6月18日，2025陆家嘴论坛召开，潘功胜、李云泽、吴清、朱鹤新等在陆家嘴论坛发表主题演讲， 以下为主要内容： ①央行行长潘功胜： -宣布8项重磅金融政策，设立银行间市场交易报告库、发展自贸离岸债； -中国已初步建成多渠道、广覆盖的人民币跨境支付清算网络； -人民币已成为全球第二大贸易融资货币； -一年来央行货币政策框架转型有效推进； -区块链和分布式账本等新兴技术，推动央行数字货币稳定币蓬勃发展； -未来国际货币体系可能继续朝着少数几个主权货币并存、相互竞争、相互制衡的格局演进； -维护全球金融监管规则的一致性和权威性是应该继续坚持的方向； -人民银行已与30多个国家和地区央行或货币当局签订双边本币互换协议； ②金融监管总局局长李云泽： -开放合作是中国金融改革发展的强大动力； -外资机构是中国现代金融体系建设的重要参与者和积极贡献者； -经济全球化势不可挡 扩大金融开放势在必行； -中国正加速成为全球最大的消费市场 深耕中国市场必将更有作为； -正在大力推进金融资产投资公司股权投资、科技企业并购贷款等试点； -养老金融大有可为 2035年银发经济规模有望达到30万亿； -主要国际金融组织应主要强化经济的监 ...

2025 陆 家嘴 论坛 6 月 18 日正式开幕，本届 论坛 的主 题为 " 全球 经济变 局中的金融开 放合作与高 质 量 发 展 " 。 证监 会主席吴清在 2025 陆 家嘴 论坛 上表示， 推出 进 一步深化科 创 板改革的 "1+6" 政策措施； 进 一步 强 化股 债联动 服 务 科技 创 新的 优势； 大力 发 展科 创债 ；引 导 更多中 长 期 资 金参与科技企 业 投 资。 以下 为 吴清 讲话 主要内容。 // 吴清：引 导 更多中 长 期 资 金参与科技企 业 投 资 // 吴清在2025 陆 家嘴 论坛上表示， 证监 会将 继续 充分 发挥 科 创 板示范效 应 ，加力推 出 进 一步深化改革的 1+6 政策措施，重启未盈利企 业 适用科 创 板第五套 标 准上市。 创业 板正式启用第三套 标 准，支持 优质 未盈利 创 新企 业 上市。 支持 编 制更多科技 创 新指数、开 发 更多科 创 主 题 公募基金 产 品，引 导 更多中 长 期 资 金参与科技企 业 投 资 。 吴清表示， 证监 会将 进 一步提升 协 作合力，充分 发挥 上海作 为 改革开放高地的 优势 ，推 动 更 ...

Research Views - The A-share market fluctuated and declined, with the Wind All A index down 0.1% and a trading volume of 1.24 trillion yuan. The CSI 1000, CSI 500, SSE 50, and CSI 300 indices also declined. The market is affected by the Israel-Iran conflict and potential policy changes in June [1]. - The performance of Chinese assets has been strong since June, with both stocks and bonds rising. Factors include the resumption of Sino-US communication, potential changes in long-term consumption stimulus policies, and the upcoming Lujiazui Forum [1]. - The recent PPI data shows that China's inflation level remains low, and the second-quarter fundamentals may turn into a situation of "weak reality, strong expectation". The consumer and technology sectors may still be dominant in the market style [1]. - In terms of corporate earnings, the decline in the revenue growth rate of A-share listed companies has narrowed for three consecutive quarters, but it is still lower than the policy interest rate. The net profit has increased by about 4% year-on-year, but the ROE is still in the stage of bottoming out [1]. - Treasury bond futures closed higher, with the 30-year, 10-year, 5-year, and 2-year main contracts up 0.24%, 0.14%, 0.15%, and 0.08% respectively. The central bank conducted 1973 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase operations, with the interest rate remaining stable at 1.4%. The net withdrawal of funds was 1833 billion yuan [1][2]. - The bond market strengthened slightly due to the loosening of the capital market, but the economy shows strong resilience under the influence of the "rush to export" effect and stable growth policies. The bond market is expected to remain in a volatile pattern in the short term [2]. Price Changes Stock Index Futures | Contract | 2025-06-17 | 2025-06-16 | Change | Change Rate | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | IH | 2,680.8 | 2,678.4 | 2.4 | 0.09% | | IF | 3,868.6 | 3,869.8 | -1.2 | -0.03% | | IC | 5,748.4 | 5,756.2 | -7.8 | -0.14% | | IM | 6,130.0 | 6,127.4 | 2.6 | 0.04% | Stock Indices | Index | 2025-06-17 | 2025-06-16 | Change | Change Rate | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | SSE 50 | 2,684.0 | 2,685.0 | -1.1 | -0.04% | | CSI 300 | 3,870.4 | 3,873.8 | -3.4 | -0.09% | | CSI 500 | 5,750.9 | 5,767.8 | -16.9 | -0.29% | | CSI 1000 | 6,141.5 | 6,147.5 | -6.0 | -0.10% | Treasury Bond Futures | Contract | 2025-06-17 | 2025-06-16 | Change | Change Rate | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | TS | 102.54 | 102.47 | 0.074 | 0.07% | | TF | 106.30 | 106.15 | 0.155 | 0.15% | | T | 109.16 | 109.02 | 0.145 | 0.13% | | TL | 120.82 | 120.52 | 0.3 | 0.25% | Market News - The Bank of Japan will conduct a mid-term review of its bond purchase program in June next year and will slow down the pace of reducing bond purchases due to concerns about market volatility [5]. - The Bank of Japan believes that inflation expectations are not yet stable and that there are two-way risks to prices. Trade policy is highly uncertain, and tariff issues may affect next year's spring wage negotiations [6]. Chart Analysis Stock Index Futures - The report provides charts showing the trends of IH, IF, IM, and IC main contracts, as well as the basis trends of these contracts [8][9][11]. Treasury Bond Futures - The report includes charts of the trends of treasury bond futures main contracts, treasury bond yields, basis, inter - period spreads, cross - variety spreads, and funding rates [15][17][19]. Exchange Rates - The report presents charts of the central parity rates of the US dollar, euro, and other currencies against the RMB, as well as forward exchange rates, currency indices, and cross - currency exchange rates [22][23][26].

