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万腾外汇前瞻金价:非农数据公布前,金价能否稳守3550美元关口?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-05 10:34
Group 1 - Investors are awaiting the critical U.S. non-farm payroll data for August, with gold prices consolidating around $3,550 [1] - Economists expect the U.S. to add 75,000 jobs in August, nearly unchanged from July's 73,000 [2] - The unemployment rate is projected to rise from 4.2% to 4.3% [2] Group 2 - Average hourly earnings are expected to grow at a moderate pace of 3.7%, down from 3.9% in July, with a steady monthly increase of 0.3% [3] - The U.S. dollar index (DXY) fell by 0.25% to around 98.00 before the non-farm payroll data release, making gold more attractive to investors [3] - Gold prices paused after reaching a historical high of around $3,580, following a bullish breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern on the daily chart [3] Group 3 - The recent trend for gold prices is bullish, with the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) rising near $3,436.70 [4] - The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) surged to around 75.00, indicating potential overbought conditions for gold prices [5] - The 20-day moving average will serve as a key support level, while the $3,600 level will act as a significant resistance point for gold [5]
就市论市丨美联储降息预期持续升温 美元再度承压?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-05 09:31
Group 1 - The US dollar exchange rate has fallen to its lowest level since the end of July, influenced by various factors [1] - The upcoming non-farm payroll data release in the US is expected to significantly impact the dollar's performance [1] - Analysts predict that the dollar index will experience fluctuations, initially declining before rising again due to interest rate cut expectations and potential interventions [1] Group 2 - The divergence in French policies highlights the challenges of policy coordination, which may affect the dollar index in relation to the euro [1] - Internal and external pressures are contributing to the depreciation of the Japanese yen, with expectations of a potential rebound in the future [1]
美元指数跌0.28%,报98.0点
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-05 09:16
每经AI快讯,9月5日,美元指数跌0.28%,报98.0点。 ...
ATFX策略师:美国8月大非农预期悲观,美元指数或遭冲击
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-05 09:14
Group 1 - The core point of the articles revolves around the upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll report, with expectations of a slight increase in employment figures, but concerns about the impact of immigration policies on labor data [1][2] - The previous non-farm employment figure was 73,000, with a forecast of 75,000 for the upcoming report, indicating a trend of employment figures remaining below 100,000 since May [1] - The unemployment rate is expected to rise slightly from 4.2% to 4.3%, reflecting a stable trend in U.S. employment data since July 2024 [1] Group 2 - The ADP employment data for August showed a significant drop to 54,000 from the previous 106,000, suggesting that the non-farm payroll report may also reflect poor employment growth [1] - The Federal Reserve's Beige Book indicates that employment levels have remained largely unchanged across most regions, suggesting that the non-farm payroll data will not deviate significantly from the previous figures [2] - The outcome of the non-farm payroll report is critical for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on September 18, with a poor report increasing the likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut [2] Group 3 - Technical analysis indicates that the U.S. dollar index has been experiencing low volatility and is forming a descending triangle pattern, with a potential downward breakout if the non-farm payroll report is disappointing [4] - Key support level for the dollar index is noted at 97.52, and a breach of this level could lead to a new downward trend [4]
关键非农就业报告来袭 美元面临短期冲击
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-09-05 03:26
美国8月份"小非农"录得5.4万人,低于预期的6.5万人,前值从10.4万人上修至10.6万人。上周初请失业 金人数超预期增加至23.7万人,为6月以来最高水平。 7月非农就业数据意外疲软,导致美元急剧下跌,因此投资者将特别关注8月ADP就业报告。该报告也将 是9月美联储会议前发布的最后一份就业报告,其结果至关重要。 在特朗普关税言论引发市场担忧的背景下,市场对美联储9月恢复宽松周期的押注不断增加。目前美元 指数在8月的交易区间下限徘徊,其未来走向将受到就业数据的影响。 周五(9月5日)亚洲时段,美元走势下探,最新美元指数报98.11,跌幅0.17%,荷兰合作银行分析师 Jane Foley表示,周五的美国非农就业报告可能引发美元的"下意识"反应,因为这份数据可能巩固市场 对美联储在9月17日会议上降息的预期。 该分析师指出,非农报告将为未来几周的市场定下基调。不过,除了对数据最初的反应外,美元大幅下 跌的可能性不大。 这主要是因为市场已经消化了大量降息预期,并已开始做空美元。 目前美元指数仍处于98.834的阻力位与97.536的支撑位之间震荡。当前位于98.000的50日均线正发挥短 期支撑作用。 若能突 ...
