Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown significant style differentiation since October, with low-priced and low-valuation stocks outperforming high-priced and high-valuation stocks, indicating a shift towards dividend-style investments and a relative weakness in growth stocks [1][2]. Group 1: Market Trends - Since October, low-priced stock indices, low P/E indices, and low P/B indices have surged over 3%, while mid to high P/E and P/B indices have dropped over 6% [1]. - The upcoming central economic work conference and potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in mid-December may trigger a cross-year market rally [1][3]. Group 2: Fund Adjustments and External Influences - Fund reallocation in Q4 is expected to have a limited impact on the technology sector [2]. - U.S. technology stocks are anticipated to continue strengthening in December, which could positively influence the A-share technology growth sector [3]. Group 3: Company Performance and Growth Potential - Among stocks with a net profit growth of over 100% year-on-year and an average ROE exceeding 5%, 30 stocks are predicted to have a net profit growth rate exceeding 20% in the next two years, with their prices having corrected over 20% from their yearly highs [3]. - Notable companies include: - Macro Technology, with a net profit increase of nearly 1700% year-on-year, leading the sector [3]. - Huafeng Technology, with a net profit growth of over 558% year-on-year, recognized as a global provider of optical connectors [3]. - Other companies like Beihua Co., Shenghong Technology, and Haili Wind Power also reported over 200% year-on-year net profit growth [3]. Group 4: Institutional Ratings and Future Growth - Companies such as Xibu Gold and Nanya New Materials are expected to see net profit growth rates exceeding 50% in the coming years, according to institutional forecasts [3]. - Shenghong Technology is highlighted as a leading AI PCB company, with 24 institutional ratings, and is expected to benefit from new capacity releases and customer expansion [4]. - Ruixinwei, a leader in the SoC industry, is also noted for its competitive advantages and market share growth in emerging applications [4].

以下文章来源于申万宏源策略 ，作者申万宏源策略 一、本周市场超跌反弹，但科技成长消化性价比问题的调整，幅度已过半、时间仍不足。 调整幅度时间的历史经验：科技调整到牛熊分界线附近，就是中期底部区域，但 可能出现"幅度到位，时间不足"。时间上，关键是等待产业催化和业绩验证消化估值，长期性价比修复到历史中位，可能就是上行趋势重启的节点。 二、春季行情的级别和定位：进攻资产(科技和顺周期)有效反弹容易出现，但向上突破逻辑难兑现，春季行情上限不高。 春季行情在"牛市两段论"中的定位：春季行情可 能是高位震荡行情中的一波反弹(总体市场更偏向此情形)；或者是调整幅度到位，向震荡阶段过渡的一波反弹(科技更偏向此情形)。 三、短期小幅反弹，春季行情有效反弹。 "政策底"可能提前验证 + 周期涨价 + 26年中PPI同比改善预期，顺周期可能是春季行情的基础资产，看好基础化工和工业技术等 周期Alpha。科技总体调整幅度到位，可能出现普遍反弹。重点关注，性价比矛盾本就较小 + 春季有望兑现产业催化的创新药和国防军工。AI算力、存储、储能、机器人 等也会有反弹机会。港股延续高beta特征，恒生科技调整更充分，反弹波段也会更有弹性。 ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the significant growth of the ChiNext ETF Tianhong (159977), which has seen a substantial increase in trading volume and fund inflow, indicating strong investor interest in high-growth opportunities within the A-share market [1][2]. Group 1: ChiNext ETF Performance - As of December 2, 2025, the trading volume of ChiNext ETF Tianhong reached 56.08 million yuan, with the tracked ChiNext Index (399006) showing positive movement [1]. - Over the past month, the ChiNext ETF Tianhong has seen an increase of 42 million units, reflecting notable growth [1]. - In the last 21 trading days, the ChiNext ETF Tianhong attracted a total inflow of 67.84 million yuan [1]. Group 2: Company Developments - Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Ltd. (CATL) announced a salary increase and a Spring Festival bonus plan, which has garnered significant attention [2]. - Starting January 1, 2026, CATL will raise the base salary of employees at levels 1-6 by 150 yuan, while maintaining other salary structures [2]. - The company also introduced a bonus plan for employees who work during the Spring Festival, with a minimum reward of 3,200 yuan [2]. Group 3: Market Outlook - Shenwan Hongyuan Securities expresses optimism about the future performance of the technology growth sector, suggesting that recent adjustments in this sector are primarily due to the digestion of previously high valuations [2]. - The firm believes that the technology sector is currently in a mid-term bottoming phase and encourages investors to wait for industry catalysts and performance validation to support valuation digestion [2].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to experience a cross-year rally, with several brokerage firms optimistic about the investment strategies for 2026, particularly focusing on sectors with positive earnings forecasts and improving economic conditions [1][2]. Group 1: Market Outlook - Guangfa Securities anticipates marginal improvement in A-share company earnings, continued positive policy stance, ample market liquidity, and a gradual easing of external disturbances, making the cross-year rally promising [2]. - CITIC Construction Investment believes the current bull market, initiated by policy shifts and liquidity improvements, will continue into 2026, with a focus on fundamental improvements and economic validation [2]. - Huaxi Securities notes that December will be a critical observation period for domestic and international policies, potentially raising market risk appetite and creating opportunities for cross-year positioning [2]. - CICC expects the ongoing upward trend in A-shares since September 24 to persist, with an estimated overall earnings growth of around 4.7% for 2026 [2]. Group 2: Sector Focus - CITIC Construction Investment identifies technology growth as the most logical direction for investment, while cautioning against potential short-term corrections in the tech sector [4]. - Shenwan Hongyuan emphasizes that the recent adjustments in the tech growth sector are primarily to digest previous high valuations, suggesting a mid-term bottoming phase [4]. - Zhongjin Company highlights that the global macro environment and trends in innovative industries remain favorable for growth styles, with a balanced market style expected in 2026 [4]. - Guotai Junan suggests that robotics and brokerage stocks may become key focuses leading up to the 2026 Spring Festival, alongside potential trading opportunities in consumption and real estate sectors [5].

