报告透过逆向推算模型估计，2026年四大行将有20.37万亿元长期存款到期，较2025年的18.34万亿元增 加2.03万亿元。若以四大行约占全国存款总量40%的比例推算，2026年全国长期定期存款到期规模将达 50.93万亿元，较2025年增加5.08万亿元。 2026年将开启银行业史上最大的负债再定价窗口，报告强调，这不仅能减缓净息差下滑速度，也为银行 盈利能力恢复创造条件。尽管面临息差压力，报告认为银行业基本面在2026年将保持稳健。中银国际覆 盖的商业银行，其2025年归母净利润预计实现同比小幅增长，2026年增速有望提升至约2%。 中银国际发布研报称，维持对内银板块H股"增持"评级，并列出具体推荐名单，首选工商银行 （601398）(01398)，认为其估值在同业中相对吸引; 同时建议买入农业银行（601288）(01288)、招商银 行（600036）(03968)、建设银行（601939）(00939)、邮储银行（601658）(01658)及中国光大银行 （601818）(06818)。 中银国际预测，随着超过50万亿元人民币(下同)的长期定期存款将于2026年集中到期，银行业负债成本 有望迎 ...

报告透过逆向推算模型估计，2026年四大行将有20.37万亿元长期存款到期，较2025年的18.34万亿元增 加2.03万亿元。若以四大行约占全国存款总量40%的比例推算，2026年全国长期定期存款到期规模将达 50.93万亿元，较2025年增加5.08万亿元。 2026年将开启银行业史上最大的负债再定价窗口，报告强调，这不仅能减缓净息差下滑速度，也为银行 盈利能力恢复创造条件。尽管面临息差压力，报告认为银行业基本面在2026年将保持稳健。中银国际覆 盖的商业银行，其2025年归母净利润预计实现同比小幅增长，2026年增速有望提升至约2%。 中银国际预测，随着超过50万亿元人民币(下同)的长期定期存款将于2026年集中到期，银行业负债成本 有望迎来重新定价窗口，这将显著缓解近年困扰行业的净息差下行压力。 根据中国人民银行数据，截至2025年6月末，内地人民币存款总额已达320.17万亿元。其中四大国有商 业银行一至五年期存款占比，从2024年末的24.5%高位回落至23.5%，显示存款结构出现初步改善迹 象。 智通财经APP获悉，中银国际发布研报称，维持对内银板块H股"增持"评级，并列出具体推荐名单，首 选工 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market continues to show a fluctuating and differentiated pattern, with total trading volume reaching 3.28 trillion yuan, marking the second consecutive trading day above 3 trillion yuan [1] - The precious metals sector has seen a surge due to multiple favorable factors, with international gold prices hitting a historical high, as both New York and London gold prices surpassed $5,100 per ounce [1] - Domestic gold jewelry prices have also reached historical highs, approaching 1,580 yuan per gram [1] Group 2 - Silver is experiencing accelerated growth due to its unique physical properties, becoming an essential raw material in solar photovoltaic, automotive and electric vehicles, data centers, and artificial intelligence sectors [1] - There has been a notable occurrence of large sell orders in core heavyweight stocks during the closing auction phase, with Zijin Mining seeing sell orders exceeding 4 billion yuan, and other companies like China Ping An and Jiangxi Copper also experiencing significant sell pressures [1] - This pattern of large sell orders in heavyweight stocks has been observed previously, indicating a trend in the financial, resource, and consumer sectors during periods of high market activity [2] Group 3 - Multiple brokerage reports suggest that despite a slowing market rhythm, the upward momentum in the A-share market is expected to continue, particularly as the annual performance forecasts of listed companies begin to be disclosed [2] - The focus on performance metrics is anticipated to become more pronounced with the simultaneous disclosure of financial results from North American tech giants [2]

