2026年度格隆汇"全球视野"十大核心资产已正式发布，GE Vernova(GEV.US)历经多轮筛选与角逐，最终入选成 为全球核心资产中能源基建领域的标杆标的。 以下是关于GE Vernova的入选逻辑与深度解析： 2025年全球AI算力需求指数级爆发，叠加全球电网老龄化瓶颈凸显，电力已取代芯片产能成为制约AI发展的核 心短板。作为继承爱迪生基因的百年工业巨头，GEVernova在2024年独立上市后，正从传统工业制造商蜕变为 AI基建狂潮下不可或缺的"能源总设计师"。 凭借燃气轮机领域的寡头地位、"发电-输电-配电"全栈能力与生态闭环，GEVernova已构建起极强的行业壁垒。 其重型燃气轮机产能已售罄至2029年，未交付订单预计从1350亿美元增至2028年的2000亿美元以上，在科技巨 头"抢电大战"中占据绝对核心地位。2026年，随着全球云巨头资本开支向能源基础设施倾斜，公司将迎来量价 齐升的超级周期，成为兼具"成长弹性+业绩确定性"的全球核心配置标的。 01 核心竞争壁垒：四大维度构筑不可逾越优势 GE Vernova的行业龙头地位，源于其在技术、生态、服务与产业链整合上的多重深度积累，形成了新进 ...

Report Industry Investment Ratings - **Macro Finance**: Index futures are long - term optimistic, buy on dips; treasury bonds are expected to move sideways [1][5][6] - **Black Building Materials**: Coking coal for short - term trading; rebar for range trading; glass is expected to be slightly bullish [1][8] - **Non - ferrous Metals**: Copper to hold long positions cautiously; aluminum to strengthen observation; nickel to observe or sell short on rallies; tin, gold, and silver for range trading; lithium carbonate for range - bound oscillations [1][11][13][15] - **Energy Chemicals**: PVC, styrene, rubber, urea, and methanol for range trading; caustic soda and soda ash to wait and see; polyolefins to oscillate weakly [1][19][21][24] - **Cotton Textile Industry Chain**: Cotton and cotton yarn, apples are expected to be slightly bullish; red dates to rebound from the bottom [1][27][28] - **Agricultural and Livestock**: For live pigs, short - term contracts to sell short on rallies, long - term contracts to be cautiously bullish; for eggs, breeding enterprises can hedge on rallies; for corn, short - term to be cautious about chasing highs, grain holders to hedge on rallies; for soybean meal, short - term contracts to be treated strongly on dips, long - term contracts to be treated weakly; for oils, the rebound of the three major oils is limited, and previous long positions should be gradually liquidated [1][29][31][32] Core Views - The A - share market has a positive start in 2026, with high trading volume and broad - based gains. Goldman Sachs is optimistic about the Chinese stock market in 2026 and 2027. The bond market is affected by low yields and high supply, and treasury bonds are expected to move sideways [5] - In the black building materials market, the coking coal market is in a game between bearish and bullish factors, and rebar is affected by supply and demand and policies [8] - The non - ferrous metals market is complex. Copper has long - term supply support but short - term over - priced risks; aluminum is affected by fundamentals and policies; nickel is expected to remain in surplus; tin is affected by supply and demand; precious metals are affected by the US economic situation [11][13][15] - The energy chemicals market is generally weak. PVC, caustic soda, and other products are affected by factors such as cost, supply, and demand [19][21] - In the cotton textile and agricultural livestock markets, products such as cotton, apples, and red dates are affected by supply, demand, and policies; live pigs, eggs, and other products are affected by factors such as supply, demand, and seasonality [27][29][31] Summary by Directory Macro Finance - **Index Futures**: On the first trading day, A - shares opened and closed higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index returning to 4000 points and trading volume exceeding 2.5 trillion. Goldman Sachs is optimistic about the Chinese stock market in 2026 and 2027, expecting annual growth of 15% - 20%. The market is expected to develop further, and investors can buy on dips [5] - **Treasury Bonds**: The market has quickly digested the positive news about fund fees and bank EVE indicators. Due to low bond yields and high supply, treasury bonds are expected to move sideways [6] Black Building Materials - **Coking Coal**: The market is in a game between bearish factors (high imported Mongolian coal inventory, weak demand) and bullish factors (domestic coal mine production cuts, cost support). Short - term trading is recommended [8] - **Rebar**: The futures price was weak on Monday. The valuation is neutral, and the