| [行Ta业ble_Industry] : | 基础化工 | | --- | --- | | 日期: | 2026年03月03日 shzqdatemark | | [T分ab析le师_Author] : | 于庭泽 | | SAC 编号: | S0870523040001 | | 分析师: | 郭吟冬 | 行 业 周 报 [Table增_R持at（ing维] 持） 证 券 研 究 报 告 化工品价格走势 过去一周涨幅排名前五的产品分别为：液氯（50.00%）、分散黑ECT 300%（22.22%）、碳酸锂（工业级）（20.35%）、碳酸锂（电池 级）（19.62%）、粗酚（13.59%）。过去一周跌幅前五的产品分别 为 ： 纯 MDI （ -10.20% ） 、 NYMEX 天 然 气 （ -6.23% ） 、 电 石 （ - 5.60%）、LDPE（-3.35%）、浓硝酸（-3.33%）。 SAC 编号: S0870525110001 [最Ta近bl一e_年Qu行o业teP指ic数] 与沪深 300 比较 [T相ab关le报_R告e：portInfo] 《国际油价大幅上涨，关注化工涨价行情 ——基础化工行 ...

三代制冷剂涨价序幕拉开，看好板块中长 期配置价值 ——三代制冷剂涨价点评 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 投资建议：三代制冷剂涨价序幕拉开，旺季来临价格有望继续上探。配额政策延续，看 好制冷剂景气上行，配额份额居前企业有望受益，看好板块中长期配置价值。部分相关 标的：巨化股份(600160，未评级)、三美股份(603379，未评级)、昊华科技(600378，未 评级)、永和股份(605020，未评级)。 风险提示：原料价格剧烈波动，制冷剂需求不及预期，四代制冷剂等替代品进展较快。 基础化工行业 行业研究 | 动态跟踪 国家/地区 中国 行业 基础化工行业 报告发布日期 2026 年 03 月 03 日 看好（维持） 陈传双 执业证书编号：S0860525110003 chenchuanshuang@orientsec.com.cn 021-63326320 | 磷化工战略重要性受到市场认知 | 2026-02-28 | | --- | --- | | PVC 能否成为下一个电解铝 | 2026-02-09 | | 草酸需求预期再次提升 | 2026-02-08 | 有关分析师的申明，见本报告最后部分。其他重要信 ...

证券代码：605020 证券简称：永和股份 公告编号：2026-011 浙江永和制冷股份有限公司 关于控股股东股份解除质押的公告 公司于 2026 年 2 月 28 日收到公司控股股东、实际控制人童建国先生的通知， 获悉其将所持有的公司部分股份解除质押，现将相关情况公告如下： 1/2 股东名称 童建国 童建国 童建国 本 次 解 除 质 押 股 份 （股） 6,625,000 6,625,000 13,250,000 占其所持股份比例 3.56% 3.56% 7.11% 占公司总股本比例 1.30% 1.30% 2.59% 解除质押时间 2025 年 9 月 22 日 2026 年 1 月 7 日 2026 年 2 月 27 日 持股数量（股） 186,300,199 186,300,199 186,300,199 持股比例 36.47% 36.47% 36.47% 剩余被质押股份数量 （股） 19,875,000 13,250,000 0 剩余被质押股份数量 占其所持股份比例 10.67% 7.11% 0.00% 剩余被质押股份数量 占公司总股本比例 3.89% 2.59% 0.00% 一、本次股份解除质押 ...

相关报告 1.【华安化工】基础化工：蓝星收购 埃肯有机硅资产，我国首个生物燃油 2.【华安化工】染料产业链格局改善， 3.【华安化工】合成生物学周报：工 （1）有机硅行业盈利步入修复通道，新兴应用领域成为核心增长引 擎。2019—2024 年，国内有机硅 DMC 产能高速扩张，引发行业阶段 性产能过剩，市场价格持续下行。2025 年，行业无新增产能落地，叠 加海外产能持续出清，供给端增速正式见顶。需求侧，新能源汽车、 光伏等新兴领域需求维持高速增长态势，叠加出口量同比提升，行业 供需格局显著改善。在此背景下，行业头部企业牵头召开行业发展研 讨会，就有机硅产品达成动态定价机制与减产协议，推动行业盈利进 入修复周期。相关公司：合盛硅业、兴发集团相关公司。 [Table_StockName基Rpt础Typ化e] 工 行业周报 美国将磷列为国防关键物资，原油、TDI、染料等价格上涨 行业评级： 增持 报告日期： 2026-03-02 [T行ab业le_周Su观m点mary] 公司价格与沪深 300 走势比较 本周（2026/02/23-2026/02/27）化工板块整体涨跌幅表现排名 第 3 位，涨跌幅为 7.15% ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the chemical raw materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The fluorochemical industry is experiencing a comprehensive price increase for third-generation refrigerants, indicating signs of recovery in fluorine materials [4][24] - The fluorochemical index rose by 4.95%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.97% and the CSI 300 Index by 3.87% [6][37] - The market for fluorite is stable, with the average price of 97% wet fluorite at 3,324 CNY/ton, unchanged from the previous period [7][18] Summary by Sections Fluorochemical Market Overview - The fluorite market is currently stable, with prices holding at 3,324 CNY/ton as of February 27, 2026, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 9.71% [7][18] - The market is characterized by a tug-of-war between supply and demand, with downstream industries cautious about high raw material prices [19] Refrigerants - As of February 27, 2026, the prices for various refrigerants are as follows: R32 at 63,000 CNY/ton, R125 at 50,000 CNY/ton, and R134a at 58,000 CNY/ton, all stable compared to the previous period [20][21] - The market is showing a "second-generation stable, third-generation rising" pattern, with several refrigerants experiencing price increases [22][23] Fluorine Materials - The market for fluorine materials is showing signs of recovery, with price increases for certain products due to tightening supply and rising production costs [9] - Specific fluorine materials like PTFE and PVDF are maintaining stable pricing, while HFP prices have increased by 1.54% [9][27] Beneficiary Stocks - Recommended stocks include Jinshi Resources, Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., and Haohua Technology, with other beneficiaries being Dongyangguang, Yonghe Co., Dongyue Group, and Xinzhoubang [10][24]

