Domestic News - The Central Financial Committee, chaired by Xi Jinping, emphasized the need to advance the construction of a unified national market and promote high-quality development of the marine economy, while also addressing issues of low-price disorderly competition among enterprises and encouraging the exit of backward production capacity [1] - Domestic refined oil prices have been raised, resulting in an additional cost of 9 yuan for a full tank of gas [2] - The Caixin China PMI for June recorded a value of 50.4, an increase of 2.1 percentage points from May [3] - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority purchased 20.018 billion HKD in the market due to the Hong Kong dollar hitting the weak side of the peg [4] - The Chinese Foreign Ministry announced sanctions against former Philippine senator Torentino, prohibiting his entry into mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macau [5] International News - U.S. officials are seeking to narrow the scope of trade agreements, aiming to reach a deal by July 9, with India looking to finalize a temporary trade agreement this week [1] - Trump stated he does not consider extending the July 9 deadline for tariff negotiations and expressed doubts about reaching an agreement with Japan, which may face tariffs of 30% or 35% [2] - The U.S. will prioritize trade negotiations with India over Japan [3] - The Trump administration has officially closed the U.S. International Development Agency [4] - The Thai Constitutional Court has decided to suspend Prayuth Chan-o-cha from exercising his duties as Prime Minister [5] - U.S. job openings unexpectedly rose to the highest level since November last year [6] - Federal Reserve Chair Powell stated it is too early to assert whether a rate cut in July is premature, leaving all options open [7] - The U.S. Senate passed the "Big and Beautiful" bill, with the House expected to vote on it this week [8] - Trump expressed disinterest in owning electric vehicles due to safety concerns and threatened to "consider expelling" Elon Musk [9] - Trump threatened to scrutinize Musk and his companies regarding subsidies, to which Musk responded by suggesting to cut all subsidies immediately [10]

Core Insights - The central government emphasizes the need for high-quality development of the marine economy, focusing on top-level design, policy support, and encouraging social capital participation [1][2] - The marine economy in China is entering a new phase of growth, with various provinces implementing policies to enhance marine industries [2][3] - By 2024, China's marine economy is projected to exceed 10 trillion yuan, accounting for 7.8% of GDP [1] Policy and Strategic Initiatives - The Central Financial Committee's meeting highlighted the importance of strengthening marine technology innovation and developing leading marine technology enterprises [1] - Guangdong province is accelerating the construction of modern marine ranches and enhancing its port industries, signaling a strong commitment to marine economic development [2] - Shanghai is planning to establish a marine industry development fund to attract both state-owned and social capital for key marine sectors [2] Regional Development and Opportunities - Shandong province aims to significantly enhance its marine characteristic industry clusters by 2027, with a focus on increasing the value-added of marine industries [3] - China's three major marine economic zones (North, East, and South) are developing distinct advantages based on their resources and industrial foundations [3] - The potential release of marine economic capabilities is expected to bring new development opportunities to various regions [3]

Group 1 - The Central Economic Committee emphasized the need for a unified national market and high-quality development of the marine economy, highlighting the importance of coordination and cooperation to achieve these goals [1] - The meeting underscored that advancing Chinese-style modernization requires a focus on the marine economy, aiming to establish a path with Chinese characteristics [1] Group 2 - In June, new car manufacturers reported significant sales figures, with Hongmeng Zhixing delivering 52,747 vehicles, marking a historical high and securing the top position among new forces in car manufacturing [2] - Leap Motor also achieved a record high in new car deliveries for June, reaching 48,006 units, while Li Auto and Xpeng Motors followed closely [2] Group 3 - The People's Bank of China and six other departments released guidelines to enhance financial support for boosting and expanding consumption, emphasizing the importance of increasing residents' financial capacity to stimulate consumption [3] - Analysts noted that rising stock markets can enhance consumer willingness and ability to spend, as increased asset values create a psychological effect of wealth growth [3] Group 4 - China plans to issue 1.3 trillion yuan in ultra-long special bonds by 2025, with 5.55 billion yuan issued in the first half of the year, accounting for 42.69% of the annual quota [4] - The issuance plan for the second half of the year has been adjusted to be more intensive, with the first issuance scheduled for July 14 [4] Group 5 - In July, several Hong Kong stocks were favored by brokerages, with companies like Pop Mart, Hong Kong Exchanges, and others receiving multiple recommendations from different firms [5] - The technology and brokerage sectors are highlighted as areas of focus for institutional investors, especially with the upcoming mid-year report season [5] Group 6 - The banking sector has seen a continuous rise, with 36 listed banks in A-shares increasing by over 1%, and Suzhou Bank and Xiamen Bank showing notable gains [8] - Analysts attribute this upward trend to recent shareholder meetings focusing on dividends and strategic transformations, laying a foundation for future stock price increases [8] Group 7 - The international copper price surged, reaching a peak of $9,984, driven by market confidence stemming from the "Big and Beautiful" bill in the U.S. and inflation expectations [15] - Goldman Sachs raised its forecast for LME copper prices for the second half of 2025 from $9,140 per ton to $9,890 per ton, predicting a peak of $10,050 in August [15] Group 8 - BYD reported a 33.04% year-on-year increase in new energy vehicle sales for the first half of the year, totaling approximately 2.146 million units [21] - New and existing companies are expected to see significant profit growth, with projections indicating increases of 50%-100% for several firms in the upcoming half-year [21]

