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马斯克预测未来工作或不是必需品
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 06:45
Group 1 - Core viewpoint: In the next 10 to 20 years, work will transition from a necessity to an option, driven by the formation of a production closed loop, allowing humanity to break free from the historical structure of working for survival [1] - Investment focus: The company emphasizes three key areas: products, services, and genuine contributions to sustainable development [1] - Future of currency: While currency will not disappear suddenly, the concept of "money" may no longer be central [1] Group 2 - Company vision: The company is not merely operating a business but is building a foundational infrastructure for a "next-generation civilization" [1] - Productivity leap: Technological advancements, particularly AI and robotics, are expected to be the true drivers of growth and act as "social stabilizers" in the future [1] - Meaning of human existence: The ultimate goal of technology is not to replace humans but to expand the boundaries of human consciousness, with civilization needing to uphold truth, beauty, and curiosity [1]
经历无数挫败和摸索后,我对投资的最新观点
雪球· 2025-12-07 04:07
↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 ↑ 风险提示:本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见,所涉及标的不作推荐,据此买卖,风险自负。 作者: top_gun888 来源:雪球 我的核心观点是,一定要投资那些基本面强大具有确切成长性的趋势持续波动向上的股票。我把股票分成三类,一是大趋势持续向上股票,当然不 是线性向上,而是在相当一段时间(至少几年以上)波动性向上,大趋势持续向上走的股票。 第二类股票是大趋势波动向下的股票,可能是竞争环境太恶劣、经营失败、管理层无能、失职甚至就是大玩猫腻中饱私囊,这种股票我能躲多远躲 多远。 我的目标是不断的发掘第一类股票,当然这类好股并不多,而且也是很难低位发现的(明确的说,在低位时,这类股票真的让稳健的投资人下不了 手,不确定性太大了),只有这类股票才存在着高买更高卖的逻辑。目前的问题是,我发现它们时,可能其股价已经大涨过一段时间,可能已是新 高附近。 我本质上并不想追高,因为我也很想在相对低位低卖入,但很可能我根本就没有低买的机会(也可能是我太想抓住机会了,经常是有机会的)。总 之在实战中,我经常是现价买入了,我肯定是认为股价今后必然还会有新高才现价买入的。 我买入股票后,确实存在着 ...
黄金再创新高,牛市炒股却为什么挣不了钱
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-01 02:40
于是奇怪的问题就来了,高贵的黄金没成投资界主流,爱炒股的人们像极了"飞蛾扑火"。 这种"资产狂欢与个人亏损"的背离,其实还是藏着金融市场的底层逻辑与人性的博弈,值得每一位读者深思。 作者|快刀财经 唐纳德 怎样钱生钱一直是个最简单又是最难的双面问题。买黄金?还是买股票?可以被视为此问题的具体延伸。 近期,A股冲上十几年点位新高,对资本市场又爱又恨之人,忍不住着急入手。 但相比跌宕起伏的股市,黄金反而更容易成为消费市场的"不倒翁",它既是消费品,更具有投资属性。诡异的 是,一边是黄金持续创新高,看似却不曾成为大众的投资主流,一边是牛市氛围浓厚,偏偏又是多数普通投资者 却赚少亏多。 说投资是一种策略或者机会选择,不如把其比作人生一场修行,修的是术,更是修心。 黄金不生息,玩的是地缘逻辑 涨是当下黄金的主题,26日国际金价上涨 重回每盎司4200美元关口上方。很多人质疑,既然黄金如此被看好,大 众干脆都去买黄金好了? 常识往往看上去合理,逻辑上却行不通。 长期以来,黄金被视为避险资产或高通胀下的"保值"资产。"黄金不生息"的观点在市场上广为流传。股神巴菲特 对黄金也持批判观点,称其为"不会下蛋的鸡",不产生现金流、 ...
教给中国人如何投资的段永平,其实是美国人
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-30 11:46
据说,在企业家与投资界都很牛掰的人不多,而段永平就是其中一位!这位商界与投资界传奇,以平常 心的哲学在创业与投资方面取得不俗的成绩,特别被称为中国巴菲特。 如今60多岁的段永平,其实是江西南昌人,后来考入浙江大学与中国人民大学等名校,还做过国企干 部,最后南下广东创业成功。并且拥有如vivo等世界知名手机公司。 就是这样一位牛人,其实在24年前的2001年就加入了美国国籍,并且以投资为生!重仓了腾讯、英伟达 与茅台等知名公司,据说至少盈利千亿。当然,这样的大佬也做了不少教育捐赠,前后大概20多亿。 全文600字 | 阅读需60秒 非知名首席人事官原创文 本文内容属于职业发展类 试想,有些人虽然身在国内,但却不做有利于国家与人民的事情!那么空有中国国籍也是枉然。当然, 这样一位牛人,是否以后考虑重新回来也不是没有可能。毕竟越来越多的牛人重新回来,奉献这块沃 土。 段永平厉害之处,不在于他的智商如名校背景,而是他对人生的态度与投资理念!对人生,他很淡定以 平常心对待,同样对待投资也是以淡定但深刻的理念获得成功。 【中国文化哲学】 文化沃土是人才的聚集地,老美之所以成为世界强国,就是笼络了全世界优秀人才,包括很多牛 ...
