(2025年10月23日中国共产党第二十届中央委员会第四次全体会议通过) 中国共产党第二十届中央委员会第四次全体会议深入分析国际国内形势，就制定国民经济和社会发 展"十五五"规划提出以下建议。 受权发布丨中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议 新华社北京10月28日电 中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议 一、"十五五"时期是基本实现社会主义现代化的关键时期 (1)"十四五"时期我国发展取得重大成就。"十四五"时期我国发展历程极不寻常、极不平凡。面对错综复 杂的国际形势和艰巨繁重的国内改革发展稳定任务，以习近平同志为核心的党中央团结带领全党全国各 族人民，迎难而上、砥砺前行，经受住世纪疫情严重冲击，有效应对一系列重大风险挑战，推动党和国 家事业取得新的重大成就。经济运行稳中有进，高质量发展扎实推进；科技创新成果丰硕，新质生产力 稳步发展；全面深化改革进一步推进，高水平对外开放不断扩大；全过程人民民主深入发展，全面依法 治国有效实施；文化事业和文化产业蓬勃发展，精神文化产品丰富多彩；民生保障扎实稳固，脱贫攻坚 成果巩固拓展；绿色低碳转型步伐加快，生态环境质量持续改善；国家安 ...

Core Viewpoint - The "15th Five-Year Plan" period is crucial for achieving basic socialist modernization, building on the significant achievements of the "14th Five-Year Plan" and addressing complex domestic and international challenges [1][2][3] Economic and Social Development Goals - The guiding ideology for the "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes Marxism, Xi Jinping's thoughts, and the goal of building a modern socialist country, focusing on high-quality development and comprehensive reforms [6][7] - Key principles include maintaining the Party's leadership, prioritizing people's needs, promoting high-quality development, and ensuring effective market and government collaboration [7][8] - Major goals include achieving significant high-quality development, enhancing self-reliance in technology, deepening reforms, improving social civilization, and increasing the quality of life for citizens [9][10][11] Modernization of the Industrial System - The plan emphasizes the importance of a modern industrial system as the material and technical foundation for Chinese-style modernization, focusing on optimizing traditional industries and fostering emerging sectors [12][13] - It aims to enhance the quality and efficiency of the service sector and build a modern infrastructure system to support economic growth [14] Technological Self-Reliance - The plan highlights the need for technological modernization, focusing on original innovation and breakthroughs in key technologies, while promoting the integration of technology and industry [15][16] - It calls for strengthening the role of enterprises in innovation and fostering a supportive environment for research and development [17] Domestic Market Development - The strategy emphasizes the importance of a strong domestic market as a strategic foundation for modernization, advocating for increased consumption and effective investment [20][21] - It aims to eliminate barriers to a unified national market and enhance the efficiency of resource allocation [22] High-Level Socialist Market Economy - The plan seeks to enhance the socialist market economy by stimulating the vitality of various economic entities and improving the market-oriented allocation of resources [22][23] - It emphasizes the need for effective macroeconomic governance and sustainable fiscal policies to support high-quality development [24] Opening Up and International Cooperation - The strategy promotes expanding high-level openness and cooperation, enhancing trade and investment, and fostering a fair international economic order [25][26] - It aims to strengthen the Belt and Road Initiative and enhance international collaboration in various sectors [27] Agricultural and Rural Modernization - The plan prioritizes agricultural modernization and rural revitalization, focusing on improving agricultural productivity and quality of life in rural areas [28][29] - It emphasizes the importance of integrating urban and rural development and ensuring sustainable agricultural practices [30] Regional Economic Coordination - The strategy aims to optimize regional economic layouts and promote coordinated development across different regions, enhancing infrastructure connectivity and regional collaboration [31][32] Cultural and Social Development - The plan emphasizes the importance of cultural innovation and social development, aiming to enhance the quality of life and promote common prosperity for all citizens [34][37] - It focuses on improving education, social security, and public services to meet the needs of the population [39][40]