supply - demand contradiction is not significant in the short term. Range trading is recommended [8] - **Glass**: Supply - side factors such as production line cold repairs are positive, but demand is weak. The price is expected to be slightly bullish in the short term, and there are opportunities for long glass and short soda ash [10] Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper**: The price has reached a high level, but there are short - term over - priced risks. The supply is expected to be sufficient in January, and the price may fluctuate widely at a high level. Long positions should be held cautiously [11][12] - **Aluminum**: The alumina market is in a weak situation, and the aluminum price is driven by expectations and funds. The upward pressure is large in January, and observation is recommended [13] - **Nickel**: The supply of nickel ore is expected to decrease, but the overall nickel market is in surplus. The price may rebound in the short term, and investors can observe or sell short on rallies [15] - **Tin**: The supply of tin concentrate is tight, and the downstream demand is weak. The price is expected to oscillate strongly, and range trading is recommended [16] - **Silver and Gold**: Affected by the US economic situation, the prices are expected to move sideways. Long positions in silver can be held, and range trading is recommended for gold [17] - **Lithium Carbonate**: The supply is affected by factors such as mine production and imports, and the demand is strong. The price is expected to oscillate [19] Energy Chemicals - **PVC**: The cost is under pressure, the supply is high, and the demand is weak. The price is expected to oscillate at a low level, and range trading is recommended [19] - **Caustic Soda**: There is short - term delivery pressure, and the medium - term support depends on the improvement of the alumina market. Temporary observation is recommended [21] - **Styrene**: The current valuation is high, and the price is expected to oscillate. Range trading is recommended [21] - **Rubber**: The cost is supported, but the inventory is increasing, and the demand is weak. The price is expected to oscillate [22] - **Urea**: The supply is decreasing, and the demand is also weak. The price is expected to oscillate widely, and range trading is recommended [23] - **Methanol**: The supply is increasing, and the demand is weak. The price is expected to oscillate, and range trading is recommended [24] - **Polyolefins**: The supply is expected to decrease in the first quarter of 2026, but the demand improvement is limited. The price is expected to oscillate weakly, and the LP spread is expected to widen [25] - **Soda Ash**: The supply is expected to decrease, and the demand is affected by downstream industries. Temporary observation is recommended [25] Cotton Textile Industry Chain - **Cotton and Cotton Yarn**: Affected by the global cotton supply - demand situation and policies, the price is expected to be slightly bullish [27] - **Apples**: The market is stable, and the price is expected to be slightly bullish [27] - **Red Dates**: The acquisition in Xinjiang is over, and the price is expected to rebound from the bottom [28] Agricultural and Livestock - **Live Pigs**: In the short term, the price is oscillating due to supply - demand games. In the long term, the supply is expected to increase in the first quarter, and the price is under pressure. Short - term contracts can be sold short on rallies, and long - term contracts can be cautiously bullish [29] - **Eggs**: The short - term supply - demand is balanced, and the price is at a low level. In the long term, the supply pressure still exists. Breeding enterprises can hedge on rallies [31][32] - **Corn**: The short - term price increase is limited, and long - term demand is gradually released but the supply - demand pattern is relatively loose. Short - term caution is needed when chasing highs, and long - term there is strong support at the bottom [34] - **Soybean Meal**: The short - term price is affected by factors such as US soybean exports and South American weather. Range trading is recommended, with short - term contracts treated strongly on dips and long - term contracts treated weakly [35][36] - **Oils**: The short - term rebound of the three major oils is limited, and previous long positions should be gradually liquidated. In the long term, there are potential positive factors [41][42]

