特朗普在8月时曾亲自推销美国的大豆，但并没有收到预期的回应。美国农业州的农民开始向华府发声，抱怨找不到买家，收割机的忙碌却没有人前来购 买。到了10月1日，特朗普终于在社交媒体上表示，他计划在即将召开的APEC峰会上将大豆问题作为一个"主要议题"进行讨论。他甚至表示，将用从关税 中"赚到的钱"来补贴农民，同时指责前任总统拜登，让中国放弃了数十亿美元的大豆订单。 从今年5月起，中国已经没有再从美国进口大豆，这一变化意味着27年来的首次。造成这一局面的，是双方互相加征的高额关税。美国挑起了贸易冲突，而 中国则做出了回应。虽然两国的行动都符合贸易规则，但它们的后果却充满了冲突。 此前，中美曾达成共识，暂停关税战，窗口期持续到11月10号。如果无法达成协议，美国计划对中国加征145%的关税，中方则会对美方加征125%的关税。 这一举措几乎意味着双方的贸易将陷入全面瘫痪。美国的通胀将会飙升，普通家庭的生活成本将会进一步增加。而美国这两年已经面临着较大的生活成本压 力，牛奶、鸡蛋和汽油等商品的价格，已经让不少家庭感到吃力。这些问题远不是简单的政治话术，而是美国人日常生活中的真实困境。 许多人猜测，中国会不会在APEC峰会 ...

英特尔拒绝置评，AMD发言人则表示"不评论市场谣言或揣测"。 免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者本人，供参考、交流，不构成任何建议。 经济观察网 据媒体报道，英特尔（Intel）正与AMD展开初步洽谈，希望争取AMD成为其晶圆代工客 户。 报导引述知情人士指出，双方目前仍处于初步讨论阶段，AMD对英特尔下单数量或是否直接投资英特 尔，最后也可能未达成任何协议。AMD高阶AI芯片目前多数由台积电生产，英特尔现阶段也缺乏生产 AMD最先进芯片的技术能力。 业界指出，美国政府的角色不可忽视。近期美国政府宣布直接入股英特尔，代表英特尔已被纳入美国国 家战略核心资产，AMD若下单英特尔，美国政府可望宣告"美国制造回归"。对英特尔而言，若能争取 到AMD，证明其先进制程具备竞争力，对AMD而言，则是供应链多元化的策略选项，亦可在政策氛围 中取得额外筹码。 经观新科技 ...

Core Insights - Chinese enterprises are experiencing significant success in the ASEAN market, with 30% of surveyed companies reporting that their ASEAN business accounts for over 20% of total revenue, and over 60% achieving profitability [1][4] - The primary investment destinations for Chinese companies in ASEAN are Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and Vietnam, which collectively account for 90% of the investment flow [2][3] Investment Trends - In 2024, China's investment flow to ASEAN is projected to reach $34.36 billion, with Singapore receiving $17.89 billion (52% of total), followed by Indonesia ($4.59 billion), Thailand ($4.56 billion), and Vietnam ($3.92 billion) [2][3] - The manufacturing sector remains the top target for investment, with a projected flow of $15.39 billion, representing a 68.2% increase year-on-year [7] Business Strategies - Over 90% of surveyed companies are entering the ASEAN market through wholly-owned subsidiaries, indicating a preference for control in long-term operations [5] - The majority of Chinese enterprises are adopting a "production base + sales" organizational model, with 95% of companies utilizing this structure [5] Economic Environment - ASEAN countries have been actively improving their investment environments, with over 70% of surveyed companies noting improvements in the business climate compared to previous years [9] - The region's strategic location, large consumer market, and abundant labor resources are key factors attracting Chinese investments [6][8] Future Outlook - The China-ASEAN Free Trade Area 3.0 negotiations have concluded, with expectations for a formal agreement by the end of the year, which will enhance economic cooperation and trade facilitation [10][11] - Service trade is anticipated to become a new growth point, with sectors such as tourism, finance, and consulting expected to expand alongside economic integration [11]

