Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has announced the resumption of government bond trading operations in the open market, indicating a shift in monetary policy to ensure smooth transmission and stability in the financial market [1] Group 1: Monetary Policy and Market Operations - The PBOC had previously suspended government bond trading due to imbalances in market supply and demand, but is now resuming operations as the bond market is performing well [1] - The PBOC will conduct flexible operations based on the needs for base currency issuance, considering market conditions and yield curve changes [1] Group 2: Precious Metals and Geopolitical Risks - Precious metals, particularly gold and silver, have seen a decline as geopolitical risks, such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict, have eased [2][19] - Central banks globally continue to increase gold reserves, reflecting a growing recognition of gold as a safe-haven asset amid rising distrust in the financial system [2][19] Group 3: Oil Market Dynamics - The oil market is influenced by new sanctions imposed by the U.S. on major Russian oil companies, which may impact supply but the overall trend remains downward [3][14] - The geopolitical situation has led to fluctuations in oil prices, but the market is currently facing uncertainty regarding the future direction of prices [3][14] Group 4: Stock Market Trends - U.S. stock indices have continued to rise, driven by positive developments in U.S.-China trade negotiations, with significant trading volumes reported [4][12] - The domestic liquidity environment in China is expected to remain loose, potentially leading to increased investment in equity assets [4][12] Group 5: Economic Indicators - China's industrial profits have shown a year-on-year increase of 21.6% in September, indicating robust growth in high-tech and equipment manufacturing sectors [7] - The PBOC's monetary policy stance remains supportive, with expectations of continued liquidity in the market [13]

Core Viewpoint - In September, industrial profits showed a weak performance compared to previous years when adjusted for low base effects, with current cost rates remaining at historically high levels [2][8]. Overall Performance - In September, industrial profits continued to rise due to short-term factors like expenses, with a year-on-year increase of 2.6 percentage points to 22.5%. However, on a two-year compound basis, profit growth fell by 5.3 percentage points to -5.9%. Month-on-month, profits increased by only 1.1%, significantly lower than the same period last year (11.3%) [2][8]. - The profit margin continued to rise, primarily driven by short-term indicators, with a marginal increase of 9.5 percentage points to 11.6%. Other income items that previously boosted profits saw a decline in their contribution [2][8]. Revenue Analysis - Industrial revenue improved in September, with nominal revenue rising due to marginal improvements in the Producer Price Index (PPI). The actual revenue growth rate, adjusted for price changes, increased by 0.2 percentage points to 5.4%, contributing an additional 0.3 percentage points to profit growth [2][16]. - By industry chain, the consumer chain saw a significant increase in actual revenue growth, rising by 2.2 percentage points to 8.1%. The petrochemical and metallurgy chains also showed improvements, with year-on-year increases of 1.3 and 0.1 percentage points to 3% and 4.8%, respectively [2][16]. Cost Structure - Industrial enterprises faced increasing cost pressures in September, with cost rates in the metallurgy and consumer chains at historically high levels. The overall cost rate was 85.4%, reflecting a relative high compared to recent years [3][22]. - The cost contribution to year-on-year profit growth decreased by 0.3 percentage points to -3.6%. The cost rates for the metallurgy and consumer manufacturing chains were 86.5% and 83.9%, respectively, both higher than the previous year [3][22]. Industry Insights - Industries with significant profit improvements were primarily influenced by revenue and expenses, although cost pressures remained substantial. Notably, the computer communication and automotive sectors saw profit increases of 3.5 and 2.8 percentage points to 4.5% and 2.2%, respectively [3][33]. - Other contributing sectors included general equipment, non-metallic products, and rubber and plastics, which collectively boosted overall profits. However, the automotive and computer communication sectors experienced year-on-year increases in operating costs of 4% and 3.8%, respectively [3][33]. Future Outlook - Industrial enterprises are expected to continue facing significant cost pressures, with the effectiveness of "anti-involution" policies still to be seen. The current profit pressures are largely due to rigid cost increases from downstream investments [4][48]. - Looking ahead, policies aimed at stabilizing growth in sectors like construction materials and steel have been introduced, which, along with accelerated debt repayments, may gradually alleviate cost pressures. However, attention should be paid to the potential negative impact of upstream price surges on corporate profitability [4][48]. Regular Tracking - Industrial profits have been on the rise, with both volume and price improvements noted. In September, industrial profits increased by 1.2 percentage points to 21.6%, driven by a 1.3 percentage point rise in industrial added value to 6.5% [5][51]. - Revenue growth for industrial enterprises also showed signs of recovery, particularly in the cultural, educational, and entertainment sectors, as well as in petroleum and coal processing, with significant month-on-month increases [5][65].