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 Lujiazui Forum emphasizes the importance of financial openness and cooperation in the context of global economic changes, focusing on high-quality development. Group 1: Policy Measures and Reforms - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) announced the "1+6" policy measures to deepen reforms in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the Growth Enterprise Market, aiming to enhance the inclusiveness and adaptability of the system [2] - The "1" refers to the establishment of a growth layer in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the reintroduction of the fifth set of listing standards for unprofitable companies, targeting high-quality tech firms with significant breakthroughs and strong R&D investments [2] - The "6" includes six specific reform measures, such as introducing a professional institutional investor system, expanding the fifth set of standards to more frontier tech sectors, and improving the refinancing system for Sci-Tech Innovation Board companies [2] Group 2: Investment and Financing Strategies - The CSRC aims to guide more medium- and long-term funds into technology enterprise investments by developing more technology innovation indices and public fund products [3] - Emphasizing that listing is a starting point and financing is a tool, the CSRC will continuously improve the regulatory framework for listed companies [4] - The approval of the first two data center REITs in the country is part of efforts to enhance the synergy between equity and debt financing for tech innovation [5] Group 3: Capital Market Development - The CSRC is pushing for the regularization of fund share transfer trials and optimizing mechanisms for physical stock distribution and reverse linkage [6] - The current global tech innovation landscape is described as entering a period of intense activity, with a shift from isolated breakthroughs to systematic integration [8] - The CSRC is committed to fostering patient and long-term capital, focusing on private equity fund management and encouraging participation from social security funds and insurance capital [10] Group 4: Ecosystem for Innovation - The capital market in China has undergone significant structural changes, effectively promoting a virtuous cycle among technology, capital, and industry [11] - Both large tech giants and smaller innovative firms rely heavily on the support of the capital market, which provides unique mechanisms for risk-sharing and incentive alignment [12]

更多精彩内容请关注专题： 本期编辑 金珊 刚刚，央行宣布8项重磅金融举措！ SFC 21君荐读 据新华社报道，吴清6月18日在2025陆家嘴论坛上宣布，将聚焦提升制度的包容性和适应性， 以深化科创板、创业板改革为抓手，着力打造更具吸引力、竞争力的市场体系和产品服务矩 阵。更好发挥科创板"试验田"作用，加力推出进一步深化改革的"1+6"政策措施，统筹推进投 融资综合改革和投资者权益保护，加快构建更有利于支持全面创新的资本市场生态。 来源 | 新华社 ...