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of a joint venture between Li Auto and Sunwoda Power Technology marks a deepening of their partnership, reflecting a strategic move to enhance supply chain stability in the electric vehicle industry [1][2]. Group 1: Joint Venture Formation - Li Auto and Sunwoda Power Technology have formed a joint venture named Shandong Li Auto Battery Co., Ltd., with a 50:50 investment ratio, focusing on the production and sales of lithium-ion batteries for electric vehicles [1]. - This joint venture is a continuation of their collaboration that began in 2017, indicating a shift towards a more integrated partnership [2]. Group 2: Historical Context and Strategic Importance - In 2022, Li Auto invested 400 million yuan in Sunwoda, acquiring a 3.22% stake, which established a dual role as both a customer and shareholder, laying a solid foundation for future cooperation [3]. - As of March 2025, Li Auto has become one of Sunwoda's top five customers, contributing 5.8% to its revenue, with key models like L6, L7 Air, and L8 Air utilizing Sunwoda batteries [3]. Group 3: Industry Dynamics and Supply Chain Strategy - The joint venture is seen as a necessary response to industry changes, with Li Auto aiming to stabilize its supply chain where battery costs account for 30%-40% of vehicle production costs [3][4]. - Sunwoda's strategy involves deepening ties with leading automakers to secure stable sales and transition from a supplier to a profit-sharing partner [4]. Group 4: Operational Goals and Market Positioning - The joint venture will be led by Li Auto in product, process, and material design, with a target to achieve mass production of self-developed batteries by 2026 [4]. - The collaboration reflects a broader trend in the electric vehicle sector where automakers and battery manufacturers are forming joint ventures to ensure supply chain security and enhance production efficiency [5]. Group 5: Competitive Landscape and Risks - The partnership model has been validated by other industry examples, such as BYD and FAW, indicating a mature paradigm for supply chain collaboration [5]. - However, risks associated with deep integration exist, such as potential impacts on short-term orders if vehicle models change, highlighting the need for a balanced supply chain strategy [5][6]. - Li Auto's simultaneous agreement with CATL for a five-year strategic partnership underscores the importance of supply chain diversification while maintaining competitive pressure on Sunwoda [6].

美国中西部广阔的农田里，金黄色的豆浪随风起伏，这本应是一年中最充满希望的季节，但豆农们脸上却不见笑容。 "美国大豆协会主席凯莱布·拉格兰坐在他的拖拉机上，通过美国广播公司的直播镜头向特朗普总统发出紧急呼吁。他身后是 一片丰收的大豆田，但这位肯塔基州豆农的眼中只有担忧。 以往此时，美国大豆对华年销量中应有约1/3已完成交易，但今年 。拉格兰直言："中国市场对我们的生计至关重要，我们需要的是立即行动，而不是空谈。" 美国大豆正处于收获季节，但豆农们却面临前所未有的危机。根据美国大豆协会统计，美国产大豆以往有25%销往中国，但 今年新一季大豆开镰后，对华销量却仍为零。 拉格兰在接受《财富》杂志采访时警告：" 。"他指出，在以农业为主的肯塔基州，新一季大豆已经开始收割，但当地豆农尚未收获一笔来自中国的订单。 伊利诺伊州、艾奥瓦州、明尼苏达州和印第安纳州等美国大豆核心产区所受影响尤为深重。这些州的大豆产量约占全美总产 量的一半，如今却共同面对"零订单"的困境。 美国农业部数据显示，2024年美国对华大豆出口额达128亿美元。但今年，中国这个最大买家却尚未下达任何订单。 关税导致美国大豆价格处于明显劣势。拉格兰指出，由于 ...

