash flow from financing activities was -2,213,245,051.68 RMB, a 55.3% decrease from the previous year[17] - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period were 5,197,066,198.17 RMB, a 15.0% decrease from the beginning of the period[17] - Cash received from investments decreased to 308,454,916.62 RMB, down 34.9% compared to the previous year[17] - Cash paid for the acquisition of fixed assets, intangible assets, and other long-term assets increased to 1,725,307,669.62 RMB, up 75.5% from the previous year[17] Expenses and Costs - Total operating costs for the first three quarters of 2024 were RMB 8,983,863,556.64, down from RMB 9,241,713,263.35 in 2023[12] - R&D expenses increased to 108.12 million yuan, up 29.2% YoY from 83.70 million yuan[14] - Investment income decreased to 844.34 million yuan, down 6.6% YoY from 904.22 million yuan[14] - Interest expenses declined to 425.42 million yuan, down 12.8% YoY from 487.58 million yuan[14] - Income tax expenses surged to 308.82 million yuan, up 141.4% YoY from 127.91 million yuan[14] - Other income increased to 97.44 million yuan, up 60.6% YoY from 60.67 million yuan[14] - Payments for employee benefits increased to 527,883,145.12 RMB, up 4.1% compared to the previous year[17] - Tax payments increased to 806,010,622.05 RMB, a 29.9% increase from the previous year[17] Government Subsidies and Accounting - The company received RMB 11.27 million in government subsidies during the quarter, contributing to non-recurring gains[4] - The company did not apply new accounting standards or interpretations in 2024[18]