避险资产
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美股异动 | 贵金属板块强势拉升 南方铜业(SCCO.US)涨超7%
智通财经网· 2026-02-03 15:12
Core Viewpoint - The precious metals sector experienced a strong rally, with significant gains in various companies, driven by a rebound in gold and silver prices [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO.US) rose over 7% - Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold (FCX.US) and First Majestic Silver (AG.US) increased by more than 5% - Pan American Silver (PAAS.US) gained over 4% - Newmont Corporation (NEM.US) saw an increase of over 3% [1] Group 2: Price Movements - Spot gold surged over 5%, surpassing $4,900 - Spot silver jumped over 12%, reaching $88.76 [1] Group 3: Analyst Insights - UBS Global Research analyst Joanie Teves released a report indicating that while gold faces short-term price pressures, the long-term outlook for the precious metals market remains positive - Teves is optimistic about gold's long-term prospects, citing global financial system uncertainties and economic concerns as factors that will continue to drive demand for gold - The advantages of gold as a safe-haven asset will become more pronounced amid changes in Federal Reserve policy and escalating international political risks, suggesting significant upside potential for gold prices in the long term [1]
贵金属板块强势拉升 南方铜业(SCCO.US)涨超7%
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-03 15:09
Core Viewpoint - The precious metals sector experienced a strong rally, with significant gains in various companies, driven by a rebound in gold and silver prices, indicating a positive outlook for the long-term precious metals market despite short-term risks [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO.US) rose over 7% - Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold (FCX.US) and First Majestic Silver (AG.US) increased by more than 5% - Pan American Silver (PAAS.US) gained over 4% - Newmont Corporation (NEM.US) saw an increase of over 3% [1] Group 2: Price Movements - Spot gold surged over 5%, surpassing $4900 - Spot silver jumped over 12%, reaching $88.76 [1] Group 3: Analyst Insights - UBS Global Research analyst Joanie Teves released a report indicating that while gold faces short-term price pressure, the long-term outlook remains positive - Teves believes that uncertainty in the global financial system and concerns about future economic trends will continue to drive demand for gold - The advantages of gold as a safe-haven asset will become more pronounced amid changes in Federal Reserve policy and increasing international political risks, suggesting significant upside potential for gold prices in the long term [1]
Gold Is Skyrocketing, While Bitcoin Is Down 33%. Should Investors of the Leading Crypto Be Worried?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-03 13:09
Core Insights - The price of gold has surged 175% since January 30, 2023, following a modest 8% increase from 2013 to 2022, indicating a significant shift in investor sentiment towards gold as a safe-haven asset [1] - Bitcoin, while historically impressive with a 22,770% increase over the past decade, has underperformed against gold in the last 12 and 24 months, currently sitting 33% below its peak [2][7] Investment Trends - Investment professionals advocate for gold as a safe-haven asset during periods of uncertainty due to its lack of correlation with other asset classes, limited supply, and neutral characteristics, which have contributed to its strong performance recently [3] - Central banks globally are increasing their gold reserves to reduce dependence on the U.S., with the value of gold held by these banks now exceeding their U.S. Treasury balances [6] Market Dynamics - The U.S. is experiencing significant trade deficits and a record federal debt of $39 trillion, alongside a depreciating dollar, which has fallen to its lowest level in four years against major currencies, further bolstering gold's appeal [5] - Bitcoin's recent performance suggests it remains a risk-on asset, indicating that it has yet to fully transition into a widely accepted store of value, which may require broader institutional adoption, including acceptance by central banks [7][8] Future Outlook - Despite short-term trends that may discourage Bitcoin investors, there is a belief that Bitcoin possesses substantial upside potential due to its scarcity compared to gold and its digital nature, presenting a buying opportunity during dips [9]
