Core Viewpoint - The company plans to establish a partnership fund with a target fundraising scale of 1 billion yuan, focusing on investments in AI medical applications and innovative pharmaceuticals and medical devices [1] Group 1: Fund Details - The company will contribute 370 million yuan, representing a 37% stake in the fund [1] - The fund will not be included in the company's consolidated financial statements, limiting the risk exposure to the amount contributed [1] - The proposal will be reviewed and voted on at the temporary shareholders' meeting scheduled for November 17, 2025 [1]

Core Insights - The 8th China International Import Expo (CIIE) opened in Shanghai on November 5, showcasing innovations in the medical device and pharmaceutical sectors under the theme "Healthy China, Beautiful Life" [1] - The medical device and pharmaceutical health exhibition area, known for its high competition, featured global leaders in medical technology and pharmaceuticals, including the top ten medical device companies and 11 Fortune 500 pharmaceutical firms [1] Company Highlights - **Roche**: Displayed over 40 products, including new treatments for Alzheimer's, Parkinson's, and lupus nephritis, with the anti-CD20 monoclonal antibody, Gazyva, and the Port Delivery System (PDS) for eye diseases being key highlights [2][4][5] - **Siemens**: Focused on high-incidence cancers, showcasing advanced technologies like the ARTIS icono ceiling Xpand and the Biograph Vision Quadra PET/CT, aimed at improving diagnostic precision and treatment outcomes [6][7] - **Novartis**: Presented nearly 20 innovative products, including the oral complement factor B inhibitor, Iptacopan, and the radioligand therapy drug, Pluvicto, which received approval for prostate cancer indications [10][12] - **Fosun Pharma**: Introduced the Marie upright particle therapy system, a revolutionary cancer treatment technology, along with advanced non-invasive treatment systems for neurological conditions [12][14] - **Boston Scientific**: Showcased over 80 products in the minimally invasive intervention field, including the Orbera365 gastric balloon system and the Intera3000 hepatic artery infusion pump, with several products making their debut [15][17] - **Novo Nordisk**: Highlighted advancements in diabetes and obesity treatments, including the oral GLP-1 receptor agonist, Rybelsus, and the weekly insulin formulation, IcoSema, which have significantly improved patient convenience [18][20]

Core Insights - The medical ETF (159865) has seen a net inflow of 9 million units, indicating strong capital interest in medical assets [1] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes support for innovation in medical devices, aiming to make high-end medical equipment a growth driver for the economy [1] - The demand in niche areas such as emergency equipment and in-vitro diagnostics is expected to be released [1] - The innovative pharmaceuticals and medical devices sector is identified as the most promising growth area within the healthcare sector, with current adjustments primarily influenced by market sentiment [1] - As third-quarter reports are being disclosed, earnings certainty is becoming a key focus in the short term [1] - It is recommended to leverage policy benefits and industrial upgrade paths to seize opportunities in innovation-driven enterprises [1] - The medical ETF (159828) tracks the CSI Medical Index (399989), which selects listed companies in the medical and pharmaceutical retail sectors from the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets [1] - The index primarily covers areas such as medical devices, medical services, and medical R&D outsourcing, reflecting the overall performance of related listed companies [1] - The constituent stocks of the index tend to be small to mid-cap, characterized by high growth potential and volatility [1]

