Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - Pay attention to the advancement of the new energy upstream raw material production in the production industry and the promotion of financial industry opening - up policies in the service industry [1][2] - Monitor the trends of upstream, mid - stream, and downstream industries, as well as the recent slight decline in credit spreads of the pharmaceutical and chemical industries [3][4][5][6] Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Mid - view Event Overview Production Industry - The "Fujian Province Hydrogen Energy Industry Innovation and Development Medium - and Long - Term Plan (2025 - 2035)" aims to achieve a green hydrogen production capacity of 30,000 tons/year and a hydrogen - based green fuel production capacity of 100,000 tons/year with a total hydrogen energy industry output value exceeding 60 billion yuan/year from 2025 - 2030. From 2030 - 2035, it aims to form an industrial system with diverse application scenarios and a total output value exceeding 300 billion yuan/year [1] Service Industry - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange drafted the "Notice on Deepening the Reform of Cross - border Investment and Financing Foreign Exchange Management (Draft for Comment)" involving three aspects: deepening cross - border investment foreign exchange management reform, cross - border financing foreign exchange management reform, and optimizing the facilitation of capital project income payments [2] - At the 2025 Lujiazui Forum, the central bank governor announced eight major financial opening - up measures in Shanghai, including setting up a transaction reporting repository, a digital RMB international operation center, a personal credit reporting agency, etc. [2] 2. Industry Overview Upstream - International crude oil prices are continuously rising, while egg prices are continuously falling [3] Mid - stream - The PX operating rate is at a high level, and the urea operating rate is continuously rising [4] Downstream - The sales of commercial housing in first - and second - tier cities are the same as the same period last year and at a near - three - year low. Domestic flight frequencies are cyclically decreasing [5] 3. Market Pricing - The credit spreads of the pharmaceutical and chemical industries have recently declined slightly [6] 4. Industry Credit Spread Tracking (as of 6/18) | Industry | Last Year's Same Period | One Month Ago | Last Week | This Week | Quantile | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry and Fishery | 60.79 | 66.88 | 59.28 | 56.87 | 0.00 | | Mining | 32.93 | 44.31 | 39.39 | 39.73 | 10.20 | | Chemical Industry | 71.19 | 59.18 | 20.99 | 50.48 | 0.20 | | Steel | 39.49 | 21.93 | 46.91 | 48.18 | 12.10 | | Non - ferrous Metals | 41.14 | 55.28 | 51.00 | 20.59 | 11.60 | | Electronics | 58.53 | 68.99 | 28.89 | 64.45 | 19.00 | | Automobile | 58.68 | 46.21 | 41.64 | 41.55 | 0.90 | | Household Appliances | 40.37 | 49.64 | 46.68 | 48.10 | 15.00 | | Food and Beverage | 40.25 | 41.59 | 36.25 | 37.52 | 4.20 | | Textile and Apparel | 48.03 | 51.98 | 51.69 | 52.77 | 12.20 | | Light Industry Manufacturing | 46.71 | 159.30 | 145.95 | 146.85 | 7.60 | | Pharmaceutical and Biological | 52.64 | 68.67 | 59.40 | 57.89 | 7.30 | | Public Utilities | 24.62 | 30.71 | 27.04 | 26.96 | 9.40 | | Transportation | 30.29 | 34.77 | 31.18 | 31.11 | 6.10 | | Real Estate | 219.38 | 117.08 | 103.67 | 102.13 | 4.80 | | Commerce and Trade | 42.35 | 47.40 | 41.84 | 42.96 | 5.60 | | Leisure Services | 75.74 | 122.67 | 122.09 | 123.60 | 98.70 | | Banking | 26.58 | 18.03 | 18.01 | 17.09 | 2.60 | | Non - banking Finance | 26.45 | 31.70 | 29.51 | 29.12 | 6.60 | | Comprehensive | 66.51 | 47.54 | 42.20 | 42.27 | 2.00 | | Building Materials | 33.99 | 43.29 | 38.25 | 39.05 | 9.90 | | Building Decoration | 40.92 | 53.96 | 60.30 | 51.44 | 11.90 | | Electrical Equipment | 48.87 | 80.41 | 79.15 | 80.50 | 45.40 | | Machinery and Equipment | 29.54 | 46.61 | 43.99 | 44.63 | 27.30 | | Computer | 66.64 | 55.32 | 46.46 | 48.05 | 0.40 | | Media | 232.69 | 42.80 | 39.69 | 40.20 | 1.50 | | Communications | 29.66 | 24.94 | 25.36 | 26.40 | 2.80 | [51] 5. Key Industry Price Index Tracking (as of 6/17) | Industry Name | Index Name | Frequency | Unit | Update Time | Current Value | Year - on - Year | 5 - day Trend | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Agriculture | Spot price of corn | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 2335.7 | 1.18% | | | | Spot price of eggs | Daily | Yuan/kg | 6/17 | 5.6 | - 3.95% | | | | Spot price of palm oil | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 8848.0 | 2.53% | | | | Spot price of cotton | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 14846.5 | 1.53% | | | | Average wholesale price of pork | Daily | Yuan/kg | 6/17 | 20.2 | - 0.34% | | | | Spot price of copper | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 78740.0 | - 0.70% | | | | Spot price of zinc | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 22008.0 | - 0.62% | | | Non - ferrous Metals | Spot price of aluminum | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 20633.3 | 2.18% | | | | Spot price of nickel | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 120008.3 | - 2.34% | | | | Spot price of aluminum | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 16800.0 | 0.52% | | | | Spot price of rebar | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 3062.3 | - 0.90% | | | Ferrous Metals | Spot price of iron ore | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 736.6 | - 0.46% | | | | Spot price of wire rod | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 3252.5 | - 0.46% | | | | Spot price of glass | Daily | Yuan/square meter | 6/17 | 13.8 | 0.00% | | | Non - metals | Spot price of natural rubber | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 13718.3 | 0.35% | | | | China Plastic City Price Index | Daily | - | 6/17 | 831.1 | 0.81% | | | | Spot price of WTI crude oil | Daily | US dollars/barrel | 6/17 | 71.8 | 9.92% | | | | Spot price of Brent crude oil | Daily | US dollars/barrel | 6/17 | 73.2 | 9.23% | | | Energy | Spot price of liquefied natural gas | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 3960.0 | - 0.95% | | | | Coal price | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 731.0 | - 2.27% | | | | Spot price of PTA | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 5045.0 | 3.37% | | | Chemical Industry | Spot price of polyethylene | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 7438.3 | 1.04% | | | | Spot price of urea | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 1820.0 | - 0.09% | | | | Spot price of soda ash | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 1370.0 | 0.00% | | | | National cement price index | Daily | - | 6/17 | 140.5 | - 0.27% | | | Real Estate | Building materials comprehensive index | Daily | Points | 6/17 | 111.8 | 0.18% | | | | National concrete price index | Daily | Points | 6/17 | 99.0 | - 0.11% | | [52]