化学原料 2026 年 03 月 01 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -14% 0% 14% 29% 43% 2025-03 2025-07 2025-11 化学原料 沪深300 《三美股份深度报告：三代制冷剂将 迎"黄金十年"，静待龙头引领周期 反转》（2020.12.30） 《金石资源深度报告（二）：资源储 量优势及高成长动能，金石资源开启 价值发现之旅》（2020.11.2） 《昊华科技深度报告：围绕国家科技 战略，军工基因铸就央企材料平台》 （2020.9.9） 《巨化股份深度报告：制冷剂加速更 新换代，氟化工龙头开启黄金十年》 （2020.2.11） 《金石资源深度报告：行业唯一上市 龙 头 ， 萤 石 高 景 气 助 力 腾 飞 》 （2019.11.29） 三代制冷剂报价全面上调，氟材料底部复苏迹象明显，四 氯乙烯价格大幅上涨 相关研究报告 《三代制冷剂价格淡季坚挺，新一轮 价格上涨或在酝酿；巨化股份、昊华 科技等发布 2025 业绩预增公告—氟 化工行业周报》-2026.2.1 《制冷剂 R404、R507 打响新年上涨 第一枪，三美股份、永和股份业绩预 增—氟化工行 ...

行 华福证券 基础化工 2026 年 03 月 01 日 业 研 究 行 业 定 期 报 告 基础化工 行业周报：乐天百万吨级乙烯装置将关停，巴斯 夫再度调高 MDI 报价 投资要点： 本周板块行情：本周，上证综合指数上涨 1.98%，创业板指数上涨 1.05%， 沪深 300 上涨 1.08%，中信基础化工指数上涨 6.21%，申万化工指数上涨 7.15%。 化工各子行业板块涨跌幅：本周，化工板块涨跌幅前五的子行业分别为磷 肥及磷化工(18.51%)、纯碱(14.02%)、复合肥(13.17%)、钛白粉(10.63%)、有机 硅(9.76%)；化工板块涨跌幅后五的子行业分别为印染化学品(1.39%)、涂料油 墨颜料(1.81%)、改性塑料(2.13%)、轮胎(2.63%)、涤纶(2.75%)。 本周行业主要动态： 乐天百万吨级乙烯装置将关停。韩国政府 2 月 25 日宣布提供 2.1 万亿韩 元(约合人民币 100 亿元)的财政和税收支持，用于乐天化学公司和 HD 现代 化学公司在大山工业园区的重组项目。这是韩国石化行业大规模自救计划 中首个获批的重组项目。根据重组计划，乐天化学将把位于韩国忠清南道 的大仙 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is upgraded to "Overweight" [3] Core Insights - The chemical industry is expected to experience a recovery driven by both cyclical and growth factors, with a focus on organic silicon, PTA, polyester filament, caprolactam, spandex, vitamins, sweeteners, refrigerants, and phosphorus chemicals [7] - The organic silicon industry is entering a recovery phase, with new applications becoming the core growth driver. From 2019 to 2024, domestic DMC capacity expanded rapidly, leading to temporary oversupply and declining prices. However, with no new capacity expected in 2025 and increasing demand from sectors like new energy vehicles and photovoltaics, the supply-demand balance is improving [7] - The PTA and polyester filament industries are approaching a turning point, with the expansion cycle nearing its end. The demand side is expected to continue growing, supported by easing trade tensions and improved external demand [7] - The introduction of quota policies is expected to lead refrigerants into a high prosperity cycle, with supply constraints and stable demand growth from markets like heat pumps and cold chain logistics [9] - The synthetic biology sector is poised for explosive growth, driven by the transition to low-energy products and breakthroughs in non-grain bio-based materials [9] - OLED technology is accelerating its penetration into various display sizes, supported by policy measures aimed at fostering the new display industry [10] - The demand for high-frequency and low-loss electronic resins is increasing due to the rise of AI infrastructure, with AI server shipments expected to grow significantly [11] - The electronic chemicals sector is benefiting from the expansion of wafer production capacity, with increasing demand for key materials like photoresists and packaging materials [12] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The chemical sector's overall performance ranked 14th with a weekly change of 0.78%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.38 percentage points [6][21] - Key stocks such as Honghe Technology and Zhongcai Technology saw significant price increases due to rising demand in AI servers and high-speed network equipment [6] Supply-Side Tracking - A total of 155 companies in the chemical industry had their production capacities affected, with 4 new repairs and 7 restarts reported [14] Key Industry Dynamics - BlueStar announced the acquisition of Elkem's core organic silicon assets, marking a strategic move to enhance its position in the global organic silicon industry [34] - The first biofuel blending policy in China was approved, allowing for local blending and reducing reliance on imports [34]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Buy" to the company with a target price of 79.10 CNY, based on its strong position in the refrigerant market and expected growth in revenue and profit [5][20]. Core Insights - The company is a leader in the refrigerant industry, particularly in the production of third-generation refrigerants, which are