Core Viewpoints - In September, industrial enterprises' profits continued to rise, primarily driven by low base effects and short-term factors, but when adjusted for these factors, the profit performance was weaker than in previous years [2][8] - The cumulative revenue of industrial enterprises in September showed a year-on-year increase of 2.4%, while profits increased by 3.2% [7][90] Revenue - In September, nominal revenue for industrial enterprises improved, with all three major industrial chains showing revenue recovery. The Producer Price Index (PPI) marginally improved, leading to a nominal revenue increase [16][91] - The actual revenue growth rate, adjusted for price changes, rose by 0.2 percentage points to 5.4%, contributing to a 0.3 percentage point increase in profit year-on-year [16][91] Costs - Industrial enterprises faced increasing cost pressures in September, with cost rates in the metallurgical and consumer chains remaining at historically high levels. The overall cost rate was 85.4%, indicating significant cost pressure on profits [22][91] - The cost rate for the metallurgical chain was 86.5%, and for the consumer manufacturing chain, it was 83.9%, both higher than the previous year [22][91] Industry Performance - Industries such as computer communication and automotive saw significant profit recovery, contributing 3.5 and 2.8 percentage points to overall profit growth, respectively [33][92] - Despite revenue improvements in these sectors, cost pressures remained high, with operating costs for the automotive and computer communication sectors rising by 4% and 3.8%, respectively [33][92] Outlook - The cost pressures for industrial enterprises are expected to remain high, with ongoing monitoring of the "anti-involution" policy's impact on costs. The current profit pressure is largely due to rigid cost increases from downstream investments [4][48] - Future policies aimed at stabilizing growth in sectors like construction materials and steel are anticipated to gradually alleviate cost pressures, although attention should be paid to potential negative impacts from upstream price surges [4][48]

Group 1: Industrial Sector - Industrial product futures prices increased, with the South China industrial product index rising by 2.8%[2] - Steel and building materials production and apparent demand improved, with cement clinker capacity utilization rising[2] - Polyester and weaving industry operating rates showed marginal recovery, while automotive tire production rates rebounded[2] Group 2: Real Estate - New home sales in 30 major cities decreased by 21.0% year-on-year, a decline of 1.1 percentage points from the previous week[2] - The second-hand housing listing price index fell by 0.92% in the last four weeks as of October 13[2] - New home sales in October showed a year-on-year decline of 23.4%, a drop from the previous month[2] Group 3: Domestic Demand - Retail sales of automobiles decreased by 6% year-on-year from October 1-19, with a preliminary estimate of a 2.6% decline for the month[2] - Major home appliance retail sales fell by 17.0% year-on-year, a drop of 13.4 percentage points from the previous value[2] - Domestic flight operations increased by 2.3% year-on-year, while the Baidu migration index rose by 11.5%[2] Group 4: External Demand - Port cargo throughput increased by 0.9% year-on-year as of October 19, while container throughput rose by 4.3%[2] - The China export container freight index increased by 2.0% week-on-week, with Shanghai and Ningbo export container prices continuing to rise[2] - South Korea's export value increased by 9.7% year-on-year for the first 20 working days of October, although the growth rate declined from September[2] Group 5: Price Trends - Futures prices for coking coal rose by 5.9%, with spot prices in Shanxi increasing by 5.0%[2] - Rebar futures closed up by 0.3%, with spot prices rising by 0.1%[2] - The overall industrial product price performance showed a positive trend, with various indices reflecting increases in key materials[2]

