去工业化
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国家级自废武功,英国工业快被英国卖光了
创业邦· 2025-12-01 10:13
Group 1 - The article highlights the exorbitant costs associated with the Hinckley Point C nuclear power station in the UK, which has spent £700 million to protect fish, resulting in minimal impact on fish populations [5][6][7] - The UK is experiencing a significant decline in its industrial capabilities, with the closure of the last two blast furnaces marking a critical point in its deindustrialization journey [10][11] - The acquisition of British Steel by China's Jingye Group for £70 million and subsequent investments of nearly £1.2 billion have not prevented ongoing losses, with the company losing approximately £700,000 daily [17][19] Group 2 - The UK's steel industry is facing severe challenges, with the last two operational blast furnaces being outdated and environmentally unfriendly, leading to a complex situation for the government [19][20] - The article discusses the historical context of the UK's industrial decline, noting that manufacturing's share of GDP fell from 35% in 1950 to less than 10% in 2022, one of the lowest among developed nations [23] - The automotive industry, once a stronghold for the UK, has seen many iconic brands sold off, with MG and Lotus now owned by Chinese companies, reflecting the broader trend of industrial decline [25][28] Group 3 - The UK's military industrial base is also deteriorating, with reports indicating that the country can no longer produce artillery barrels, raising concerns about its defense capabilities [38] - The article emphasizes that the decline in industrial strength serves as a warning to other nations about the risks of deindustrialization, suggesting that recovery is challenging once industrial capabilities are lost [39]
英国工业快被英国耗光了
首席商业评论· 2025-11-27 04:12
Group 1 - The article discusses the critical role of manufacturing in a country's economic autonomy, highlighting the UK's decline in industrial capacity and the implications of this trend [5][10][22] - The UK has invested £460 billion in the Hinkley Point C nuclear power station, with £700 million allocated for fish protection, yielding minimal results in terms of actual fish saved [5][7][8] - The closure of the last two blast furnaces in the UK marks a significant decline in the country's steel production capabilities, with the steel industry facing severe financial challenges [10][12][15] Group 2 - The acquisition of British Steel by China's Jingye Group for £70 million and subsequent investments of nearly £1.2 billion have not resolved the company's ongoing losses, averaging £700,000 per day [13][15] - The UK's manufacturing sector has seen a drastic reduction in GDP contribution, from 35% in 1950 to less than 10% in 2022, one of the lowest among major developed nations [22][49] - The article emphasizes the shift from manufacturing to financial services in the UK, leading to a loss of industrial capabilities and a warning against the dangers of deindustrialization [24][49] Group 3 - The decline of the UK automotive industry is highlighted, with many iconic brands sold to foreign companies, resulting in a significant loss of domestic manufacturing [26][30][35] - The UK's military industrial base is also in decline, with reports of production issues and a lack of capability to manufacture essential components like artillery barrels [39][45] - The article concludes that the UK's long-term deindustrialization serves as a cautionary tale for other nations, emphasizing the difficulty of restoring industrial strength once it has been diminished [49][50]
英国工业快被英国卖光了
虎嗅APP· 2025-11-27 00:00
Group 1 - The article highlights the exorbitant costs associated with environmental protection measures in the UK, specifically mentioning the £460 billion Hinkley Point C nuclear power station, which spent £700 million to protect fish, resulting in minimal impact on fish populations [4][5]. - The UK is experiencing a significant decline in its industrial capabilities, with the closure of its last two blast furnaces marking a potential loss of iron production capacity, making it the first G7 country unable to produce primary steel [8][12]. - The article discusses the acquisition of British Steel by Hebei Jingye Group for £70 million, which has since led to losses of approximately £700,000 per day due to high operational costs and tariffs [11][12]. Group 2 - The decline of the UK automotive industry is noted, with many iconic brands sold to foreign companies, leading to a loss of domestic manufacturing capabilities [16][18]. - The article mentions that the production of electric vehicles is increasingly shifting to China due to cost advantages in battery production, impacting the UK's automotive sector [22]. - The military industrial complex in the UK is also in decline, with reports indicating that the UK can no longer produce artillery barrels, highlighting a broader deterioration in defense manufacturing capabilities [26][27]. Group 3 - The article emphasizes the historical context of the UK's industrial decline, tracing it back to the post-war era and the shifts between nationalization and privatization, which have led to a focus on financial services over manufacturing [15][28]. - The narrative suggests that the UK's transition from a manufacturing powerhouse to a service-oriented economy serves as a cautionary tale for other nations regarding the risks of deindustrialization [28].
