Key TakeawaysChina imposes strict export bans on 20 Japanese entities, including major industrial players, to curb what Beijing describes as Japan's "remilitarization."The White House is pressuring technology companies to pledge that massive AI data center expansions will not drive up electricity prices for American consumers.TD Cowen doubled its price target for Ultra Clean Holdings (UCTT) to $70, signaling high confidence in a 2026 semiconductor "super-cycle."Panama has seized two strategic ports previous ...

01 金融期货策略建议 目 录 重点数据跟踪 02 股指关注两会预期，国债 关注供给压力 2026-02-24 长江期货股份有限公司交易咨询业务资格：鄂证监期货字[2014]1号 长江期货股份有限公司研究咨询部 研究员：张志恒 执业编号：F03102085 投资咨询号：Z0021210 01 金融期货策略建议 01 股指策略建议 资料来源：iFinD、华尔街见闻、长江期货 p 股指走势回顾：四大股指均震荡运行，节前有所承压。 p 核心观点：中国商务部：敦促美方取消对贸易伙伴加征的有关单边关税措施。美国海关称将从2月24日 起停止征收被最高法院裁定违法的关税。美民主党称将阻止任何延长关税企图，力推强制退款方案。欧 盟冻结对美欧贸易协议的批准程序，并警告称特朗普的新关税破坏双方贸易协定。美联储理事沃勒： CEO们称AI将致大量裁员，3月利率决议取决于2月劳动力数据。AI担忧加剧，贵金属走强，股指短期 或震荡运行，两会前或震荡偏强运行，可关注市场对两会预期的情绪。 p 技术分析：MACD指标显示大盘指数或震荡运行。 p 策略展望：区间震荡。 p 风险提示：特朗普政策实施节奏与力度，美国经济数据暴雷，美联储降息节奏， ...

商 品 研 究 2026 年 2 月 24 日 黄金：假期间震荡上行 白银：关注节后高开 刘雨萱 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020476 liuyuxuan023982@gtjas.com 【基本面跟踪】 贵金属基本面数据 | | | 昨日收盘价 | 日涨幅 | 昨日夜盘收盘价 | 夜盘涨幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 沪金2602 | 1,126.12 | -0.38% | 1100.96 | -2.42% | | | 黄金T+D | 1,122.92 | -0.14% | 1096.99 | -2.49% | | | Comex黄金2602 | 4941.40 | -3.26% | - | | | | 伦敦金现货 | 4921.11 | -3.22% | - | - | | | 沪银2602 | 20626 | -1.57% | 19188.00 | -8.35% | | 价 格 | 白银T+D | 19670 | -1.19% | 18201 | -8.62% | | | Comex白银2602 | 75.010 | -10.79% | - | ...

【华创海外】Vicor：AI与传统业务共振，26年产品收入指引破纪录、订单加速产能扩张 事件：公司公布未审计FY25Q4业绩，实现产品收入9272万美元、同比+15.3%、环比+4.5%；实现专利授权费收入 1454万美元、同比-7.8%、环比-33.1%（主要系25Q3有一笔补缴金额）。 单季度毛利率55.4%、同比+3pcts、环比-2.1pcts。 25Q4净利润4653万美元（含2 预计26年Fab产能利用率超80%、公司筹划投建新产能。 现有Fab预计1年内达到接近满负荷，目标利用率为80%（100%利用率对应年收入约10亿美元）、同比25年翻倍。 【华创海外】Vicor：AI与传统业务共振，26年产品收入指引破纪录、订单加速产能扩张 事件：公司公布未审计FY25Q4业绩，实现产品收入9272万美元、同比+15.3%、环比+4.5%；实现专利授权费收入 1454万美元、同比-7.8%、环比-33.1%（主要系25Q3有一笔补缴金额）。 单季度毛利率55.4%、同比+3pcts、环比-2.1pcts。 25Q4净利润4653万美元（含2730万美元税收优惠），同比+354%。 25全年来看，实现产品收 ...

