Group 1 - The overall market valuation has significantly increased since the second half of 2024, leading to accelerated industry rotation and increased volatility, making balanced allocation strategies a favorable choice [1][8] - The Invesco Great Wall Balanced Growth Equity Fund (Fund Code: 026462) is currently being issued, managed by the emerging fund manager Wang Kaiduan, who is skilled in assessing industry cycles to construct a relatively balanced portfolio [1][8] - Wang Kaiduan has developed a dynamic investment approach based on the industry lifecycle, categorizing industries into six stages: embryonic, acceleration, collapse, clearing, maturity, and recovery, which helps in identifying investment opportunities [3][10] Group 2 - The Invesco Great Wall Balanced Growth Equity Fund has demonstrated a clear balanced investment strategy, with its top ten holdings distributed across more than seven different industries, achieving a net value return of 29.87% in 2025, surpassing the benchmark by 11.67 percentage points [4][11] - The A-share market has experienced significant valuation recovery since the second half of 2024, with major indices and overall market valuation levels showing substantial increases compared to September 2024 [5][12] - Wang Kaiduan is optimistic about the manufacturing sector's overseas expansion and inflation-related assets, particularly in the context of AI-driven investments that extend beyond TMT hardware to traditional resource sectors [5][12] Group 3 - The Invesco Great Wall Balanced Growth Equity Fund employs a floating management fee mechanism, linking management fees to excess returns, which aligns the interests of fund managers and investors, enhancing the investor experience [6][13]

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in the A-share market is primarily driven by external liquidity shocks and internal capital withdrawal, with a significant impact from the hawkish stance of the new Federal Reserve chairman [2]. Group 1: Market Decline Reasons - The core trigger for the market drop is the hawkish expectation of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet reduction, leading to a global liquidity repricing [2]. - The A-share market, which has been largely liquidity-driven since the bull market began on September 24, 2024, is particularly sensitive to changes in policy expectations [2]. - Domestic factors, including reduced leverage by exchanges and significant ETF redemptions, have further suppressed market sentiment, with a record net redemption of 780 billion yuan in January [2]. Group 2: A-share Market Outlook - The current pricing of the A-share market reflects a certain bias against the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, with expectations that the new chairman will balance interest rate cuts with the realities of dollar liquidity [3]. - As the market approaches a reasonable valuation, regulatory goals for cooling the market will likely be achieved, leading to a potential shift towards more positive policy [3]. - Historical patterns suggest a strong likelihood of a spring rally between the Lunar New Year and the Two Sessions, with a historical probability of around 90% for market gains during this period [3]. - Defensive attributes are expected from undervalued domestic assets during periods of external volatility, as evidenced by the resilience of banking and food and beverage sectors [3]. - Following stabilization of market sentiment, there is potential for continued investment in AI technology and overseas manufacturing, alongside increased allocation to high-dividend sectors like banking and consumer goods to enhance portfolio resilience [3].

Core Viewpoint - The launch of the first QDII public fund by Industrial Fund, the Xingye Hang Seng Technology Index (QDII), aims to provide investors with access to the Hong Kong technology sector, highlighting the asset's scarcity and relatively low valuation as significant investment opportunities [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Strategy and Market Position - The Xingye Fund's decision to track the Hang Seng Technology Index is based on a comprehensive assessment of market conditions, funding trends, product positioning, and internal capabilities [2]. - The fund manager emphasizes the importance of investing in technology assets in Hong Kong, which are considered scarce compared to A-share markets, particularly in sectors like internet, biotechnology, and high-end manufacturing [2][3]. - The anticipated growth in biotechnology and internet sectors by 2025 is driven by technological breakthroughs and the integration of AI applications with China's industrial base, presenting strong growth potential [2]. Group 2: Capital Flow and Market Dynamics - The Hong Kong market is increasingly attracting both domestic and international capital, with significant net inflows from mainland investors seeking long-term diversification and growth potential [4]. - The rise in interest from global investors in Chinese technology firms, particularly in AI and robotics, positions Hong Kong as a key gateway for investment in Chinese assets [4]. - The Hang Seng Technology Index is recognized for its rigorous selection criteria, which include fundamental factors like R&D investment, ensuring the quality of the underlying technology assets [4]. Group 3: Future Outlook and Fund Development - The Xingye Hang Seng Technology Index (QDII) is set to publicly launch on January 29, with an initial fundraising cap of 800 million yuan, indicating strong market interest [6]. - The fund aims to expand its offerings by potentially introducing related on-market products as the scale of off-market products grows and the investment team's capabilities improve [6].