Economic Growth - The GDP growth for the first three quarters of 2023 is 5.2% year-on-year, with a 4.8% growth in the third quarter, indicating resilience in economic growth [1] - Industrial production showed a strong performance, with the industrial added value increasing by 6.5% year-on-year in September, up 1.3% from the previous month [1] Demand Side - Fixed asset investment has decreased by 0.5% year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in real estate and infrastructure investments, while manufacturing investment grew by 4% [2] - Retail sales of consumer goods increased by 3% year-on-year in September, but this marks a 0.4 percentage point decline from the previous month, continuing a four-month downward trend [2] - Service consumption remains a bright spot, with total service consumption growth rising to 5.2%, contributing 2.7 percentage points to GDP growth in the third quarter [2] Structural Issues - There are evident signs of weakness in housing prices, with all 70 major cities reporting declines in second-hand housing prices in September, and real estate investment down by 13.9% year-on-year [3] - The GDP deflator index is at -1.07%, remaining negative for over ten consecutive quarters, indicating ongoing structural issues that require further policy support [3] - To ensure a strong start for economic growth in the following year, it is necessary to enhance growth-stabilizing policies [3]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content. 2. Core Viewpoints - **Stock Market**: A - shares and four stock index futures rose collectively this week, with small - and medium - cap stocks outperforming large - cap blue - chip stocks. After the Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee, market sentiment was boosted, but trading activity declined. It is recommended to buy on dips [6]. - **Bond Market**: Treasury futures weakened this week. Although the fundamentals and capital situation may push the bond market to strengthen, uncertainties will continue to disrupt market sentiment. It is expected that Treasury futures will fluctuate widely in the short term, and interval operations are recommended [6]. - **Commodity Market**: Geopolitical conflicts drive up oil prices, and gold fluctuations decrease. The short - term commodity index is expected to fluctuate strongly, and it is recommended to mainly observe [6]. - **Foreign Exchange Market**: The US dollar may be under pressure in the medium term. The yen is under pressure, and short - term dollar strength may suppress the euro and yen. It is recommended to observe cautiously [6][10]. 3. Summary by Directory This Week's Summary and Next Week's Allocation Recommendations - **Stock**: The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 rose 3.24%, and the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 stock index futures rose 3.35%. A - shares and four stock index futures rose, with market sentiment boosted after the Fourth Plenary Session. It is recommended to buy on dips [6]. - **Bond**: The 10 - year Treasury bond yield rose 0.21%, and the main 10 - year Treasury futures fell 0.27%. Due to policy and market uncertainties, it is expected to fluctuate widely in the short term, and interval operations are recommended [6]. - **Commodity**: The Wind Commodity Index fell 4.93%, and the CSI Commodity Futures Price Index fell 0.29%. Geopolitical conflicts drive up oil prices, and gold fluctuations decrease. It is recommended to mainly observe [6]. - **Foreign Exchange**: The euro against the US dollar fell 0.42%. The US dollar may be under pressure in the medium term, and the yen is under pressure. It is recommended to observe cautiously [6]. Important News and Events - **China - US Relations**: The two sides are about to return to the negotiation table, and Trump plans to visit China next year. China advocates resolving issues through negotiation [14][16]. - **Domestic Policy**: The Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee emphasized "sustained efforts in pro - growth policies" [6]. - **International Affairs**: The EU invited China to discuss rare earths, and European leaders supported the Russia - Ukraine cease - fire through negotiation. The Trump administration froze $11 billion in infrastructure funds [14][16]. This Week's Domestic and Foreign Economic Data - **China**: The Q3 GDP annual rate was 4.8%, the September social consumer goods retail sales increased 3% year - on - year, and the September industrial added value increased 6.5% year - on - year [11][17]. - **US**: The September existing home sales totaled 4.06 million annualized [17]. - **EU**: The preliminary October consumer confidence index was - 14.2 [17]. - **UK**: The September CPI monthly rate was 0, and the September retail price index monthly rate was - 0.4% [17]. - **Germany**: The September PPI monthly rate was - 0.1% [17]. Next Week's Important Economic Indicators and Economic Events - **October 27**: China's January - September industrial enterprise profit annual rate, US September durable goods orders monthly rate [81]. - **October 28**: Germany's November Gfk consumer confidence index, US August S&P/CS20 city house price index annual rate [81]. - **October 30**: US Fed interest rate decision, eurozone Q3 GDP annual rate, US Q3 real GDP annualized quarterly rate, etc. [81]. - **October 31**: Japan's September unemployment rate, China's October official manufacturing PMI, etc. [81].