Core Insights - The Lujiazui Financial Salon series will kick off in 2026, reflecting on the achievements of 2025 and focusing on the theme "Golden Horse Welcomes Spring: Financial Empowerment to Ignite New Spring Consumption in Pudong" [2] - The event will take place on January 28 in Shanghai Pudong, featuring a summary video of the 2025 salon activities and a keynote speech by Lian Ping, Chairman of the China Chief Economist Forum [2] - The salon aims to explore key issues such as innovation in consumer financial products and the synergy between finance and consumption ecosystems [2] Event Details - The Lujiazui Financial Salon has hosted 40 events in the past year, gathering insights from over 200 guests, establishing a professional position and brand recognition in the financial industry [2] - The event will include a dialogue session featuring industry experts discussing the balance between consumption stimulation and risk prevention, as well as the use of digital RMB and AI risk control technologies [3] - Notable speakers include Hu Haozhong, Executive Vice President of China UnionPay, and Wang Lijuan, Vice President of Ant Group, who will share their extensive experience in financial services and digital payment [3][4] Organizational Support - The Lujiazui Financial Salon is guided by the Shanghai Municipal Financial Office and the Pudong New Area Government, with media support from Yicai and Zhitong Finance [4] - The series aims to create a regular communication platform that complements the "Lujiazui Forum," focusing on financial reform and empowering high-quality economic development in Pudong [4]

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai 180 ETF Index Fund (530280) has shown a positive performance with a recent increase of 0.96%, reflecting a stable market trend and investor interest in the underlying assets [1]. Performance Summary - As of January 26, 2026, the Shanghai 180 Index (000010) increased by 0.22%, with notable gains from stocks such as Zijin Mining (up 10.00%) and China National Offshore Oil Corporation (up 6.66%) [1]. - The Shanghai 180 ETF Index Fund has experienced a cumulative increase of 0.24% over the past week [1]. - The fund's year-to-date maximum drawdown is 1.30%, with a relative benchmark drawdown of 0.06% [3]. Liquidity and Trading Activity - The trading volume for the Shanghai 180 ETF Index Fund was 6.07 thousand yuan, with a turnover rate of 0.1% [1]. - The average daily trading volume over the past year was 177.38 thousand yuan [1]. Risk and Return Metrics - The fund has a Sharpe ratio of 2.12 since its inception, indicating a favorable risk-adjusted return [2]. - The tracking error over the past three months is 0.022%, demonstrating the fund's close alignment with the Shanghai 180 Index [5]. Fee Structure - The management fee for the Shanghai 180 ETF Index Fund is 0.15%, while the custody fee is 0.05% [4]. Top Holdings - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the Shanghai 180 Index account for 25.29% of the index, with notable companies including Kweichow Moutai and Ping An Insurance [5]. - The top ten stocks and their respective weightings are as follows: - Kweichow Moutai: 4.22% - Zijin Mining: 4.03% - Ping An Insurance: 2.87% - Hengrui Medicine: 2.46% - WuXi AppTec: 2.08% - China Merchants Bank: 2.04% - Cambricon Technologies: 1.97% - Yangtze Power: 1.88% - SMIC: 1.80% - Industrial Fulian: 1.79% [5].

流动性方面，大湾区ETF盘中换手0.16%，成交14.21万元。拉长时间看，截至1月26日，大湾区ETF近1月日均成交92.05万元。 截至2026年1月23日，大湾区ETF近1年夏普比率为1.76。 回撤方面，截至2026年1月26日，大湾区ETF今年以来最大回撤1.84%，相对基准回撤0.02%。 截至2026年1月26日 15:00，中证粤港澳大湾区发展主题指数(931000)下跌1.22%。成分股方面涨跌互现，明阳智能领涨10.02%，沃尔核材上涨6.04%，越秀资 本上涨5.03%；信维通信领跌10.05%，海格通信下跌10.02%，广东宏大下跌8.37%。大湾区ETF(512970)多空胶着，最新报价1.56元。拉长时间看，截至2026 年1月26日，大湾区ETF本月以来累计上涨1.17%。（以上所列股票仅为指数成份股，无特定推荐之意） | 股票代码 | 股票简称 | 涨跌幅 | 权重 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601318 | 中国平安 | 0.38% | 8.31% | | 002475 | 立讯精密 | -2.54% | 6.59% | | 002594 | ...

Group 1 - The article presents the top 20 stocks in the S&P China A-Share Dividend Opportunity Index (CSPSADRP) based on their daily and year-to-date performance as of January 26, 2026 [1][6] - China Gold (600916.SH) leads with a daily increase of 9.98% and a year-to-date increase of 24.42%, with a dividend yield of 3.80% [1][6] - Nanshan Aluminum (600219.SH) follows with a daily rise of 8.26% and a year-to-date rise of 36.43%, offering a dividend yield of 5.75% [1][6] Group 2 - Other notable performers include Tian Guo Hai Tan (600938.SH) with a daily increase of 6.66% and a year-to-date increase of 10.97%, and Cai Zi Co., Ltd. (605599.SH) with a daily rise of 6.26% and a year-to-date rise of 26.57% [1][6] - The index also features China Petroleum (601857.SH) with a slight daily increase of 5.70% but a year-to-date decline of 0.19%, and China Shenhua (601088.SH) with a daily rise of 4.13% and a year-to-date increase of 2.84% [1][6] - The data indicates a mix of performance among the top 20 stocks, with some showing significant year-to-date gains while others are experiencing declines [1][6]