Group 1 - The 2025 Lujiazui Forum highlighted policies focusing on financial openness and technology, with structural monetary policy tools being piloted at the regional level to enhance infrastructure and improve the efficiency of cross-border payments, potentially increasing foreign investment in domestic assets [6][8][9] - The introduction of the "1+6" policy for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board aims to support technology innovation and promote the transformation of economic dynamics, with a focus on enhancing capital market resource allocation [6][10] - The establishment of a new Sci-Tech Growth Layer on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board is designed to accommodate unprofitable technology companies, thereby enhancing the inclusivity and adaptability of the capital market [11][12][14] Group 2 - The insurance sector is experiencing increased foreign participation, with foreign insurance companies' market share rising from 4% in 2013 to 9% currently, and a projected CAGR of 20% for foreign insurance premiums, outpacing the domestic industry's growth [19][21][22] - The aging population in China is expected to drive the silver economy, with the number of individuals aged 60 and above projected to exceed 400 million by 2035, creating significant opportunities in health care, long-term care, and wellness services [22][23] - The wealth management market in China is also expanding, with a shift from cash and savings to diversified asset allocation, driven by rising GDP per capita and increasing demand for equity assets and insurance products [22][23] Group 3 - The monetary policy framework is evolving, with structural monetary policy tools being expanded to support specific sectors such as technology and agriculture, while maintaining a balance between supporting the real economy and ensuring the stability of the banking system [24][25][26] - The introduction of various financial instruments, including technology innovation bonds and carbon reduction support tools, aims to enhance credit resources and align with the "Five Major Articles" strategy, focusing on consumption, technology, and green initiatives [26][27][28] - The establishment of Asset Investment Companies (AICs) is intended to provide "patient capital" for new productive forces, facilitating long-term investments in technology and innovation [28][29]

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of two foreign-owned insurance asset management companies in Shanghai marks a significant step in China's financial market opening and reflects foreign investors' confidence in the Chinese market's long-term potential [1][2][3]. Group 1: Company Developments - AIA Group has received approval to establish AIA Insurance Asset Management Company in Shanghai, demonstrating its long-term commitment to the Chinese market and the results of China's high-level financial openness [1][2]. - Aegon, through its subsidiary Aegon Global Life, is also set to establish a wholly foreign-owned insurance asset management company in Shanghai, indicating a direct management approach from the parent company [3][4]. - Both companies aim to create a diversified asset management product system tailored to the Chinese market, enhancing their investment capabilities and asset-liability matching [2][4]. Group 2: Market Context - Over the past five years, the average annual growth rate of assets under management in China's trust, wealth management, and insurance asset management sectors has been approximately 8%, positioning China as the second-largest asset and wealth management market globally [5]. - Nearly half of the 40 largest insurance companies have entered the Chinese market, highlighting the increasing interest and investment from foreign entities [5].