● 本报记者 王鹤静 港股吸引海内外资金关注 除港股科技资产自身的独特优势外，徐成城还注意到近年来资金端在港股市场的积极动向。 一方面，香港市场是南向资金重要的配置板块，内地资金基于长期分散配置、未来成长性、特定行业偏 好等考量，会配置相当部分的港股资产，港股市场将承接大量来自内地的资金配置需求。近期港股通净 买入额持续高企，一定程度上反映了这样的资金趋势。 作为银行系公募基金的代表机构，近年来兴业基金在巩固固收投资优势的基础上，以指数投资为切入 口，大力推动权益投资发展。近日，兴业基金推出公司旗下首只QDII公募基金——兴业恒生科技指数 （QDII），为投资者提供一键参与港股科技板块的投资利器。 日前，兴业基金指数投资团队负责人、兴业恒生科技指数（QDII）拟任基金经理徐成城在接受中国证 券报记者采访时表示，站在当前的市场位置，港股科技类资产凭借其稀缺性以及相对较低的估值，对于 海内外资金而言，均有显著的配置价值。而且，通过QDII的形式还能够参与港股通以外的优质标的配 置机会，助力投资者充分享受科技浪潮下的投资机遇。 稀缺性与低估值优势凸显 作为公司旗下首只QDII产品，兴业基金首先选择试水的是跟踪恒生科 ...

同时，康乐指出，在贝塔收益比较显著的当下，阿尔法的获取越发依赖超前的认知、深入的研究和严格 的投资纪律，景顺长城始终坚信从基本面出发的主动管理，依然是公募基金行业不可撼动的核心竞争 力，在A股市场的投资实践中，通过自上而下的资产配置、自下而上的公司挖掘以及严谨的风险管理， 仍然能够为客户创造长期稳健的超额回报。 这一理念的践行，离不开对宏观经济和产业的深刻洞悉、以及市场脉动的敏锐把握。回看市场，今年以 来，上证指数时隔10年再次站上4100点大关，点燃了市场热情，全A日均成交额已经突破3万亿元。站 在当前时点，随着"十五五规划"正式启动，新一轮科技革命重塑全球经济与产业格局，宏观环境的节奏 如何把握？科技变革的机遇在哪里？如何在复杂多变的市场环境中精准布局、挖掘超额收益？针对这些 问题，景顺长城资产配置、权益、固收以及混合资产管理团队的投研骨干在策略会上，进行了深入拆 解，并带来他们的最新研究和思考。同时，本次策略会还请来了外方股东景顺集团的投资专家，分享全 球视野下的资产配置策略，干货满满。 宏观环境：国内政策环境有利，美元走弱利好新兴市场 对于2026年的宏观环境，景顺长城首席资产配置官王勇持相对乐观的态 ...

Group 1: Global Macro Strategy - The geopolitical tensions are escalating, with the probability of U.S. military strikes against Iran reaching 62% in Q1 [2] - U.S. Treasury yields have rebounded to 4.2-4.3%, with a reasonable expectation of less than two rate cuts this year [2] - The U.S. dollar is under pressure due to de-dollarization trends and interventions in the yen, but the U.S. economy shows resilience, supporting a long-term view of the dollar [2] Group 2: Currency and Commodity Outlook - The Chinese yuan is expected to appreciate moderately, supported by narrowing interest rate differentials and stable demand for currency exchange [3] - Gold prices are anticipated to continue rising, potentially challenging $5,500, driven by ongoing Fed rate cuts and geopolitical conflicts [3] Group 3: Domestic Macro Strategy - In terms of domestic demand, housing transaction prices are performing better than volumes, with a 38.6% year-on-year decline in new home transactions [5] - Export performance remains resilient, with container throughput increasing by 8.3% year-on-year, indicating strong demand for machinery and automotive products [7] - The government is advancing the construction of a unified national market, with new regulations aimed at reducing "involution" in government procurement [8] Group 4: Bond Market Insights - The bond market is expected to experience narrow fluctuations, with 10Y Treasury yields projected to range between 1.8% and 1.95% [9] - Recent liquidity conditions are favorable, with the central bank indicating room for rate cuts, suggesting potential opportunities in the bond market [9] Group 5: Equity Market Performance - The A-share market saw a 0.83% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index, with a structural slow bull market driven by improving fundamentals and AI trends [10] - The Hong Kong stock market underperformed compared to A-shares, influenced by geopolitical tensions and lower liquidity [10]

