2020-2025年1-8月中国平板玻璃产量统计图 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 上市企业：旗滨集团（601636）,南玻Ａ（000012）,金晶科技（600586）,凯盛新能（600876）,耀皮玻璃 （600819）,山东药玻（600529）,亚玛顿（002623）,福耀玻璃（600660） 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2025-2031年中国玻璃制品行业市场供需态势及前景战略研判报告》 根据国家统计局数据显示：2025年8月中国平板玻璃产量为8267万重量箱，同比下降2%；2025年1-8月 中国平板玻璃累计产量为64818.2万重量箱，累计下降4.5%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and five other departments have jointly released the "Construction Materials Industry Stabilization Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)", which outlines five key initiatives to promote industry growth and transformation [1][2]. Group 1: Key Initiatives - The plan emphasizes strengthening industry management to promote survival of the fittest [1][2]. - It calls for enhanced technological innovation in the industry to improve effective supply capacity [1][2]. - The plan aims to expand effective investment to facilitate industry transformation and upgrading [1][2]. - It seeks to stimulate consumer demand to unleash market consumption potential [1][2]. - The initiative includes deepening open cooperation to enhance international development levels [1][2]. Group 2: Industry Specifics - Cement and glass production will be strictly controlled, with a ban on new cement clinker and flat glass capacity, and existing projects must develop capacity replacement plans [2]. - The cement industry is expected to see a decline in capacity under the anti-overproduction policy, with utilization rates significantly improving [3]. - The glass industry is facing a continuous decline in demand due to real estate impacts, but recent policy-driven price increases are leading to inventory replenishment [3]. - The fiberglass sector is experiencing growth driven by demand from the AI industry, with expectations for a significant increase in both volume and price [3]. - The consumer building materials sector has reached a profitability bottom, with strong price increase demands supported by anti-overproduction policies [4]. Group 3: Market Performance - In the past week (September 22-28), the construction materials sector index decreased by 2.11%, ranking 23rd among 31 sub-industry indices [5].