Group 1 - Xi Jinping emphasized the need to deepen the construction of a unified national market and promote high-quality development of the marine economy during the sixth meeting of the Central Financial Committee [2] - The construction of a unified national market is essential for building a new development pattern and promoting high-quality development, requiring coordinated efforts to implement the Party Central Committee's deployment [2] - The development of the marine economy must follow a path with Chinese characteristics, contributing to China's modernization [2] Group 2 - The latest data shows that the added value of China's above-scale light industry increased by 7.0% year-on-year in the first five months of this year, continuing a positive recovery trend [11] - The total operating income of the light industry reached 9.27 trillion yuan during the same period, indicating steady production growth [11] Group 3 - The new revised Mineral Resources Law officially came into effect, emphasizing special protection for mineral resources critical to national economic security and strategic emerging industries [19] - The law also highlights the importance of balancing resource development and environmental protection, and stresses the market-oriented allocation of resources [19]

Report Overview - Report Date: July 1, 2025 - Report Type: Coal and Coke Daily Report - Industry: Black Metal (Coal and Coke) 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Core Views - **Coke**: On July 1, the coke main contract closed at 1,388.5 yuan/ton, with an intraday decline of 2.46%. After the end of the national safety production month in June, the safety supervision pressure in the main coking coal producing areas gradually eased, and coking coal production may increase, causing the coke price to decline slightly. The latest sample independent coking enterprises had a loss of 46 yuan/ton per ton of coke, and the operating pressure of coking plants increased. The daily average iron - water output of 247 steel mills was 242.29 tons, with a slight weekly increase. Recently, coke may maintain a wide - range volatile operation [5][33]. - **Coking Coal**: On July 1, the coking coal main contract closed at 814.5 points, with an intraday decline of 3.32%. Mines in Changzhi Qinyuan that were shut down due to safety supervision have resumed production, and supply concerns have resurfaced. The demand for coking coal is stable, but the supply side is disturbed, and the futures price has adjusted downward. It is expected that the coking coal main contract will maintain a range - bound volatile operation in the short term [6][34]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Industry News - **Policy News**: On July 1, Xi Jinping presided over the sixth meeting of the Central Financial and Economic Commission, discussing the construction of a unified national market and high - quality development of the marine economy [8]. - **Price News**: On July 1, the coking coal price in Jinzhong market remained stable, with the ex - factory price of medium - sulfur main coking coal being 930 yuan/ton [9]. 3.2 Spot Market - **Coke**: The ex - warehouse price of quasi - first - grade wet - quenched coke at Qingdao Port increased by 1.75% week - on - week to 1,160 yuan/ton, while the flat - price index of quasi - first - grade wet - quenched coke at Rizhao Port remained unchanged at 1,220 yuan/ton week - on - week. Compared with the same period last year, the prices at both ports decreased significantly [10]. - **Coking Coal**: The price of Mongolian coal at Ganqimaodu Port remained unchanged at 865 yuan/ton week - on - week. The price of Australian - produced coking coal at Jingtang Port increased by 1.68% week - on - week to 1,210 yuan/ton, and the price of Shanxi - produced coking coal remained stable at 1,250 yuan/ton. Compared with the same period last year, all prices decreased [10]. 3.3 Futures Market - **Coke**: The main contract closed at 1,388.5 yuan/ton, with a decline of 2.46%. The trading volume was 26,109, and the open interest was 49,566, with a decrease of 1,264 compared to the previous trading day [13]. - **Coking Coal**: The main contract closed at 814.5 points, with a decline of 3.32%. The trading volume was 1,071,392, and the open interest was 564,422, with a decrease of 1,806 compared to the previous trading day [13]. 3.4 Related Charts - **Inventory Charts**: Include charts of coke inventory (230 independent coking plants, 247 steel mills, ports, etc.) and coking coal inventory (mines, ports, 247 sample steel mills, etc.) from 2019 - 2025 [14][19][22]. - **Production and Operation Charts**: Include charts of domestic steel mill production, Shanghai terminal wire and screw procurement, coal washing plant production, coking plant operation, etc. [26][28][31]. 3.5 Market Outlook - **Coke**: Due to the possible increase in coking coal production after the end of the safety production month, the cost - side supply is disturbed, and coke may maintain a wide - range volatile operation. Attention should be paid to the actual coking coal production [5][33]. - **Coking Coal**: The supply side is disturbed, and the futures price has adjusted downward. It is expected to maintain a range - bound volatile operation in the short term, and attention should be paid to the coal production in Shanxi in July [6][34].