特朗普的关税政策正让美国农民陷入困境。最新数据显示，尽管今年美国玉米和大豆迎来丰收，但农场主们却愁眉不展——他们的最大客户中国，已经连续 数月没有下单采购美国大豆了。 美国大豆协会主席约翰·赫斯曼焦急地表示：中国市场份额正在快速流失，我们急需政府解决贸易争端。这个曾经占据中国 大豆市场半壁江山的产业，如今正被巴西供应商迅速取代。业内专家预测，照此趋势发展，美国大豆在华份额可能归零。 这场危机源于特朗普政府发起的 贸易战。令人意外的是，白宫似乎对此毫无准备。当农业团体求助时，政府只拿出一份十年期的补贴计划：承诺在未来十年提供600亿美元援助。但远水解 不了近渴，第一笔补贴要到明年秋季才能到位，而且具体金额尚不确定。 更关键的是，补贴根本无法解决根本问题。美国大豆库存正快速堆积，部分仓库 已出现积压变质的情况。用纳税人的钱来填补贸易损失，不过是拆东墙补西墙的做法。 颇具讽刺意味的是，特朗普最近还在社交媒体上暗示，如果中国恢 复采购大豆，将有利于贸易谈判。这种态度暴露了其真实想法——明明是美方挑起争端，现在承受不住反制压力，却还要摆出居高临下的姿态。 24 k权图片 中国此前大量进口美国大豆，既是满足国内需求，也是 ...

Group 1 - The EU and Indonesia have reached a "near-zero tariff" trade agreement, which is expected to enhance their economic relationship amidst changing global trade dynamics due to US policies [1][2] - The agreement aims to reduce tariffs on 96% of goods between the EU and Indonesia to zero within five years, potentially increasing EU exports to Indonesia by at least 30%, equivalent to €3 billion [1] - Tariffs on Indonesian automotive imports from the EU will decrease from 50% to zero over five years, while tariffs on machinery and electrical goods will drop from 30% to zero in the short term [1] Group 2 - The trade agreement is part of the EU's strategy to diversify supply chains and explore new markets, following nearly a decade of negotiations [2] - Indonesia plays a crucial role in ASEAN and this agreement may set a precedent for other Southeast Asian countries, potentially boosting Indonesia's exports and investment growth [2] - The China-ASEAN Free Trade Area 3.0 negotiations have been completed, strengthening economic cooperation between China and ASEAN countries, which remains significant despite the new EU-Indonesia agreement [2]

2025年9月18日，全球GPU巨头英伟达宣布，将以50亿美元的巨额投资入股其传统竞争对手英特尔，同时双方将在人工智能基础设施和个人计算机 产品领域展开深度合作。 图片来源：英伟达 二十年前，#英特尔 曾错过以200亿美元收购英伟达的机会。如今，历史开了一个巨大的玩笑。曾经的"硅谷之王"英特尔，在AI浪潮中面临挑战， 市值一度跌破千亿美元；而当年被拒之门外的英伟达，却凭借AI算力成为市值超过4万亿美元的芯片霸主。 在全球芯片产业链面临剧烈变革、英特尔努力扭转数年颓势、而英伟达则持续巩固其AI霸主地位的当下，此次联手被视为影响未来半导体格局的 关键一步。 绝境逢生：英特尔的复兴之路与资本盟友 对于英特尔而言，与#英伟达 的合作是其扭转颓势、重振旗鼓的关键一步。这不仅是一次财务上的援助，更是一次战略上的重塑。当下AI时代， 英特尔因技术路线蹉跎而陷入困境，并且在其新任首席执行官陈立武（Lip-Bu Tan）上任后，企业仍然面临着巨大的财务压力与技术追赶挑战。 交易背景：风雨飘摇中的资本援手 在英伟达投资之前，英特尔已先后获得两笔重大外部注资，形成了一条清晰的「输血」时间线。 随即便是2025年9月18日，英伟达宣 ...