Core Viewpoint - The innovative drug sector has rebounded significantly, with major stocks like InnoCare and 3SBio seeing substantial gains, driven by improved US-China relations and positive developments in the industry [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - The innovative drug sector saw a comprehensive rally, with InnoCare rising over 12%, 3SBio over 11%, and other companies like Kelun-Biotech and Innovent Biologics increasing by over 8% [1] - The Hang Seng Pharmaceutical ETF and the Sci-Tech Innovation Pharmaceutical ETF both rose over 3% [1] Group 2: Industry Developments - Improved US-China relations have reduced potential disruptions, and there has been ongoing progress in foreign licensing transactions, particularly with a significant deal exceeding 10 billion yuan by Innovent Biologics [1] - 3SBio's partner Pfizer has initiated two global Phase III clinical trials for PD-1/VEGF dual antibodies, showcasing active industry dynamics [1] - Recent data from domestic innovative drugs presented at the ESMO conference was impressive, with upcoming industry meetings such as ASH and the San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium [1] Group 3: Policy and Future Outlook - The national medical insurance negotiations for 2025 will commence on October 30 in Beijing, introducing a "commercial insurance innovative drug catalog" mechanism for the first time [1] - According to a report by Galaxy Securities, the pharmaceutical sector has undergone a significant structural repair trend after a prolonged valuation adjustment, with public fund holdings still below historical averages [1] - The policy environment supporting the development of commercial insurance is expected to improve payment conditions, benefiting innovative drugs and devices [1] Group 4: Notable Products - The Hang Seng Pharmaceutical ETF (159892) has a 3.35% increase, with top holdings including BeiGene, WuXi Biologics, and 3SBio, and has seen a net inflow of over 1.1 billion yuan since September 4 [1] - The Sci-Tech Innovation Pharmaceutical ETF (588130) rose by 3.93%, covering innovative drugs and devices, with major components including United Imaging Healthcare and BeiGene [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights significant development opportunities for the pharmaceutical industry, particularly in innovative drugs and medical devices, as outlined in the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1][3] - The government has introduced various supportive policies for innovative drugs, including expedited approval processes and inclusion in medical insurance, which are expected to enhance the growth of the sector [3][5] - The report emphasizes the importance of improving the medical insurance system and the potential for commercial insurance to supplement coverage for innovative drugs, which could create a positive feedback loop for drug payments [3][5] Summary by Relevant Sections Investment Suggestions - The report recommends focusing on opportunities related to innovative drugs and medical devices, specifically mentioning companies such as Heng Rui Medicine, Innovent Biologics, BeiGene, Mindray Medical, and United Imaging Healthcare [3] - In the vaccine sector, it suggests paying attention to Zhifei Biological Products, Kangtai Biological Products, and CanSino Biologics [3] - For medical services, it highlights potential investments in Aier Eye Hospital and Tongce Medical [3] Policy Support and Market Trends - The report notes that the government is committed to supporting the development of innovative drugs and medical devices, which are crucial for public health and the independence of the biopharmaceutical industry [5] - It mentions that the time from drug approval to inclusion in the medical insurance directory has significantly decreased, with approximately 80% of innovative drugs being included within two years of market launch [5] - The report also discusses the optimization of fertility support policies and the response to aging populations, indicating that these factors could benefit related industries, including vaccines and long-term care services [5]

行 业 研 华福证券 医药生物 2025 年 10 月 19 日 医药生物 究 十五五规划和 ESMO 即将召开，创新主线或迎催 化 投资要点： 行 业 定 期 报 告 行情回顾：本周（2025 年 10 月 13 日- 2025 年 10 月 17 日）中信医药 指数下跌 2.6%，跑输沪深 300 指数 0.4pct，在中信一级行业分类中排名第 14 位；2025 年初至今中信医药生物板块指数上涨 19.8%，跑赢沪深 300 指 数 5.1pct，在中信行业分类中排名第 11 位。本周涨幅前五的个股为：亚太 药业（+36.7%）、多瑞医药（+28.8%）、广生堂（+26.1%）、透景生命（+22.9%）、 向日葵（+22.9%）。 医药各板块观点及展望：从景气度角度，创新药、CXO 及上游受益降 息及创新药产业趋势，业绩趋势预计相对不错，设备及中药等 Q3 部分公 司或有业绩拐点，消费医疗静候复苏，详细见后文。 本周市场复盘及中短期投资思考：本周由于外部环境影响，大盘波动 较大，由于医药前期涨幅较多，本周医药 AH 均跑输大盘，当前情绪较弱， 成交量市场占比不到 5%。从板块上看，中药表现相对强势，而港 ...