Core Viewpoint - The third quarter economic data indicates that China's economy is maintaining resilience, with GDP growth of 5.2% year-on-year for the first three quarters and 4.8% for the third quarter, driven primarily by the production sector [2][3]. Group 1: Economic Growth - The industrial production maintained a rapid growth rate, with industrial added value increasing by 6.5% year-on-year in September, up by 1.3% from the previous month [2]. - Exports showed improvement, with a year-on-year growth of 3.8% in September, a significant recovery from the previous month's decline of 0.4% [2]. - The production sector is identified as the most important driver of economic growth this year, supported by policy measures and seasonal effects [2]. Group 2: Demand Side Analysis - Fixed asset investment has continued to decline, with a year-to-date decrease of 0.5%, primarily due to weakened real estate and infrastructure investments [3]. - Retail sales of consumer goods grew by 3% year-on-year in September, marking a 0.4 percentage point decline from the previous month, continuing a four-month downward trend [3]. - Service consumption remains a bright spot, with total service consumption growth rising by 0.1% to 5.2%, contributing 2.7 percentage points to GDP growth in the third quarter [3]. Group 3: Structural Issues and Policy Needs - There are evident signs of weakening in housing prices, with all 70 major cities reporting declines in second-hand housing prices in September [4]. - The GDP deflator index stands at -1.07%, remaining negative for over ten consecutive quarters, indicating ongoing structural issues [4]. - To support economic growth for the upcoming year, it is necessary to further implement stability policies, especially considering the high base from last year's growth [4].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The overall rating for commodities and stock index futures is neutral [5] 2. Core View of the Report - The report focuses on multiple factors including the domestic economic situation, Sino - US tariff frictions, the US government shutdown, and commodity market trends. It suggests a wait - and - see approach for commodities in the short - term, and points out potential opportunities and risks in different commodity sectors [1][2][3][4] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Market Analysis - In China, the gap between strong expectations and weak reality has widened. In August, economic data showed signs of weakness with characteristics such as slow industrial growth, weak investment, and sluggish consumption. In September, exports were resilient, and the M2 - M1 gap reached a new low for the year. The government has proposed measures to stabilize growth, with new policy - based financial instruments totaling 500 billion yuan. China's Q3 GDP grew by 4.8% year - on - year, September's retail sales growth slowed to 3% compared to August, and industrial value - added growth accelerated to 6.5%. Housing prices in 70 cities declined in September, with second - and third - tier cities' second - hand housing prices falling by 0.7% and 0.6% respectively [1] - Sino - US tariff frictions have intensified. As the extension of Sino - US tariffs is about to expire on November 10, the US has taken multiple measures such as adding Chinese companies to the entity list and imposing tariffs on various products. China has responded with measures like export controls on rare - earth technology and charging special port fees on US ships. Both sides have agreed to hold a new round of economic and trade consultations [2] - As of October 22, the US government shutdown has entered its 22nd day, becoming the second - longest in history. Economic data releases have been delayed, and the market may have underestimated the severity of the shutdown. Japan's Prime Minister is preparing economic stimulus measures expected to exceed 13.9 trillion yen from last year [3] Commodity Market - For commodities, a wait - and - see approach is recommended in the short - term due to high volatility in previously bullish sectors. The black sector is still affected by downstream demand expectations, and the "anti - involution" situation should be noted. The non - ferrous sector has long - term supply constraints and is boosted by global easing expectations. The energy sector has a relatively loose supply in the medium - term, with OPEC+ planning to increase production by 137,000 barrels per day in November. The US API crude oil inventory decreased by 2.981 million barrels last week. In the chemical sector, the "anti - involution" space of products like methanol, caustic soda, and urea is worth attention. Agricultural products are driven by tariff and inflation expectations but need fundamental signals and are affected by Sino - US negotiations. For precious metals, short - term price fluctuations are risky, but there are long - term buying opportunities at low