第一性原理
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段永平,变了!
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-11-21 07:27
在近日的访谈中,段永平公开表示"投资特斯拉实际上是在跟马斯克做朋友,我不想跟他做朋友"。然 而,话音未落,他又公开称自己买了特斯拉的股票。对此,段永平表示:"不做朋友但还是可以投资 的。" 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 做朋友是一回事儿,投资是另一回事儿。 一石激起千层浪,网友们对此议论纷纷。面对部分网友的询问,段永平也进行了回应:"不是玩笑,是 认真的。" 段永平买入特斯拉 11月20日,段永平在雪球上公开发文表示:"最近终于再多花了点时间看了很多马斯克的东西。面对他 的那么多厉害的产品,我上个礼拜和这个礼拜已经开始投点在特斯拉上了,满意了吧?最近几年确实感 受到马斯克的厉害,而且他的第一性原理我是很好理解的。不做朋友但还是可以投资的嘛,反正他也不 打球。就当风投吧,我觉得10年后回头看,这个投资也许是对的。" 值得一提的是,在近日与雪球创始人方三文的对话中,段永平曾谈及对特斯拉的看法。 他表示:"马斯克这个人厉害,他有很多想法,也确实是很先进的。但是投资我觉得比较难,从个人的 角度来讲,我不是很喜欢这个人的品行。你投资实际上是在跟他做朋友,我不想跟他做朋友,哪怕 ...
做AI时代的弄潮儿|混沌创新院第10期招生开启!
混沌学园· 2025-11-21 04:07
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the transformative impact of AI across all industries and roles, highlighting the necessity for continuous evolution to find certainty in a rapidly changing environment [3][6][10]. Group 1: AI and Innovation - The article discusses the integration of AI with innovative methodologies to empower business practices, focusing on the importance of understanding innovation and its foundational principles [10][11]. - It outlines a curriculum designed to help participants navigate the AI-driven landscape, emphasizing strategic insights and practical applications for business innovation and organizational upgrades [11][12]. Group 2: Community and Collaboration - The article highlights the unique "three-teacher system" at the Chaos Innovation Institute, which fosters deep connections and collaborative learning among participants, enhancing their entrepreneurial journeys [14][18]. - It mentions the establishment of a high-quality alumni network, comprising over 2,500 entrepreneurs from various sectors, facilitating cross-industry collaboration and knowledge sharing [30][31]. Group 3: Practical Application and Results - Participants are encouraged to define their "winning battles" at the beginning of their journey, engaging in collaborative exercises to develop actionable solutions throughout their learning experience [21][22]. - Success stories are shared, illustrating how alumni have effectively applied the Chaos methodology to achieve significant business results, such as the rapid growth of AI-driven products [23][25]. Group 4: Enrollment and Opportunities - The article announces the opening of enrollment for the 10th cohort of the Chaos Innovation Institute, inviting entrepreneurs and business leaders to join and enhance their strategic capabilities in the AI era [7][36]. - It emphasizes the benefits of team participation, suggesting that collective learning accelerates organizational evolution and reduces communication costs [34][33].
PayPal黑帮,从支付颠覆者到资本与政治的合流
3 6 Ke· 2025-11-21 02:59
细究"PayPal黑帮"这一群体的发展轨迹,不仅可以看到一家初创公司如何成为硅谷创新体系的"黄埔军校",更能从中捕捉到马斯克"第一性原 理"的早期萌芽。更重要的是,也可借此窥见如今的硅谷如何通过科技资本与权力合流的关键蜕变。 在硅谷的创新史中,有一个群体的名字始终与"颠覆"这个词牢牢绑定——"PayPal黑帮"(PayPal Mafia)。 从特斯拉重构电动汽车产业、SpaceX突破太空商业化边界,再到LinkedIn重塑职场社交,以及YouTube定义视频内容生态,这些改写行业规则的商业奇 迹背后,均藏着同一群人的身影。 当然,他们并非传统意义上的"黑帮"。 PayPal的反传统基因锻造 整个故事源自PayPal的诞生。 1998年,全球互联网热潮涌动,但传统支付方式效率低下,难以满足网络世界快速交易的需求,在线支付领域尚未出现成熟的解决方案。 彼时,马克斯·列夫琴(Max Levchin)、彼得·蒂尔(Peter Thiel)与卢克·诺塞克(Luke Nosek)等几位硅谷创业者,共同创立了Fieldlink公司,最初目标 是开发一款掌上设备的安全软件。 随着商业环境变化与移动互联网萌芽,他们敏锐地察觉到 ...