（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网1月5日讯 ，海兴电力在接受调研者提问时表示，公司已明确以"电"和"水"为两大核心发展 方向，致力于成为全球领先的数字能源与智慧水务解决方案提供商。在电力领域，公司将持续巩固在智 能电网市场的领先优势，推动业务从智能计量、配网自动化向数字能源管理实现全面布局。公司的目标 不仅是成为设备与方案的供应商，更是助力电力客户实现数字化转型与能源转型的长期合作伙伴。公司 将紧抓全球电网升级、分布式绿电高比例接入及能效提升带来的重大机遇，为客户提供更高效、更可靠 的系统解决方案。在水务领域，公司的战略视野已从智能计量延伸至更广阔的水资源管理领域。除持续 拓展全球智能水表业务外，公司正战略性布局海水淡化这一关键水资源解决方案市场。依托在电力能效 管理、自动控制及系统集成方面的核心技术积淀，公司将为全球水资源短缺地区提供高效、节能的海水 淡化设施及整体运营解决方案。电力与水务两大业务将在技术、市场与资源管理上形成强大的战略协 同，共同构建公司未来长期、可持续的增长双引擎。 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Copper prices have entered a high - volatility and high - uncertainty stage dominated by sentiment in the short term. Although there is medium - to - long - term support from the supply side, current prices may be overvalued, and there is a risk of price correction. However, due to geopolitical impacts, copper prices may maintain a high - level wide - range oscillation pattern, with the Shanghai copper main contract fluctuating between 95,000 - 103,000 yuan/ton [3]. - Aluminum prices are mainly driven by fundamental expectations and capital behavior. In the short term, they may still be strong, but the upward pressure is large, and the upward space should be viewed with caution. Alumina is recommended to be observed, and aluminum alloy may be relatively weaker than aluminum prices [3][4]. - Zinc prices are expected to maintain an oscillatory trend. Supply is slightly stronger, but demand at the end of the year is weak, and the fundamental support is limited [3]. - Lead prices are expected to maintain a wide - range oscillation, and high - selling and low - buying operations within the range of 17,000 - 17,900 yuan/ton are recommended [3]. - Nickel prices have rebounded strongly, but the nickel industry remains in a state of over - supply, which suppresses the upward space of nickel prices. Both nickel and stainless steel are recommended to be observed [4]. - Tin prices are expected to continue a relatively strong oscillation. It is recommended to build positions at low prices and pay attention to the resumption of supply and the recovery of downstream demand [4]. - The price of industrial silicon has rebounded after breaking through the lower limit. Alumina's weak reality of over - supply will continue, and it is recommended to observe. The price of polysilicon has adjusted after breaking through the upper limit. The price of lithium carbonate is expected to continue to oscillate [4]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Macroeconomic Data - **China**: In December 2025, China's five - year and one - year loan market prime rates (LPR) remained unchanged at 3.5% and 3%, respectively. From January to November, the profits of large - scale industrial enterprises increased by 0.1% year - on - year, and the profits of high - tech manufacturing increased by 10.0% year - on - year [13][15][16]. - **US**: In the third quarter of 2025, the US real GDP annualized quarterly growth rate was 4.3%, and the core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index annualized quarterly growth rate was 2.9%. As of December 6, 2025, the average weekly new employment in the US private sector was 11,500 [13][19][20]. 3.2 Geopolitical Events - On January 3, 2026, the US launched an air strike on Venezuela, captured Venezuelan President Maduro and his wife, and stated that it would "manage" Venezuela until a "safe" transition. The situation in Venezuela may have an impact on the global market, especially on gold and crude oil prices [24][25][27]. 3.3 Metal Market Analysis 3.3.1 Copper - **Price Trend**: The Shanghai copper main contract reached a historical high of over 100,000 yuan/ton before the holiday, then fell back. It is expected to maintain a high - level wide - range oscillation pattern [3]. - **Supply and Demand**: The supply of copper concentrates is in a tight situation, and there is an expected increase in demand from AI infrastructure and power grid upgrades in the long term. However, at present, downstream demand is weak, and social inventories have increased significantly [3]. 