10月15日早盘，医疗板块大面积回暖，A股最大医疗ETF（512170）溢价拉升逾1%，成交超2.4亿元。 该ETF最新规模为258.49亿元，在全市场医药医疗类ETF中高居首位。 | | | 分时 多日 1分 5分 15分 30分 · | | | | | F9 盘前盘后 露加 九轮 图纸 工具 | | 0 12 | 医疗ETF 1 | | 512170 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | 512170[医疗ETF] 10:17 价 0.377 涨跌 0.004(1.07%) 均价 0.374 成交量 4.35万 | | | | | | | | | 0.37 | | | | | | | | | | 0.37 | | +0.004 +1.07% | | 0.376 | | | | | | | | | 0.899 | SSE CNY 10:17:25 交易中 | | 通用/ 第 十 | | | | | | | | | | | | 净值走势 | | 华宝中证医疗ET ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" (预计6个月内，行业指数表现强于沪深300指数5%以上) [28] Core Insights - From January to August 2025, the overall medical insurance fund income maintained positive growth, with total income reaching 18809.94 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.91%. Total expenditure was 15432.20 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.80%. The cumulative surplus for the same period was 3377.74 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 79.74% [2][3][13] - The surplus rate for January to August 2025 was 17.96%, an increase of 7.28 percentage points compared to the same period in 2024. The surplus rate for August 2025 was 11.62% [2][13][15] - The medical insurance fund's performance improved compared to 2024, with only May showing a deficit in monthly surplus [13] Summary by Sections Medical Insurance Fund Performance - The medical insurance fund income from January to August 2025 was 18809.94 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.91%. Expenditure was 15432.20 billion yuan, down 1.80% year-on-year. The cumulative surplus was 3377.74 billion yuan, up 79.74% year-on-year [2][6][13] - The surplus rate for the same period was 17.96%, which is an improvement from the previous year [2][13] Employee and Resident Medical Insurance - Employee medical insurance income for January to August 2025 was 11954.62 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.43%. In August, the income was 1452.27 billion yuan, up 1.97% year-on-year. Expenditure for the same period was 8811.88 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.24% [3][21] - For residents, the income was 6855.32 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.59%, while expenditure decreased by 6.70% [21][26] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on innovative pharmaceutical companies with rich pipelines, such as Heng Rui Medicine, BeiGene, and China National Pharmaceutical Group. It also highlights companies with significant single-product potential and those leading in advanced technology platforms [4][26] - In the CXO sector, companies like WuXi AppTec and Kelun Pharmaceutical are recommended, along with medical device companies that have been undervalued due to previous price pressures [4][26]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [4][61] - The specific company rating for 恒瑞医药 is "Buy" [4][61] Core Insights - The report highlights the release of the 11th batch of centralized procurement announcements, indicating ongoing optimization of procurement rules [4][12] - It emphasizes the trend of reducing internal competition within the pharmaceutical industry, as the new procurement rules will use anchor prices rather than simply selecting the lowest bid [4][60] - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in innovative drugs and related industries, particularly in light of upcoming academic conferences showcasing Chinese pharmaceutical companies' R&D progress [4][60] Industry News - The National Organization for Drug Procurement announced the 11th batch of centralized procurement, with procurement agreements to be signed annually based on actual usage and supply conditions [12] - The report mentions that Zejing Pharmaceutical's CD3/DLL3 tri-antibody has entered Phase III clinical trials [13] - The approval of the subcutaneous formulation of Pembrolizumab (Keytruda) by Merck is noted, which offers a more convenient administration method [14] - Jinfang Pharmaceutical successfully listed in Hong Kong, raising approximately 1.44 billion HKD [15] Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.56%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 2.83%. However, the pharmaceutical and biological sector fell by 1.68% [47] - All sub-sectors within the pharmaceutical industry experienced declines, with the largest drop in the pharmaceutical commercial sector at -3.83% [47] Company Announcements - 恒瑞医药 signed a licensing agreement with Glenmark Specialty for the innovative drug SHR-A1811, with potential milestone payments reaching up to 1.093 billion USD [28] - 信达生物 received approval for the new indication of its drug for adult Type 2 diabetes patients [30] - 甘李药业 announced a significant contract with Brazilian partners, with a total expected value of no less than 3 billion RMB [31] - 百奥赛图's A-share issuance has been approved for listing on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's Sci-Tech Innovation Board [32]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" (expected to perform better than the CSI 300 index by more than 5% in the next 6 months) [24] Core Insights - From January to July 2025, the overall medical insurance fund income maintained positive growth, with total income reaching 1,684.66 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.93%, while expenditures decreased to 1,369.69 billion yuan, a decline of 0.95% [2][6] - The cumulative surplus of the medical insurance fund for the same period was 314.97 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 63.53%, with a surplus rate of 18.70%, up 6.48 percentage points from the same period in 2024 [2][11] Summary by Sections Medical Insurance Fund Income and Expenditure - The medical insurance fund income from January to July 2025 showed consistent growth, with monthly income figures of 314.31, 232.13, 268.15, 215.61, 199.33, 249.09, and 206.05 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 10.37%, 5.72%, 0.35%, 10.02%, 3.23%, 9.34%, and 10.15% respectively [6] - In contrast, the expenditures varied, with total expenditures for the same period amounting to 1,369.69 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decline of 0.95% [6][19] Employee and Resident Medical Insurance - Employee medical insurance income for January to July 2025 was 1,050.24 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.93%, while expenditures were 776.17 billion yuan, up 2.97% [3][19] - For urban and rural resident medical insurance, income reached 634.43 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.62%, while expenditures decreased to 593.53 billion yuan, down 5.66% [3][19] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on innovative pharmaceutical companies with rich pipeline layouts, such as Heng Rui Medicine, BeiGene, and China National Pharmaceutical Group [4][22] - It also highlights companies with significant single-product potential and those with leading positions in advanced technology platforms [4][22] - In the CXO sector, companies like WuXi AppTec and Kelun-Biotech are recommended, along with quality medical device firms that have been undervalued due to previous price pressures [4][22]