制造业回流
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特朗普加码关税施压 美国遭三重挑战
Zhong Guo Qing Nian Bao· 2025-08-08 08:02
加拿大广播公司(CBC)报道称,从底特律三大汽车制造商宣布今年将因关税面临数十亿美元的额外成 本,到田纳西州一家不锈钢炊具制造商仅一批货物就被征收7.5万美元的关税,再到咖啡馆因巴西咖啡 豆被加征关税而考虑提高咖啡售价……关税对美国产业链的冲击正快速显现。 平均税率创1934年以来最高纪录 根据7月31日美国白宫公布的行政令,美国将对69个贸易伙伴出口至美国的产品加征高额关税,税率范 围从10%至41%不等。 据美国耶鲁大学预算实验室最新测算,目前美国整体平均关税税率已升至18.3%,创下自1934年以来的 最高纪录。在今年年初,该税率尚在2%至3%之间。 美国《纽约时报》评论指出,特朗普此举标志着美国正在远离以往通过谈判和规则主导的国际贸易体 系,转而推行更为孤立和保护主义的贸易模式。美国康奈尔大学贸易政策教授埃斯瓦尔·普拉萨德将此 称为"全球贸易一体化史上的黑暗一天"。 国际关系学院知识产权与科技安全研究中心副主任、国际政治系讲师孙冰岩对中青报·中青网记者表 示,美国部分加税措施缺乏直接的贸易赤字依据。例如,美国对巴西长期保持贸易顺差,但此次仍对其 商品加征高额关税,反映出政策背后的制造业回流、安全供应链 ...
世纪铝业将重启南卡罗来纳州冶炼厂的生产
Wen Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-08 02:25
Core Points - Century Aluminum plans to restart idle production at the Mt. Holly smelter in South Carolina, investing approximately $50 million and creating over 100 new jobs, which will increase U.S. aluminum production by about 10% [1] - The restart is attributed to President Trump's commitment to relocating critical metal manufacturing back to the U.S. [1] - The Mt. Holly facility, currently operating at 75% capacity, is expected to reach full production by June 30, 2026 [1] Company Overview - Century Aluminum is a vertically integrated producer of bauxite, alumina, and primary aluminum products, with production facilities in the U.S., Iceland, the Netherlands, and Jamaica [1] - The company focuses on increasing domestic aluminum production in response to market demands and government policies [1] Industry Context - The decision to restart production aligns with broader trends in the U.S. aluminum industry, emphasizing the importance of domestic manufacturing capabilities [1] - The investment and job creation are expected to have positive implications for the local economy and the overall aluminum supply chain in the U.S. [1]
制造业回流将削弱美国跨国公司竞争力
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-08-07 22:41
Group 1 - The U.S. government is threatening to impose a 100% tariff on imported semiconductor products, which reflects a strategy to encourage high-end manufacturing to return to the U.S. [1] - The tariffs are aimed at creating uncertainty in trade negotiations and are part of a broader strategy to reshape domestic supply chains and reduce reliance on foreign manufacturing [2] - The U.S. has been facing challenges such as a high trade deficit and increasing federal debt, prompting the need for structural changes in its economic policies [2] Group 2 - The proposed tariffs could lead to increased prices for imported goods, potentially raising inflation in the U.S. and complicating the manufacturing landscape [3] - The U.S. is seeking investments from allied countries in high-end manufacturing sectors, including semiconductors and pharmaceuticals, to bolster its domestic industry [2] - China's share of semiconductor exports to the U.S. is minimal, but the broader implications of tariffs could disrupt supply chains and impact U.S. competitiveness in global markets [3] Group 3 - China is focusing on expanding its domestic market and reducing reliance on the U.S. market, with exports showing a 7.2% year-on-year growth in July [4] - The trade value between China and the U.S. has decreased by 11.1% in the first seven months, indicating a shift in trade dynamics [4] - China's manufacturing sector is expected to strengthen its global position through innovation and leveraging its large domestic market [4]
被挖空了?特朗普称台积电将在美追加3000亿投资,台媒:跪久了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-07 06:37
