Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is moving towards a "deeper water zone" as companies are ending patent disputes, signaling a shift away from internal competition and towards healthier industry practices [1][5]. Group 1: Patent Agreements - Longi Green Energy and Jinko Solar ended all global patent disputes in September 2022, marking a significant shift in the industry [5]. - Aiko Solar and TCL Zhonghuan recently signed a patent licensing agreement, resolving over two years of patent disputes, with a total licensing fee of 1.65 billion yuan, to be paid in installments from 2026 to 2030 [3][4]. - The licensing agreement allows Aiko Solar access to approximately 1,000 Maxeon patents, with no restrictions on production volumes, thus avoiding lengthy legal processes and focusing on development and innovation [3][4]. Group 2: Industry Implications - The resolution of patent disputes is expected to eliminate uncertainties for overseas clients, leading to price increases for Aiko Solar's products and the introduction of a 0.02 yuan per watt patent fee for downstream customers [4]. - TCL Zhonghuan views the agreement as a means to collaborate with industry partners to build a healthy competitive environment and enhance its market position in the BC battery component sector [4]. - The trend of major companies ending patent disputes is seen as a positive response to the "anti-involution" movement, promoting a more orderly and healthy development of the photovoltaic industry [5]. Group 3: Regulatory Environment - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology emphasizes that 2026 will be a critical year for addressing internal competition in the photovoltaic industry, focusing on strengthening intellectual property protection and curbing infringement [6]. - The ministry plans to implement measures such as capacity regulation, quality supervision, and price enforcement to achieve a dynamic balance of supply and demand in the industry [6].

Group 1: Global AIDC and CAPEX Trends - The global demand for intelligent computing (AIDC) is experiencing significant growth, with major cloud companies increasing their capital expenditures (CAPEX). The top three global cloud providers are expected to cumulatively spend nearly $300 billion in CAPEX for the fiscal year 2025. Domestic companies in China are also accelerating their CAPEX, with Tencent's forecast raised from 300 billion yuan to 350 billion yuan for the fiscal years 2025-2027, and Alibaba's forecast increased to 460 billion yuan for the same period [1][2] Group 2: High Voltage Direct Current (HVDC) Technology - High Voltage Direct Current (HVDC) is emerging as a superior solution for powering next-generation data centers. The shift towards high-density and high-energy consumption data centers is driving the upgrade of power distribution systems. The expected market size for global HVDC is projected to reach 2.45 billion yuan, 14.49 billion yuan, and 30.26 billion yuan for the years 2025-2027 respectively [2][3] Group 3: Photovoltaic Industry Developments - The photovoltaic (PV) industry is transitioning towards high-quality development, with domestic PV installations reaching a record high in 2025. The cumulative new PV installations in China from January to November 2025 amounted to 274.89 GW, a year-on-year increase of 33.2%. However, global installation growth is expected to slow down after 2026, with projections indicating a decrease of 6 GW in global installations from 655 GW in 2025 to 649 GW in 2026 [3][4] Group 4: Industry Price Trends and Supply Chain Adjustments - The PV industry is witnessing a price turning point, with new technologies still commanding a premium. After a period of price fluctuations, the prices of PV products began to stabilize in late 2025. The price of BC components is currently at 0.76 yuan/W, showing a premium over TOPCon technology. The upstream segment is expected to benefit first, with significant profit recovery potential in the mid and downstream segments [4][5] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The focus is on recommending investments in the AIDC sector, particularly in HVDC, SST, and energy storage solutions. Key recommended companies include Zhongheng Electric and Siyuan Electric, with additional attention on Keda Data, Kstar, and others. In the PV sector, recommendations include supply-side improvements and new BC technologies, with key companies such as Flat Glass and Quartz Shares highlighted [5][6]