Core Insights - The mechanical industry is showing signs of recovery after three years of stagnation, with nominal GDP growth beginning to rise since Q4 2024, positively impacting the mechanical sector [17] - Domestic demand is weak while external demand is strong, particularly in the engineering machinery sector, where exports are gradually increasing due to improvements in the European and American markets [17][19] - The investment landscape is shifting towards overseas expansion and new industries, with a focus on automation and sectors supported by government subsidies [17][19] Industry Overview - The mechanical industry is experiencing a dual trend of weak domestic demand and strong external demand, with engineering machinery showing signs of recovery but still facing a fragile foundation [17] - Domestic investment in real estate continues to decline, with a 14.7% year-on-year drop in real estate development investment from January to October 2025, while infrastructure investment growth has also slowed significantly [19][23] - The overall investment environment is expected to stabilize as the gap between domestic and foreign demand narrows, with structural opportunities in infrastructure projects like water conservancy and high-standard farmland construction [23] 2026 Domestic Outlook - The investment gap is expected to narrow, with infrastructure investment declining from high levels and real estate investment under pressure, leading to a focus on structural opportunities [19][23] - Manufacturing investment is crucial, with the core focus on PPI and inventory levels, as domestic manufacturing orders remain sluggish [26][28] - The expectation is that PPI will improve in 2026, driven by factors such as reduced internal competition and improved domestic demand [28] 2026 Overseas Outlook - The downward trend in interest rates is a significant macro narrative, with the U.S. and Europe entering a phase of fiscal expansion, which is expected to benefit Chinese manufacturing [29][38] - The global inventory levels are at historical lows, which could lead to a new investment cycle as demand recovers [35] - The second wave of globalization for Chinese manufacturing is anticipated, driven by fiscal expansion in the U.S. and Europe, and a recovery in industrial product demand [38][40] Stock Selection Strategy - The stock selection strategy for 2026 focuses on two main themes: benefiting from overseas expansion and new industries, particularly in sectors like engineering machinery and specialized equipment [44] - Key sectors include engineering machinery, shipbuilding, and high-tech equipment, with a focus on companies that are expected to maintain stable performance and low valuations [44] - Emerging industries such as AI equipment, lithium battery production, and semiconductor manufacturing are highlighted as areas of significant opportunity [44][45] Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, and China Shipbuilding, which are expected to perform well in the current market environment [7] - Companies in the AI and semiconductor sectors, such as Longchuan Technology and Zhongwei Company, are also recommended due to their growth potential [7] - Future-oriented assets like humanoid robots and controllable nuclear fusion are noted as areas to watch for significant industry changes [7][45]

Core Viewpoint - The company aims to leverage its strengths to capitalize on the historical opportunity of industry transformation and upgrade through its upcoming issuance and listing [2]. Group 1: Company Strategy - The company plans to utilize its advantages in brand recognition, production scale, manufacturing capability, sales network, and product research and development to further consolidate and enhance its market position [2]. - The company is targeting green, high-end, and intelligent development to create new productive forces that will lead the industry transformation and upgrade [2]. - The company is committed to the "manufacturing industry going global" strategy, actively expanding into global markets and striving to fulfill its corporate mission [2].