Group 1 - TSMC's investment in the U.S. has reportedly increased to $300 billion, nearly doubling the previously announced $165 billion investment plan [1] - The company has made a strategic decision to exit the Chinese market and focus on U.S. investments amid the ongoing U.S.-China chip war [1][2] - TSMC's initial investment in Arizona was $12 billion, which has since escalated to a total of $165 billion, including plans for additional facilities [1] Group 2 - The U.S. has offered $52 billion in subsidies to attract TSMC and Samsung to build factories in America, with conditions that restrict investments in mainland China for the next decade [3] - Challenges in U.S. chip manufacturing include high costs, talent shortages, and cultural conflicts, with manufacturing costs in the U.S. being at least 50% higher than in Taiwan [5][7] - TSMC's investment progress in the U.S. has faced delays, raising concerns about the feasibility of the U.S. manufacturing revival plan [5][9] Group 3 - The relationship between TSMC and the U.S. is characterized by mutual testing of limits, with TSMC seeking market access and security while the U.S. aims for chip autonomy [11] - There are concerns that TSMC may be underestimating U.S. ambitions and overestimating its own capabilities, leading to potential long-term consequences for the company [11]
特朗普关税全面落地:美国平均税率跃升至15.2% 创二战后新高
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-07 06:28
Group 1 - The Trump administration's tariff policy officially took effect, marking a significant shift in global trade dynamics, with nearly all trade partners facing increased tariffs [1][3] - The average tariff rate in the U.S. is projected to rise from 2.3% to 15.2%, the highest level since World War II, impacting key products from the EU, Japan, and South Korea [1][3] - Ongoing negotiations with Mexico, Canada, and China are still in separate tracks, with potential additional tariffs on strategic industries like pharmaceuticals and semiconductors anticipated [3][4] Group 2 - Economic data indicates potential risks, with July employment figures showing the largest decline since the pandemic began, and economic growth slowing due to reduced consumer spending [3][4] - Wall Street institutions have warned of market risks, predicting a possible short-term pullback in the S&P 500 index due to rising inflation and weak consumer spending [4] - Legal challenges are emerging regarding the legality of the tariff implementation, with experts highlighting significant flaws in the legal basis for the tariffs [6][8] Group 3 - The administration claims that the tariff policy will lead to an "economic golden age," with record tariff revenues of $113 billion reported, but experts caution that increasing tariff revenue and expanding domestic manufacturing jobs may be contradictory [8]
特朗普宣布对芯片征收关税后,苹果将在美国额外投资 1000 亿美元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-07 06:14
Core Points - President Donald Trump announced that Apple will invest an additional $100 billion in the U.S., bringing its total investment over the next four years to $600 billion [1][2] - Trump attributed this investment to his "America First" policy, emphasizing the return of manufacturing jobs to the U.S. [1] - Apple CEO Tim Cook confirmed the investment and highlighted the company's commitment to domestic manufacturing, including a new AI server factory in Houston [2][3] Investment Details - The initial investment plan announced by Apple earlier this year was $500 billion, which included creating approximately 20,000 R&D jobs across the U.S. [3] - Previous commitments included $350 billion in 2018 and $430 billion in 2021, indicating a history of investment promises from Apple [3] - Trump's warning of a 25% tariff on companies that do not relocate manufacturing to the U.S. has been a significant factor in Apple's decision-making [3] Market Reaction - Following the announcement of the investment, Apple's stock (AAPL) surged by 3.8% during trading hours [6] - The White House described the agreement with Apple as a victory for manufacturing, aimed at enhancing national security and economic stability [6] International Considerations - Apple plans to shift a significant portion of its phone assembly business to India by the end of 2025, which is seen as a strategy to reduce reliance on China amid escalating trade tensions [4] - Trump's recent imposition of a 50% tariff on Russian oil imports to India raises questions about the potential impact on Apple's plans in India [5]
深夜,巨头暴跌!