Domestic Monetary Policy - The central bank's monetary policy will focus on structural policies, with limited room for further rate cuts, expecting a slight reduction of 50 basis points in reserve requirement ratios and 10 basis points in interest rates in the second half of 2025[2] - Emphasis on structural policy tools to support monetary expansion and boost the growth rate of broad money supply and social financing[2] - Initiatives include pilot programs for innovative structural monetary policy tools in Shanghai, such as blockchain credit refinancing and cross-border trade refinancing[2] Financial Market Activation - Announced measures to enhance offshore trade finance services and develop offshore bonds, which will enrich domestic financial products and promote financial innovation[3] - The financial regulatory authority will increase support for consumption and key strategic areas, while the securities regulator will deepen reforms in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board[3] - Establishing interbank market transaction reporting systems and personal credit institutions to enhance information transparency and risk monitoring[3] International Financial Strategy - Development of offshore bonds and optimization of free trade account functions to facilitate financing for domestic enterprises going abroad and those in Belt and Road Initiative regions[4] - Establishment of a digital RMB international operation center to promote cross-border trade and enhance the RMB's status in the international monetary system[4] - The central bank will further promote the use of digital RMB in cross-border payments and settlements, aiding in RMB internationalization[4] Risk Considerations - Potential risks include slower-than-expected progress in domestic financial opening and unexpected volatility in global financial markets[5]

Group 1 - The establishment of an international operating center for digital RMB in Shanghai will significantly enhance the usage rate of digital RMB in cross-border finance and reduce transaction costs, marking an important step for the internationalization of the RMB [2][4] - The introduction of a "green channel" for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board allows hard-tech companies to go public even if they are not profitable, facilitating easier access to capital markets for innovative enterprises [5][7] - The optimization of free trade account functions will enhance the efficient connection between quality enterprises and foreign capital, improving the level of liberalization and convenience in cross-border trade and investment [9] Group 2 - The joint release of the "Action Plan to Support the Construction of Shanghai International Financial Center" by the Financial Regulatory Bureau and the Shanghai Municipal Government will accelerate the development of Shanghai as an international financial center, particularly in technology and cross-border finance [11] - The recent policies signal a strong commitment to financial openness in China, showcasing the country's determination to embrace the world and innovate in the financial sector [13]

Core Insights - The A-share market saw collective gains on Wednesday, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.04%, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 0.24%, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.23%. The total market turnover was 1,221.7 billion, a decrease of 15.4 billion from the previous day, with over 1,800 stocks rising. Key sectors that performed well included military equipment, components, CPO, and consumer electronics, while the rare earth permanent magnet sector saw declines [3][8]. Important News - The National Financial Supervision Administration and the Shanghai Municipal Government jointly issued a plan to support the construction of Shanghai as an international financial center, focusing on five main areas: promoting the aggregation of financial institutions, enhancing financial services for the real economy, expanding institutional openness, improving regulatory standards, and enhancing policy support for financial services [4][9]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) released opinions on establishing a growth tier on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board to enhance institutional inclusiveness and adaptability. This includes six reform measures aimed at supporting high-quality technology enterprises, such as introducing seasoned professional institutional investors and expanding the applicability of listing standards to more frontier technology sectors [10][11]. Selected Research - The report highlights the emphasis on financial openness and high-quality development, particularly during the 2025 Lujiazui Forum, where significant financial policies were announced. Key measures include establishing a trading report database, a digital RMB international operation center, and enhancing the infrastructure of the financial market [11][12]. - The focus on internationalization, improvement, and innovation in financial policies aims to enhance the international influence of the RMB and streamline cross-border transactions, thereby supporting the Belt and Road Initiative and the development of Shanghai as an international financial hub [12][13]. - The CSRC's initiatives to deepen capital market reforms and enhance the integration of technology and industry are expected to attract quality cross-border capital into technology enterprises, fostering a virtuous cycle among technology, industry, and finance [14][15].

其 他 报 告 2025年06月19日 晨会纪要 | 国内市场 | 涨跌幅（%） | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数 | 收盘 1日 | | 上周 | | 上证综合指数 | -- | -- | -- | | 深证成份指数 | -- | -- | -- | | 沪深300指数 | -- | -- | -- | | 创业板指数 | -- | -- | -- | | 上证国债指数 | -- | -- | -- | | 上证基金指数 | -- | -- | -- | | | | 资料来源:同花顺iFinD | | 今日重点推荐： 【平安证券】策略点评*深化金融对外开放，加大科创融资支持 *20250618 研究分析师 : 魏伟 投资咨询资格编号 : S1060513060001 研究分析师 : 张亚婕 投资咨询资格编号 : S1060517110001 研究分析师 : 蒋炯楠 投资咨询资格编号 : S1060524120002 核心观点 : 金融改革开放深化，看好权益市场中期向上空间，建议关注政策支持 的科技创新+产业创新主线。在外部不确定性增加的背景下，此次监管部门深化 金融改 ...