四点半观市 | 机构:贵金属急跌修正市场过热情绪 中长期支撑贵金属走势核心逻辑依旧坚固
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-03 09:21
Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a significant upward trend on February 3, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4067.74 points, up 1.29%, and the Shenzhen Component Index rising by 2.19% [2] - Over 4800 stocks in the market saw gains, with the photovoltaic industry chain showing strong performance, particularly in the space photovoltaic sector, where stocks like Aotewi and Zerun New Energy hit the daily limit with a 20% increase [2] - The Nikkei 225 index in Japan rose by 3.92%, closing at 54720.66 points, while the Korean Composite Index surged by 6.84%, marking the largest single-day increase since March 2020 [2] Commodity Futures - Most domestic commodity futures contracts closed lower during the day, with notable increases in palladium (up over 8%), polysilicon (up over 6%), and lithium carbonate (up over 4%) [2] - Conversely, silver futures dropped over 16%, tin fell over 6%, and crude oil decreased by over 4% [2] Bond Market - On February 3, government bond futures mostly rose, with the 10-year main contract increasing by 0.02% and the 5-year contract up by 0.06% [3] - The China Convertible Bond Index rose by 2.63%, with significant gains in individual convertible bonds such as Baichuan Convertible Bond (up 17.34%) [3] Fund Flow - On February 3, the top ten stocks by net inflow included Aerospace Development, Huasheng Tiancheng, and Kweichow Moutai, with Aerospace Development receiving a net inflow of 2.031 billion yuan [4] Institutional Insights - Huaxi Securities noted that after a rapid increase, the safe-haven appeal of precious metals has diminished, suggesting that the recent sharp decline is a correction of overheated sentiment, but precious metals still hold value for allocation [5] - CICC indicated that the A-share market is experiencing a natural demand for consolidation after a quick rise, but the underlying factors supporting market performance remain unchanged, suggesting conditions for a potential upward trend [5]
黄金白银三天蒸发8万亿美元,这场“血洗”背后发生了什么?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-03 08:37
知名财经网站Finbold周一(2月2日)撰文称,两大传统"避险"资产——黄金和白银——在2026年初曾一路 飙升、连续刷新历史新高后,于1月下旬至2月初遭遇了一场猛烈的抛售潮。 这两种贵金属在短短三天内合计蒸发了约8万亿美元的市值,价格跌至周一发稿时水平:黄金为4,533美 元/盎司,白银为77美元/盎司。 (截图来源:Finbold) 其中,黄金约占此次大宗商品市值缩水的5.5万亿美元,因为目前地表以上黄金储量估计约为216,265 吨。 (黄金一周价格走势图 来源:TradingView) 白银虽然跌幅更大,从约118美元/盎司下滑至77美元/盎司,但按全球白银储量约160万吨的估算,其市 值蒸发规模约为2.5万亿美元。 (白银一周价格走势图 来源:TradingView) 不过,值得注意的是,上述两种商品的地上储量估算本身相对不可靠,这意味着实际损失规模可能会比 估算值多出或少掉数万亿美元。 尽管黄金近1,000美元、白银30美元的暴跌——两者的跌幅都超过大宗商品通常一整年的波动幅度—— 本身已足够令人震惊,但更值得担忧的,或许是金融市场整体更广泛走势中所呈现出的那种模式。 黄金和白银这两种贵金属通常 ...
国际金银价格回升 现货黄金重新站上4900美元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-03 08:36
国内黄金品牌金饰价格方面,截至15时10分,根据相关品牌官网显示,周生生足金饰品价格为1498元/ 克;老庙足金饰品价格为1498元/克;周大福足金(饰品、工艺品类)价格为1495元/克。 中银基金报告认为,本次黄金的大幅调整,既有美联储主席人选确定的因素,也有交易拥挤后的获利回 吐与技术性因素。芝商所再次增加黄金期货保证金比例,也使得部分短线与高杠杆资金的做多情绪降 温,放大短期价格波动。黄金隐含波动率也达到历史高点,叠加周五特朗普提名沃什为美联储主席候选 人,市场对其可能的缩表倾向担忧,成为价格调整的最终催化剂。 央广网北京2月3日消息(记者 宓迪)在遭遇史诗级暴跌后,国际金银价格今日迎来回升。Wind数据显 示,截至2月3日15时37分,现货黄金(伦敦金现)报4926.110美元/盎司,日内涨5.73%,上周曾一度创 下5598.750美元的新高;COMEX黄金期货价格报4906.8美元/盎司,当日涨5.46%。 中银基金报告判断,展望后市,短期来看,黄金或进入了过热后的阶段性调整阶段,但支撑黄金的长期 核心逻辑或并未发生根本性逆转。美元信用弱化、特朗普政府对美联储独立性的干扰、全球央行持续购 金、地缘 ...
近200人排队,有人一次性卖出200万元金条,也有人计划一次性买入450克黄金!
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-03 06:11
炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 原标题:近200人排队,有人一次性卖出200万元金条,也有人计划一次性买入450克黄金!北京菜百公 告:周末节假日暂停回购,并进行限额管理 近日,现货黄金价格持续波动。1月29日,伦敦金现冲上5598.75美元/盎司的高点,但又在2月2日,一 度下探至4402.06美元/盎司,短短3日,区间跌幅达21.37%。 2月3日,现货黄金又再度上涨,截至发稿报4815美元/盎司,涨幅约3.36%。 在此背景下,不少投资者选择卖出金条或黄金首饰。 "上周刚入手了一条10克左右的黄金项链,一克1650元,没过两天就降了,跌得也太快了。赶紧先出手 卖掉,等过两天便宜了再买。"在菜百回购柜台排队的吴女士表示。 据中新经纬及21世纪经济报道,以投资者身份走访北京菜百时发现,2月2日,回购柜台已有近200人排 队。 在菜百3楼,一下电梯就看到工作人员举着"回购业务验证队尾"牌子站在队尾,还有多位工作人员在维 持现场秩序。 据中新经纬报道,上午11时左右,有投资者带着2000克金条来到菜百回购柜台。菜百工作人员接过其金 条后,随即拿到验金机器上进行检验,检验 ...