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-08-06 15:06
Group 1 - Supermicro's stock price plummeted over 17% after reporting Q4 revenue of $5.76 billion, a 7.5% year-over-year increase, but below analyst expectations of $6.01 billion [2] - Adjusted earnings per share were $0.41, also below the expected $0.44, and the company revised its FY2026 revenue forecast down from $40 billion to $33 billion [2] - The company anticipates Q1 FY2026 revenue between $6 billion and $7 billion, which is lower than the analyst average expectation of $6.59 billion [2] Group 2 - Apple shares rose by 4% after announcing an additional $100 billion investment in U.S. manufacturing to increase domestic production capacity and avoid punitive tariffs on iPhones [2] - A new manufacturing plan aims to bring more of Apple's supply chain to the U.S. and produce more critical components domestically [3] - Apple's total investment commitment in the U.S. has now reached $600 billion, including plans for a new server manufacturing facility in Houston and a supplier academy in Michigan [3] Group 3 - Snap's stock opened significantly lower, dropping over 20% [4] - iQIYI's shares increased by over 4% as it seeks to raise approximately $300 million through a secondary listing in Hong Kong to enhance liquidity [4] - Li Auto's stock fell over 4% after reporting a 40% year-over-year decline in vehicle deliveries for July 2025, with a total cumulative delivery of 1.3685 million vehicles as of July 31, 2025 [4] Group 4 - Brent crude oil futures rose by 2% to $68.991 per barrel, while WTI crude oil futures also increased by 2% to $66.678 per barrel [4]
苹果(AAPL.US)涨近3% 将再投资1000亿美元用于美国制造业
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 13:52
据悉,今年早些时候,特朗普在白宫会见苹果首席执行官库克后的第二天警告称,若苹果不将iPhone生 产线转移至美国,将对其征收至少25%的关税。苹果此前已宣布,计划未来四年在美国投资5000亿美 元,其中包括在休斯顿建设新的服务器制造工厂、在密歇根州设立供应商学院,以及增加对美国现有供 应商的投入。白宫表示,周三的声明将使苹果的累计承诺投资达到6000亿美元。 周三,苹果(AAPL.US)涨近3%,报208.81美元。消息面上,当地时间周三,美国总统特朗普将宣布,苹 果承诺再投资1000亿美元用于美国国内制造业。这将是这家科技巨头为增加美国本土产品产能而做出的 最新承诺,其目的是避免旗舰产品iPhone遭受惩罚性关税打击。 ...
供应增长有限叠加宏观利好托底 锌价下方空间有限
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-08-05 23:31
Group 1: Zinc Market Overview - Zinc prices have entered a downward trend due to a relaxed supply side and disappointing demand expectations in the U.S. macroeconomic environment [1] - The U.S. tariff policy adjustments under the Trump administration are expected to lead to a long-term decline in the dollar, which will positively impact zinc prices [2] - Domestic zinc concentrate production has slightly decreased year-on-year due to declining ore grades, with future increases expected to be limited [3] Group 2: Supply Dynamics - Overseas mining production is anticipated to recover in the medium to long term, despite recent reductions due to weather and maintenance issues [2] - Domestic zinc smelting output is expected to increase year-on-year, but the growth potential remains limited due to reduced imports from overseas smelters [3] - The overall supply of zinc ore is expected to continue growing, but the year-on-year increase will be relatively modest [2][3] Group 3: Demand Factors - Weak demand is observed in the construction sector, with significant declines in operating rates for cement and asphalt facilities [4] - The real estate sector is experiencing a downturn, with new construction and completion areas showing a year-on-year decline [4] - The automotive sector is seeing growth driven by trade-in policies and promotions, which may support zinc demand in the medium to long term [4] Group 4: Price Outlook - The combination of a declining dollar and resilient macro data is expected to provide some support for zinc prices [5] - However, the ongoing increase in supply coupled with weak demand will lead to a more relaxed supply-demand structure, potentially putting downward pressure on prices [5] - The expected price range for zinc may shift downward, but the space for decline is expected to be narrower than before due to limited supply growth and macroeconomic support [5]
36万亿美债还不起,特朗普屡次为难大债主,为此不惜自曝家丑
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-05 09:59
特朗普属实是没招儿了,眼睁睁看着美债飙升,每年的利息都高达上万亿美元,美联储还不降息。 鉴于美联储的独立性,他虽贵为总统却不能指挥美联储主席鲍威尔,只能打打嘴炮给鲍威尔来个激将 法,但无奈鲍威尔并不上钩。 甚至连威胁要"弄死"他,也不为所动,没办法,特朗普只好出狠招——自爆家丑了。 他到底爆了什么家丑?意图是什么? 36万亿美债还不起 很多人对于美国的印象都还是那个超级大国,GDP抵得上好几个国家的总和,生活水平也高其他国家一 大截,是很多人学习、生活的圣地。 尤其是本世纪初我国还是一穷二白的时候,对于美国等西方国家的崇拜之情最盛,现在一些老一辈的人 都还认为能去美国生活就是最好的。 但随着网络的发展和中国经济快速发展,其实差距已经没有太大了,甚至在一些方面我们还比他们更 好。 拜登即将下台之前各种针对中国,强迫TikTok卖给美国企业时,TikTok不得不暂停服务,引发美国人成 了"抖音难民",疯狂下载小某书,还来了一场"中美对账"。 中国人民才知道,原来美国人上学费用高达上万美元,毕业后还要还很多年学费贷,每个月的工资也就 两三千美元而已,租房也比我们贵得多,要打好几份工才能维持生活。 1.3万亿美元看起 ...