来源：光大证券微资讯 热点聚焦 1、隔夜，金、银在刷新历史高点后大幅回调。1月27日7:01，现货白银盘初涨1%，报104.7美元/盎司 （此前日内涨幅一度高达14%，最高触及117美元/盎司）。现货黄金涨0.3%，报5025美元/盎司（此前曾 上涨2.5%，最高报约5110美元/盎司）。 2、白宫宣布，因韩国国会迟迟未批准美韩贸易协议，他已决定将对韩国汽车、木材、制药产品以及其 他"对等关税"项目的税率从15%上调至25%。 3、隔夜，美股三大指数小幅收涨。纳斯达克中国金龙指数收跌0.62%。此前，美国稀土公司宣布，获 得美国政府16亿美元的资金支持，用于加速建设国内重稀土价值链。美股盘前，美国稀土公司股价一度 暴涨62%，随后涨幅收窄。英伟达与CoreWeave公司宣布扩大长期的互补合作关系，使CoreWeave能加 速到2030年建设超过5吉瓦的AI工厂，CoreWeave盘前股价一度拉涨9%。 4、哈萨克斯坦供应恢复抵消了美国暴风雪的影响，国际油价小幅下跌。而持续的严寒天气导致美国天 然气价格周一大幅上涨，主力期货合约一度突破7美元/百万英热，创下自2022年以来新高，最高涨幅达 39%，随后回落至约 ...

银华多利宝货币市场基金B类基金份额恢复部分 代销机构的机构投资者大额申购（含定期定额投资及转换转入）业务的公告 ■ 注：1、银华基金管理股份有限公司决定2026年1月27日起（含2026年1月27日）恢复招商银行股份有限 公司的机构投资者办理银华多利宝货币市场基金B类基金份额10万元以上的大额申购（含定期定额投资 及转换转入）业务，敬请投资者留意。 2、在恢复招商银行股份有限公司的机构投资者正常办理银华多利宝货币市场基金B类基金份额10万元 以上的大额申购（含定期定额投资及转换转入）业务期间，机构投资者可分别从兴业银行股份有限公 司、中国邮政储蓄银行股份有限公司、中信银行股份有限公司、平安银行股份有限公司、中国民生银行 股份有限公司、宁波银行股份有限公司、中国建设银行股份有限公司、江苏银行股份有限公司、通华财 富(上海)基金销售有限公司、蚂蚁（杭州）基金销售有限公司、上海攀赢基金销售有限公司、浙江同花 顺基金销售有限公司和其他代销机构分别办理不超过10万元的申购（含定期定额投资及转换转入）业 务。如单日每个基金账户的申购申请、转换转入、定期定额投资单笔或累计金额超过以上情况，本基金 管理人有权拒绝。针对单笔申 ...

资产质量进一步改善 规模有序扩张 已披露2025年业绩快报的8家银行（4家股份行、3家城商行、1家农商行）均实现归母净利润同比正增 长，其中7家银行实现营业收入与归母净利润"双增"。 城商行业绩增长势头较为强劲。2025年，杭州银行以12.05%的归母净利润同比增速位居前列；宁波银 行实现归母净利润293.33亿元，同比增长8.13%；南京银行实现归母净利润218.07亿元，同比增长 8.08%。股份行中，2025年，浦发银行实现归母净利润500.17亿元，同比增长10.52%，增速较为突出； 中信银行、招商银行、兴业银行在面临多重挑战的经营环境下，归母净利润分别实现了2.98%、 1.21%、0.34%的增长。 在盈利向好的同时，8家银行资产规模保持稳健有序扩张。股份行资产规模进一步增长，截至2025年 末，招商银行总资产突破13万亿元，兴业银行总资产站上11万亿元，中信银行与浦发银行也双双迈入10 万亿元总资产行列。城农商行的资产扩张速度更为明显，截至2025年末，南京银行、宁波银行总资产较 上年末分别增长16.63%、16.11%，杭州银行也实现了11.96%的资产增长。 值得注意的是，已披露业绩快报的 ...