Investment Rating - The report emphasizes a long-term investment theme of "technological self-reliance" in China's tech industry, particularly in the context of AI-led transformation and ongoing US-China trade tensions [4]. Core Insights - The report outlines the strategic importance of enhancing technological self-reliance and achieving breakthroughs in key technologies during the "Fifteenth Five-Year Plan" period, which is expected to significantly improve the national innovation system and foster new productivity [3][4]. - It identifies four key areas for development: strengthening original innovation and key technology breakthroughs, deepening the integration of technological and industrial innovation, advancing education and talent development, and promoting digital integration [3][4]. - The report highlights the potential for creating trillion-level markets through the development of strategic emerging industries such as new energy, aerospace, and quantum technology, which could lead to substantial economic growth over the next decade [3][4]. Summary by Sections - **Investment Highlights**: The report stresses the importance of "technological self-reliance" as a central theme for China's tech industry, suggesting a focus on areas like information innovation, intelligent computing, AI applications, and industrial software [4]. - **Strategic Recommendations**: It recommends prioritizing investments in sectors such as AI, embodied intelligence, low-altitude economy, and smart driving, which are expected to drive significant growth [3][4]. - **Future Industry Layout**: The report discusses the forward-looking layout of future industries, including quantum technology and brain-machine interfaces, which are anticipated to become new economic growth points [3][4].

Group 1 - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is seen as a significant opportunity for Taiwanese businesses to integrate into the broader national development framework, promoting mutual growth and sharing in national rejuvenation [1][5] - Taiwanese enterprises have experienced substantial growth, with sales figures increasing from $1 billion to $2 billion within five years, benefiting from the market potential released during the "14th Five-Year Plan" [2] - The trade volume between the two sides reached $231.16 billion in the first three quarters of the year, reflecting an 8.8% year-on-year increase, indicating strong resilience in cross-strait economic cooperation [2] Group 2 - Companies are aligning with the trend of technological innovation in mainland China, with plans to achieve sales exceeding $3 billion within three years [3] - Taiwanese investments are increasingly directed towards high-tech industries, modern services, and agriculture, optimizing investment structures to resonate with mainland China's high-quality economic development [3][4] - The emphasis on building a modern industrial system and strengthening the real economy is generating optimism among Taiwanese businesses, with expectations of significant growth in domestic sales [4] Group 3 - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is viewed as a mission for Taiwanese businesses to deepen cross-strait integration and contribute to a shared future [5] - Taiwanese enterprises are encouraged to engage in smart manufacturing and industrial internet collaborations, leveraging their unique advantages in sectors like semiconductors and cultural creativity [5] - The commitment to promoting peaceful development of cross-strait relations and national unification is seen as a guiding principle for future economic cooperation [5]

Market Performance - A-shares indices collectively strengthened, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a ten-year high, closing up 0.71%, Shenzhen Component Index up 2.02%, and ChiNext Index up 3.57% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1,974.2 billion [1] Sector Performance - The communication and chip sectors led the gains, with the Communication Equipment ETF rising by 6.49% and several other ETFs in the AI and chip sectors also showing significant increases of over 5% [2][3] - The core message from a high-level meeting emphasized strengthening original innovation and key core technology breakthroughs, promoting deep integration of technological and industrial innovation, and focusing on the real economy [3] ETF Trading Activity - The Short-term Bond ETF had the highest trading volume at 39.674 billion, followed by the Silver Day Benefit ETF at 27.350 billion and the Hua Bao Tian Yi ETF at 16.645 billion [6] - The turnover rate for the China-Korea Semiconductor ETF reached 240%, indicating high trading activity in this sector [7] Upcoming ETF Issuance - Five new ETFs will begin fundraising next Monday, focusing on industrial software, Hong Kong technology, photovoltaic industries, and satellite applications [8][9]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government emphasizes the importance of technological modernization as a foundation for national modernization, with a focus on implementing major national scientific tasks during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [1][2]. Group 1: Technological Innovation - The "14th Five-Year Plan" proposes to strengthen original innovation and tackle key core technologies, particularly in integrated circuits, industrial mother machines, and high-end instruments [1]. - The plan aims to enhance the systematic capabilities of national strategic scientific forces and support enterprises in leading innovation consortia [2]. Group 2: Education and Talent Development - The plan emphasizes the integration of education, technology, and talent development to meet the needs of scientific innovation and national strategy [2]. Group 3: Digital Economy - The initiative includes advancing the construction of a digital China by creating a secure and open national integrated data market, promoting the deep integration of the real economy and digital economy [2]. - The government plans to accelerate innovation in artificial intelligence and other digital technologies, implementing the "Artificial Intelligence+" initiative to empower various industries [2].