prices. On October 22, spot gold fell below $4,070 per ounce, with a decline of over $70 per ounce in 30 minutes [4] Strategy - The overall strategy for commodities and stock index futures is neutral [5] Important News - On October 21, Chinese Minister Wang Wentao had a video call with the EU Commissioner, discussing key economic and trade issues. China's rare - earth export control is a normal measure to improve the export control system [7] - The US government shutdown may last until November and exceed the 35 - day record of Trump's first term [7] - Japan's Prime Minister is preparing economic stimulus measures centered around three pillars: anti - inflation measures, investment in growth industries, and national security [7] - US API crude oil inventory decreased last week, along with changes in other oil product inventories [7] - Russian President Putin will not attend the G20 summit in South Africa in person [7] - Spot gold prices dropped sharply on October 22 [7]

Core Viewpoint - The banking sector is showing strong defensive characteristics amid market adjustments, with expectations of seasonal performance improvements due to high dividends and low valuations [2] Group 1: Market Performance - As of October 23, 2025, the Bank ETF Southern (512700) rose by 1.13%, marking a four-day winning streak with a transaction volume of 33.92 million yuan [1] - The CSI Bank Index increased by 1.18%, with notable gains from Postal Savings Bank (up 4.36%), Industrial Bank (up 1.91%), and Agricultural Bank (up 1.85%) [1] - Over the past five trading days, the Bank ETF Southern (512700) experienced net inflows on four occasions [1] Group 2: Interest Rate Policy - Tianfeng Securities suggests that the likelihood of lowering the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) this year is low, as the primary goal of such a move is to stimulate credit demand, which may not be significant in Q4 [1] - The report indicates that the focus will likely shift towards fiscal subsidies and structural monetary policy tools as a form of "indirect interest rate reduction" [1] - The main challenge for banks in asset-liability management is the pressure of asset reallocation [1] Group 3: Investment Outlook - According to Everbright Securities, the banking sector's defensive attributes are highlighted by rising risk aversion due to renewed trade tensions, making it an attractive investment option [2] - Historical data shows that the banking sector has a 70% and 80% probability of generating absolute returns in November-December and January of the following year, respectively [2] - The upcoming Central Economic Work Conference is expected to reinforce policies aimed at stabilizing growth, further supporting the banking stocks' seasonal performance [2] Group 4: Index Composition - The Bank ETF Southern (512700) closely tracks the CSI Bank Index, which categorizes companies into various industry levels for comprehensive performance analysis [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the index include China Merchants Bank, Industrial Bank, and Agricultural Bank among others [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - After a high - level oscillation in September, the stock index is expected to enter a direction - selection phase again. The domestic liquidity environment is likely to remain loose, and domestic residents may increase their allocation of equity assets. With the Fed's interest rate cuts and RMB appreciation, external funds are also expected to flow into the domestic market. In terms of market style, although technology growth has been the core theme of the current upward market trend, considering the possible intensification of Q4 growth - stabilization policies and the potential resonance of global monetary and fiscal policies, the market style in Q4 may shift towards value and become more balanced compared to Q3 [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Stock Index Futures Market - **IF Contracts**: The previous two - day closing prices of IF contracts (current month, next month, next quarter, and far - quarter) were 4519.80, 4506.80, 4482.00, and 4447.20 respectively, and the previous day's closing prices were 4588.60, 4577.60, 4550.20, and 4515.00 respectively. The price increases were 71.00, 73.40, 71.20, and 71.00 respectively, and the corresponding price increase rates of the CSI 300 were 1.57, 1.63, 1.59, and 1.60. The trading volumes were 29776.00, 77133.00, 12638.00, and 2919.00 respectively, and the open interests were 41688.00, 157558.00, 56187.00, and 3333.00 respectively. The changes in open interests were 1009.00, 1159.00, - 780.00, and - 73.00 respectively [1] - **IH Contracts**: The previous two - day closing prices of IH contracts were 2972.00, 2970.40, 2972.00, and 2969.80 respectively, and the previous day's closing prices were 3004.20, 3004.80, 3005.60, and 3004.00 respectively. The price increases were 33.00, 35.20, 