观点：持仓观望，不建议追高 南华研究院 高翔（Z0016413） 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1290号 国债期货日报 2025年7月1日 资金面依然偏紧 source： wind,同花顺,南华研究 T主力：净基差与基差 source： wind,南华研究 元 T净基差：主连 T基差：主连 10/31 12/31 02/28 04/30 -0.2 0 0.2 0.4 盘面点评： 国债期货开盘后窄幅震荡，盘中启动价格走高，午后先下后上最终长端明显收涨。现券方面日内节奏跟期货 基本一致，早盘盘中和下午收盘前是利率有所回落，结构上，受资金面影响，日内短债弱于长端。公开市场 方面，今日7天期逆回购到期4065亿，央行新做1310亿，净回笼2755亿元 日内消息： 1.中央财经委员会第六次会议召开，研究纵深推进全国统一大市场建设、海洋经济高质量发展等问题。 行情研判： 日内资金依旧偏紧，尽管从资金价格来看，DR001加权回到1.36%，DR007下行37bp回到1.54%，交易所资 金价格也都明显回落，但盘中经纪商报价隔夜依旧在1.5%以上，早盘资金面情绪指数偏高，指向流动性并没 有完全回归充裕状态。午后随着 ...

Core Viewpoint - The construction of a nationwide unified market is essential for building a new development pattern and promoting high-quality development in China, emphasizing the need for coordinated efforts and implementation of central government directives [2][3]. Group 1: Nationwide Unified Market Construction - The basic requirements for advancing the nationwide unified market are "five unifications and one openness," which include unifying market basic systems, infrastructure, government behavior standards, regulatory enforcement, and resource markets, while continuously expanding both domestic and foreign openness [3]. - Key focuses include legally addressing low-price disorderly competition among enterprises, guiding companies to enhance product quality, and promoting the orderly exit of backward production capacity [3][4]. - The meeting highlighted the importance of integrating domestic and foreign trade, improving the transparency of investment information, and establishing a favorable fiscal and credit system for market unification [3][4]. Group 2: High-Quality Development of Marine Economy - The development of the marine economy should emphasize innovation-driven growth, efficient collaboration, industrial upgrades, harmonious human-ocean relationships, and win-win cooperation [4]. - Policies should encourage social capital participation in marine economic development, enhance independent innovation capabilities in marine technology, and promote the growth of leading marine technology enterprises [4][10]. - The meeting called for strengthening marine ecological environment protection and actively participating in global marine governance [4][10]. Group 3: Data Element Market - The establishment of a nationwide unified data market is crucial for promoting the marketization of data elements, which are now considered a strategic resource for driving technological innovation and economic transformation [10][11]. - The construction of a unified data market is seen as a necessary step to unlock the potential of China's vast market and enhance national competitiveness [11][14]. - The need for legislative innovation in key and emerging areas related to the unified market was emphasized, alongside the importance of using digital technologies to improve judicial support for market fairness [13][14].