Market Overview - The A-share market saw the Shanghai Composite Index rise by 0.13% to 4,128.37 points, marking its sixth consecutive day of gains[16] - The Hang Seng Index increased by 0.58% to 27,183.15 points, with significant contributions from AI applications and entertainment sectors[11] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 50,188.1 points, up 0.1%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell by 0.3% and 0.6%, respectively[9] Currency and Commodity Insights - The US dollar index fell for the third consecutive day, reflecting a 1.5% decline year-to-date, amid weak retail sales data[24] - International oil prices saw a slight decrease, with NY crude oil down 0.62% to $63.96 per barrel[24] - The Chinese yuan's appreciation is driven by increasing overseas earnings of Chinese companies and a global distrust of the US dollar[5] Investment Strategy - Approximately 19% of industries are expected to see profit margin improvements due to the yuan's appreciation, with less negative impact on companies expanding capacity overseas[5] - The report suggests focusing on short-term market memory, profit margin changes, and policy shifts as key investment strategies[5] Key Economic Indicators - US retail sales stagnated in December, indicating weak consumer spending, which has led to increased expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve[24] - The New York Fed reported that household loan default rates reached their highest level in nearly a decade in Q4 of the previous year[5]

Company and Industry Summary Company: 博迁新材 (Bojian New Materials) Key Points - **Expansion of Silver-Copper Production**: The company has exceeded expectations in the expansion of silver-copper production. Major downstream leaders are under pressure from competitors to upgrade their production lines, with projections indicating that JinkoSolar will convert 39GW, Trina Solar 10GW, and JA Solar will upgrade all production lines to silver-copper. The company anticipates silver-copper shipments to reach 60-80GW this year, corresponding to a profit of 300-400 million yuan [1][1][1]. - **TOPCON Market Potential**: The outlook for the TOPCON market is significant, with a potential of 500GW, which could yield a profit of 2.5 billion yuan. The company is fully engaging with major downstream customers, with most of the powder supply coming from Bojian [1][1][1]. - **Acceleration of Pure Copper Production**: The acceleration of pure copper production is noted, with Longi Green Energy speeding up its upgrade process. The expected capacity for Longi is projected to be fully converted [1][1][1]. - **Nickel Powder Demand and Supply Dynamics**: The company has indicated that the demand for nickel powder is twice that of supply, establishing a trend of price increases. The current nickel powder capacity is 4,800 tons, with 2,300 tons being high-end [2][2][2]. - **Production Capacity Expansion**: The company plans to expand production capacity significantly, with the potential to add 100 production lines in 3-4 months, referencing the speed of nickel powder expansion [2][2][2]. - **Profit Projections**: The company projects profits from various segments: nickel powder (500-600 million yuan), copper powder (500-600 million yuan), and silver-copper (300-400 million yuan). The total profit for 2026 is estimated to be around 1.4-1.6 billion yuan, with a valuation of 40 times PE. The short to medium-term market value target is set at 80 billion yuan [3][3][3]. Additional Insights - **Market Trends**: The demand for AI servers and automotive MLCCs is surging, contributing to the supply-demand imbalance in the market. The rare earth countermeasures are also driving an increase in market share for Samsung Electro-Mechanics [2][2][2]. - **Overall Performance Outlook**: The company is expected to see a robust performance across all segments, with clear profit support and a significant valuation gap in the current market expectations [3][3][3].