35.20, and 35.20 respectively, and the corresponding price increase rates of the SSE 50 were 1.11, 1.19, 1.19, and 1.19. The trading volumes were 12905.00, 35150.00, 4265.00, and 1113.00 respectively, and the open interests were 14510.00, 62330.00, 13436.00, and 1032.00 respectively. The changes in open interests were - 484.00, 1866.00, - 42.00, and 76.00 respectively [1] - **IC Contracts**: The previous two - day closing prices of IC contracts were 6972.00, 6909.20, 6747.40, and 6567.00 respectively, and the previous day's closing prices were 7108.80, 7052.80, 6886.20, and 6709.80 respectively. The price increases were 138.40, 144.00, 140.40, and 145.40 respectively, and the corresponding price increase rates of the CSI 500 were 1.99, 2.08, 2.08, and 2.22. The trading volumes were 33289.00, 89215.00, 17433.00, and 5710.00 respectively, and the open interests were 50505.00, 139981.00, 52019.00, and 6571.00 respectively. The changes in open interests were 1557.00, 4488.00, - 549.00, and 364.00 respectively [1] - **IM Contracts**: The previous two - day closing prices of IM contracts were 7137.60, 7059.20, 6841.60, and 6637.40 respectively, and the previous day's closing prices were 7261.00, 7182.80, 6966.80, and 6753.60 respectively. The price increases were 126.40, 129.40, 130.20, and 126.40 respectively, and the corresponding price increase rates of the CSI 1000 were 1.77, 1.83, 1.90, and 1.91. The trading volumes were 44744.00, 151318.00, 26613.00, and 10398.00 respectively, and the open interests were 72051.00, 190486.00, 80131.00, and 12634.00 respectively. The changes in open interests were 985.00, 832.00, - 2419.00, and 1567.00 respectively [1] - **Inter - month Spreads**: The current inter - month spreads of IF (next month - current month), IH (next month - current month), IC (next month - current month), and IM (next month - current month) were - 11.00, 0.60, - 56.00, and - 78.20 respectively, while the previous values were - 13.00, - 1.60, - 62.80, and - 78.40 respectively [1] 3.2 Stock Index Spot Market - **CSI 300 Index**: The previous value of the CSI 300 index was 4607.87, with a trading volume of 215.71 billion lots and a total trading value of 5513.90 billion yuan. The previous two - day value was 4538.22, with a trading volume of 218.42 billion lots and a total trading value of 5057.99 billion yuan. The price increase rate was 1.53 [1] - **SSE 50 Index**: The previous value of the SSE 50 index was 3007.26, with a trading volume of 55.30 billion lots and a total trading value of 1472.70 billion yuan. The previous two - day value was 2974.86, with a trading volume of 53.18 billion lots and a total trading value of 1283.62 billion yuan. The price increase rate was 1.09 [1] - **CSI 500 Index**: The previous value of the CSI 500 index was 7185.62, with a trading volume of 205.97 billion lots and a total trading value of 3449.91 billion yuan. The previous two - day value was 7069.64, with a trading volume of 176.83 billion lots and a total trading value of 3146.75 billion yuan. The price increase rate was 1.64 [1] - **CSI 1000 Index**: The previous value of the CSI 1000 index was 7344.05, with a trading volume of 237.25 billion lots and a total trading value of 3481.59 billion yuan. The previous two - day value was 7239.18, with a trading volume of 218.58 billion lots and a total trading value of 3284.45 billion yuan. The price increase rate was 1.45 [1] - **Industry Indexes**: Different industries in the CSI 300 had different price increase rates. For example, the price increase rates of energy, raw materials, industry, and optional consumption were - 0.58%, 1.10%, 1.53%, and 0.60% respectively; the price increase rates of major consumption, medical and health, real - estate and finance, and information technology were 0.16%, 0.97%, 0.52%, and 3.74% respectively; the price increase rates of telecommunications services and public utilities were 5.72% and - 0.36% respectively [1] 3.3 Basis between Futures and Spot - **CSI 300 - related Basis**: The previous values of the basis between IF contracts (current month, next month, next quarter, far - quarter) and the CSI 300 were - 19.27, - 30.27, - 57.67, and - 92.87 respectively, and the previous two - day values were - 18.42, - 31.42, - 56.22, and - 91.02 respectively [1] - **SSE 50 - related Basis**: The previous values of the basis between IH contracts (current month, next month, next quarter, far - quarter) and the SSE 50 were - 3.06, - 2.46, - 1.66, and - 3.26 respectively, and the previous two - day values were - 2.86, - 4.46, - 2.86, and - 5.06 respectively [1] - **CSI 500 - related Basis**: The previous values of the basis between IC contracts (current month, next month, next quarter, far - quarter) and the CSI 500 were - 76.82, - 132.82, - 299.42, and - 475.82 respectively, and the previous two - day values were - 97.64, - 160.44, - 322.24, and - 502.64 respectively [1] - **CSI 1000 - related