Summary of the Conference Call on Convertible Bond Strategy for 2026 Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the convertible bond market in China, particularly the performance and outlook for 2026, influenced by macroeconomic factors and policy changes [1][3][8]. Key Points and Arguments Market Performance and Characteristics - The convertible bond market showed strong performance in 2025, with a cumulative increase of approximately 16.5% by the end of November [3]. - High-rated large-cap convertible bonds saw a rapid decline in scale due to tightened refinancing policies since 2024, particularly affecting bank convertible bonds [3][6]. - The rapid increase in ETF scale, reaching 620.682 billion, accounted for 12.5% of the convertible bond market, growing over 50% since the beginning of the year [1][5]. - The valuation of convertible bonds is increasingly aligned with the stock market, indicating a shift towards equity-like characteristics [1][3]. Future Supply and Demand Dynamics - Supply pressure in the convertible bond market is expected to persist into 2026, with a significant reduction in issuance anticipated due to strong redemption and delisting pressures [1][6][10]. - Despite the anticipated supply challenges, there is a strong willingness among major shareholders to issue new bonds due to lower financing costs [6][10]. - The demand for fixed-income products is expected to support valuations, preventing significant declines despite the shrinking supply [7][10]. Economic Outlook - The outlook for the A-share market in 2026 is optimistic, driven by expectations of economic recovery, structural adjustments, and policy reforms [8][9]. - Low-risk interest rates are likely to encourage a shift of savings and long-term capital into the equity market, enhancing the attractiveness of equity assets [9]. Investment Strategies for 2026 - Investment strategies should focus on two main opportunities: low-priced convertible bonds as a stabilizing asset and flexible equity-linked convertible bonds [11][14]. - Specific sectors to watch include technology growth (AI, humanoid robots), green energy (energy storage, hydrogen), and defensive positions in banking and public utilities [3][18]. - The strategy should involve active selection of bonds that are less likely to trigger strong redemption and those with a solid underlying stock logic [12][20]. Risks and Considerations - The potential for strong redemption events remains high, necessitating caution with high-priced and high-premium bonds that may trigger such actions [12][20]. - The shrinking scale of the convertible bond market may lead to capital inflows into the stock market, which could compress time value [2][10]. Conclusion - The convertible bond market in 2026 is expected to maintain high valuations supported by favorable policies and low-interest rates, despite challenges in supply and potential strong redemption pressures [10][14]. - A balanced approach with a focus on both defensive and flexible investment strategies will be crucial for navigating the market dynamics in the coming year [11][14].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guotai Junan Securities indicates that the external geopolitical situation has become complex, leading to a temporary pullback in the A-share market. It suggests that future fund allocations should maintain a balanced style while slightly favoring growth, with a focus on technology sector funds and consideration of cyclical and financial assets [1][2]. Equity Mixed Funds - In November, the manufacturing PMI rose to 49.2%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, supported by improved foreign trade conditions due to recent US-China economic negotiations [2]. - The Chinese stock market experienced a rapid decline in the penultimate week of November, followed by a recovery in the last week, indicating potential for stabilization and upward movement as a good opportunity for increasing holdings [2]. - The report emphasizes a focus on technology growth and low-position investment opportunities in large financial and consumer sectors, suggesting a structural investment opportunity in both value and growth styles for 2024 [2]. Bond Funds - Following a significant drop, the bond market may enter a phase of corrective rebound, although the extent of recovery may not exceed that of October. The macro environment provides support for bond pricing, allowing for participation in the rebound of certain underpriced bonds [3]. - The report recommends maintaining a "quick in and out" strategy to capitalize on structural opportunities, with a focus on flexible duration interest rate bonds and high liquidity credit bonds [3]. QDII and Commodity Funds - The report highlights that global sovereign credit differentiation and the weakening of the US dollar are prompting central banks to diversify reserves, enhancing the position of gold relative to the dollar and US Treasuries. It suggests a suitable allocation to gold ETFs for long-term and hedging investments [4]. - With the anticipated expansion of capital expenditure in the AI industry and technology companies, the report expects upward revisions in earnings forecasts for US stocks by 2026, recommending an overweight position while being cautious of short-term volatility risks [4]. Fund Recommendations - Recommended equity mixed funds include: Southern Quality Preferred, E Fund Environmental Protection Theme, Boda Huatai Preferred, GF Multi-Factor, Guotai Consumption Preferred, Huatai Baoxing Growth Preferred, and others [5]. - Recommended open-end bond funds include: Bank of China Pure Bond, Fortune Tianli Growth Bond, and China Europe Prosperity [6]. - Recommended QDII and commodity funds include: E Fund Gold ETF, Huaan Yifu Gold ETF, GF Nasdaq 100 ETF, and Invesco Great Wall Nasdaq Technology ETF [6].

