建筑装饰 2025 年 06 月 08 日 三峡水运新通道开工，关注大型水利工程事件催化 看好 ——申万宏源建筑周报（20250603-20250606） 联系人 唐猛 (8621)23297818× tangmeng@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 行 业 及 产 业 本期投资提示： 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 证券分析师 袁豪 A0230520120001 yuanhao@swsresearch.com 唐猛 A0230523080003 tangmeng@swsresearch.com 研究支持 唐猛 A0230523080003 tangmeng@swsresearch.com 行 证 券 研 究 报 告 相关研究 - ⚫ 一周板块回顾：板块表现方面，SW 建筑装饰指数+1.25%，沪深 300 指数+0.88%，相对收益为+0.37pct。周涨幅最大的三个子行业分别为 基建国企（+3.22%）、家装（+2.85%）、专业工程（+2.34%），对应 行业内三个公司：重庆建工（+26.12%）、名雕股份（+7 ...

据了解，4月23日，河北省邯港高速公路工程项目南运河特大桥左幅第19跨现浇段发生支架垮塌事故， 造成2人死亡、3人受伤。建设单位为河北高速公路集团有限公司和沧州交通发展（集团）有限责任公司 等投资的河北高速邯港高速公路有限公司，施工单位为河北高速集团工程技术有限公司和四川公路桥梁 建设集团有限公司联合控股的河北联蜀公路工程有限公司，设计单位为中交远洲交通科技集团有限公 司，监理单位为河北保神工程咨询有限公司。 督办要求地方交通运输主管部门依职责做好事故调查工作，尽快查清有关原因，依法依规对责任单位和 人员进行处罚，压实参建各方安全责任，确保行业安全生产形势稳定。 交通运输部对河北省邯港高速公路工程南运河特大桥"4·23"桥梁支架垮塌事故挂牌督办 智通财经6月8日电，近日，交通运输部根据《交通运输安全生产警示约谈和挂牌督办办法》，决定对河 北省邯港高速公路工程南运河特大桥"4·23"桥梁支架垮塌事故提级管控，并实施挂牌督办。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index (国企红利指数) has shown fluctuations, with a recent decline of 0.66% despite a monthly increase of 4.02% and a year-to-date decrease of 1.10% [1][2]. Index Performance - The China Securities State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index is composed of 100 listed companies selected for their high cash dividend yields and stable dividends, reflecting the overall performance of high-dividend securities among state-owned enterprises [2]. - The index was established on June 30, 2009, with a base value of 1000.0 points [2]. Index Holdings - The top ten weighted stocks in the index include: - COSCO Shipping Holdings (中远海控) - 2.82% - Jizhong Energy (冀中能源) - 2.14% - Chengdu Bank (成都银行) - 1.48% - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (渝农商行) - 1.46% - Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank (沪农商行) - 1.44% - Shanghai Bank (上海银行) - 1.37% - Industrial Bank (兴业银行) - 1.36% - Sichuan Road & Bridge (四川路桥) - 1.3% - Jiangsu Bank (江苏银行) - 1.3% - China Shenhua Energy (中国神华) - 1.26% [2]. Market Composition - The index's holdings are primarily listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange (83.24%) and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (16.76%) [2]. - The industry composition of the index includes: - Financials - 29.79% - Industrials - 25.98% - Energy - 18.99% - Materials - 8.79% - Communication Services - 5.23% - Consumer Discretionary - 3.71% - Real Estate - 3.61% - Utilities - 3.14% - Consumer Staples - 0.76% [2]. Sample Adjustment Criteria - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with criteria including: - Control by state-owned entities - Cash dividend yield greater than 0.5% over the past year - Average market capitalization and trading volume ranking within the top 90% of the China Securities Index [3]. - Adjustments are limited to a maximum of 20% unless specific conditions are met [3]. Related Funds - Public funds tracking the state-owned enterprise dividend index include: - Western Li De State-Owned Enterprise Dividend Index Enhanced C - Pengyang China Securities State-Owned Enterprise Dividend Link A & C - Huaan China Securities State-Owned Enterprise Dividend Link A & C - Pengyang China Securities State-Owned Enterprise Dividend ETF - Western Li De State-Owned Enterprise Dividend Index Enhanced A - Huaan China Securities State-Owned Enterprise Dividend ETF [4].

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index (000824) has experienced a decline of 0.66% as of June 5, 2025, indicating a mixed performance among its constituent stocks, with some stocks rising while others fell significantly [1][2]. Group 1: Index Performance - The China Securities State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index (000824) has decreased by 0.66% as of June 5, 2025 [1]. - The National Enterprise Dividend ETF (159515) has also seen a decline of 0.54%, with the latest price at 1.1 yuan [1]. - Notable gainers include Ninghu Expressway (600377) up by 1.75%, and notable losers include Caibai Co., Ltd. (605599) down by 6.15% [1]. Group 2: Market Analysis - Recent reports indicate that dividend assets have rapidly "shrunk," with the exception of the banking sector, which has shown lackluster performance [1]. - The proportion of stocks with a Sharpe Ratio higher than the index among dividend assets has reached an extreme historical low, suggesting a potential market adjustment followed by upward movement [1]. - Despite the rising valuation levels of dividend assets, there remains significant room for further increases when compared to historical peaks [1]. Group 3: Top Holdings - As of May 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index include COSCO Shipping Holdings (601919) and Jizhong Energy (000937), with the top ten accounting for 15.83% of the index [2].