所长 早读 国泰君安期货 2025-06-18 期 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 期货研究 2025-06-18 所长 早读 陆家嘴论坛即将召开 观点分享： 2025 年陆家嘴论坛将于 6 月 18 日至 19 日在上海召开，主题为"全球经济变局中的金融 开放合作与高质量发展"。此次论坛由中国人民银行、国家金融监督管理总局、中国证监会、 国家外汇管理局和上海市人民政府联合主办，潘功胜和龚正担任共同轮值主席。论坛将围绕 金融开放、货币政策协调、资本市场改革、绿色金融、人工智能赋能金融等多个核心议题展 开讨论，并计划发布若干重大金融政策。按照惯例，中央金融管理部门将在论坛期间发布若 干重大金融政策，涵盖货币政策、资本市场改革、金融开放等多个方面。例如 2024 年论坛 期间，中国证监会发布了"科创板八条"政策，推动资本市场对科技创新的支持。 所 长 首 推 | 板块 | 关注指数 | | --- | --- | | 国债期货 | ★★★★ | 国债期货：地缘扰动支撑行情修复，中期仍看高位震荡。央行维持银行间流动性充裕，市场 对于三季度降准降息预期仍浓，宏观数据当下整体仍然疲弱。政策面上 7 月份 ...

Group 1 - The Shanghai municipal government, led by Mayor Gong Zheng, aims to deepen the implementation of capital market reforms [1] - The government will actively support the advancement of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board system reforms [1] - The initiative is designed to create conditions for more outstanding technology-based enterprises to embrace the capital market [1]

监管部门积极推动多层次资本市场体系建设，为各类企业提供多元化融资渠道，资本市场的包容性、适应性得到 提升，有效支持了科技创新型企业融资需求，激发了创新创业活力，推动新质生产力加快发展。 近年来，尽管IPO募集资金额有一定程度下降，但增发和发行债券的规模仍保持一定水平，这表明资本市场在支 持科技型企业融资方面的持续发力。值得关注的是，并购重组活动活跃，2024年并购成功率达到93%，创近10年 新高。半导体、生物医药等战略性新兴产业成为并购重组的主要领域，科技板块并购重组金额显著增加，加速了 企业向新质生产力的转型升级。 同时，制度的完善成为资本市场结构优化的重要支撑。通过对公募基金、国有保险公司、养老金等实施3年以上长 周期考核，上调保险资金权益类资产配置比例上限等举措，中长期资金入市步伐进一步加快。数据显示，2025年 一季度，保险资金运用余额增长近1.7万亿元，其中人身险、财产险股票基金配比分别提升至13.09%和12.22%，大 型国有险企每年新增保费的30%将投资A股。同期，权益类基金规模增长6.94%，其中被动基金增幅达53.73%。外 资流入方面，放宽外资准入限制、简化外资企业设立程序、加速ETF ...

Core Viewpoint - The implementation of the new fundraising regulation by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) aims to enhance the supervision of fundraising activities by listed companies, addressing issues such as misuse of funds and ensuring that more capital is directed towards real economic development [1][5][6]. Group 1: Regulatory Changes - The new regulation, effective from June 15, 2023, introduces stricter controls on the use of raised funds, emphasizing investment in core business areas and prohibiting reckless cross-border investments [5][6]. - The regulation aims to create a closed-loop management system from fundraising to fund usage, enhancing the scrutiny of how companies utilize their raised capital [6][12]. - The CSRC has increased the depth and frequency of inquiries regarding the use of raised funds during the IPO process, indicating a shift towards more rigorous oversight [6][12]. Group 2: Historical Data Analysis - From 2012 to 2022, 42.6% of the funds raised by listed companies were clearly directed towards real projects, indicating a significant portion of funds remained within the financial system [8][11]. - Approximately 30%-40% of listed companies experienced changes in their fundraising project implementation methods, with a notable number of companies failing to complete projects within the designated time frame [12][19]. - Over 40% of companies listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges had projects that were not completed within the expected construction period [21][23]. Group 3: Implications of the New Regulation - The new regulation is expected to optimize the allocation of IPO resources, reduce market volatility, and enhance corporate governance structures [9][11]. - It aims to support technological innovation and align fundraising activities with national macroeconomic strategies, directing more funds towards tangible economic development [9][11]. - The regulation also addresses the issue of excess fundraising, with a significant number of companies historically using excess funds for purposes such as repaying loans, which is now restricted [28][31].

Group 1 - The cultivation of patient capital is crucially dependent on effective government guidance, which should be based on scientific policy design and precise resource allocation to align with national strategies [1] - Optimizing fiscal and tax incentive policies is essential to enhance the attractiveness of long-term investments [1] - Government-guided funds should act as catalysts and indicators, focusing on early innovation fields and key core technology projects that the market is reluctant to enter, while emphasizing the "patient" nature of these funds [1] Group 2 - A healthy, efficient, and vibrant capital market environment is necessary for the cultivation of patient capital, which requires adherence to market rules and minimizing unnecessary administrative intervention [2] - A smooth exit mechanism is a key prerequisite for attracting long-term investments, necessitating the establishment of diversified and market-oriented exit channels [2] - The continuity and stability of policies are vital for fostering patient capital, ensuring a fair competitive environment and protecting the rights of innovators [2]