Summary of Conference Call Notes Company and Industry Overview - **Company**: 聚和材料 (Juhua Materials) - **Industry**: Silver paste and semiconductor materials Key Points and Arguments 1. **Market Position**: Juhua Materials holds a leading position in the silver paste market with an overall market share of approximately 35% [1] 2. **Product Development**: The company’s copper paste products have shown excellent performance in multiple reliability tests and have achieved small-scale shipments. The second-generation products are expected to further accelerate the promotion of copper paste [1] 3. **Industry Trends**: Major companies in the industry, including 隆基 (LONGi), 晶科 (Jinko), 阿特斯 (Canadian Solar), 天合 (Trina), and 弘元绿能 (Hongyuan Green Energy), are accelerating their progress towards silver-free solutions [1] 4. **Profit Potential**: Juhua Materials' non-silver metal pastes are expected to gradually release profits as the industry moves towards silver-free technologies [1] 5. **Global Presence**: The company has significant global capabilities, with silver paste production capacity in Thailand and an overseas market share exceeding 80% [1] 6. **Patent and Market Access**: The company has previously obtained cross-licensing of patents in the U.S. market and has shipped TOPCon-related pastes [1] Additional Important Information 1. **Acquisition Plans**: The company plans to complete the acquisition of blank mask plates by March 31, pending necessary government approvals. The domestic ODI approval process is expected to take time [2] 2. **Market Growth**: The market for blank mask plates is projected to reach 2.9 billion yuan in 2024 and is expected to grow to 7.6 billion yuan by 2029. With a target market share of 50% and a net profit margin of 30%, the anticipated profit could exceed 1 billion yuan [2] 3. **Strategic Importance**: The push for self-sufficiency in semiconductor materials is driving domestic manufacturers to accelerate the localization of high-end blank mask plates, which are critical upstream materials in the semiconductor industry [2] 4. **Market Concentration**: The blank mask plate market is highly concentrated, with Japan accounting for approximately 80% of the high-end market [2]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Company and Industry Overview - **Company**: 聚和材料 (Juhua Materials) - **Industry**: Silver paste and semiconductor materials Key Points and Arguments 1. **Market Position**: - Juhua Materials holds a leading position in the silver paste market with an overall market share of approximately 35% [1] - The company has successfully conducted multiple reliability tests for its copper paste products, which have shown excellent performance and have begun small-scale shipments [1] 2. **Product Development**: - The second-generation copper paste is expected to accelerate the promotion of copper paste products [1] - The silver-nickel paste solution is receiving significant attention from customers [1] 3. **Industry Trends**: - Other companies such as 隆基 (Longi), 晶科 (Jinko), 阿特斯 (Canadian Solar), 天合 (Trina), and 弘元绿能 (Hongyuan Green Energy) are also accelerating their progress towards silver-free solutions [1] - Juhua Materials' non-silver metal pastes are anticipated to gradually release profits [1] 4. **Globalization Strategy**: - Juhua Materials has established silver paste production capacity in Thailand, achieving over 80% market share in overseas paste markets [2] - The company has previously secured patent cross-licensing in the U.S. market and has shipped TOPCon-related pastes [2] 5. **Acquisition Plans**: - The acquisition process for blank mask plates is expected to be completed by March 31, pending necessary government approvals [2] - The domestic ODI approval process is still ongoing and may take time [2] 6. **Market Potential**: - The market for blank mask plates is projected to reach 2.9 billion yuan in 2024 and is expected to grow to 7.6 billion yuan by 2029 [2] - Assuming a 50% market share and a 30% net profit margin, profits could exceed 1 billion yuan [2] 7. **Significance of Material Independence**: - Achieving self-sufficiency in raw materials is of great significance for China and is likely to accelerate in the future [4] Additional Important Content - **Market Concentration**: The blank mask plate market is highly concentrated, with Japan accounting for approximately 80% of the high-end market [3]

Market Overview - On February 10, 2026, the global precious metals market experienced a significant surge, with London gold prices surpassing $5050, closing at $5053.12 per ounce, a daily increase of 0.35%. Silver prices rose even more dramatically, reaching $83.575 per ounce, a jump of 4.71% [1][3] - The Shanghai Gold Exchange reported a gold T D price of 1125.86 yuan per gram, up 0.79%, while the main silver contract surged to 20934 yuan per kilogram, marking a 5.24% increase [1][3] Consumer Behavior - In Beijing, major jewelry stores adjusted their gold prices, with 24K gold jewelry reaching 1560 yuan per gram, marking the third price increase within the month [3] - Consumers are showing increased interest in silver investments, with reports of tight inventory for silver bars and coins, leading to potential delivery delays [3][8] - There is a noticeable shift in consumer purchasing behavior, with many non-essential buyers opting to wait, while demand from wedding and gift purchases remains strong [14] Price Volatility - The price fluctuations are attributed to multiple factors, including speculative trading in the Chinese market and a reduction in hedge fund long positions in gold, which fell by 23% to 93,438 contracts, the lowest in 15 weeks [6] - The macroeconomic environment is changing, with expectations of a slowdown in U.S. job growth and a high unemployment rate, reinforcing market predictions for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [6] - Geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, continue to sustain high levels of risk aversion among investors [6] Silver Market Dynamics - The silver market is experiencing unique dynamics due to its smaller market size compared to gold, leading to amplified volatility with equivalent capital inflows [8] - The World Silver Association reported a consistent supply deficit of over 4000 tons annually in the last five years, with demand from the photovoltaic industry growing at an annual rate of 15% [8] - The industrial demand for silver is being reshaped, particularly with AI servers consuming 2 to 3 times more silver than traditional servers, while companies are actively seeking alternative materials due to rising silver prices [10] Investment Trends - The futures market reflects a division among participants, with some predicting a price support range for silver between $75 and $80, while others forecast a target price of $170 per ounce for the year [10] - There is a notable increase in physical gold purchases, with banks reporting long queues for gold buying, while simultaneously tightening investment thresholds for gold accumulation products [12] - The trading habits are evolving, with a significant increase in the use of safety deposit boxes as clients seek to secure their gold investments amid rising prices [12]