Investment Rating - Investment rating: Positive (maintained) [5] Core Viewpoints - Structural market conditions are emerging, leading to a reassessment of the investment value in the construction sector. Since 2025, the construction sector has been in a phase of weak recovery, with cautious market sentiment and low valuation and trading activity. However, with ongoing macro policies supporting the market, accelerated special fund disbursement, and increasing differentiation among enterprises, structural investment opportunities are gradually appearing within the sector. It is recommended to select quality stocks with policy advantages, profit recovery capabilities, or growth elasticity based on three main lines: "regional direction," "relative return configuration," and "industrial extension and upgrading" [5][11][20]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Market Performance - The construction sector is experiencing a weak recovery, with fixed asset investments in the western and central regions growing by 6.2% and 5.5% year-on-year, respectively, significantly above the national average of 4.2% [6][12]. - Water conservancy investments reached 294.36 billion yuan in the first four months of 2025, indicating steady progress in infrastructure construction [13]. - The "Belt and Road" initiative continues to see trade recovery, with a total trade volume of 2.14 trillion USD in 2024, up 5.16% year-on-year [15][16]. Section 2: Stock Selection Strategies - Three main lines for stock selection are proposed: 1. Focus on regions with clear policy support, particularly in the central and western regions and water conservancy projects [6][12]. 2. Central state-owned enterprises (SOEs) are characterized by stable dividends and low valuations, making them attractive for defensive investment [7][16]. 3. Companies exploring diversified transformation paths, such as "construction+" models, are expected to create new growth curves in emerging fields like smart manufacturing and digital economy [20]. Section 3: Market Review - The construction sector index rose by 1.12% during the week, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.03% [31]. - Among the stocks, Hopu Co. saw a significant increase of 44.63%, while the overall market had 127 stocks in the construction sector rise [31].

证 券 研 究 报 告 战略引领，挖掘区域投资弹性 2025年建筑装饰中期投资策略 证券分析师：袁豪 A0230520120001 唐猛 A0230523080003 研究支持： 唐猛 A0230523080003 联系人： 唐猛 A0230523080003 2025.6.4 要点：战略引领，挖掘区域投资弹性 www.swsresearch.com 证券研究报告 2 ◼ 年初至今固定资产投资增速放缓，制造业、地产均呈现压力，总量偏弱背景下，基建投资保 持相对稳定，公用事业、水利形成支撑。 ◼ 区域投资有望随国家战略布局而获得弹性。2025年作为"十四五"收官、"十五五"谋划 之年，承上启下作用凸显，结合当前市场经济环境，中西部产业转移、西部大开发、城市更 新、低空经济、"一带一路"倡议等均有望在"十五五"期间迈入新的发展阶段。 ◼ 低估值破净央国企估值修复。建筑企业资产主要为应收账款类，长期现金流和资产可变现能 力遭遇质疑，市场估值折价，近两年国资委强调央企资产质量考核，聚焦价值创造能力，企 业端收入、利润承压背景下依旧保持分红政策稳定。展望未来，随着证监会市值管理办法、 公募新规等政策出台，同时企业经营受 ...

Core Viewpoint - Chengdu Xinzhu Road & Bridge Machinery Co., Ltd. has reported that its unremedied losses have reached one-third of its paid-in capital, necessitating a shareholder meeting for further deliberation [2][3]. Summary by Sections Situation Overview - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of -409.15 million yuan for the year 2024, with an accumulated unallocated profit of -1.52 billion yuan as of December 31, 2024 [2][3]. Main Reasons for Losses - The company's main business areas include rail transit, bridge components, and photovoltaic power generation. While the latter two have shown good profitability, the rail transit sector is capital-intensive and has entered a phase of stable development, leading to reduced economic benefits. The company has relied heavily on debt financing, resulting in high financial costs and an unreasonable capital structure. Additionally, the market expansion for its embedded medium-low speed maglev transportation system has not met expectations, further impacting overall profitability [2][3]. Response Measures - **Adjusting Industrial Structure**: The controlling shareholder plans to restructure assets by exchanging a 60% stake in Sichuan Shudao Clean Energy Group Co., Ltd. for shares and cash, while also selling stakes in other subsidiaries to improve asset quality and profitability [3][4]. - **Enhancing Operations**: The company aims to focus on high-quality tourism transportation projects, expand orders for urban rail transit projects, and enhance production efficiency through technological upgrades in its bridge components and photovoltaic sectors [4][5]. - **Cost Control and Efficiency**: The company will implement strict cost control measures, optimize financing structures, and enhance the management of funds to improve operational efficiency and reduce financial burdens [5].