（原标题：欧盟与印度尼西亚达成贸易协议） 据曼谷邮报9月18日报道,欧盟与印度尼西亚在经过近十年的谈判后达成了 贸易协议。这是欧盟为实现供应链多元化并开拓新市场而作出的努力之一。 自唐纳德·特朗普总统试图按照美国的条件重新塑造跨大西洋关系以来，欧 盟一直在加快与世界各国达成贸易协议的步伐，以减少对美国的依赖并实现贸 易多元化。 欧盟与泰国之间的谈判始于十多年前，但在2014年政变后中断，因为欧盟 拒绝与军政府进行谈判。直到2023年谈判才重新启动，目标是在2025年底前达 成协议。然而仍存在一些关键问题未解决，预计协议将在明年某个时候达成。 与印度尼西亚的谈判在双方于7月就双边全面协议达成政治共识后圆满结 束。 印度尼西亚是东南亚最大的经济体，也是欧盟的重要合作伙伴。该国经济 持续增长，拥有3亿消费者，并且是潜在的原材料供应来源。 但由于欧盟的森林砍伐法规，双边关系一直处于紧张状态。该法规旨在遏制因 欧盟对棕榈油和咖啡等关键商品的需求而导致的海外森林砍伐行为。印度尼西 亚一直是这些法规最强烈的批评者之一。 欧洲官员已加强与包括印度在内的一些全球最大经济体的谈判，并与由巴 西和阿根廷组成的南美南方共同市场（Me ...

Hot News - On September 17, Hong Kong Chief Executive Li Jiachao announced in the 2025 Policy Address that Hong Kong will cooperate with exchanges in the Greater Bay Area to develop new businesses such as commodity trading and carbon trading [2] - As of the end of July, the balance of national housing consumer loans excluding individual housing loans reached 21.04 trillion yuan, an increase of 34.6 billion yuan from the beginning of the year and a year-on-year increase of 5.34% [2] - After nearly a decade of negotiations, the EU and Indonesia have completed a trade agreement, part of the EU's efforts to diversify supply chains and explore new markets [2] - The Fed cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.00%-4.25%, resuming the rate cut suspended since December last year [2] - Fed Chairman Powell said there was no broad support for a 50-basis-point rate cut at this week's meeting [3] Key Focus - Key commodities to focus on are 20 rubber, rebar, staple fiber, Shanghai Copper II, and Shanghai Gold [4] Night Session Performance - Night session performance of commodity futures main contracts shows varying degrees of increase and decrease, with details of price changes and position increase ratios presented [4] Sector Performance - Non-metallic building materials sector had a 2.66% increase [5] - Sector capital ratios: precious metals 29.85%, oils and fats 11.11%, non-ferrous metals 20.57%, soft commodities 2.30%, coal, coke, steel and minerals 14.68%, energy 3.07%, chemicals 11.53%, grains 1.03%, agricultural and sideline products 3.20% [6] Asset Performance - Stock indices performance: Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.37% daily, 0.48% monthly, and 15.65% annually; Shanghai 50 Index rose 0.17% daily, -0.80% monthly, and 9.98% annually; CSI 300 Index rose 0.61% daily, 1.21% monthly, and 15.66% annually; CSI 500 Index rose 0.96% daily, 3.07% monthly, and 26.80% annually; S&P 500 Index fell -0.10% daily, rose 2.17% monthly, and 12.22% annually; Hang Seng Index rose 1.78% daily, 7.30% monthly, and 34.14% annually; German DAX Index rose 0.13% daily, -2.27% monthly, and 17.33% annually [8] - Performance of other assets includes various bonds, commodities, and indices with different daily, monthly, and annual changes [9] Main Commodity Trends - Presented are the trends of major commodities such as the Baltic Dry Index, CRB Spot Index, WTI crude oil, London spot gold, LME copper, etc [10] Stock Market Risk Preference - Analyzed is the stock market risk preference through indicators such as the risk premium of the Wande All A (excluding finance, petroleum and petrochemicals), Shanghai 50, CSI 300, and CSI 500 [15][16]