3.3.2 Aluminum - **Price Trend**: The Shanghai aluminum main contract shows an overall upward trend in oscillation. In the short term, it may still be strong, but the upward space is limited [3][54]. - **Supply and Demand**: Alumina is in a state of over - supply, and the destocking of aluminum ingots and aluminum rods is difficult. New domestic production capacity is still being put into operation, while demand from photovoltaic installations and the automotive industry has decreased [3][4]. 3.3.3 Zinc - **Price Trend**: Zinc prices oscillated in the previous week and are expected to maintain an oscillatory trend. The price range is expected to be between 22,800 - 23,500 yuan/ton [3]. - **Supply and Demand**: The processing fee of zinc concentrates has been declining, squeezing the profits of smelters. Demand has weakened due to environmental protection warnings in the north, and downstream enterprises maintain just - in - time procurement [3]. 3.3.4 Lead - **Price Trend**: The Shanghai lead main contract showed an oscillatory rebound trend, and it is expected to maintain a wide - range oscillation between 17,000 - 17,900 yuan/ton [3]. - **Supply and Demand**: LME and COMEX lead inventories decreased, while SHFE lead inventories increased slightly. The overall lead price is stable, and the replacement consumption is supported by the "trade - in" policy [3]. 3.3.5 Nickel - **Price Trend**: Nickel prices rebounded strongly. The prices of nickel ore, nickel iron, and stainless steel all showed an upward trend [4]. - **Supply and Demand**: The Indonesian nickel mining quota is expected to be reduced, and the rainy season may affect nickel ore shipments. The refined nickel market is in a state of over - supply, while the demand for nickel iron from stainless steel mills has increased [4]. 3.3.6 Tin - **Price Trend**: Tin prices showed an oscillatory decline, but the upward trend in the long term remains unchanged. It is expected to continue a relatively strong oscillation [4]. - **Supply and Demand**: The supply of tin concentrates is tight, and the downstream semiconductor industry is expected to recover. However, the demand from consumer electronics and photovoltaic industries is weak [4]. 3.3.7 Industrial Silicon, Alumina, Stainless Steel, and Lithium Carbonate - **Industrial Silicon**: The price has rebounded after breaking through the lower limit [4]. - **Alumina**: The weak reality of over - supply will continue, and it is recommended to observe [3][4]. - **Stainless Steel**: The price has rebounded strongly, but it is expected to maintain an oscillation after the macro - sentiment fades [4]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The price is expected to continue to oscillate. Supply and demand are both changing, and attention should be paid to the impact of mining permits in Yichun [4].

近日，由南方电网贵州送变电有限责任公司承建的500千伏盘南低热值电厂接入系统工程全线贯通，进 入最后冲刺阶段。 全线贯通。 500千伏盘南低热值电厂接入系统工程是区域能源结构调整和电网升级的关键项目。面对贵州山区雨季 漫长、地形复杂、交叉跨越频繁等严峻挑战，自项目部组建以来，作为服务贵州电网建设的主力军，公 司自上而下高度重视，科学组织、聚力攻坚，始终将安全生产摆在首位，严格执行"班前预控、日清日 结"机制，做实风险辨识与过程管控；每月由项目负责人带队开展拉网式排查，深入每一个作业点，筑 牢现场安全防线。 "在稳步推进施工的同时，我们坚持以质量铸就品牌，全面落实全员质量责任制。"据项目负责人介绍， 在放线施工阶段，公司项目团队实时监测调控，确保导线弧垂精度与受力均衡，对压接作业等关键工序 实行"全过程旁站监督"，保障每一个压接点牢固可靠。全体建设者秉持坚守工艺标准，精工细作，致力 将本工程打造为安全稳、质量硬、寿命长的标杆样板工程。 如今，工程建设已到决战决胜时刻。工程建成后，将显著提升毕节、六盘水等地区清洁能源消纳能力， 优化贵州西部电网架构。贵州送变电公司全体建设者正以饱满的热情和坚定的信心，全力以赴推进 ...

本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 重要内容提示： 被担保人名称：河北科力远混合储能技术有限公司（以下简称"河北科力远"） ●本次担保金额及已实际为其提供的担保余额：公司本次为河北科力远提供的担保金额为30,000万元。 截至本公告披露日，公司为河北科力远提供的担保余额为17,000万元（不含本次担保余额）。 ●本次担保是否有反担保：无 ●对外担保逾期的累计数量：无 ●特别风险提示：公司及子公司对外担保总额超过最近一期经审计净资产100%，且被担保对象资产负债 率超过70%，敬请投资者注意相关风险。 一、担保情况概述 2025年以来，国内储能行业迈入市场驱动新阶段，湖南科力远新能源股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"） 紧抓新能源消纳与电网升级机遇，持续加大储能业务战略投入，加速推进项目落地。作为公司主要的储 能智能制造产业基地，河北科力远为匹配业务扩张节奏，确保高效交付能力，拟向河北银行股份有限公 司保定分行申请办理银行授信额度30,000万元，公司为其提供连带责任保证担保，最高担保金额为 30,000万元，授信 ...