Basis**: The previous values of the basis between IM contracts (current month, next month, next quarter, far - quarter) and the CSI 1000 were - 83.05, - 161.25, - 377.25, and - 590.45 respectively, and the previous two - day values were - 101.58, - 179.98, - 397.58, and - 601.78 respectively [1] 3.4 Other Domestic and Overseas Indexes - **Domestic Main Indexes**: The previous values of the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, Small and Medium - sized Board Index, and ChiNext Index were 3916.33, 13077.32, 8038.31, and 3083.72 respectively. The previous two - day values were 3863.89, 12813.21, 7870.96, and 2993.45 respectively. The price increase rates were 1.36%, 2.06%, 2.13%, and 3.02% respectively [1] - **Overseas Indexes**: The previous values of the Hang Seng Index, Nikkei 225, S&P 500, and DAX Index were 26027.55, 49185.50, 6735.35, and 24330.03 respectively. The previous two - day values were 25858.83, 47582.15, 6735.13, and 24258.80 respectively. The price increase rates were 0.65%, 3.37%, 0.00%, and 0.29% respectively [1] 3.5 Macroeconomic Information - US President Trump said he would visit China early next year. The Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman responded that no information could be provided for the time being [2] - Chinese Minister of Commerce Wang Wentao held a video conference with EU Commissioner for Trade and Economic Security Valdis Dombrovskis, discussing key China - EU economic and trade issues such as export controls and the EU's anti - subsidy case against Chinese electric vehicles. He also had a phone call with Dutch Minister of Economic Affairs Micky Adriaansens, discussing issues related to Nexperia. Wang stated that China's recent measures on rare - earth export controls were normal actions to improve the export control system in accordance with laws and regulations, and urged the Dutch side to resolve issues related to Nexperia properly [2] - The Ministry of Commerce held a policy - interpretation round - table meeting for foreign - invested enterprises, with over 170 representatives of foreign - invested enterprises and foreign business associations in China attending. Deputy Minister of Commerce Ling Ji emphasized that China's export controls were responsible actions to maintain world peace and regional security and stability and fulfill non - proliferation obligations, while also approving compliant trade in accordance with laws to maintain the stability of the global industrial and supply chains [2] - The Ministry of Culture and Tourism released data showing that in the first three quarters, the number of domestic tourist trips was 4.998 billion, an increase of 0.761 billion year - on - year, representing a growth rate of 18%. The domestic tourism consumption was 4.85 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 11.5% [2] 3.6 Industry Information - The National Medical Products Administration will further improve the legal and standard systems, increase support for R & D innovation, improve the quality and efficiency of review and approval, strengthen the safety bottom - line for high - level medical devices, accelerate the launch of innovative products, and promote the innovative and high - quality development of the medical device industry [2] - As of the end of June 2025, the total asset management scale of China's trust industry reached 32.43 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 20.11%. This was the first time that China's trust scale exceeded 30 trillion yuan, ranking third after insurance asset management and public funds in terms of asset scale [2] - Guangzhou announced a new blueprint for future industries, planning to develop six core future industries, including intelligent unmanned systems, embodied intelligence, cell and gene technology, future networks and quantum technology, advanced new materials, and deep - sea and deep - space exploration [2] - Shanghai issued an action plan to promote the high - quality development of the construction industry, proposing 21 specific measures in eight aspects, such as encouraging the integration of homogeneous businesses of construction enterprises, building a new model for real - estate development, and accelerating urban renewal [2] 3.7 Stock Index Views - The three major US stock indexes showed mixed performance. In the previous trading day, the stock index rose significantly, with the communication and electronics sectors leading the gains and the coal sector leading the losses. The market trading volume was 1.89 trillion yuan. On October 20, the margin trading balance increased by 396 million yuan to 2.413231 trillion yuan. The volatile situation of China - US tariffs has led to frequent shifts between long and short positions in the stock index. Meanwhile, during the Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th CPC Central Committee from October 20th to 23rd, market funds were relatively cautious [2]