最新!黄仁勋马斯克罕见同台,畅谈人形机器人、太空AI,并回应AI是否有泡沫
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 06:17
这次论坛上,他跟埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)难得同台,参与了一场半小时对话,主持人是沙特阿拉伯通信和技术信息部长。 对话谈到了人工智能、先进计算和数字基础设施等。 马斯克输出的"梦想"尤其多,他说,"人形机器人将成为有史以来最大的产业,甚至会超过手机或任何其他产品。"并预计,"很快,甚至四五年之内,最 便宜的AI算力来源将不是地面数据中心,而是太阳能AI卫星。" 聪明投资者(ID: Capital-nature)精译整理分享整场对话,先睹为快。 关于人形机器人 "支撑这场Agentic AI革命所需要的底层算力,远比大家想象的少。它并非泡沫,而是结构性转变的结果。" 今天凌晨用一份超预期三季度财报重新点燃市场对于AI的热情,英伟达CEO黄仁勋(Jensen Huang)不仅在财报沟通会上讲没有看到AI泡沫,在财报公布 几小时之前的美沙投资论坛上,也在反复强调这一观点, 我总会这样想:谁不想拥有一个属于自己的C3PO或者R2D2(《星球大战》中两位经典的角色)呢? 黄仁勋 当然想啊。(笑) 主持人 你们曾帮助我们建立起以能源为核心的工业化经济,推动了整个工业时代的进步。而现在,我们即将进入"智能时代",这 ...
最新!黄仁勋马斯克罕见同台,畅谈人形机器人、太空AI,并回应AI是否有泡沫
聪明投资者· 2025-11-20 03:37
"支撑这场 Agentic AI 革命所需要的底层算力,远比大家想象的少。它并非泡沫,而是结构性转变的结 果。" 今天凌晨用一份超预期三季度财报重新点燃市场对于 AI的 热情,英伟达 CEO 黄仁勋( Jensen Huang ) 不仅在财报沟通会上讲没有看到 AI 泡沫,在财报公布几小时之前 的 美沙投资论坛上,也在反复强调这一 观点, 这次论坛上,他跟埃隆·马斯克( Elon Musk )难得同台,参与了一场半小时对话,主持人是沙特阿拉伯通 信和技术信息部长。 对话谈到了人工智能、先进计算和数字基础设施等。 马斯克输出的"梦想"尤其多,他说, " 人形机器人将成为有史以来最大的产业,甚至会超过手机或任何其 他产品。" 并预计, "很快,甚至四五年之内,最便宜的 AI 算力来源将不是地面数据中心,而是太阳能 AI 卫星。" 聪明投资者( ID: Capital-nature) 精译整理分享整场对话,先睹为快。 关于人形机器人 主持人 你们曾帮助我们建立起以能源为核心的工业化经济,推动了整个工业时代的进步。而现在,我们即 将进入 " 智能时代 " ,这一次我们希望共同构建起 AI 工厂、机器人、电动自动驾驶汽 ...
关于Spark培养营你可能会问的15个问题
混沌学园· 2025-11-16 02:06
这篇内容,提取自我们 Spark 培养营的优秀毕业展演 。 来自第七期营员 曹雷 的最终展示。 他用「一思维×探索流」的方法, 从一个模糊的想法,拆解到本质,再落地成实际能演示的 AI 助理产品 。 为了让第一次接触 Spark 的朋友更清楚 Spark 到底在做什么,我们把他展演中最亮眼的部分整理为: "第一次了解 Spark,你一定会问的 15 个问题" 每一个答案都来自真实的落地过程。 Spark培养营不是学习更多工具, 而是找到 你不可替代的那一部分 。 什么是 Spark 培养营? 它到底解决什么问题? Spark 不教更多方法,而是帮助你 找回"不可替代的人类优势" 。 当 AI 提升效率,我们常常变成"工具的使用者",但 Spark 的目标是: 让你成为创造者,而不是使用者。 因为时代的误区是: "更像机器,效率更高。" Spark 的观点是: "更像人,才不可替代。" Spark 的核心是 三真能力 : 真理念(我为何做) 什么是一思维(核心方法论)? 连续追问"为什么" → 找到问题最核心的那个"一"。 和第一性原理类似,但更强调: 不是推理论证,而是 洞察本质 。 为什么不是学工具, 而是 ...
