最新数据显示，8月份受基数走高影响和食品价格拖累，居民消费价格指数（CPI）走弱，但与工业品价格相关指标改善，表明国内市场竞争秩序持续优 化，部分行业供需关系改善。 具体来看，8月CPI同比下降0.4%，扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨0.9%，涨幅连续第四个月扩大。工业生产者出厂价格指数（PPI）环比由上月 下降0.2%转为持平；同比下降2.9%，降幅比上月收窄0.7个百分点。 接受记者采访的市场人士认为，核心CPI涨幅连续扩大释放物价运行积极信号，但CPI持续在0值附近运行，后续物价表现改善还需要持续提振居民消费需 求。 食品价格等拖累CPI同比、环比表现 8月份，CPI同比下降0.4%。其中，食品价格下降4.3%，非食品价格上涨0.5%。1—8月平均，CPI比上年同期下降0.1%。 对于CPI同比由平转降，国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟分析，这主要是上年同期对比基数走高叠加当月食品价格涨幅低于季节性水平所致。 "在剔除短期性、超季节性、非趋势性的食品价格影响后，8月份CPI同比可回到正增长区间。"国家金融与发展实验室特聘高级研究员庞溟对记者表示。 核心CPI涨幅连续扩大 释放物价运行积极信号 8 ...

CPI Insights - In August 2025, the CPI decreased by 0.4% year-on-year, down from 0% in the previous month, and below the market expectation of -0.2%[2] - The core CPI rose by 0.9% year-on-year, slightly up from 0.8% in the previous month, indicating a continuous recovery over four months[2] - Food prices significantly impacted the CPI, with a year-on-year decline of 4.3% in August, compared to -1.6% in July[4] PPI Insights - The PPI year-on-year decline narrowed to 2.9% in August from 3.6% in July, aligning with market expectations[2] - The PPI month-on-month change was stable at 0%, improving from a decline of 0.2% in the previous month[2] - The "anti-involution" policy has led to a stabilization in prices for coal, steel, and new energy vehicles, contributing to the PPI's upward trend[8] Future Outlook - The CPI is expected to return to positive growth in Q4 2025 as high base effects diminish and pig production capacity management continues[3] - The PPI is anticipated to gradually recover, although the process may be slow due to a weaker demand environment compared to 2015-2016[11] - The overall supply-demand balance in industries is expected to improve, indicating that the worst phase for PPI has likely passed[11]

Group 1: Consumer Price Index (CPI) Insights - In August, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) remained flat month-on-month and showed a year-on-year decline, primarily due to a high comparison base from the previous year and lower seasonal food price increases [1] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy prices, rose by 0.9% year-on-year, marking the fourth consecutive month of growth, with an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month [1] - Food prices increased by 0.5% month-on-month, but this was below the seasonal level by approximately 1.1 percentage points, with pork, eggs, and fresh fruit prices showing weaker seasonal changes [1] Group 2: Producer Price Index (PPI) Insights - The Producer Price Index (PPI) turned flat in August after a 0.2% decline in the previous month, ending an eight-month downward trend, with the year-on-year decline narrowing by 0.7 percentage points [3] - The positive changes in some industry prices are attributed to the implementation of "anti-involution" policies and the orderly management of production capacity in key industries [3] - Notable price increases were observed in the coal mining, black metal smelting, and electrical machinery manufacturing sectors, with the PPI showing signs of recovery in emerging industries such as shipbuilding and communication equipment manufacturing [3][4]