Domestic News - The People's Bank of China announced eight significant financial opening measures at the 2025 Lujiazui Forum [5] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) introduced the "1+6" policy measures to deepen reforms, establishing a new growth tier for technology innovation [5] - The CSRC will allow qualified foreign investors to participate in ETF options trading, effective from October 9, 2025 [5] - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange released a draft notice on deepening cross-border investment and financing foreign exchange management reforms [5] International News - The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates unchanged for the fourth consecutive time, with the dot plot indicating two rate cuts this year, but the number of officials not expecting cuts increased to seven [3] - Trump reiterated that the Federal Reserve should cut rates by 200 basis points, suggesting that a 250 basis point cut would be very beneficial [5] - Brazil's central bank unexpectedly raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 15%, while the market had anticipated a hold at 14.75% [5] - Foreign investors' holdings of U.S. Treasury securities are nearing record highs, with China reducing its holdings in April while the UK and Japan increased theirs [5]

Open Market Operations - The central bank announced a reverse repurchase operation of 156.3 billion yuan for 7 days at an interest rate of 1.40% on June 18, with 164 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing on the same day, resulting in a net withdrawal of 7.7 billion yuan [1]. Funding Conditions - The impact of the tax period is nearing its end, leading to a stable funding environment. The overnight pledged repo rate for deposit-taking institutions slightly decreased to around 1.37%, while the 7-day pledged repo rate saw a slight increase. In the overseas market, the latest overnight financing rate in the US is 4.32% [3]. Interbank Certificates of Deposit - The latest transaction rate for one-year interbank certificates of deposit among major banks is around 1.65%, showing little change from the previous day [6]. Government Bond Futures - The closing prices for government bond futures are as follows: the 30-year main contract increased by 0.09%, the 10-year main contract decreased by 0.01%, the 5-year main contract decreased by 0.01%, and the 2-year main contract increased by 0.01% [10]. Key Financial Policies - The People's Bank of China announced eight significant financial opening measures at the 2025 Lujiazui Forum, including the establishment of a trading report database for the interbank market and a digital RMB international operation center, among others [11]. - The Chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission emphasized enhancing the inclusiveness and adaptability of the system, focusing on deepening reforms in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the Growth Enterprise Market [11]. Bond Market Events - The 2025 Lujiazui Forum opened with announcements of major financial policies, including the development of Sci-Tech bonds and the acceleration of the launch of Sci-Tech bond ETFs [15]. - Recent negative events in the bond market include downgrades in ratings for several companies, indicating potential risks in the non-standard assets of local government financing vehicles [16].

Group 1 - US stock market closed mixed, with investors focusing on Federal Reserve policies and Middle East tensions. The Fed maintained interest rates but hinted at two rate cuts this year, while also reducing future rate cut expectations. Economic forecasts indicate increasing stagflation pressures, with GDP growth downgraded and inflation rates raised [2] - According to UBS's "2025 Global Wealth Report," the US is expected to add 379,000 millionaires in 2024, accounting for nearly 40% of the global total. The Americas saw a private wealth net worth growth of 11%. The Greater China region ranks first globally with 28.2% of the middle class having net assets between $100,000 and $1 million [2] - Guangzhou has implemented significant measures to stimulate the housing market by canceling "three limits" and lowering down payment ratios and interest rates. The city has been heavily reliant on land finance, and current pressures on local fiscal balance necessitate these actions [2] Group 2 - At the 2025 Lujiazui Forum, the People's Bank of China announced eight major financial opening measures, including the establishment of an interbank market trading report database and a digital RMB international operation center [3] - The Chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission announced a set of "1+6" policy measures to deepen the reform of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, including the introduction of a third set of standards for the Growth Enterprise Market and support for unprofitable companies to go public [3] - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a resurgence, driven by a 53% price increase in DDR4 memory in May, the largest since 2017, and advancements in integrated chip technology from the Shanghai Institute of Optics and Fine Mechanics [3] Group 3 - NIO reported an expanded net loss attributable to shareholders and a rising debt-to-asset ratio in Q1, prompting concerns about its financial health. The company is undergoing self-transformation and management adjustments while planning to launch nine new models by 2025, although profitability remains a challenge [5] - The market price of Moutai has declined significantly since mid-May, with trading prices approaching 2,000 yuan. This decline is attributed to economic downturns, policy factors, and changing consumer preferences among younger generations [5]