证券研究报告 工业/基础材料 5 月建筑新订单/地产销售环比改善 华泰研究 2025 年 6 月 02 日│中国内地 行业周报（第二十二周） 本周观点：5 月地产销售环比改善，新产业投资高景气 (2.0) (1.3) (0.5) 0.3 1.0 05/23 05/25 05/27 05/29 (%) 建筑与工程 建材 沪深300 (2.00) (0.50) 1.00 2.50 4.00 陶瓷 建筑装修 建筑设计及服务 专用材料 其他建材 建筑施工 水泥 玻璃 (%) 一周内各行业涨跌图 (6.0) (3.3) (0.5) 2.3 5.0 房 地 产 服 务 环 保 航 天 军 工 医 药 健 康 通 信 农 林 牧 渔 计 算 机 交 通 运 输 传 媒 石 油 天 然 气 综 合 房 地 产 开 发 建 筑 与 工 程 商 业 贸 易 保 险 轻 工 制 造 社 会 服 务 证 券 银 行 公 用 事 业 机 械 设 备 建 材 煤 炭 教 育 和 人 力 资 源 纺 织 服 装 电 子 基 础 化 工 食 品 饮 料 家 用 电 器 有 色 金 属 钢 铁 电 力 设 备 与 新 能 源 汽 车 多 元 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction materials sector [1] Core Viewpoints - The construction materials sector is experiencing fluctuations at the bottom of the PMI index, with expectations for a gradual recovery in demand driven by government policies and market dynamics [4][16] - The report emphasizes the potential for recovery in the home decoration materials segment, particularly with the implementation of "old-for-new" subsidies and service consumption stimulus policies [4][16] Summary by Sections 1. Sector Overview - The construction materials sector has shown a slight increase of 0.18% in the past week, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index and the Wind All A Index, which decreased by -1.08% and -0.02% respectively [4] - The report highlights that the cement market price is currently at 367.8 RMB/ton, down by 3.0 RMB/ton from the previous week and down by 6.3 RMB/ton compared to the same period last year [20][21] 2. Cement Market - The average cement inventory ratio is reported at 65.7%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from the previous week, but down by 2.5 percentage points year-on-year [25] - The average daily cement shipment rate is 47.8%, up by 1.4 percentage points from the previous week but down by 5.3 percentage points compared to last year [25] - The report notes that the cement price is expected to stabilize or slightly rebound in the coming months due to supply-side adjustments and demand recovery [12][19] 3. Glass Fiber Market - The report indicates that the profitability of the glass fiber sector remains low, with many second and third-tier companies operating at breakeven or loss [13] - The demand for high-end products in wind power and thermoplastics is expected to continue growing, which may support profitability for leading companies [13] - The report recommends companies like China Jushi and suggests monitoring others such as Zhongcai Technology and Shandong Fiberglass [13] 4. Glass Market - The glass sector is facing weak terminal demand, with inventory levels remaining high and price pressures expected to increase as the market enters a seasonal downturn [14][15] - The report recommends Qibin Group as a leading player in the glass market, with a focus on its cost advantages and growth potential in photovoltaic glass [14] 5. Home Decoration Materials - The report highlights the positive impact of government policies aimed at boosting domestic demand and stabilizing the real estate market, which is expected to enhance the demand for home decoration materials [16] - Companies such as Beixin Building Materials and Arrow Home are recommended for their strong growth potential and market positioning [16]

Group 1: Metal and Mining Sector - Zijin Mining's copper production is expected to increase by 7% to 115,000 tons in 2025, with gold production rising by 16% to 85 tons[15] - The company's projected net profit for 2024 is 32.05 billion CNY, increasing to 42.06 billion CNY in 2025, and 49.36 billion CNY in 2026, with a PE ratio decreasing from 14.39 to 9.34[13] Group 2: Construction Materials Sector - China National Materials Technology's net profit is forecasted to grow from 0.89 billion CNY in 2024 to 2.10 billion CNY in 2026, with a significant increase in high-end product capacity[20] - Keda Manufacturing's overseas revenue is projected to rise from 20 billion CNY in 2017 to 80 billion CNY in 2024, with overseas revenue share increasing from 36% to 64%[30] Group 3: Chemical Sector - Yara International's net profit is expected to reach 0.2 billion CNY in 2024, 3.0 billion CNY in 2025, and 7.2 billion CNY in 2026, driven by the expansion of special glass fiber production[25] - Ba Tian Co. is projected to maintain a strong profit margin due to its diverse fertilizer product offerings, with a production capacity of 200,000 tons of phosphate rock annually[79] Group 4: Aviation Sector - Juneyao Airlines is expected to achieve a net profit of 1.05 billion CNY in 2024, increasing to 2.0 billion CNY in 2025, with a PE ratio of 27.2 in 2024 and dropping to 11.4 in 2026[70] - The airline's operational efficiency is highlighted by its leading cost control, with a significant reduction in financial expenses anticipated in the coming years[70]