证券代码：001298 证券简称：好上好 编号：2025-005 | | 特定对象调研 | | □分析师会议 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资者关系活动 | □媒体采访 | | 业绩说明会 | | 类别 | □新闻发布会 | | □路演活动 | | | □现场参观 | | | | | □其他 | | | | | 康卫荣 | 东方财富证券 | | | | 吕建新 | 亚威投资 | | | | 梁正芳 | 汇杰资本 | | | | 安佟亮 | 粤民投基金 | | | | 范尊武 | 涵崧基金 | | | | 林秋杏 | 涵崧基金 | | | 参与单位名称及 | 束佳黛 | 瑞业资产 | | | 人员姓名 | 刘靖 | 坚石资产 | | | | 陈建富 | 亿方富投资 | | | | 徐灵娥 | 前海骏杰 | | | | 孔庆华 | 前海骏杰 | | | | 李强 | 证金投资 | | | | 黄自成 | 图灵资产 | | | | 余礼冰 | 晓喆基金 | | | 时间 | 2025 年 11 | 月 28 日 | | | 地点 | 公司会议室 | | | | 上市公司接待人 | ...

Core Insights - The company reported significant revenue growth in Q3 2025, with total revenue reaching 31.93 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.48% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 26.43% [1] - The gross profit margin improved in Q3 2025, reaching 20.55%, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.36 percentage points [2] - The company is actively expanding its market presence and enhancing production capacity, particularly in the robotics sector, with a total of 536 ongoing projects, a 24.07% increase year-on-year [3] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 83.57 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.04%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.91 billion yuan, up 14.58% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.69 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 15.15% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 46.50% [1] - The company’s net profit margin for Q3 2025 was 11.74%, with a year-on-year decrease of 0.83 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.57 percentage points [2] Market Expansion and Capacity Development - The company is focusing on both domestic and international market expansion, with a steady increase in project numbers, including 413 new designated projects, a 37.21% increase year-on-year [3] - The company is advancing its production capacity with ongoing projects in Mexico and the establishment of new production lines for various products, including components for humanoid robots [3] Investment Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing penetration of smart driving technologies, with projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 being 13.56 billion yuan, 16.53 billion yuan, and 19.81 billion yuan respectively [4] - The company maintains a "buy" rating based on its growth prospects and ongoing capacity expansion [4]

Core Insights - Donghong Co., Ltd. has recently received a bid notification confirming its status as the winning bidder for the CW Project LOT44D, which involves HDPE pipes for land drainage, with a bid price of RMB 51.0928 million [1] Group 1: Project Details - The project is part of the company's strategic implementation of the "Four Cultivation Layout" which focuses on deepening regional presence, refining fields, diligently serving major clients, and meticulously managing large projects [1] - The successful bid marks a significant achievement in the company's nuclear power sector under its "One Main, Multiple Wings + One New" market strategy [1] Group 2: Strategic Focus - The company adheres to a strategic layout of "one core and four focuses," centering on intelligent pipeline terminals while emphasizing new materials, robotics, hydrogen energy, and marine applications [1] - The project will utilize the company's self-developed dual-layer HDPE pipeline products for nuclear power, providing comprehensive solutions characterized by high safety, long lifespan, and low maintenance [1] Group 3: Business Impact - The successful signing and implementation of the project are expected to positively influence the company's business growth, operational performance, market expansion, and brand influence [1] - The project win does not affect the independence of the company's operations [1]

消息面上，11月25日，速腾聚创发布超预期的三季度业绩，公司三季度实现总营收约4.07亿元，并预计 今年第四季度数字化激光雷达将迎来放量上升，并将首次实现单季度盈利。11月26日，速腾聚创发布公 告，宣布在香港交易所回购32.3万股股份，涉资约1001.15万港元。 速腾聚创(02498)午后涨近4%，截至发稿，涨3.97%，报32.46港元，成交额1.58亿港元。 招商证券国际发布研报称，公司今年第四季将实现盈利，明年ADAS及机器人出货强劲，指引均超百万 台，因此维持目标价和评级，同时预计第四季度激光雷达出货量将创新高，10月交付量达12万台，预计 11、12月环比增长。2025年ADAS出货量预计接近60万台，2026年超100万台，数位化EM平台已获49款 车型定点。 ...