段永平的大道至简,怎么落实到我们的实际投资中?
雪球· 2025-11-29 13:01
Group 1 - The article discusses the difficulty of understanding the investment strategies of successful investors like Duan Yongping, emphasizing that simply mimicking their actions is not effective [4][5][6] - It highlights the distinction between copying "techniques" and "philosophies" in investing, noting that Duan's unique experiences shape his investment philosophy [8][9] - Duan Yongping's success is attributed to his deep understanding of business, gained from his entrepreneurial background, which allows him to analyze companies more effectively than others [12][14] Group 2 - The article explains that true understanding in investing varies among individuals, with Duan Yongping having a limited number of successful investments compared to others like Peter Lynch [24][26] - It emphasizes that understanding does not equate to precise market timing but involves recognizing opportunity costs and making informed decisions based on personal comfort with investments [31][32] - The importance of maintaining rationality during market fluctuations is highlighted, with Duan's approach focusing on investing in companies he understands [36][38] Group 3 - The article suggests that not understanding certain investment strategies does not preclude profitability, as ordinary investors can still find success through simpler methods like investing in the S&P 500 [47][48] - It warns against short-term trading, describing it as a zero-sum game and advocating for long-term investment strategies that are easier to replicate [49][50] - The article concludes that asset allocation can be a more suitable approach for most investors, allowing for diversification and risk management [58][59]
读《风和投资随笔》
猛兽派选股· 2025-11-22 04:02
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of risk management and a bottom-up approach in investment strategies, focusing on identifying high-quality companies rather than following market trends or macroeconomic indicators [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Philosophy - The core investment philosophy of Fenghe Fund prioritizes risk management, asserting that understanding one's own risk profile is essential for successful investing. The focus is on managing drawdowns and maintaining a diversified portfolio with low correlation among assets [1]. - The fund has achieved an average annual return of over 18% since its inception in 2009, with a maximum historical drawdown of only -6.5% [1]. Group 2: Company Focus - The investment strategy is centered on a bottom-up analysis of companies, disregarding macroeconomic trends and focusing instead on a company's innovation and competitiveness. The evaluation of a company's value is based on cash flow, realizable assets, and its ability to generate future cash [1]. - The fund seeks to identify high-quality companies ("eagles") that can dominate their markets, while also being willing to short companies with deteriorating fundamentals, avoiding mediocre companies altogether [1]. Group 3: Market Perspective - The article advocates for a cyclical understanding of the market, encouraging a contrarian investment approach that aligns with long-term fundamentals rather than short-term performance fluctuations. This philosophy allows for strategic investments in companies with strong future prospects during periods of market pessimism [2]. - Key insights include the importance of observation and analysis over prediction, emphasizing that survival in volatile markets relies on solid fundamentals rather than speculative forecasts [2].
投资人都不鸡娃啊?