人民币中间价本周累计调升71个基点
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-09-05 02:05
东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青表示,往后看,伴随美联储恢复降息,以及特朗普政府关税政策对美国经 济冲击逐步显现,美元指数还将承受一定下行压力;但上半年美元跌幅巨大,后期也会有较强的抗跌韧 性。国内方面,外部波动对我国出口的影响会逐步显现,而逆周期调节政策适时加力将确保经济运行基 本稳定,这方面有充足的政策空间。由此,接下来人民币汇率仍将以稳为主,持续升值或大幅贬值的风 险都不大。 北京商报讯(记者 岳品瑜 董晗萱)9月5日,中国人民银行授权中国外汇交易中心公布,当日银行间外 汇市场人民币汇率中间价为1美元对人民币7.1064元,相较前一交易日中间价7.1052元,调贬12个基点, 本周累计调升71个基点。 截至最新发稿时间9时48分,在岸人民币对美元报7.1385,日内升值0.02%;离岸人民币对美元报 7.1373。 ...
【环球财经】美元指数4日上涨
Xin Hua She· 2025-09-04 22:27
新华财经纽约9月4日电美元指数4日上涨。 衡量美元对六种主要货币的美元指数当天上涨0.21%,在汇市尾市收于98.348。 截至纽约汇市尾市,1欧元兑换1.1644美元,低于前一交易日的1.1662美元;1英镑兑换1.3426美元,低 于前一交易日的1.3442美元。 (文章来源:新华社) 1美元兑换148.56日元,高于前一交易日的147.97日元;1美元兑换0.8063瑞士法郎,高于前一交易日的 0.8040瑞士法郎;1美元兑换1.3829加元,高于前一交易日的1.3797加元;1美元兑换9.4732瑞典克朗,高 于前一交易日的9.4280瑞典克朗。 ...
美元指数涨0.13%,报98.28
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-04 21:58
Group 1 - The US dollar index increased by 0.13% to 98.28, while most non-US currencies declined [1] - The euro fell by 0.09% against the dollar, trading at 1.1651 [1] - The British pound decreased by 0.08% against the dollar, trading at 1.3435 [1] - The Australian dollar dropped by 0.40% against the dollar, trading at 0.6518 [1] - The US dollar appreciated by 0.24% against the Japanese yen, trading at 148.4680 [1] - The US dollar rose by 0.17% against the Canadian dollar, trading at 1.3817 [1] - The US dollar increased by 0.16% against the Swiss franc, trading at 0.8056 [1]
【环球财经】美国8月ADP就业数据不及预期 企业招聘步伐放缓
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-04 13:42
Group 1 - The hiring pace in the U.S. slowed down in August, indicating a weakening labor demand [1][2] - ADP reported an increase of 54,000 jobs in the private sector for August, which is about half of the previous month's increase and significantly below market expectations [1] - The construction sector added 16,000 jobs in August, while manufacturing and trade/transportation/utilities sectors saw job losses of 7,000 and 17,000 respectively [1] Group 2 - Challenger reported that U.S. companies announced only 1,494 new jobs in August, the lowest level for that month since 2009 [2] - Year-to-date, companies have announced 892,362 layoffs, the highest for the same period since 2020, with retail being heavily impacted [2] - The pharmaceutical sector announced 19,112 layoffs in August due to increased competition and a focus on high-margin products [2] Group 3 - The slowdown in hiring may influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy expectations, potentially leading to a more dovish stance if the labor market remains weak [3]
美国ADP就业数据公布后美元指数涨幅收窄,最新上涨0.08%,报98.221
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-04 12:30
每经AI快讯,9月4日,美国ADP就业数据公布后美元指数涨幅收窄,最新上涨0.08%,报98.221。 ...