贵金属深V反弹,国际金价重回4800美元/盎司,金ETF(518680)开盘拉升5%!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-03 02:07
每日经济新闻 2月3日,贵金属深V反弹,黄金再续攻势,国际金价重回4800美元/盎司,金ETF(518680)开盘拉升 5%,截至发稿的最新涨幅为3.76%!市场普遍认为,近期贵金属剧烈震荡,主要是政策预期转换、国际 格局重构、产业需求变化和市场情绪影响的综合产物。 研究机构指出,尽管短期内抛售压力巨大,但黄金作为避险资产的核心吸引力并未消退,地缘冲突不确 定性和宏观经济因素仍可能推动其反弹。美联储今年仍将降息、美国债务持续增加、地缘冲突都是关键 变量,都将对美元施加下行压力,从而支撑贵金属价格。这次回调是为更温和的上涨轨迹重新奠基。 投资者应当注意黄金短期波动性,或可适当中长期布局。富国基金旗下的金ETF(518680)及联接基金 (A类009504/C类009505),其跟踪标的是上海金集中定价合约(SHAU),一手即对标1克实物黄金, 投资清晰、透明、成本低。 ...
当黄金不能避险,哪些资产还能避险?
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2026-02-03 02:00
黑色星期五之后是黑色星期一,全球大宗商品在亚洲盘进一步暴跌,现货黄金盘中一度下跌10%,现货白银盘中跌超16%。恐慌的情绪跨市场蔓 延,包括A股与韩国KOSPI在内的亚洲股市一片绿油油。 当风险源头来自黄金,哪些资产在本轮市场洗牌中成为了"避风港"呢? 美元和美债:自去年4月"去美元化"以来,贵金属一直是海外投资者削减美元资产的重要替代品之一。而这两天贵金属的暴跌让这一进程出 现了短暂的逆转,大家重新转头去买入美元和美债,美元指数从周五低位反弹100点回到97.1上方,美债收益率全面下行,1Y sofr一度下跌 5bp至3.44%,10Y美债收益率也回落至4.21%附近。 而曾经的避险货币——日元和瑞郎,却悄悄沉没在这轮暴跌中。 因瑞士有黄金加工出口的体质,CHF汇率走势(右轴倒序)近期与黄金价格相关性增强,EURCHF上周跌破0.92关口,创2015年瑞郎脱钩以 来的最低水平。而当黄金暴跌时,本应展现出避险属性的瑞郎受金价拖累,反而阻拦了EURCHF的继续下跌。 日元的疲弱更不必说,根据朝日新闻民调,高市早苗领导的执政联盟有望在众议院选举中获得超过300席(共465席),如果选举结果不出现 重大变故,高市早 ...
21社论丨金价大幅震荡凸显全球市场多重风险
21世纪经济报道· 2026-02-03 01:52
近日,国际黄金与白银市场经历罕见巨幅下挫,美国科技股亦同步大幅下跌。2月2日,亚洲 股市普遍承压,国内商品期货市场多数品种走低,其中沪银、广期所铂金和钯金跌停,沪金 一度触及跌停板。 全球市场为何如此青睐黄金?这一问题并非新近出现。过去几年,作为黄金的主要购买方, 各国央行持续推进外汇储备多元化,黄金已成为分散美元风险的重要避险资产与国家储备工 具。因此,黄金价格背后的核心驱动实为"去美元化"逻辑——无论是出于对美元资产安全性 的担忧,还是基于美国债务问题对美元信用的忧虑,黄金均被视为具有历史意义的对冲工 具。 在各国央行长期、持续增持的支撑下,黄金的安全边际得到强化。与此同时,美国在美元信 用、利率政策及地缘政治等方面日益凸显的不确定性,似乎正推动黄金进入一个历史性的上 涨周期。正是基于这一叙事与判断,市场资金逐渐将原本作为避险资产的黄金(无息资产) 重新定位为风险资产。在当前美股、美债等资产已处于高位、增长空间受限的背景下,在有 限的资产选择范围内,黄金与白银被视为最能捕捉货币贬值、再通胀以及地缘政治冲突情绪 的交易标的。 美国因过去长期使用过度宽松的货币与财政政策,导致该国宏观风险不断累积,已濒临临界 ...