欧洲懒汉们慌了,自己明明啥也没干,以前的好日子怎么没了?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-22 11:02
Core Points - The article discusses the weakening economic engine of Europe, highlighting the challenges faced by the region's long-standing welfare model and its reliance on cheap energy and goods [1][3][5] Economic Performance - Eurozone GDP is projected to grow only 0.2% quarter-on-quarter in Q3 2025, with Germany experiencing zero growth [3] - Inflation is eroding purchasing power, leading to corporate relocations and a burdened welfare system [3][9] Welfare System Challenges - EU social welfare spending reached 26.8% of GDP in 2023, with some countries exceeding 30%, creating a heavy financial burden amid economic stagnation [9][11] - The phenomenon of "lazy economy" is prevalent, with young people in Belgium preferring unemployment benefits over work, complicating recruitment for businesses [9][11] Energy Crisis and Industrial Relocation - The war in Ukraine has led to skyrocketing energy prices, with German electricity prices reaching €0.50 per kWh, making it one of the highest globally [7] - Energy-intensive industries are relocating, with BASF closing some German production lines in favor of facilities in China and the U.S. [7][9] Demographic and Structural Issues - Europe faces structural challenges, including an aging population, with over 20% of the EU's population aged 65 and older [11][13] - Labor shortages and difficulties in integrating immigrants are exacerbating social tensions, with far-right movements gaining traction [13] Future Economic Strategies - The European Central Bank has lowered interest rates to stimulate growth, but the effectiveness remains limited due to low consumer and business confidence [15][17] - Strengthening economic cooperation with China is seen as a potential avenue for recovery, despite mutual dependencies [17][19] Competitive Landscape - European companies, particularly in the automotive sector, are facing increased competition from Chinese brands in the high-end market [19] - The choice between maintaining a high-welfare society and enhancing competitiveness is a pressing issue for European leaders [19][22]
“十五五”深度研究系列报告(三):如何保持制造业合理比重?
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-11-21 07:32
Group 1: Manufacturing Weight Importance - The issue of "manufacturing weight" has gained significant attention from the central government since the 19th National Congress, with key deployments in the 2020 "14th Five-Year Plan" and subsequent meetings[1] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" suggests maintaining a reasonable manufacturing weight, aiming for a long-term target of 24.5% of GDP, as recommended by UNIDO[1][2] - China's manufacturing value added as a percentage of GDP has decreased from a peak of 32% in 2006 to 25% in 2024, indicating a critical phase for maintaining this ratio[2][14] Group 2: Economic Implications - A manufacturing weight below 20% is a critical threshold that can lead to a downward trend, weakening economic resilience and development potential[15] - The manufacturing sector is essential for breaking through the middle-income trap and is a key driver of national security[4][15] - The investment share in manufacturing has rebounded from 26% in 2020 to 33% by October 2025, highlighting the cyclical relationship between manufacturing value added and investment[2][5] Group 3: International Comparisons - International experience shows a "U-shaped" trend in manufacturing weight, with developed countries maintaining a ratio above 20% to ensure economic stability[13][15] - Countries like Germany and Japan have stabilized their manufacturing weight around 20%, leveraging high-end manufacturing to maintain economic resilience[13][28] - In contrast, Brazil and Argentina have seen their manufacturing weights drop below 20%, leading to economic challenges and a low-value-added industrial structure[38]
【环球财经】法国去工业化加速 工厂关闭潮再度加剧
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-11-16 01:15
Core Viewpoint - The trend of deindustrialization in France is accelerating, with the number of factories closing or at risk of closure exceeding the number of new factories for the second consecutive year [1] Summary by Category Factory Closures and New Openings - From January to mid-November this year, France saw the establishment of 80 new industrial parks and 57 existing factory expansion projects. However, 108 factories have closed or are at risk of closure, with nearly two-thirds entering liquidation or announcing permanent shutdowns [1] Economic Pressures - Continuous weak demand, rising production costs, and increasing international competition are putting greater pressure on companies with weak operational foundations. The number of corporate bankruptcies in France rose by 10% year-on-year in the third quarter [1] Industry Impact - Almost all industrial sectors are affected, with the food industry being the hardest hit, facing 16 factory closures or risks. Other severely impacted sectors include automotive, building materials, metallurgy, and textiles. The textile industry has a high import dependency of 97%, contributing only about 2.7% to France's GDP [1]
放弃核电、拒用俄气,德国自断能源命脉,中国靠光伏风电赚全球钱
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-12 16:11
