数字新城，蕴藏着最大的跃升潜力。此次全会将人工智能定为破局的关键变量，聚力打造"中国算 谷"。凭借DeepSeek、捷配、托普云农、润达医疗等大模型部落，和"两朵云"算力枢纽优势，拱墅将构 建"一轴一核两翼六融合"的产业格局，加快打造人工智能产业新标杆。 这源于清晰的产业布局：拱墅锚定商贸服务、数字经济、生命健康、电竞文娱、新制造"1+4"主赛 道，推动动能加速转换，智慧网谷、北部软件园等平台串珠成链，DeepSeek、华东医药等领军企业扎 根生长。作为浙江商贸的"心脏"，拱墅的消费魅力持续绽放。大武林、大和平、大运河、新天地四大商 圈活力澎湃，杭州中心等地标崛起，恒隆广场竣备在即，夜经济、潮经济、首发经济、青春经济绘就了 繁华不息的都市图景。 运河明珠，则是拱墅最鲜明的亮丽底色。以习近平总书记考察运河综保工程20周年为新起点，拱墅 将续写大运河保护传承利用的新篇章，通过活态传承历史文化遗产、迭代发展"文创+数创"、加快文商 旅体融合发展、深化"拱墅优礼"文明新实践，进一步扩大"来杭州，走大运（河）"影响力。 在经历了夯实基础、立柱架梁的五年奋斗后，如何以更加昂扬的姿态迈入厚积成势、全面突破的新 发展阶段？记 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Buy" [2] Core Views - The food and beverage industry has shown a decline of 1.90% from December 1 to December 5, 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.18 percentage points [4][9] - The overall valuation of the food and beverage industry is at a relatively low level, with a PE ratio of 22X, ranking 23rd among Shenwan's primary industries [5][16] - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on consumer-driven strategies and innovation, as highlighted by the recent global dealer conference of Fenjiu [6] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - From December 1 to December 5, 2025, the food and beverage industry declined by 1.90%, ranking 28th out of 31 sectors, with sub-sectors showing mixed performance [4][9] Valuation Analysis - As of December 5, 2025, the food and beverage industry's PE ratio is 22X, with other liquor at 55X, health products at 36X, and snacks at 35X being the highest valued sub-sectors [5][16] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with stable demand and strong risk resistance, as well as those actively innovating in new products and channels. Key companies to watch include Miaokelando, Andeli, Shanxi Fenjiu, Guizhou Moutai, and Yanjinpuzi [7][44]

证券研究报告 2025 年 11 月 30 日 湘财证券研究所 行业研究 食品饮料行业周报 茅台理性定调，板块投资信心回暖 相关研究： | 1.《压力逐步释放，耐心等待探 | | | --- | --- | | 底企稳》 | 2025.11.09 | | 2.《10月CPI回暖，消费板块预期 | | | 修复》 | 2025.11.16 | | 3.《板块情绪回暖，低估值极具 | | | 性价比》 | 2025.11.23 | 行业评级：买入（维持） 近十二个月行业表现 | % | 1 个月 | 3 个月 | 12 个月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 相对收益 | 4.8 | -5.0 | -21.0 | | 绝对收益 | 0.8 | -1.8 | -5.2 | 注：相对收益与沪深 300 相比 分析师：李育文 证书编号：S0500523060001 Tel：021-50295328 Email：liyw3@xcsc.com 分析师：张弛 面对市场与渠道，茅台强调以消费者为中心，推动"三个转型、三端变革"， 切实保障市场渠道长期稳定向好、科学研判投放节奏、持续构建"多载体、 多主 ...

这场变革本质是消费市场从"规模扩张"转向了"体验与价值升维"，并非简单的线上线下融合，而是一场深刻的权力转移和价值重构。呈现出两 个趋势：其一，线上流量红利见顶，消费者追求"马上买到"和"确定性服务"；其二，消费结构向服务型转变，产品创新从功能向体验与情绪价 值延伸。 怎么转移和重构？消费的定价权正在从品牌方转移到用户手里。"生活场景"正在成为新的流量入口和定价中心。线上与线下、平台与平台、实 物电商与服务电商的边界正以前所未有的速度模糊、融合。 各大电商平台处于这场变革的核心。过去，消费发生在明确的购物场景里（无论是线上店还是线下商场）。电商平台的核心价值在于高效 地"分发商品"。但现在越来越明确的趋势是，消费的起点将是消费者某个具体的生活场景。 线下价值的"再发现"不是体验，而是"服务履约的确定性"。 很多人将线下回暖简单归因于体验，但这不够深刻。线下实体（包括本地生活）的核心新价值在于，它提供了"服务履约的确定性"，这是纯线 上电商无法逾越的鸿沟。 你可以在网上看100个家电测评，但"明天就能上门安装调试好"，是平台到家业务和线下店提供的确定性。 这种"马上就能享受到"的确定性，成为新消费方向。电商的线 ...