投资咨询业务资格： 证监许可[2011]1771号 东 海 观 察 明道雨 从业资格证号：F03092124 投资咨询证号：Z0018827 电话：021-68758786 邮箱：mingdy@qh168.com.cn HTTP://WWW.QH168.COM.CN 1 / 5 请务必仔细阅读正文后免责申明 2025年9月10日 [Table_Title] 8月通胀超预期下降，通胀仍旧较低 ——宏观数据观察 [table_main] 事件要点： 中国8月CPI同比增长-0.4%，预期-0.2%，前值0%；8月PPI同比增长-2.9%， 预期-2.9%，前值-3.6%。 摘要： 东 海 研 究 宏 观 分析师： [Table_Report] 8月CPI同比超预期下降。上游端国际大宗商品价格总体有所上升，且内需型商品价格在 内需预期改善以及供给端反内卷持续深入的情况下，价格中枢短期整体上移，PPI降幅有 所收窄；8月份，消费政策刺激加强以及服务价格回升，但食品价格大幅下降，CPI环比 下降，同比降幅超预期下降，短期通胀仍旧较低。目前我国逐步进入商品消费旺季，房 地产、基建项目施工将有所加快，以及海外需求向好，需求 ...

Wall Street trading desks expect a hot inflation print when CPI hits, but they aren’t preparing for a big reaction from stocks with jobs dominating the market narrative https://t.co/xoKPTjoNSz ...

宏观动态报告 CPI 低位承压, PPI 低点已过 8 月物价数据解读 2025 年 9 月 10 日 提振消费政策叠加低价竞争治理效果渐显,交通工具价格连续两个月持 ● 平:7月下旬第三批补贴资金已经下发各地,部分地区的以旧换新逐步重启, 补贴方式也更加多元化,带动需求持续回暖,支撑交通工具环比在连续五个月 下行后连续两个月价格持平。8月中旬,两部委发布《关于加强智能网联新能 源汽车产品召回、生产一致性监督管理与规范宣传的通知(征求意见稿)》, 就新能源汽车商业宣传、事件事故报告等方面征求意见,综合整治反内卷政策 举措向更广泛无序竞争领域推进,汽车行业低价无序竞争效果渐显。其它项 中,通信工具价格本月由涨转跌至-0.1%,服装和中药价格环比分别下降 0.1% 和 0.3%;医疗服务和家用器具价格环比分别上涨 0.5%和 1.1%。 核心价格同比持续回升:8月份核心 CPI 同比上涨 0.9%,涨幅比上月扩大 ● 0.1 个百分点。其中，金饰品和铂金饰品价格同比分别上涨 36.7%和 29.8%, 分析师 张迪 ☎：010-8092-7737 网: zhangdi_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分 ...

Inflation Overview - August CPI year-on-year growth rate was lower than consensus expectations, with a decrease of 0.4% compared to July[2] - Core CPI increased by 0.9% year-on-year, while service prices rose by 0.6%[2] - Food prices fell by 4.3% year-on-year, contributing to a downward impact on CPI growth by approximately 0.51 percentage points[5] Price Index Trends - August PPI remained flat month-on-month but decreased by 2.9% year-on-year, with production materials down by 3.2% and living materials down by 1.7%[16] - The decline in PPI year-on-year has narrowed by 0.7 percentage points compared to July, marking the first reduction in the decline since March[17] Structural Analysis - The internal structure of CPI showed significant differentiation, with food prices exerting a greater downward influence compared to July[7] - Non-food prices increased by 0.5% year-on-year, contributing approximately 0.43 percentage points to CPI growth[6] Future Outlook - CPI is expected to show a noticeable upward trend starting in September due to base effects, but structural issues remain a concern[7] - To address weak CPI growth, measures should focus on food price stabilization, durable goods supply adjustments, and stimulating demand in service sectors[7] Risk Factors - Potential risks include a second wave of global inflation, rapid economic downturns in Europe and the U.S., and increasing international complexities[32]