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The report highlights significant trends in various sectors, including liquidity, infrastructure, real estate, industrial products, and export chains, indicating a mixed economic outlook with some sectors showing resilience while others face challenges. Group 1: Liquidity - The BCI small and medium enterprise financing environment index for August 2025 is at 46.37, up by 0.61% month-on-month [4] - The M1 and M2 growth rate difference in August 2025 is -2.8 percentage points, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month [4] - The current price of London gold is at $3759 per ounce [4] Group 2: Infrastructure and Real Estate Chain - Recent price changes include rebar down by 1.22%, cement price index up by 2.51%, rubber up by 0.34%, coking coal up by 2.78%, and iron ore up by 0.25% [5] - National capacity utilization rates for blast furnaces, cement, asphalt, and all-steel tires have changed by +0.51 percentage points, -1.00 percentage points, +7.3 percentage points, and +0.06 percentage points respectively [5] - The average daily crude steel output of key enterprises in mid-September decreased by 0.67% month-on-month [5] Group 3: Real Estate Completion Chain - The prices of titanium dioxide and glass have increased by 0.15% and remained unchanged respectively, with glass profit margins at -58 yuan/ton and titanium dioxide at -1163 yuan/ton [6] - The operating rate for flat glass this week is at 76.01% [6] Group 4: Industrial Products Chain - Major commodity price changes include cold-rolled steel down by 0.25%, copper up by 3.29%, and aluminum down by 0.05%, with corresponding profit margins showing mixed results [7] - The national operating rate for semi-steel tires is at 73.58%, down by 0.08 percentage points [7] Group 5: Subcategories - The price of electrolytic copper has reached a new high since June at 82680 yuan/ton, up by 3.29% [8] - The price of electrolytic aluminum is at 20830 yuan/ton, with estimated profits of 3665 yuan/ton, up by 2.98% [8] - The price of tungsten concentrate is at 269000 yuan/ton, down by 2.00% [8] Group 6: Price Comparison Relationships - The price ratio of London spot gold to silver has reached a new low for the year at 84 times [9] - The price ratio of rebar to iron ore is at 4.00, with the price difference between hot-rolled and rebar steel at 150 yuan/ton [9] - The price difference between small rebar (used in real estate) and large rebar (used in infrastructure) is 130 yuan/ton, up by 18.18% from last week [9] Group 7: Export Chain - The new export orders PMI for China in August 2025 is at 47.20%, up by 0.1 percentage points [10] - The CCFI comprehensive index for container shipping rates is at 1087.41 points, down by 2.93% [10] - The capacity utilization rate for crude steel in the U.S. is at 77.40%, down by 0.50 percentage points [10] Group 8: Valuation Percentiles - The CSI 300 index has increased by 1.07%, with the best-performing cyclical sector being industrial metals at +5.15% [11] - The PB ratio of ordinary steel and industrial metals relative to the CSI 300 PB is at 33.74% and 88.92% respectively [11] - The current PB ratio for the ordinary steel sector is 0.51, with the highest value since 2013 being 0.82 [11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Neutral" rating for both the real estate and building materials sectors [2][4]. Core Insights - The real estate market is experiencing a decline, with new residential sales area down 4.7% and sales value down 7.3% year-on-year for the first eight months of 2025. The decline in sales has accelerated, indicating a weakening fundamental outlook [4][25]. - The building materials sector is expected to see improved supply-demand dynamics due to government policies aimed at stabilizing growth, including restrictions on new capacity for cement and flat glass [4][47]. Summary by Sections Real Estate Sector - The real estate sector has seen a significant drop in sales, with August figures showing a year-on-year decrease of 10.98% in sales area and 14.76% in sales value. Prices in first, second, and third-tier cities have also declined [4][25]. - Policy adjustments in Shanghai aim to stimulate the market by exempting certain homebuyers from property tax, indicating a trend towards loosening regulations [4][23]. - Recommended companies for investment include Poly Developments (600048), Binjiang Group (002244), and China Merchants Shekou (001979) due to their stable operations and focus on first and second-tier cities [4][25]. Building Materials Sector - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has issued a "Stabilization Growth Work Plan" for the building materials industry, prohibiting new capacity for cement and flat glass, which is expected to alleviate supply-demand conflicts [4][47]. - Cement demand is anticipated to recover due to urban renewal projects and infrastructure construction, with companies like Conch Cement (600585), Taipai Group (002233), and Huaxin Cement (600801) being highlighted for their investment potential [4][47]. - The glass industry is currently facing challenges, but opportunities may arise in the fiberglass sector due to growth in emerging fields such as wind power and electric vehicles, with China Jushi (600176) recommended for investment [4][49].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the cement and glass industries, indicating a potential for recovery and profitability improvement in the coming years [2][3]. Core Insights - The newly released "Building Materials Industry Stabilization and Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)" emphasizes enhancing profitability as a primary goal, shifting focus from revenue growth to profit quality [2]. - Key initiatives include promoting technological innovation, industry transformation, demand expansion, and open cooperation, with a focus on stabilizing growth and addressing internal competition [2]. - Cement production capacity is expected to significantly shrink, with a target to reduce actual annual production capacity from 2.2 billion tons to below 1.8 billion tons by the end of 2025, leading to an increase in capacity utilization rates by over 10% [2][3]. - The glass industry will focus on phasing out outdated production capacity, particularly in flat glass, to improve profitability amid declining demand due to reduced real estate completions [2][3]. Summary by Sections Policy Changes - The new plan introduces stricter capacity control measures for cement and glass industries, including prohibiting new capacity and requiring capacity replacement plans for existing projects [4][5]. - The emphasis has shifted from merely maintaining stable growth to enhancing profitability and technological capabilities within the industry [3]. Industry Performance - The report forecasts that the cement industry will see a capacity reduction of over 40 million tons, with a significant portion of this reduction expected to occur in the fourth quarter of 2024 [2][6]. - The glass sector is anticipated to undergo further improvements in profitability as outdated and high-pollution production lines are phased out [2]. Investment Opportunities - The report highlights key companies in the cement sector, such as Conch Cement, Huaxin Cement, and Tianshan Cement, as potential investment opportunities due to their competitive advantages [2]. - In the glass industry, companies like Xinyi Glass and China Southern Glass are noted for their potential to benefit from the elimination of outdated capacity [2]. - The report also identifies opportunities in advanced materials, particularly in fiberglass composites and low-dielectric fiberglass, with companies like China Jushi and Zhongcai Technology being of interest [2].

9月24日，工业和信息化部会同自然资源部、生态环境部、住房城乡建设部、水利部、农业农村部等六 部门发布《建材行业稳增长工作方案（2025—2026年）》（以下简称《方案》）。 《方案》提出，注重供需两端协同发力，以严禁新增产能和开展风险预警控总量，以传统建筑材料升级 和先进无机非金属材料发展优供给，以数字化、绿色化改造促转型，以挖掘传统消费潜力和培育新兴应 用扩需求，加快培育新质生产力，进一步提高产业链韧性和安全水平，实现质的有效提升和量的合理增 长。 强化行业管理 此次最受市场关注的是控产能相关工作。《方案》提出，强化行业管理，促进优胜劣汰。 严格水泥玻璃产能调控。严禁新增水泥熟料、平板玻璃产能，新建改建项目须制定产能置换方案。上述 表述也被放在了相关工作举措的首位。 原标题：六部门推动建材行业稳增长 严格水泥玻璃产能调控 中泰证券研究所政策团队首席分析师杨畅对《证券日报》记者表示，从近期的数据看，全国水泥价格指 数整体处于2019年以来的低位，考虑到国家统计局公布的房地产开发投资和基础设施建设投资，均呈现 降速运行，导致水泥与玻璃的需求端整体偏弱运行，在此背景下，《方案》从供给端入手，通过控制新 增供给的 ...