Group 1: New Materials Industry - The rare earth magnetic materials industry experienced a decline of 4.08% this week, underperforming the benchmark by 3 percentage points [2] - The industry valuation (TTM P/E) fell by 3.32 times to 73.9 times, currently at 87.2% of its historical percentile [2] - Prices of rare earth concentrates showed a slight decline, with mixed carbonate rare earth ore prices dropping by 2.78% [3] - Praseodymium and neodymium prices peaked and then fell, with praseodymium oxide average price decreasing by 1.8% [3] - Dysprosium prices continued to decline, with an average decrease of 2.58% for dysprosium oxide [4] - The price of sintered neodymium-iron-boron N35 decreased by 1.45%, indicating weak demand and limited order releases [4] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The short-term prices in the rare earth sector are driven by market sentiment, with supply expected to decrease before the end of the year, while demand remains positive [5] - The overall valuation and performance levels are supported by loose liquidity and industrial policies, but high valuations may face pressure due to declining market risk appetite [5] - The industry maintains an "overweight" rating, with expectations for price recovery and improved market conditions following the easing of export controls [6] - Focus on upstream rare earth resource companies is recommended due to expected supply contraction and strategic value positioning [6] - Downstream magnetic material companies are also expected to benefit from price recovery, particularly those with strong customer structures and new growth opportunities [6] Group 3: Food and Beverage Industry - The food and beverage industry saw a decline of 0.56% from November 3 to November 7, while outperforming the broader market indices [8] - The industry valuation is currently at a low level, with a PE ratio of 22X, ranking 23rd among primary industries [9] - The CPI showed a mild increase of 0.2% in October, with food prices declining by 2.9% [10][11] - Investment recommendations suggest focusing on leading companies with stable demand and strong risk resistance, as well as those innovating in new products and channels [12] - The food and beverage sector maintains a "buy" rating, emphasizing the potential for recovery in the current low valuation environment [12]

Core Insights - The "Double 11" shopping festival is shifting from product-driven consumption to service-driven, experience-driven, and emotional value-driven consumption [1][2] - E-commerce platforms are extending promotional periods and optimizing user shopping experiences to ignite consumer enthusiasm [2][7] - AI technology is deeply integrated into the shopping experience, enhancing operational efficiency and consumer engagement [4][5] Market Trends - Service consumption has emerged as a new highlight during this year's "Double 11," with significant increases in hotel and flight bookings [2][3] - The introduction of instant retail has led to noticeable growth in dining, beauty, and family entertainment sectors [2][3] - The overall sales of innovative products, particularly those offering emotional value, have surged, with some categories seeing year-on-year growth rates exceeding 800% [3][4] Technological Advancements - AI is transforming the entire shopping chain, improving decision-making and operational precision for platforms [4][5] - The number of AI systems in operation at major platforms has surpassed 30,000, significantly enhancing search recommendations and consumer engagement [4][6] - New technologies like unmanned warehouses and delivery systems are improving logistics efficiency and addressing last-mile delivery challenges [6] Promotional Strategies - The duration of the "Double 11" event has been extended to 37 days, allowing for a more gradual and thoughtful purchasing process for consumers [7][8] - This extended promotional period benefits merchants by allowing them to manage inventory more effectively and respond to consumer demand without the pressure of last-minute stockpiling [7][8] - The trend towards longer promotional cycles reflects a broader shift in consumer behavior, with a preference for thoughtful purchasing over impulsive buying [7][8] Future Directions - The focus is shifting from price competition to value competition, emphasizing the importance of technology and ecosystem integration to create additional value for consumers and merchants [8] - Companies are encouraged to leverage technological advancements to enhance consumer experiences and optimize supply chain management [8] - There is a call for platforms to support small and medium-sized businesses by providing better tools and data insights to improve efficiency and foster mutual growth [8]