expected to see price increases due to growing downstream demand and supply constraints from quota management [2][12]. - The financial outlook is positive, with projected revenue growth from 3,334 million CNY in 2023 to 7,295 million CNY by 2027, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 21.2% [4][18]. - The company is actively expanding its fluorine industry chain, with ongoing projects in lithium hexafluorophosphate and various fluoropolymer production lines, enhancing its integrated operations [12][36]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is expected to grow from 3,334 million CNY in 2023 to 7,295 million CNY by 2027, with a significant increase in net profit from 280 million CNY to 3,101 million CNY over the same period [4][18]. - The company’s net profit margin is projected to improve significantly, with net profit margins reaching 39.5% by 2026 [4][30]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.46 CNY in 2023 to 5.08 CNY in 2027, indicating strong profitability growth [4][20]. Business Overview - The company specializes in fluorinated refrigerants, with a significant market share in HFCs, which are crucial for air conditioning and refrigeration systems [22][24]. - The production quotas for HFCs are set to be managed starting in 2024, which will likely lead to price increases due to limited supply [22][34]. - The company holds a leading position in HFC production capacity, with substantial quotas for HFC-134a, HFC-125, HFC-32, and HFC-143a, accounting for significant portions of national production quotas [24][25]. Market Trends - The demand for third-generation refrigerants is expected to remain strong, driven by growth in the home appliance and automotive sectors, with air conditioning production projected to increase from 210 million units in 2020 to 267 million units by 2025 [32][33]. - The average market price for R32 is anticipated to rise from 13,472 CNY per ton in early 2023 to 63,000 CNY per ton by early 2026, reflecting a 368% increase [34][35]. - The automotive air conditioning market for R134a is also expected to see significant price increases, from 23,500 CNY per ton to 58,000 CNY per ton over the same period, marking a 146.81% rise [34][35].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the chemical industry [4][3]. Core Insights - The macroeconomic outlook for the chemical industry indicates a stable increase in oil demand due to global economic recovery and tariff adjustments, with Brent crude oil expected to remain in the range of $60-75 per barrel [4][5]. - The report highlights a potential spring boom in the chemical sector, driven by the success of domestic robotics showcased during the Spring Festival and favorable export conditions following tariff reductions [4][3]. - Investment opportunities are identified in various chains, including textiles, agricultural chemicals, and overseas real estate, with specific companies recommended for investment [4][3]. Industry Dynamics - Oil supply is tightening due to OPEC+ production delays and peak shale oil output, while demand is stabilizing with improved global economic conditions [5]. - The chemical industry is at a cyclical turning point, with downstream operations gradually resuming post-holiday, indicating a positive demand outlook for the year [4][3]. - The report notes that the Producer Price Index (PPI) for industrial products decreased by 1.4% year-on-year in January, while the manufacturing PMI recorded 49.3, indicating some volatility in manufacturing activity [7][4]. Investment Analysis - The report suggests a diversified investment strategy focusing on four key areas: textiles, agricultural chemicals, export chains, and beneficiaries of "anti-involution" policies [4][3]. - Specific companies to watch include those in the textile chain like Lu Xi Chemical and Tongkun Co., and in the agricultural chain like Hualu Hengsheng and Baofeng Energy [4][3]. - The report emphasizes the importance of self-sufficiency in key materials, particularly in semiconductor and panel materials, recommending companies such as Yake Technology and Ruilian New Materials [4][3].