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 China International Digital Economy Expo showcased the "Urban Parking Management Platform" by Shijiazhuang Chengting Technology Co., Ltd., highlighting its innovative practices and data assetization path, contributing to the "Digital China" blueprint [1][4]. Group 1: Company Overview - Shijiazhuang Chengting Technology Co., Ltd. was established in January 2025, focusing on solving urban parking challenges as a state-owned technology enterprise [2]. - The company operates under the principle of "government-led, market-operated, and social participation," aiming to become a leading provider of smart parking solutions in China [2]. Group 2: Data Pool and Economic Value - The "Urban Parking Management Platform" has integrated 2,511 public parking lots in Shijiazhuang, covering 97% of the city's public parking resources, generating an average of 800,000 effective data entries daily, with a total data volume exceeding 470 million entries [4]. - The data pool is recognized as the largest and highest quality static traffic data pool in Hebei Province, with an economic value estimated at 87.41 million yuan, successfully completing data asset entry worth 1.03 million yuan [4]. Group 3: Innovation and Governance - The company has pioneered a "government buys services" model, providing compliant and anonymized data analysis services to various departments, supporting government decision-making while alleviating fiscal burdens [7]. - This innovative model has been recognized as a typical case in Hebei Province's "Data Element ×" competition, winning first prize and representing the province in the national finals [7]. Group 4: Youth Engagement - A youth team plays a crucial role in driving innovation at Chengting Technology, participating in key tasks such as data cleaning algorithm optimization and dynamic anonymization technology development [8]. - The company has established various training mechanisms to cultivate young talents in data governance, contributing to the professional workforce for the digital development of Hebei [8]. Group 5: Strategic Vision - The company has outlined three strategic blueprints centered on data elements: establishing a provincial parking cloud platform, creating an integrated parking and charging platform, and building a "dual carbon" platform to reduce vehicle emissions [15][17]. - These strategies are projected to generate 1.23 billion yuan in construction investment over the next three to five years, stimulating over 30 billion yuan in industrial chain collaboration and a 200 billion yuan related consumer market [19].