Industry Overview - In the first half of 2025, the general equipment manufacturing industry is expected to reach a cyclical bottom recovery, characterized by "revenue stabilization and profit acceleration" [1] - The machinery sector saw a year-on-year revenue growth of 6.9% in Q2, with net profit growth of 14.3%, particularly driven by the instrumentation sector, which experienced a 2.2 percentage point increase in gross margin [1] Company Positioning - Zhejiang Lino (300838) is deeply integrated into the industry's recovery process, focusing on instrumentation and general equipment, which are core growth areas benefiting from industry demand [1] - The company is positioned in the control valve sector, benefiting from both "domestic substitution and overseas incremental" demand, as the competitive landscape is shifting towards leading companies with technological advantages [1] Market Dynamics - The demand for electric measuring instruments is recovering globally, with domestic manufacturers achieving double-digit revenue growth due to domestic substitution advantages [1] - The explosion in demand for oil and petrochemical equipment is a key driver, particularly as energy development accelerates in emerging markets like the Middle East [1] Policy Support - Policy benefits are categorized into national strategy, local support, and standard upgrades, with "smart control valves and high-efficiency energy-saving valves" listed as encouraged products [2] - The ongoing national equipment update initiative is driving demand in the maintenance market, positively impacting Zhejiang Lino's "product + service" transformation [2] Technological Advancements - The company has made significant strides in technology through strategic adjustments, including the acquisition of 100% of Xuzhou Huaji's shares, filling gaps in coal chemical and cryogenic conditions [2] - As of June 2025, the company and its subsidiaries have been granted 224 patents, with new products like pneumatic corrugated pipe control valves being widely applied in industrial fields [2] Market Expansion - The company is expanding its market presence in the Middle East by participating in key industry events, targeting high-end markets in oil, petrochemicals, and natural gas processing [3] - The domestic market is also seeing a shift towards service transformation, with subsidiaries providing maintenance services that enhance customer loyalty and reduce long-term costs [3] Digital Transformation - The implementation of the Selection Quotation 4.0 system has improved operational efficiency by quickly generating customized solutions through intelligent algorithms [3] - The company is advancing its headquarters-level information platform to streamline business processes and enhance resource allocation [3] Future Outlook - The company is expected to see performance improvements driven by multiple positive factors, including deepening domestic substitution and the implementation of equipment update policies [4] - The regional supply chain advantages and ongoing policy support are anticipated to lower procurement costs and enhance R&D capabilities [4] - The company's overseas market breakthroughs, particularly in the Middle East, are expected to convert customer resources into substantial orders, complementing its domestic strengths [4]

Core Insights - The 2025 China·Chengmai International Economic and Trade Fair aims to attract global investors to Chengmai, highlighting the theme "Focusing on Going Global, Investing in Chengmai" [1] - Chengmai is positioning itself as a key gateway for Chinese enterprises to go global, leveraging its strategic location within the Hainan Free Trade Port [1] Group 1: Economic Development Initiatives - Chengmai is focusing on five key areas for going global: gaming, manufacturing, cross-border e-commerce, new energy vehicles, and digital culture [2] - The county has established a public service platform for gaming exports, with 40 companies registered and 114 games launched on the PlayOL platform, aiming for 1 million overseas users by the end of the year [2] - In manufacturing, Chengmai has created a service guide for small and medium-sized enterprises to facilitate their entry into the EU market, resulting in a 13% year-on-year increase in the value of exported manufacturing products [2] Group 2: Cross-Border E-commerce and Digital Culture - Chengmai has introduced policies to promote cross-border e-commerce live streaming, offering rewards up to 300,000 yuan for participating entities, with over 30 live streaming companies already established [3] - The launch of the Qinglan Zhilian project aims to create an AI-driven industrial internet platform, providing one-stop services for the new energy vehicle industry [3] - Chengmai is developing a digital culture export industry park and has partnered with key companies to enhance local talent in digital content production, aiming to train around 2,000 individuals annually [3] Group 3: Infrastructure and Investment - A comprehensive service system for enterprises going global is being established in Chengmai, focusing on enhancing service capabilities and exploring new business models [4] - The Zheqiong Industrial Park, covering 14.25 square kilometers, is under construction, with investments exceeding 1 billion yuan for 16 projects, including high-end oil equipment and zero-carbon projects [5] - Chengmai is planning four government investment projects exceeding 1 billion yuan, with the "Global Gateway" project expected to be operational by the end of the year [5]