晨报 成材 成材：关注周度基本面变化 钢价震荡运行 整理 投资咨询业务资格： 负责人：赵 毅 从业资格号：F3059924 投资咨询号：Z0002978 电话：010-62688526 成 材：武秋婷 从业资格号：F3078638 投资咨询号：Z0018248 电话：010-62688555 从业资格号：F3038114 投资咨询号：Z0014834 电话：010-62688541 原材料： 冯艳成 从业资格号：F3059529 投资咨询号：Z0018932 电话：010-62688516 有色金属：于梦雪 从业资格号：F03127144 投资咨询号：Z0020161 电话：021-20857653 成文时间： 2025 年 9 月 25 日 逻辑：工信部等多部门发布关于印发《建材行业稳增长工作方案（2025 —2026 年）》的通知，方案提出，严格水泥玻璃产能调控。严禁新增水 泥熟料、平板玻璃产能，新建改建项目须制定产能置换方案。中钢协数据 显示，9 月中旬，重点统计钢铁企业共生产粗钢 2073 万吨，平均日产 207.3 万吨，环比下降 0.6%；钢材库存量 1529 万吨，环比上一旬减少 53 万吨， ...

国金证券分析师曾在研报中表示，国内水泥熟料产能超产比例在14%以上，且水泥企业开关窑成本低， 自然出清速度较慢，如果行业完成实际产能与备案产能的统一，供给端将迎来实质性减量。相对短期错 峰，落后无效产能的有序退出更加关键。 9月24日，工业和信息化部会同自然资源部、生态环境部、住房城乡建设部、水利部、农业农村部等六 部门发布《建材行业稳增长工作方案（2025—2026年）》（以下简称《方案》）。 《方案》提出，注重供需两端协同发力，以严禁新增产能和开展风险预警控总量，以传统建筑材料升级 和先进无机非金属材料发展优供给，以数字化、绿色化改造促转型，以挖掘传统消费潜力和培育新兴应 用扩需求，加快培育新质生产力，进一步提高产业链韧性和安全水平，实现质的有效提升和量的合理增 长。 强化行业管理 此次最受市场关注的是控产能相关工作。《方案》提出，强化行业管理，促进优胜劣汰。 严格水泥玻璃产能调控。严禁新增水泥熟料、平板玻璃产能，新建改建项目须制定产能置换方案。上述 表述也被放在了相关工作举措的首位。 中泰证券研究所政策团队首席分析师杨畅对《证券日报》记者表示，从近期的数据看，全国水泥价格指 数整体处于2019年以来的低 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, along with five other departments, has issued a "Work Plan for Stable Growth in the Building Materials Industry (2025-2026)", aiming for green building materials revenue to exceed 300 billion yuan by 2026 [1][2]. Group 1: Policy Measures - The plan prohibits the addition of new cement clinker and flat glass production capacity, requiring new and renovated projects to develop capacity replacement plans [1]. - It emphasizes strengthening industry management and promoting the unification of actual and registered production capacities [1]. - The plan includes enhancing technological innovation in the industry, focusing on advanced inorganic non-metallic materials and fostering unique resource industries [1][2]. Group 2: Investment and Demand Expansion - The initiative aims to expand effective investment by accelerating digital and green transformations, and developing key industry standards [1][2]. - It promotes the demand for green building materials through government procurement policies and rural outreach activities [2]. - The plan encourages the establishment of cooperation mechanisms between upstream and downstream enterprises in the inorganic non-metallic materials sector [2]. Group 3: Collaborative Governance and Market Integration - The plan establishes a multi-departmental collaborative governance framework to address supply-demand imbalances in the industry [2]. - It aims to guide resource allocation away from traditional homogeneous competition towards green building materials and advanced non-metallic materials [2][3]. - The initiative seeks to activate domestic demand through measures like rural outreach and alignment with quality housing construction [2]. Group 4: Implementation and Support - Local governments are required to tailor the plan to their specific circumstances, ensuring stable growth in the building materials sector [3]. - Key enterprises are encouraged to take a leading role in the supply chain and promote collaborative development across industries [3]. - The plan outlines the use of existing and new policies to support equipment upgrades and technological innovations in the industry [3].

◎记者 李雁争 近日，工业和信息化部会同自然资源部、生态环境部、住房城乡建设部、水利部、农业农村部等五部门 联合印发《建材行业稳增长工作方案（2025—2026年）》（简称《工作方案》），旨在推动建材行业平 稳运行与结构优化升级，加快行业高质量发展步伐。 作为国民经济的重要基础产业与工业经济稳增长的关键力量，建材行业当前正面临市场需求不足、结构 性矛盾突出的挑战，稳增长任务艰巨，而《工作方案》的出台为行业发展明确了方向和路径。 《工作方案》设定了清晰的阶段性目标，即2025年至2026年建材行业将恢复向好，盈利水平有效提升， 产业科技创新能力不断增强，绿色建材、先进无机非金属材料产业规模持续增长，其中，2026年绿色建 材营业收入超过3000亿元，绿色低碳和数字化发展水平明显提高。 为达成上述目标，《工作方案》首先从强化行业管理入手，严禁新增水泥熟料、平板玻璃产能，新建改 建项目须制定产能置换方案，促进水泥实际产能与备案产能统一，加快光伏压延玻璃产能风险预警由项 目管理向规划引导转变；制修订水泥、平板玻璃等规范条件，推进规范企业分级分类管理。 在产业科技创新层面，《工作方案》聚焦提升供给能力，提出要壮大先进无 ...