Group 1 - The U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent warned that unconventional measures to avoid a debt default may run out as early as August, urging Congress to act before the mid-July recess to raise or suspend the debt ceiling to protect the government's credit rating and repayment ability [1] - The U.S. government reached its statutory debt limit of $36.1 trillion in early January and has since implemented a series of unconventional measures to manage cash flow, which are now nearly exhausted as of April 30 [1] - The cash flow situation of the federal government is more severe than expected, emphasizing the urgency for Congress to address the debt ceiling issue to prevent a catastrophic debt crisis in August [1] Group 2 - The U.S. government's decision to escalate the global tariff war, particularly the 145% tariff on China, has led to significant cost increases across various sectors, ultimately impacting American consumers [2][3] - The implementation of the new tariffs has resulted in price surges for products such as bicycle parts, baby products, and automotive repairs, with some items seeing price increases of $50 to $300 [4][5] - The automotive aftermarket is projected to see a 20%-30% increase in the price of imported parts, with specific examples showing substantial cost hikes for repairs [6] Group 3 - There is growing opposition to the tariff policies among Trump's traditional supporter base, particularly among younger consumers aged 18-35, who report significant price increases for fast fashion and electronics [7] - Financial institutions are beginning to question the efficacy of Trump's tariff policies, with reports indicating that some investors are withdrawing from the U.S. market and reallocating funds to Asia and Europe [8][9] - The uncertainty surrounding U.S. policies and potential economic recession risks has prompted family offices and investment advisors to adjust their strategies, reducing exposure to U.S. equities and bonds [9]

每经记者｜郑雨航 宋欣悦 兰素英 每经编辑｜兰素英 王嘉琦 ◆ 印度和巴基斯坦爆发50年来的最大冲突。当地时间5月10日，巴基斯坦也正式启动代号为"铜墙铁壁"的军事行动，回应印度7日发动的"朱砂行动"。互不 示弱的行为让印巴局势迅速升级，也削弱了印度作为相对安全投资目的地的吸引力。彭博社数据显示，外国银行在5月8日一天净卖出1063亿卢比（约合12亿 美元）的印度国债。针对此次印巴冲突升温的原因以及影响，《每日经济新闻》连线上海国际问题研究院南亚研究中心印度问题专家李红梅进行深入解读。 ◆ 8月"X日"逼近，美国36万亿美元债务上限警报再响；美英贸易协议被指缺乏实质性内容；李在明正式登记参选下届韩国总统；日本松下计划全球裁员 10000人；以太坊周涨29%，比特币重返10万美元上方，布油美油周涨均超4%。更多内容，尽在《一周国际财经》。 "铜墙铁壁"回应"朱砂行动"！印巴爆发50年来最大冲突 外资狂抛12亿美元印度国债，3.91万亿美元经济体现隐忧 当地时间2025年5月9日，印控克什米尔地区，居民区遭受损坏。过去几周，巴基斯坦持续对乌里和库普瓦拉地区的边境区域进行炮击。图片来源：视觉中 国-VCG31N22 ...

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Treasury Secretary urges Congress to raise the debt ceiling before mid-July [1] Group 1 - The call for raising the debt ceiling is critical to avoid potential financial instability [1]

当前，共和党议员正推进一项立法方案，拟将债务上限提高约5万亿美元，该法案的核心内容是延续并 扩大特朗普于2017年推动的减税政策。然而，由于法案复杂，谈判可能持续数月。贝森特希望立法工作 能在7月4日独立日前完成，但参议院多数党领袖图恩则表示该目标"尚属理想"。 如果共和党无法在限期内通过本党方案，他们将不得不与民主党展开协商，这也可能赋予民主党机会， 在债务上限谈判中制衡特朗普政策主张。 尽管财政部面临严峻挑战，贝森特多次强调，美国绝不会发生主权违约。他在众议院拨款委员会听证会 上表示："美国政府永远不会违约，财政部不会采用任何花招，我们将确保债务上限获得提高。" 值得注意的是，总统特朗普曾表示希望彻底取消债务上限机制，但共和党内的"财政鹰派"长期以来将其 视为控制财政支出的关键工具，强烈反对无条件提高上限。 贝森特在信中指出："在审查了4月报税季后的财政收入后，我们认为政府现金储备和非常规措施在国会 休会期间耗尽的可能性是合理的。" 美国政府已在今年1月初触及36.1万亿美元的法定债务上限。为避免违约，财政部自那时起启动所谓 的"非常规措施"，即通过会计手段腾挪资金以履行付款义务。然而，根据财政部早前声明 ...