长假期间的消息很多，昨天按语上下篇都有上万字，不过发得比较晚，好多人也没空看，基本上梳理了近期的重要消息，今天盘面涨跌方向都有涉及。这 里面最重要的还是美伊谈判进展，这直接影响了相当多的板块。其他板块因为都有所预期，反而走得不如人意，不少就是高开低走，直接消化了。 比如人形机器人概念股集体高开，百达精工2连板，但不久之后破板回落，利亚德涨超10%，露笑科技、天奇股份、亨通光电跟涨。消息面上，2026年央 视春晚，宇树科技、松延动力、魔法原子、银河通用等机器人企业高频曝光，展现企业最新技术成果，带热了机器人消费市场。基建方向本身没什么问 题，只是短线的情绪冲击之后，还是需要关注业绩和销量，再就是技术突破，后面可能要看特斯拉的机器人了。 领跌方向比较明显的就是节前大幅上涨，期待较高的影视板块、动漫板块、互动影视游戏，还有ai视频、Kimi概念、ai营销方向。还有盘古概念、aigc概 念，甚至知识产权概念都出现了大幅的调整。虽然春节期间ai影响也还是蛮大的，特别是发红包，刺激了下载。不过昨天我也看到一个数据，说红包降温 之后，他们这些 app下载量排名迅速下滑，这也是必然。 | 上证指数 | +47.71 | 分时 ...

今天上午，A股三大股指齐涨。截至收盘，上证指数上涨1.17%，深证成指上涨1.82%，创业板指上涨1.76%，科创综指上涨0.07%。 盘面上，三大主线上午表现强势： 首先是周期股，油气开采、有色金属、化工等板块大涨； | 蓝焰控股 | 8.66 | 10.04% | 83.8亿 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 融 000968 | | | | | 首板涨停 最终涨停 10:22 | | | | | 准油股份 | 11.10 | 10.01% | 28.9亿 | | 002207 | | | | | 首板涨停 最终涨停 09:31 | | | | | 中曼石油 | 36.61 | 10.01% | 169亿 | | 融 603619 | | | | | 草柜涨停 量终涨停 09:32 | | | | | 惠博音 | 4.18 | 10.00% | 55.7 Z | | ■ 002554 | | | | | 草板涨停 量终涨停 09:35 | | | | | 中海油服 | 17.38 | 10.00% | 51517. | | ■ 601808 | | | | 其次是算力产业链。其中 ...

Market Overview - On the first trading day of the Year of the Horse, major A-share indices collectively rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 1.17%, Shenzhen Component Index up by 1.82%, and ChiNext Index up by 1.76% [2] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 15,210 billion yuan, an increase of 3,074 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [2] - Over 4,200 stocks in the market experienced gains [2] Resource and Technology Stocks - Resource cyclical stocks, including oil, natural gas, gold, and chemicals, saw significant increases, with companies like Zhongman Petroleum and Hunan Silver hitting the daily limit [2] - AI-driven demand led to a surge in stocks related to optical fibers, CPO, PCB, and MLCC, with Longfei Optical Fiber hitting the daily limit and reaching a historical high [2] - The glass fiber sector was notably active, with Shandong Glass Fiber hitting the daily limit within two minutes of opening [5][6] Glass Fiber Sector - On February 24, multiple glass fiber stocks surged, with International Composite hitting the daily limit with a 20% increase, setting a new historical high [6] - Shandong Glass Fiber opened with a rapid increase, and other companies like Changhai Co., China Jushi, Honghe Technology, and China National Materials also saw significant gains [6] - Due to a shortage of specialty glass fiber cloth, manufacturers are adjusting their product structures, leading to a supply gap in traditional electronic cloth [9] MLCC Sector - The MLCC sector experienced a collective rise, with Fenghua High-Tech hitting the daily limit and Dali Kaipu reaching a "20cm" limit [10] - The demand for high-end MLCCs surged due to increased orders from AI server needs, with Murata Manufacturing facing capacity shortages [10] - TrendForce reported that major manufacturers like Murata, Samsung Electro-Mechanics, and Taiyo Yuden are operating at over 80% capacity due to high demand [10][11] Film Industry - The film sector saw a collective decline, with major companies like Light Media and Bona Film Group hitting the daily limit down [12][13] - The 2026 Spring Festival box office revenue dropped significantly, with a total of 5.752 billion yuan, and the average ticket price decreased by 6% year-on-year [17] - Despite a record number of screenings, the overall attendance rate was only 22.5%, indicating a mismatch between supply and demand in the film market [17]