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is moving towards a healthier competitive environment as companies are ending patent disputes, signaling a shift away from "internal competition" and towards collaboration for innovation and market stability [3][5][6]. Group 1: Patent Agreements - Longi Green Energy and JinkoSolar ended all global patent disputes in September 2022, marking a significant shift in the industry [5]. - Aiko Solar and TCL Zhonghuan recently signed a patent licensing agreement worth a total of 1.65 billion yuan, with payments scheduled from 2026 to 2030 [4]. - Aiko Solar will gain access to approximately 1,000 Maxeon patents, allowing for greater focus on development and innovation without the burden of ongoing legal disputes [4][5]. Group 2: Industry Response and Future Outlook - The resolution of patent disputes is seen as a positive response to the "anti-involution" movement within the photovoltaic sector, promoting healthy competition and innovation [5][6]. - Industry leaders have publicly opposed "patent wars," emphasizing the need to focus on technological advancement rather than legal conflicts [6]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has identified 2026 as a critical year for addressing internal competition in the photovoltaic industry, with a focus on strengthening intellectual property protection [7]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The ongoing patent disputes had previously caused uncertainty among overseas clients regarding the procurement of ABC components, which is expected to improve following the licensing agreements [5]. - The agreements are anticipated to allow companies to raise prices on battery and component products, with Aiko Solar planning to charge a royalty fee of 0.02 yuan per watt [5]. - The industry is currently facing challenges related to supply-demand mismatches, and the Ministry plans to implement measures to achieve dynamic balance in the market [7].

继隆基绿能（601012.SH）与晶科能源（688223.SH）于去年9月底宣布结束全球范围内全部专利纠纷法 律程序后，爱旭股份（600732.SH）和TCL中环（002129.SZ）近日也官宣签订《专利许可协议》，各自 撤回或终止所有与许可专利及许可产品相关的、双方之间进行中或未决的法律程序。至此，这两家公司 为期超过两年的专利"缠斗"画上句号。 【16.5亿专利费换行业清净：#光伏反内卷进入深水区#，#光伏龙头企业带头付费结束专利缠斗#】光 伏"反内卷"持续走向"深水区"，一大信号是光伏公司接连选择结束专利"缠斗"。 ...

行 业 及 产 业 电力设备/ 光伏设备 2026 年 02 月 10 日 爱旭股份与 Maxeon 达成专利许 研究支持 李冲 A0230524070001 lichong@swsresearch.com 联系人 李冲 A0230524070001 lichong@swsresearch.com 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 马天一 A0230525040004 maty@swsresearch.com 李冲 A0230524070001 lichong@swsresearch.com 行业点评 ⚫ 事件：爱旭股份与 Maxeon 达成"5 年期 16.5 亿元"的 BC 专利许可，核 心条款为爱旭与 Maxeon 签署 BC 电池与组件专利许可，期限五年、总额 16.5 亿元，许可区域为全球（美国除外），性质为非独家授权，双方同步 撤回相关未决诉讼。该许可协议将推动光伏"反内卷"路径从价格自律转向 知识产权法治化。 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bos ...