Market Performance - The three major U.S. stock indices recorded declines this week, with the S&P 500 down 0.47%, the Nasdaq down 0.27%, and the Dow Jones down 0.16% [1] - At market close, the Dow Jones fell by 119.07 points, a decrease of 0.29%, closing at 41,249.38 points; the Nasdaq rose by 0.78 points to 17,928.92 points; the S&P 500 dropped by 4.03 points, a decrease of 0.07%, closing at 5,659.91 points [1] - In European markets, the DAX 30 index rose by 146.02 points, an increase of 0.63%, closing at 23,495.32 points; the FTSE 100 index increased by 22.04 points, up 0.26%, closing at 8,553.65 points [1] Cryptocurrency - Bitcoin decreased by 0.26%, priced at $102,926.4, with a market capitalization surpassing $2.044 trillion, ranking fifth among global mainstream assets [3] - Ethereum surged nearly 7% to $2,340.01, driven by easing global trade tensions and optimism regarding network upgrades, potentially achieving its largest weekly gain since 2021 [3] Macroeconomic News - U.S. President Trump reiterated a baseline tariff of 10% on trade partners, indicating potential exceptions but maintaining a firm stance on trade negotiations [4] - U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned that unconventional measures to avoid hitting the debt ceiling may run out by August, urging Congress to raise or suspend the debt limit [4] - Federal Reserve officials expressed concerns about the impact of tariffs on economic growth and consumer spending, noting that not all companies can pass on tariff costs to consumers [5][6] Individual Company News - Mexico has officially sued Google for renaming the "Gulf of Mexico" to "American Gulf" in its mapping services, following an executive order by former U.S. President Trump [7] - The U.S. Patent and Trademark Office rejected Tesla's application to trademark "Robotaxi" and halted the "Cybercab" trademark application, indicating ongoing scrutiny of Tesla's branding efforts [7] Ratings and Recommendations - JPMorgan upgraded its rating on emerging market Asian currencies to overweight from underweight [8] - S&P maintained Israel's rating at "A/A-1" with a negative outlook [9]

美国财长贝森特致信国会山：债务上限措施到8月可能会被耗尽，呼吁国会到7月中旬批准提高债务上 限。 ...

美国财长贝森特表示，债务上限措施到8月可能会耗尽。(智通财经) ...

Core Viewpoint - The sensitivity of repurchase agreement rates relative to the U.S. Treasury General Account rates indicates that financing pressures may increase once the debt ceiling is resolved [1] Group 1: Impact of Treasury Settlements - The impact of Treasury coupon settlements on the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) is nearly double the expected increase [1] Group 2: Month-End Deleveraging - Month-end deleveraging, particularly by the Bank of Canada at the end of April, influences the rise in repurchase rates as cash borrowers must pay higher rates to obtain cash in the bilateral market [1]

| | | 干米 -- - 反示 间数 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 市场 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | 欧美 | 道琼斯工业平均 | 40829 | -389.83 | -0.95% | | | 纳斯达克 | 17689.66 | -154.58 | -0.87% | | | 标普500 | 5606.91 | -43.47 | -0.77% | | | 欧洲斯托克50 | 5263.38 | -19.67 | -0.37% | | | 英国富时100 | 8597.42 | 1.07 | 0.01% | | | 法国CAC40 | 7696.92 | -31.01 | -0.40% | | | 德国DAX | 23249.65 | -94.89 | -0.41% | | | 俄罗斯RTS | 1097.25 | 43.97 | 4.17% | | | 上证指数 | 3316.11 | 37.08 | 1.13% | | | 深证成指 ← | | 10082.34 182.51 | 1.84% | | | 创业板指 == | | 1986 ...

Market Overview - Major indices in the US closed lower, with the Dow Jones down 389.83 points (0.95%) at 40829.00, Nasdaq down 154.58 points (0.87%) at 17689.66, and S&P 500 down 43.47 points (0.77%) at 5606.91 [1] - European markets showed mixed results, with Germany's DAX30 down 85.84 points (0.37%) at 23249.58, while the UK FTSE 100 rose slightly by 2.92 points (0.03%) to 8599.27 [1] Currency Market - The US Dollar Index fell by 0.59% to 99.237, with the Euro rising to 1.1371 USD from 1.1313 USD, and the British Pound increasing to 1.3376 USD from 1.3289 USD [2] Cryptocurrency and Commodities - Bitcoin increased by 0.51% to 95312.49 USD, while Ethereum dropped over 1.6% to 1791.71 USD [3] - Spot gold prices rose above 3400 USD, with local jewelry prices also increasing, such as Chow Tai Fook's gold price at 1026 CNY per gram, up 28 CNY [3] - Crude oil prices saw significant increases, with NYMEX light crude up 1.96 USD (3.43%) to 59.09 USD per barrel, and Brent crude up 1.92 USD (3.19%) to 62.15 USD per barrel [3] Corporate News - AMD reported first-quarter earnings that exceeded expectations, with a 36% year-over-year revenue increase to 7.44 billion USD, driven by a 57% growth in its data center segment [7] - Microsoft is launching two low-end Surface tablets to promote its AI tools, with the Surface Laptop starting at 899 USD and the Surface Pro at 799 USD, aiming to compete with Apple's devices [8]