Core Viewpoint - Luzhou Laojiao has announced an investment of approximately 1.478 billion yuan in the construction of a historical and cultural industry park and a Chinese liquor museum, aiming to enhance brand influence and showcase the history and culture of Chinese liquor [2] Industry Transformation - The Chinese liquor industry is undergoing a transformation from a "capacity expansion" model to a focus on "quality improvement, brand influence, cultural expression, and value creation" [3] - Data from the National Bureau of Statistics indicates a decline in liquor production, with a cumulative output of 2.655 million kiloliters from January to September 2025, representing a year-on-year decrease of 9.9% [3] - The shift in consumer logic is characterized by four trends: 1. Changing consumption concepts from "quantity satisfaction" to "quality pursuit" [3] 2. Demand for personalized, lower-alcohol, and self-indulgent liquor among younger consumers [4] 3. A restructuring of consumption scenarios, with a decline in government consumption and growth in self-drinking and new consumption scenarios [4] 4. Accelerated evolution of consumption channels, with a deep integration of online and offline sales [4] Marketing Strategy - Luzhou Laojiao plans to focus on "deepening the market, innovating products, solidifying the core base, and transforming channels" in its marketing strategy [5] - The company aims to implement a long-term strategy for market cultivation, particularly in lower-tier markets, to convert opportunities into sustainable growth [5] - In product innovation, Luzhou Laojiao will continue to develop lower-alcohol and diversified products, including promoting new drinking methods [6] - The company is shifting resources towards mid-to-high-end mainstream products to solidify its market position [6] - Luzhou Laojiao is also entering the high-growth light bottle liquor segment, with pilot promotions of its new Luzhou Laojiao Erqu product [6] - The company emphasizes the importance of a comprehensive pricing strategy to maintain balance between volume and price, while ensuring healthy channel ecology [6]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Buy" [2] Core Views - The food and beverage industry experienced a decline of 0.23% from October 27 to October 31, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.20 percentage points [2][7] - The overall valuation of the food and beverage industry is at a relatively low level, with a PE ratio of 21X, ranking 22nd among Shenwan's primary industries [3][14] - The third-quarter reports for the liquor sector indicate continued pressure, with Guizhou Moutai reporting a revenue of 128.45 billion yuan and a net profit of 64.63 billion yuan, both showing modest growth [4][43] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - From October 27 to October 31, 2025, the food and beverage industry fell by 0.23%, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.11% and the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.67% [2][7] - The sub-sectors showed mixed performance, with pre-processed foods up by 3.78%, snacks by 2.66%, and baked goods by 1.50% [2][7] Valuation Analysis - As of October 31, 2025, the food and beverage industry's PE ratio stands at 21X, with other liquor categories at 57X, health products at 44X, and snacks at 35X, while white liquor is at 19X [3][14] Liquor Sector Insights - The third-quarter performance of the liquor industry remains under pressure, with slow recovery in consumption and significant inventory issues [4][5] - The wholesale reference price for Feitian Moutai has decreased by 5.37% to 1,675 yuan per bottle [4][18] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on two main lines: stable demand leaders with strong risk resistance and companies actively innovating in new products, channels, and consumption scenarios [5][43] - Recommended companies include New Dairy, Andeli, Shanxi Fenjiu, Guizhou Moutai, and Yanjinpuzi [5][43]

Industry Overview - The food and beverage industry experienced a decline of 0.95% from October 20 to October 25, 2025, underperforming against major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 2.88% [2] - The overall valuation of the food and beverage industry is at a relatively low level, with a PE ratio of 21X as of October 25, 2025, ranking 22nd among Shenwan's primary industries [2] Sub-industry Performance - Among sub-industries, other liquor has the highest valuation at 58X, followed by health products at 45X and snacks at 34X. Conversely, the lowest valuations are seen in baijiu at 19X, pre-processed foods at 21X, and beer at 23X [2] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-quality stocks with stable demand and strong risk resistance, as well as companies actively innovating in new products, channels, and consumption scenarios [5] - Key companies to watch include New Dairy, Andeli, Shanxi Fenjiu, Guizhou Moutai, and Yanjinpuzi, maintaining a "buy" rating for the food and beverage industry [5] Market Dynamics - Moutai Airport has increased the lottery winning rate for purchasing Moutai liquor, reflecting a strategic move to adapt to market price declines and enhance consumer experience [4] - The wholesale reference price for Moutai liquor has seen a slight decrease, with the original batch price at 1770 RMB per bottle, down 0.56% from the previous week [4]

Group 1: Advanced Manufacturing Industry - The advanced manufacturing sector continues to lead the talent market, with new materials industry showing the highest job growth at 66.7% year-on-year [1] - The optoelectronics industry ranks second with a 54.2% increase in recruitment, driven by increased R&D investment in aerospace and defense technology [1] - The military manufacturing sector also shows significant growth at 54.0%, reflecting the rising demand for various technical R&D and production roles [1] - Other sectors such as smart hardware and aerospace research and manufacturing saw job growth of 26.9% and 12.4% respectively [1] Group 2: Modern Service Industry - The pet services industry experienced a 43.7% year-on-year increase in job postings, particularly in pet doctor and grooming roles, which grew by 128.2% and 67.3% respectively [2] - The elderly care and nursing sector saw a 29.2% increase in job postings, with caregiver and rehabilitation therapist roles growing by 36.1% and 25.7% respectively [2] - The gaming industry rebounded with a 38.9% increase in job postings, supported by AI technology and global market expansion [2] - The automotive aftermarket industry also performed well, with job postings increasing by 37.9%, driven by the rising demand for services related to new energy vehicles [2] Group 3: Health and AI Services - The medical beauty and health services sectors saw job demand rise by 17.3% and 13.3% respectively [3] - The AI industry experienced a robust growth of 11% in job postings, with key roles including AI engineers, data standards/AI trainers, and AI product managers [3] - The leisure and entertainment industry is evolving towards professionalization and personalization, driven by consumer demand for health and relaxation [3] Group 4: Short Video Industry - The short video industry has emerged as a significant growth area, with talent demand increasing by 26% year-on-year [3][4] - Key roles in this sector include editors (15.9% of job postings), actors/models (8.6%), and streamers (5.4%), which are essential for content delivery [4] - The report highlights that the talent market demand aligns with industrial upgrades and consumption changes, indicating a synchronized growth pattern across sectors [4]