Core Viewpoint - The meeting emphasized the importance of advancing the construction of a unified national market and promoting high-quality development of the marine economy as essential for building a new development pattern and achieving high-quality growth [2][3]. Group 1: Unified National Market Construction - The basic requirements for advancing the unified national market are "five unifications and one openness," which include unifying market basic systems, infrastructure, government behavior standards, market supervision and law enforcement, and resource markets, while continuously expanding both domestic and foreign openness [2][3]. - Key focus areas include legally regulating low-price disorderly competition among enterprises, guiding companies to enhance product quality, and promoting the orderly exit of backward production capacity [3]. - The meeting called for the integration of domestic and foreign trade, facilitating the path for exports to be sold domestically, and nurturing a group of high-quality enterprises in both domestic and foreign trade [3]. Group 2: Marine Economy Development - The meeting highlighted the need for top-level design and increased policy support to encourage social capital participation in marine economic development [4]. - There is a focus on enhancing independent innovation capabilities in marine technology, strengthening strategic technological forces, and cultivating leading marine technology enterprises and specialized small and medium-sized enterprises [4]. - The development of marine industries such as offshore wind power, modern deep-sea fishing, marine biomedicine, and marine cultural tourism is prioritized, along with the promotion of high-quality development in the shipping industry [4].

中共中央政治局常委、国务院总理、中央财经委员会副主任李强，中共中央政治局常委、中央书记处书 记、中央财经委员会委员蔡奇，中共中央政治局常委、国务院副总理、中央财经委员会委员丁薛祥出席 会议。 李强蔡奇丁薛祥出席 中共中央总书记、国家主席、中央军委主席、中央财经委员会主任习近平7月1日上午主持召开中央财经 委员会第六次会议，研究纵深推进全国统一大市场建设、海洋经济高质量发展等问题。习近平在会上发 表重要讲话强调，建设全国统一大市场是构建新发展格局、推动高质量发展的需要，要认真落实党中央 部署，加强协调配合，形成推进合力。推进中国式现代化必须推动海洋经济高质量发展，走出一条具有 中国特色的向海图强之路。 习近平主持召开中央财经委员会第六次会议强调 纵深推进全国统一大市场建设 推动海洋经济高质量发展 会议指出，纵深推进全国统一大市场建设，基本要求是"五统一、一开放"，即统一市场基础制度、统一 市场基础设施、统一政府行为尺度、统一市场监管执法、统一要素资源市场，持续扩大对内对外开放。 中央财经委员会委员出席会议，中央和国家机关有关部门负责同志列席会议。 （来源：新华社） 会议强调，纵深推进全国统一大市场建设，要聚焦重 ...

习近平主持召开中央财经委员会第六次会议强调 纵深推进全国统一大市场建设 推动海洋经济高质量发展 李强蔡奇丁薛祥出席 会议指出，纵深推进全国统一大市场建设，基本要求是"五统一、一开放"，即统一市场基础制度、统一 市场基础设施、统一政府行为尺度、统一市场监管执法、统一要素资源市场，持续扩大对内对外开放。 会议强调，纵深推进全国统一大市场建设，要聚焦重点难点，依法依规治理企业低价无序竞争，引导企 业提升产品品质，推动落后产能有序退出；规范政府采购和招标投标，加强对中标结果的公平性审查； 规范地方招商引资，加强招商引资信息披露；着力推动内外贸一体化发展，畅通出口转内销路径，培育 一批内外贸优质企业；持续开展规范涉企执法专项行动，健全有利于市场统一的财税体制、统计核算制 度和信用体系；引导干部树立和践行正确政绩观，完善高质量发展考核体系和干部政绩考核评价体系。 会议强调，推动海洋经济高质量发展，要更加注重创新驱动，更加注重高效协同，更加注重产业更新， 更加注重人海和谐，更加注重合作共赢。 会议指出，推动海洋经济高质量发展，要加强顶层设计，加大政策支持力度，鼓励引导社会资本积极参 与发展海洋经济。要提高海洋科技自主创新能 ...