11月，A股市场在结构性机会中先扬后抑，最终未能有效突破3900点。但12个月的首个交易日，A股即继续维持反弹格局，并成功突破这一重要关口。 目前，据笔者观察，市场情绪整体稳定，资金仍在积极寻找新的方向，调仓换股、布局跨年行情成为当前市场的主旋律。那么，12月有哪些个股值得重点 关注？笔者从最新券商金股组合中梳理出三大主线，供大家参考。 当前仍在牛市中 今天，A股市场维持反弹格局，截至收盘，沪指报收3914.01点（见附图）。#a股持续高位震荡#十二月的第一天 更重要的是，在国家对于"慢牛"的政策指引之下，与往年牛市相比，当前指数仍然有相当大的上涨空间，这意味着市场大方向或仍处在牛市中。不过短期 来看，市场可能缺乏强力催化，叠加年末部分投资者在行为上可能趋于稳健，股市短期或以震荡蓄势为主。 聚焦三大主线 板块方面，智能音响、MCU芯片、卫星互联网、6G、工业金属等热门概念涨幅居前，尤其是代表端侧AI赛道的智能音响大涨超5%。对此，笔者在上周五 的文章中已做过重要提醒，大家感兴趣的可以点击：《101天！这类公司正走出"隐形牛市"》。 往后看，A股的持续反弹仍值得期待。 牛犇 从11月调整原因来看，主要有美联储降 ...

截至收盘，创业板成长指数上涨1.4%，创业板指数上涨1.3%，创业板中盘200指数上涨1.2%，创业板ETF（159915）全天成交额超30亿元，较前一交易日有 所放量。 中银证券指出，AI产业链景气趋势仍向好，下游需求旺盛，AI基础设施建设短期面临供应端存力与电力短缺，资源紧缺带来存力与电力投资机会，算力特 别是国产算力仍有广阔成长空间。流动性预期及风险偏好修复，科技成长或最为受益，宽基指数上，创业板有望率先迎来修复。 每日经济新闻 ...

Core Viewpoint - The technology sector is expected to lead the market amidst a backdrop of national strategic competition, with a focus on self-reliance and the development of new productive forces, supported by favorable policies and potential monetary easing from the Federal Reserve [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The STAR Market 50 Index rose by 0.7%, the STAR Growth Index increased by 0.5%, and the STAR Composite Index went up by 0.3%, while the STAR 100 Index saw a slight decline of 0.04% [1]. Group 2: Industry Outlook - According to a report from Industrial Securities, the emphasis on technological self-reliance and the development of new productive forces will remain a priority in the context of high-quality domestic transformation [1]. - The upcoming policy direction towards the end of the year is expected to maintain the focus on industry and technology, aligning with the key tasks outlined in the 14th Five-Year Plan [1]. Group 3: Economic Factors - The anticipated easing measures from the Federal Reserve, along with a favorable shift in risk appetite due to a fundamental vacuum period, are expected to boost the technology growth sector, which is seen as a critical factor in driving the current market rally [1].

11月25日，新疆前海联合基金发布公告称，基金经理林材因工作安排离任前海联合产业趋势混合基金，由基金经理张志成继续管理该基金。 | 离任基金经理姓名 | 林材 | | --- | --- | | 离任原因 | 公司工作安排 | | 离任日期 | 2025-11-25 | | 转任本公司其他工作岗位的说 | I | | ਸੀਰੇ | | | 是否已按规定在中国基金业协 | 是 | | 会办理变更手续 | | | 是否已按规定在中国基金业协 | | | 会办理注销手续 | | 林材卸任前海联合产业趋势混合基金以后，名下仅剩下前海联合国民健康混合基金。该基金是迷你基金，截至三季度末，该基金资产净值约为2508.81万 元。 风险提示：观点仅供参考，不构成投资建议，市场有风险，投资需谨慎。基金过往业绩不代表未来表现，基金管理人及基金经理管理的其他基金的业绩并不 构成对本基金业绩表现的保证。 前海联合产业趋势混合基金成立于2021年8月17日，林材自该基金成立便担任基金经理。天天基金网数据显示，林材管理该基金A类份额的任职回报 为-26.80%。 前海联合产业趋势混合基金三季报显示，截至三季度末，该基金A类份额成立以来 ...