集思录· 2025-11-19 13:47
Group 1 - The article discusses a shift in mindset regarding children's education, emphasizing the importance of finding personal passion over societal success [1][2] - It highlights the contrast between wealthy families who invest heavily in children's education and those who adopt a more relaxed approach, leading to feelings of inadequacy among some parents [2][3] - The narrative reflects on the pressures of modern education, with parents feeling compelled to push their children towards high academic achievements despite the potential for limited outcomes [4][11] Group 2 - The text outlines three main barriers to children's success: innate talent, personal ambition, and the prevailing societal trends [7][8][9] - It suggests that the pursuit of elite education may not guarantee success, as many factors, including luck and timing, play significant roles in a child's future [10][11] - The article concludes that a balanced approach to parenting, focusing on well-being rather than solely on academic success, may lead to healthier outcomes for children [13][20]
段永平的采访,值得每个普通人看3遍
大胡子说房· 2025-11-19 11:33
Group 1 - The article discusses two significant events in the investment world: an interview with Duan Yongping and Warren Buffett's retirement announcement [2][3] - Duan Yongping emphasizes the importance of accepting one's limitations and the value of being an ordinary person, which can lead to happiness [4][6] - A key takeaway from Duan Yongping's interview is the idea that admitting ignorance in investment can prevent significant losses, as many investors often pretend to understand complex topics [7][10] Group 2 - Duan Yongping's investment philosophy includes recognizing when to cut losses quickly, as demonstrated by his past experience of losing over $10 million on a $100 million investment [13][14] - He advocates for a mindset of correcting mistakes promptly and sticking to sound investments, which is crucial for ordinary investors to understand [16][19] - The concept of opportunity cost is highlighted, with Duan Yongping explaining that decisions should be based on potential returns from alternative investments [20][22] Group 3 - Long-term holding does not mean one should never sell; if a better investment opportunity arises, it is wise to make the switch [32][34] - The decision to invest should be based on future cash flows rather than just price-to-earnings ratios, emphasizing the need for understanding the underlying business [36] Group 4 - Duan Yongping shares insights on parenting, stating that parents should focus on providing security for their children, which influences their future success [39][41] - The article discusses the psychological aspects of investing, noting that a lack of security can lead to irrational decisions in the stock market [43][45] Group 5 - The article concludes with a reflection on the current economic landscape, suggesting that there are new turning points in the market that require careful consideration and preparation for future investments [64][65]
段永平劝退股民实录,炒股堪比渡劫,普通人别硬闯!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-17 11:17
退休20多年的传奇大佬段永平一露面,直接给散户们泼了盆冰水,炒股这活儿,80%的人牛熊都亏钱, 别觉得自己是天选之子能例外! 这话听着扎心,但句句都是大实话,翻译过来就是,韭菜别总想逆袭,能保住本金就赢了! 核心暗号,买股票就是买公司,懂的人不到1% 段永平在访谈里把这句话念得跟咒语似的,还补刀,雪 球上的球友们,能真懂这话的1%都不到,做到的更是凤毛麟角。 这话啥意思呢?说白了就是你买股票不是买涨跌的筹码,是当公司小老板,得知道这公司靠啥赚钱、以 后能不能一直赚。 很多散户倒好,看股价便宜就冲,以为捡了宝,结果越套越深。大佬早就看穿一切,便宜的东西能更便 宜,盲目抄底纯属送人头! 这就跟找对象似的,光看颜值低就动心,不了解人品家底,迟早得翻车。 持仓密码,三巨头躺赢,特斯拉再牛也不碰 别人炒股搞广撒网,段永平直接极简风,我就三只股票, 苹果、腾讯、茅台。这配置堪称神仙三件套,共同点就是看得懂、壁垒高。 苹果的生态闭环、茅台的文化buff、腾讯的社交底盘,都是别人抄不来的硬实力。 最搞笑的是他不投特斯拉的理由,马斯克确实牛,但我不喜欢他的品行。 投资就是跟人做朋友,这种朋友给我钱我也不处! 顺便还吐槽电动车行 ...
段永平罕见发声:假如五年前看懂英伟达,愿意拿茅台换
Core Insights - Renowned investor Duan Yongping, after over 20 years of retirement, shared his investment philosophy and experiences in a recent interview, emphasizing the importance of understanding a company's intrinsic value and future cash flows rather than focusing solely on market price fluctuations [1][3]. Investment Philosophy - Duan Yongping currently holds only Kweichow Moutai in the A-share market, indicating it is one of his few major investments. He stated that his investment decisions are primarily based on the company's future cash flow rather than a single metric like the price-to-earnings ratio [2][3]. - He expressed that even during significant price declines, such as Kweichow Moutai's stock price halving, he remained calm and continued to hold and even increase his position, reflecting his deep understanding of the company's intrinsic value [2][3]. Decision-Making Process - Duan emphasized that investment is about making comparisons and choices based on a deep understanding of the business, anchoring on intrinsic value and future cash flows rather than short-term market volatility [3][4]. - He clarified that "long-term holding" should not be equated with "never selling," and investors must continuously evaluate opportunity costs during the holding period [4]. Understanding Companies - Duan agreed with the notion that "buying stocks means buying companies," but stressed the importance of truly understanding the company, which he believes is quite challenging. He noted that many companies are difficult to comprehend fully [6][7]. - He highlighted that even if one does not fully understand a company, it does not guarantee profitability, as success in such cases often relies on luck rather than skill [6]. Cultural and Strategic Insights - Duan criticized Nokia's decline, attributing it to a corporate culture that prioritized market share over user experience and a failure to adapt to changing trends. He noted that strategic direction and cultural foundations are crucial for a company's success [7][8]. - He emphasized that understanding a company requires looking beyond its business and trends to examine its internal culture and strategic consistency [7]. Talent Selection - Duan asserted that selecting the right people is essential for organizational success, emphasizing that shared values and cultural alignment are critical for long-term collaboration [8][9]. - He categorized individuals in organizations as "like-minded" or "co-workers," stressing that those who share deep value recognition contribute significantly to organizational cohesion [8][9].