所以问题来了：下午我们该怎么办？ 朋友们中午好，我是帮主郑重。上午这盘面，够热闹。 三大指数涨超1%，成交额比昨天放大了3000多亿，全市场超过4200只股票在涨。单看这些数字，妥妥 的"开门红"氛围。 但你打开账户看一眼，是不是觉得哪里不对？影视院线跌了，AI应用跌了，光线传媒一度20cm跌停 ——昨天还在憧憬春节档，今天就挨了一闷棍。 这就是今天上午最真实的盘面：放量普涨，但涨的不是你手里的。 钱去哪了？去了两个方向。 第一个方向，资源周期股。石油、黄金、化工，全线大涨。导火索很清楚：特朗普关税政策引发担忧， 美伊局势一触即发。布伦特原油重回70美元上方，黄金突破5160美元。资金在干什么？避险。地缘政治 这只黑天鹅一扇翅膀，资源品就成了资金躲雨的地方。 第二个方向，算力硬件股。长飞光纤涨停创新高，天孚通信、中际旭创、新易盛集体大涨。为什么？还 是那个老逻辑——AI的"卖铲人"。SK海力士说存储芯片价格全年涨，华工科技说订单排到四季度，今 天光纤、CPO接力，说明资金在产业链里轮动，从芯片到光模块，一个一个挖。 这两个方向有个共同点：都有实锤。要么是地缘冲突带来的涨价预期，要么是产业需求带来的订单能见 度 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report titled "2026-2032 China CPU Industry Market Status Analysis and Market Trend Forecast" provides essential insights for decision-makers and investors in the CPU sector, highlighting the current market dynamics and future trends [1][11]. Group 1: Industry Overview - The CPU (Central Processing Unit) is the core of computer systems, responsible for executing program instructions and processing data, often referred to as the "brain" of the computer [6]. - The report emphasizes the significance of the CPU industry's technological advancements and market structure, which profoundly impact the global technology sector [8]. - The Chinese CPU market is projected to grow by 3.8% year-on-year by 2026, driven by policy support and technological innovation [8]. Group 2: Data Collection and Analysis Methodology - The research team employed multiple data collection methods, including annual reports from listed companies, manufacturer surveys, and expert validations, to ensure data accuracy and relevance [3]. - The report utilizes a proprietary industry analysis model developed by the research institute, allowing for a comprehensive understanding of the current market status, trends, and dynamics [3][11]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Key players in the Chinese CPU market, such as Feiteng, Haiguang, Longxin, and Zhaoxin, are leveraging proprietary instruction sets or compatible ecosystems to gain market share [9]. - Longxin's 3A6000 processor aims to compete with international mainstream products while adhering to a proprietary instruction set approach [9]. Group 4: Report Structure - The report consists of twelve chapters covering various aspects of the CPU industry, including definitions, business models, risk factors, and market dynamics [12]. - It provides a detailed analysis of the CPU industry's operating environment, including political, economic, social, and technological factors [14]. Group 5: Future Projections - The report forecasts supply and demand, pricing, market size, and strategic recommendations for the CPU industry from 2026 to 2032, offering a scientific and rigorous outlook [12][21]. - It highlights the expected trends in CPU performance, power efficiency, and intelligence, supporting strategic industries like AI, cloud computing, and the Internet of Things [8].

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a decline, with the Hang Seng Index falling by 1.93% to 26,560.57 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index down by 2.36% to 5,258.33 points, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index decreasing by 2.06% to 9,007.78 points [1][2]. Major Stocks Performance - Major technology stocks saw significant declines: Alibaba fell by 2.96%, Tencent by 3.44%, JD.com by 0.19%, Xiaomi by 1.86%, NetEase by 0.71%, Meituan by 4.76%, Kuaishou by 3.79%, and Bilibili by 2.73% [2]. Film and Entertainment Sector - The film and entertainment sector faced substantial drops, with DMG Entertainment down by 9% and Maoyan Entertainment falling over 7%, hitting new lows. According to a report from CICC, the effective box office for the first six days of the 2026 Spring Festival was 5.077 billion yuan, a decrease of 38.7% compared to the previous year. The expected box office for the period may fall below the previously anticipated range of 6.5 to 8.5 billion yuan due to a lack of leading films [3]. Tourism and Retail Sector - The tourism and retail sector also declined, with China Duty Free Group dropping over 8%. During the first five days of the Spring Festival holiday, duty-free shopping in Hainan reached 1.38 billion yuan, with 177,000 shoppers, representing increases of 19% and 24.6% year-on-year, respectively. However, the stock price of China Duty Free has largely reflected this demand [3]. Semiconductor Sector - The semiconductor and memory stocks showed resilience, with Hynix reporting strong demand from AI clients and limited supply, leading to continued price increases in memory products. Hynix indicated that its inventory for DRAM and NAND is only about four weeks, and it expects this level to continue to decline throughout the year [4]. AI Applications - AI application companies, particularly Zhiyuan and MINIMAX-WP, performed strongly, with Zhiyuan rising nearly 21% and MINIMAX-WP up nearly 8%. Reports indicate that Chinese large models are capturing a significant share of the global developer market, with Chinese models accounting for 61% of the total token volume [4].