Group 1 - Germany was once a leading industrial power in Europe, known for its electricity surplus and ability to export power to neighboring countries [1][3] - The country relied heavily on coal and nuclear energy, which provided stable and affordable power for its industrial sector, enabling it to lead in manufacturing innovation [3][5] - Following the Fukushima nuclear disaster in 2011, Germany's government decided to phase out nuclear power and coal, significantly impacting its industrial energy supply [5][7] Group 2 - By 2023, Germany transitioned from being an electricity exporter to an importer, relying on nuclear, hydro, and wind power from other countries, leading to energy shortages for industrial use [7][9] - The shift to renewable energy sources has proven unreliable, as wind and solar power depend on weather conditions, necessitating reliance on natural gas, which has become more expensive due to geopolitical tensions [9][11] - Industrial electricity prices have surged from 0.8 RMB per kWh in 2011 to 1.9 RMB per kWh, making it significantly more expensive than in China, where the average is 0.7 RMB per kWh [11][13] Group 3 - The high energy costs have led to a capital outflow, with many German companies considering relocating production overseas to reduce expenses [13][15] - Major German corporations like BASF and Volkswagen are investing heavily in factories in China and the U.S., indicating a shift in industrial strategy due to rising operational costs in Germany [13][15] - Environmental organizations in Germany celebrate the reduction of industrial activity, but this has raised concerns about the long-term viability of the country's industrial base [15][17] Group 4 - The article contrasts Germany's approach to environmentalism with China's, highlighting that China has managed to balance industrial growth with environmental protection, leading to significant advancements in renewable energy production [19][21] - China's forest coverage has increased significantly, and it has become a global leader in solar and wind energy manufacturing, demonstrating that economic development and environmental sustainability can coexist [19][21] - The narrative suggests that Germany's extreme environmental policies have led to industrial decline, while China's pragmatic approach has resulted in both economic and environmental successes [21][23]
特朗普终于低头了!只因他发现:中国已和二战的美国一样强大
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-10 04:10
态度大转弯,美国承认关税战失败 "中国的实力非常强大,让人不得不尊重。"特朗普说出这句话时,国际舆论哗然。这位曾对中国挥舞关 税大棒的总统,如今公开承认对中国加征100%关税"不可持续"。 这一表态不是孤立事件。2025年5月12日,中美在日内瓦发布联合经贸会谈声明,标志着特朗普在"超级 关税战"中向中国低头。据报道,特朗普对华关税从145%大幅降低,中美双方同步取消91%的加征关 税,并暂停24%关税90天。 一场贸易战打完,特朗普终于认清现实:今天的中国,就像二战时期的美国,拥有让世界惊 叹的工业实力和战争潜力。 2025年10月,特朗普在接受媒体采访时罕见承认:对中国加征100%关税"不可持续"。他甚至公开表 示,"中国的实力非常强大,让人不得不尊重"。这位一向强硬的美国总统,为何突然对中国展现出敬 意?答案就隐藏在历史与现实的对比中。 特朗普的态度转弯背后是美国遭受的多重打击。中国对美舰征收额外费用政策落地后,宁波港很快收到 了第一笔446万元款项。美国邮轮巨头陷入困境,嘉年华、皇家加勒比等企业付不起高额港务费,停航 又面临乘客投诉。 科技领域同样不容乐观。英伟达CEO黄仁勋透露,其在中国市场份额从9 ...
看到中美达成了共识,德国率先变脸,转向幅度之大,各方错愕
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-02 07:46
Group 1 - The recent US-China talks resulted in unexpected outcomes, with both sides providing concessions without escalating tensions, indicating a strategic calculation behind the apparent win-win situation [1][5] - China achieved key results such as tariff extensions, partial reductions, and some sanctions being eased, while the US gained more negotiating space regarding rare earth exports [1][5] - The global implications of the US-China thaw are significant, as countries that previously relied on choosing sides must now navigate their own paths, leading to discomfort for Japan, South Korea, and the EU [5][8] Group 2 - Despite the easing of tensions, there remains an intense underlying competition, with China managing to withstand global tax pressures and maintain stability while others face increasing tax burdens [3][9] - Germany's rapid shift in stance reflects a realization of its precarious position, as it can no longer rely solely on ideological alignments with the US while facing its own industrial challenges [8][9] - The EU, particularly Germany, must reassess its economic relationship with China, focusing on practical cooperation in key industries like electric vehicles, energy, and AI, rather than ideological posturing [9][10] Group 3 - The current geopolitical landscape presents both pressure and opportunity for Europe, as it can no longer depend on US policies for protection and must engage in meaningful economic collaboration to influence global rules [14] - Germany's recent pivot towards realism signifies a shift from being a passive player to actively seeking beneficial partnerships, recognizing that cooperation is essential for economic survival [10][14] - The ongoing US-China détente provides a "repair window" for Europe to propose cooperation in sectors where mutual benefits can be realized, emphasizing the need for action over rhetoric [12][14]
麦肯锡称巴西正在吸引战略领域投资
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-10-31 16:40
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant increase in foreign investment in Brazil's strategic sectors, particularly in natural resources and infrastructure [1] - Foreign investments are primarily concentrated in energy, mining, agriculture, and pulp industries [1] - Brazil faces challenges in advanced industrial competition, particularly in semiconductors and electric vehicles [1] Group 2 - The main driver of Brazil's economic growth in recent years has been population growth rather than productivity improvement [1] - Brazil has been undergoing a "de-industrialization" process, lagging behind larger and more competitive countries like the United States and China [1] - McKinsey suggests that Brazil should increase investments in technology and artificial intelligence to drive productivity leaps [1] Group 3 - Tax reform and regulatory improvements could help Brazil attract more foreign investment [1] - Brazil needs to address issues related to public debt sustainability and security to further enhance its business environment [1]