与此同时，速腾聚创在机器人领域取得重大进展，自2025年第四季起为机器人割草机客户启动大规模生 产;与滴滴合作开发新一代无人计程车(每辆配备10组光达);获得城市配送制造商的新订单。 智通财经APP获悉，摩根大通发布研报称，重申速腾聚创(02498)"增持"评级，认为目前为良好入场时 机，目标价53港元。该行预测公司2025年第四季及2026年全年LiDAR出货量将达45.5万及226万台，营 收同比增长分别为58%及68%，并预期公司将于2025年第四季转亏为盈。 公司10月份单月激光雷达LiDAR总交付量突破12万台，创历史新高，其数位平台设计方案已进入量产阶 段。管理层预期未来ADAS光达订单将持续强劲，因来自更广泛客户群的设计方案持续增加。 ...

机构：中信建投证券 研究员：崔世峰/于伯韬/许光坦 核心观点 2025 年第三季度公司实现营收4.07 亿元，同比降低0.19%，其中ADAS 产品收入2.45 亿元，同比降低 26%，机器人领域收入1.42 亿元，同比增长158%。三季度公司毛利率23.93%，同比改善6.47pct，其中 ADAS 产品毛利率提升至18.1%，同比改善4pct，机器人领域毛利率提升至37.2%，同比改善2.6pct。三 季度公司净亏损约1.01 亿元，去年同期亏损约0.82 亿元。公司10 月单月激光雷达交付量已突破12 万 台，数字化新品进入规模化交付阶段，力争四季度实现单季度扭亏为盈。预计2026 年在EMX 等数字化 产品集中放量推动下，ADAS 雷达出货有望实现翻倍增长。 盈利预测与估值：我们预计2025-2026 年公司收入分别为22.19 亿元和32.89 亿元，同比增长35%和 48%，归母净利润分别为-1.48 亿元和1.48 亿元，对应净利率分别为-6.7%和4.5%。维持"买入"评级，目 标价44.75 港元，对应2026 年6 倍PS。 风险提示：1）宏观经济风险；国内经济及全球经济面临下行压力，终端 ...

国泰海通策略坚决看好中国市场前景，股指进入击球区。机会总在恐慌中出现，中国股市将逐步企稳与 展开跨年攻势，上升的空间还很大，眼下是增持的良机。 美股AI波动与Google创出新高更似AI结构切换而非走势终结，中国也将在12—2月迎来政策、流动性、 基本面的共振期，市场调整后组合上逐步增加进攻性。看好AI应用，机器人，内需消费，新疆基建等 主题。 本文转载自"腾讯自选股"，智通财经编辑：冯秋怡。 机构看后市 中信证券认为，在增量资金越来越多地以左侧稳健型资金为主的资金生态下，A股/港股未来可能更多地 像美股一样出现"急跌慢涨"。对需要增配权益的投资者而言，当下风险的提前释放给了年末重新增配A 股/港股、布局2026年的契机。东方财富证券表示，在日历效应和机构行为影响下，近期增量资金由三 季度的共振转为分歧，净流入趋缓。步入12月，资金流入效应有望再度加强，春季行情或有望抢跑。 A股三大股指集体低开，沪指跌0.11%，创业板指跌0.04%。盘面上，商业航天板块表现活跃，培育钻 石、存储芯片、光刻机等板块跌幅居前。 ...