最新数据显示，8月份受基数走高影响和食品价格拖累，居民消费价格指数（CPI）走弱，但与工业品价格相关指标改善，表明国内市场竞争秩序持续优 化，部分行业供需关系改善。 具体来看，8月CPI同比下降0.4%，扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨0.9%，涨幅连续第四个月扩大。工业生产者出厂价格指数（PPI）环比由上月下降 0.2%转为持平；同比下降2.9%，降幅比上月收窄0.7个百分点。 接受记者采访的市场人士认为，核心CPI涨幅连续扩大释放物价运行积极信号，但CPI持续在0值附近运行，后续物价表现改善还需要持续提振居民消费需求。 食品价格等拖累CPI同比、环比表现 8月份，CPI同比下降0.4%。其中，食品价格下降4.3%，非食品价格上涨0.5%。1—8月平均，CPI比上年同期下降0.1%。 对于CPI同比由平转降，国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟分析，这主要是上年同期对比基数走高叠加当月食品价格涨幅低于季节性水平所致。 从翘尾看，上年价格变动对当月CPI同比的翘尾影响约为下拉0.9个百分点，下拉影响比上月扩大0.4个百分点。 分类别看，食品价格拖累明显。8月食品价格同比下降4.3%，降幅比上月扩大2.7个百 ...

Core Viewpoint - The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a cautious tone, with Bitcoin (BTC) trading around $111,500 and other major cryptocurrencies showing mixed performance as traders assess macroeconomic factors for positioning [1][2]. Market Performance - Bitcoin (BTC) is currently at $111,500, while Ether (ETH) is near $4,312, XRP at $2.96, BNB at $880, and Solana's SOL at $218. Dogecoin (DOGE) has seen an 11.6% weekly gain, reaching 24 cents, driven by the upcoming launch of the first memecoin ETF in the U.S. [1] - The overall market tone remains tentative, with BTC lagging behind its peers and traditional assets like equities and gold, indicating softer buying in digital asset trusts and reduced activity on centralized exchanges [2]. Investor Sentiment - Investors are facing a dilemma between becoming bearish and risking missed opportunities or buying the dip too early. Public companies currently hold about 1 million BTC, and while the potential for S&P 500 inclusion has diminished, BTC's consolidation around $111,000 is viewed positively for long-term investors [5]. Macro Influences - The upcoming week is critical for markets as U.S. economic data and central bank decisions converge. A cooler Consumer Price Index (CPI) and downward revisions to payrolls could support Federal Reserve rate cuts, weaken the dollar, and potentially boost alternative assets [4]. - Conversely, a sticky CPI print may necessitate patience and increase volatility across the crypto market, reflecting the ongoing push and pull in investor positioning [4]. Trading Strategy - Traders are advised to monitor CPI and Producer Price Index (PPI) for insights into policy direction, the dollar for cross-asset risk appetite, and the DAT premium for signs of renewed selling pressure [6].

21世纪经济报道见习记者冉黎黎 北京报道 9月10日，国家统计局发布8月份全国CPI（居民消费价格指数）和PPI（工业生产者出厂价格指数）数 据。其中，CPI同比下降0.4%，环比持平；PPI同比下降2.9%，环比由下降0.2%转为持平。 国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟解读称，PPI同比下降2.9%，降幅比上月收窄0.7个百分点，为今年 3月份以来首次收窄。CPI同比由平转降，主要是上年同期对比基数走高叠加本月食品价格涨幅低于季 节性水平所致。随着扩内需促消费政策持续显效，核心CPI同比涨幅连续第4个月扩大。 具体来看，CPI方面，2025年8月份，全国居民消费价格同比下降0.4%。其中，城市下降0.3%，农村下 降0.6%；食品价格下降4.3%，非食品价格上涨0.5%；消费品价格下降1.0%，服务价格上涨0.6%。1—8 月平均，全国居民消费价格比上年同期下降0.1%。 8月份，全国居民消费价格环比持平。其中，城市持平，农村上涨0.1%；食品价格上涨0.5%，非食品价 格下降0.1%；消费品价格上涨0.1%，服务价格持平。 PPI方面，2025年8月份，全国工业生产者出厂价格同比下降2.9%，降幅比上月收 ...