Core Insights - The most significant outcome of the Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee is the approval of the "Suggestions on Formulating the 15th Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development" [3] - The document consists of 15 parts and 61 articles, divided into three main sections: general overview, specific strategic tasks, and tasks related to strengthening centralized leadership [3] Economic and Social Development Goals - The main goals for the 15th Five-Year Plan include: 1. Achieving significant results in high-quality development 2. Substantially improving self-reliance in technology 3. Making new breakthroughs in deepening reforms 4. Enhancing social civilization 5. Continuously improving the quality of life for the people 6. Making major progress in building a beautiful China 7. Strengthening national security [4] Strategic Tasks - The first strategic task is to build a modern industrial system and consolidate the foundation of the real economy, with key tasks categorized as: 1. Upgrading and solidifying the foundation 2. Fostering innovation 3. Expanding capacity and improving quality 4. Enhancing efficiency [4] Technological Development - To accelerate high-level self-reliance in technology, the plan outlines four areas of focus: 1. Strengthening original innovation and tackling key core technologies 2. Promoting deep integration of technological and industrial innovation 3. Advancing education and talent development in science and technology 4. Promoting the construction of a digital China [4] Foreign Trade and Investment - The plan emphasizes four important aspects for foreign trade and investment during the 15th Five-Year Plan: 1. Actively expanding autonomous opening 2. Promoting innovative development of trade 3. Expanding bilateral investment cooperation 4. High-quality co-construction of the Belt and Road Initiative [4] Population Development - The plan focuses on three key areas for promoting high-quality population development: 1. Building a family-friendly society with supportive policies for marriage and childbirth 2. Promoting elderly care through improved policies and services 3. Encouraging older individuals to participate in the workforce and developing the silver economy [5] Political Leadership - The plan emphasizes the importance of strengthening the centralized leadership of the Party as a fundamental guarantee for advancing modernization, with strategic deployments including: 1. Improving mechanisms for implementing major decisions 2. Ensuring effective execution and communication 3. Promoting a clean political environment and combating corruption [5] Market Opportunities - The plan aims to leverage China's large market advantages to become a global hub for innovation and opportunities, attracting foreign investment and ensuring sustainable development [6]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government emphasizes the importance of technological modernization as a foundation for Chinese-style modernization, aiming to enhance the overall effectiveness of the national innovation system and accelerate high-level self-reliance in technology [1] Group 1: Strategic Focus Areas - The "14th Five-Year Plan" outlines four key areas for development: strengthening original innovation and tackling core technologies, promoting deep integration of technological and industrial innovation, advancing education, technology, and talent development, and furthering the construction of a digital China [1] - The initiative to advance digital China includes building an open, shared, and secure national integrated data market to promote deep integration of the real economy and digital economy [1] - There is a focus on accelerating innovation in intelligent technologies such as artificial intelligence, enhancing the supply of computing power, algorithms, and data [1] Group 2: Implementation Actions - The comprehensive implementation of the "Artificial Intelligence +" initiative aims to empower various industries across the board [1]

Core Viewpoint - The 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China has approved the "15th Five-Year Plan" which outlines significant economic and social development strategies for the upcoming period, emphasizing the importance of innovation, market integration, and sustainable growth. Group 1: Economic Development Strategies - The "15th Five-Year Plan" consists of 15 parts and 61 articles, divided into three main sections: general principles, specific strategies, and tasks to strengthen centralized leadership and promote democratic governance [2] - The plan identifies the long-term positive conditions and trends for China's economy, highlighting its strong foundation and resilience [3] Group 2: Industry and Technological Advancements - The plan aims to create new pillar industries and accelerate the development of strategic emerging industries such as new energy, new materials, and aerospace, potentially generating several trillion-level markets [4] - It emphasizes the need for forward-looking layouts in future industries, including quantum technology and sixth-generation mobile communications, which could equate to recreating a new high-tech industry in China over the next decade [4] Group 3: Market Integration and Competition - The plan proposes measures to unify market rules and eliminate local protectionism, which will help unlock the benefits of China's vast market [5] - It is projected that over 700,000 kilometers of underground pipelines will be constructed or renovated during the "15th Five-Year Plan," with an investment demand exceeding 5 trillion yuan [6] Group 4: Marine Economy and Environmental Protection - The total volume of China's marine economy has surpassed 10 trillion yuan, with initiatives aimed at enhancing marine development and ecological protection [7] Group 5: Service Sector and Trade - The plan focuses on expanding market access and opening up service sectors, aligning with international trade standards [8] Group 6: Population and Family Support - The plan includes initiatives to create a family-friendly society, optimizing support and incentive policies for childbirth and child-rearing [10] Group 7: Technological Modernization - The plan outlines a comprehensive approach to technological modernization, emphasizing the integration of education, technology, and talent development to enhance innovation capabilities [11] - It includes the implementation of the "Artificial Intelligence+" initiative to empower various industries [11]