Core Viewpoint - NIO's founder and CEO Li Bin emphasized the company's commitment to focusing solely on the automotive business and not diversifying into other sectors like AI or robotics [2][7]. Financial Performance - Li Bin expressed confidence in achieving profitability in Q4 2025, with a target revenue of between 327.58 billion to 340.39 billion yuan [4][5]. - In Q3 2025, NIO reported an adjusted net loss of 2.74 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 38.0% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 33.7% [5]. - The gross margin for NIO in Q3 2025 was 13.9%, the highest quarterly margin in three years, with a vehicle gross margin of 14.7%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.6 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.4 percentage points [5][6]. Product Strategy - NIO plans to launch three new electric vehicle models in 2026, alongside the recently introduced ES8 and L90, aiming to enhance gross margins through cost reduction and expense control [6]. - The company is focusing on high-priced, high-margin models, which have shown better-than-expected delivery numbers [5]. Market Positioning - NIO currently holds less than 2% of the global automotive market share, indicating significant growth potential within the automotive sector [7]. - Li Bin stated that while the robotics market is substantial, NIO will not enter this field immediately, preferring to concentrate on selling cars [9]. Company Focus - NIO aims to become a "super-focused" company, with all future business closely related to the automotive industry [7]. - The company has previously ventured into other areas, such as AR glasses, but has not made significant progress in those sectors [8].

报告还指出，2025年港股IPO市场迎来强势复苏，IPO筹资额时隔四年再度突破2000亿港元，创近 五年第二高纪录。港交所融资额位居全球交易所榜首，大型IPO项目上市成为推动港股崛起的关键因 素。其中，来自内地的A+H及A拆H企业贡献突出，全年预计超过20家A股公司在港首发上市，合计募 资超过1700亿港元。 安永大中华区财务会计咨询服务主管合伙人刘国华表示："当前，内地与香港资本市场已进入互补 发展阶段，两地市场协同发力、共同服务国家战略全局。上半年国际资本持续涌入香港市场，南下资金 加速流入，推动港股投资者结构从'外资主导'转向'内外资双轮驱动'。虽然面临阶段性震荡，但港股整 体呈现上行趋势，并在龙头企业、市场政策、外部环境等多重作用下实现规模增长与结构升级。" 11月27日，安永发布了2025年《中国内地和香港IPO市场回顾及展望》报告。 报告指出，A股和香港市场全年IPO数量和筹资额占全球总量的16%和33%。其中，今年港交所以 2800亿港元（折合360亿美元）的融资额，跃居全球交易所榜首，远超排名第二的纽交所（205亿美 元）。 从全球市场来看，IPO数量与去年基本持平，但筹资额相比去年有所增长。 ...

Core Insights - The report by Ernst & Young indicates a growth trend in IPO activities in mainland China and Hong Kong, with A-shares and Hong Kong accounting for 16% of global IPO numbers and 33% of global fundraising amounts in 2025 [1] Group 1: IPO Market Overview - Hong Kong Stock Exchange is projected to lead global exchanges with a fundraising amount of $36 billion in 2025, while Shanghai Stock Exchange ranks fifth with $11 billion [2] - Chinese companies occupy five positions in the global top ten IPOs, with representation across automotive, mining, energy, and advanced manufacturing sectors [2] Group 2: A-share Market Dynamics - The A-share IPO market is expected to see moderate growth in 2025, with approximately 97 companies going public and raising around 100 billion RMB [3] - The average fundraising amount per IPO in A-shares has increased to 1.031 billion RMB, reflecting a 53% year-on-year rise, driven by large IPOs [4] - The automotive sector accounts for about 30% of A-share IPOs, with significant contributions from industrial, technology, and materials sectors [4] Group 3: Hong Kong IPO Landscape - The Hong Kong IPO market is experiencing a strong recovery, with fundraising surpassing 200 billion HKD, marking the second-highest peak in five years [5] - Mainland enterprises dominate the Hong Kong IPO market, contributing 88.5% of the number of listings and 83.5% of the total fundraising [5] - New consumption and hard technology sectors are identified as the dual engines driving IPO activities in Hong Kong [5] Group 4: Future IPO Trends - The IPO issuance in 2026 is expected to transition to a "new normal," focusing on a steady pace rather than a return to rapid expansion, influenced by macroeconomic conditions and the quality of prospective listings [8] - The A-share market is anticipated to gradually restore normal issuance patterns, emphasizing quality and structural optimization, particularly in strategic emerging industries [8] - The Hong Kong IPO market is expected to maintain its momentum, with a focus on A+H listings and the return of Chinese concept stocks [8]