Industry Overview - The U.S. market is experiencing a "power shortage" that is constraining the expansion of AI computing power, primarily due to a shortage of transformers [1] - The delivery cycle for transformers in the U.S. has increased from 30-60 weeks to 115-130 weeks, with large transformers taking 2.3-4 years [1] - There is a projected hard gap in electricity capacity and consumption in North America by 2026/2027, indicating a significant impact on the overall power system [1] - The demand for transformers in North America is expected to grow at an annual rate of 30% [1] Company Insights - Igor is a domestic supplier of mid-to-high-end transformers and power conversion equipment, having obtained UL and CSA certifications for the North American market [2] - Igor's main products include dry-type transformers, photovoltaic boosting transformers, and energy storage transformers, aligning with North America's renewable energy integration and grid upgrade needs [2] - New Special Electric focuses on the research and manufacturing of various frequency transformers, with multi-winding dry-type frequency transformers applicable in data centers [2] - New Special Electric is also developing solid-state transformers (SST), which are currently in the technology development stage [2]

AI算力引发的电力缺口、电网升级的刚性需求，这些核心逻辑没有改变，且大概率会持续5-10年，短期 回调获迎中长期布局窗口。高盛预计：未来10年，AI推动的全球数字基础设施+能源体系的投资规模将 高达5万亿美元，其中，电网设备将是这场投资浪潮中最直接的受益者。 12月17日，A股三大指数集体反弹，电网设备板块盘中触底后强势拉升，截至14:00，全市场唯一的电网 设备ETF（159326）涨幅1.05%，成交额已达2.38亿元，持仓股平安电工涨停，亨通光电涨超9%，东材 科技涨超8%，中天科技、精达股份、远东股份、中国西电等股跟涨。 电网设备ETF（159326）已连续14个交易日获资金净流入，最高单日获得1.51亿元净流入，合计"吸 金"10.91亿元。最新规模30.1亿元，创成立以来新高。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 华泰证券表示，以变压器为代表的一次设备出海逻辑仍然强势，无论主网、配网，从订单及收入来看仍 然呈现高速增长态势。展望后续，高电压等级电网设备的紧缺更具备持续性。 电网设备ETF（159326）是全市场唯一跟踪中证电网设备主题指数的ETF，从申万三级行业分类上看， 指数成分股的行业分布以输变电设备 ...

储能方面，当前储能行业呈现供需两旺态势，国内外需求共振，新型储能"一芯难求"，头部电池企业持 续满产，电池价格延续上涨趋势，供应链整体具备价格传导能力。需求支撑、供给紧缺、上游挺价，储 能景气度有望持续。兼具规模交付能力、技术创新能力和全生命周期服务能力的头部企业具备显著竞争 优势。 12月11日，风电设备和电网设备获主力大幅加仓，资金净流入额居申万二级行业前两位。随着AI算力 需求的激增，海外电力缺口仍在持续扩大，国内相关企业面临历史性机遇。应关注哪些主线机会？请看 机构最新研判。 近日，高工产业研究院（GGII）发布《2025年中国AIDC储能行业发展蓝皮书》并分析称，全球AIDC储 能市场正迎来爆发式增长，预计到2030年AIDC储能锂电池出货量将突破300GWh，相当于2025年 15GWh的20倍。 与AIDC相关的能源解决方案板块关注度持续升温。一方面，全球范围内电网升级投资与能源数字化趋 势为产业提供了长期方向；另一方面，以美国为代表的地区出现的严峻电力缺口，为SOFC等分布式供 电方案提供了爆发性增长的现实土壤。 从产业趋势看，电网升级与出海浪潮构成长期支撑。全球能源转型与AI算力增长，正驱动 ...

Group 1 - Copper prices have reached a record high, with the London Metal Exchange (LME) three-month copper benchmark price rising to $11,570.5 per ton, leading to a collective increase in Hong Kong copper stocks [1] - Citigroup indicates that demand for copper is accelerating due to electric vehicles, grid upgrades, and AI-related data center construction, reinforcing a long-term bullish outlook [1] - UBS forecasts that copper prices will rise to $11,500 per ton in Q1 next year, steadily increasing to $12,000 by June 2026, $12,500 by September, and nearing $13,000 by the end of the year [1] Group 2 - Jiangxi Copper Co. (00358.HK) shares rose over 5%, while China Daye Nonferrous Metals (00661.HK) and Minmetals Resources (01208.HK) saw increases of nearly 4% and 3.66%, respectively [2] - China Gold International (02099.HK) reported a net profit of $142 million in Q3, marking a historical high for two consecutive quarters [3] - Jiangxi Copper Co. is in the process of acquiring shares of the overseas listed company SolGold Plc, currently at the informal offer stage [3]