股市震荡!比尔·盖茨、李彦宏发声!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-15 01:18
Group 1 - The article discusses the resurgence of concerns regarding the "AI bubble," drawing parallels to the internet bubble of 2000, as stated by Bill Gates, who emphasizes that while AI technology breakthroughs are real, many companies may be overspending without sustainable business models [2] - Major tech stocks in the U.S. experienced declines, with Tesla down 6.64%, Nvidia down 3.58%, and Microsoft down 1.54%, indicating market apprehension towards the AI sector [2] - Baidu's founder, Robin Li, mentioned at the Baidu World Conference that the AI industry is transitioning from an unhealthy "pyramid" structure to a healthier "inverted pyramid," where the value generated by applications must significantly exceed the costs of underlying technologies [2] Group 2 - The digital transformation is reshaping work patterns, social interactions, and wealth structures, with technologies like AI, blockchain, and the metaverse becoming increasingly relevant [3] - The digital ecosystem is complex, comprising not only familiar applications like social media and e-commerce but also advanced technologies such as AI and blockchain, which have their own operational rules and development logic [9] - The book "Digital World Survival Guide" aims to provide insights into navigating opportunities and pitfalls in the digital landscape, offering a framework for innovation and survival in the digital age [11]
他用一纸包装,重新定义饮用水行业的环保标准
财富FORTUNE· 2025-11-14 13:11
Core Insights - Hansen Bi, founder and CEO of Elix Water, was recognized in the 2025 "Fortune China 40 Under 40" list for his innovative practices in sustainable packaging and leadership in the drinking water industry [1] - The company aims to redefine the environmental standards of the drinking water sector by addressing carbon emissions and plastic pollution through sustainable solutions [1][4] Group 1: Background and Vision - Hansen Bi's international upbringing allows him to navigate different cultural perspectives, focusing on global issues like climate change and waste management [4] - After studying finance in Boston, Hansen shifted his focus from abstract numbers to the physical realities of resource consumption and environmental costs [4] Group 2: Innovative Approach - In late 2019, Hansen began rethinking the drinking water industry using first principles, aiming to define what "better" drinking water should be [6] - The solution proposed is to package high-quality natural spring water in paper cartons, which is both simple and disruptive [8] Group 3: Environmental Impact - The design aims to create a product that is healthier for consumers and has a lower environmental impact, addressing global challenges of carbon emissions and plastic waste [9] - Elix Water's mission extends beyond changing packaging materials; it seeks to rewrite the rules of the entire category by promoting sustainable consumption [11] Group 4: Structural Change - Hansen integrates first principles thinking into business management, questioning traditional assumptions about water sources, packaging, and distribution [14] - The focus is on minimizing the environmental footprint throughout the product's lifecycle while maintaining cost-effectiveness [14] Group 5: Broader Implications - Hansen represents a new generation of entrepreneurs who seek structural change rather than marginal improvements, demonstrating that sustainable development can coexist with business success [16] - The story of Elix Water illustrates that even the most ordinary products can be redesigned for sustainability, starting with something as simple as a carton of water [18]
小鹏刘先明:VLA 2.0的「涌现」过程极其突然......
自动驾驶之心· 2025-11-14 00:04
Core Insights - The article discusses the emergence of advanced technologies in autonomous driving and robotics, particularly focusing on Xiaopeng Motors' developments in VLA (Vision-Language Architecture) and humanoid robots [5][10][28]. Group 1: Technological Advancements - Xiaopeng Motors has invested significantly in computational power, utilizing 30,000 cards and spending over 2 billion in training costs, leading to a breakthrough in their technology [7]. - The emergence of capabilities in their second-generation VLA and humanoid robot IRON was unexpected, with previous months of failures suddenly giving way to significant progress [5][8]. - The core logic of the second-generation VLA is to eliminate the translation from vision to language, enhancing efficiency and enabling self-supervised learning [10][19]. Group 2: Challenges and Solutions - The transition from structured text data to continuous video signals presents challenges, including information loss and the need for real-time feedback from the physical world [14][15][17]. - Xiaopeng's approach simplifies the training process by removing complex steps, allowing for direct input from multimodal data and output as physical actions [20][22]. - The company is focused on optimizing local deployment solutions to achieve low latency and high frame rates, ensuring real-time performance on their hardware [24]. Group 3: Robotics Development - Xiaopeng's robotics team is closely collaborating with the automotive division, emphasizing in-house development to reduce costs and accelerate iteration [28][29]. - The humanoid robot IRON has shown significant improvements in movement, achieving a human-like gait through innovative design and control systems [36][39]. - The development of a universal generative controller allows the robot to perform complex movements, such as Tai Chi, by directly inputting recorded trajectories [46]. Group 4: Future Prospects - The company envisions a future where robots can establish deeper emotional connections with humans, potentially personalizing their designs to meet individual preferences [48]. - The advancements in robotics and autonomous driving are expected to lead to sudden breakthroughs, similar to those seen in the automotive sector [32].
批准了,给马斯克1万亿美元,特斯拉股东:不能眼睁睁看他离开
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-08 11:05
2025年11月7日,特斯拉股东投票正式结束,马斯克的愿望达成了,万亿美元激励,商业史上前所未有 的大手笔,而这,不是特斯拉的市值,而是他们打算给马斯克的"薪酬", 票数通过得很高,气氛却一点也不轻松,这份方案是股东们基本上是在赌:留住马斯克,哪怕代价高得 离谱,也比放他离开划算。 所以,这一次的方案背后,是有点像"被逼的",不做动作,市场就会揣测你是不是留不住人;做了动 作,至少能给外界一个交代——我们还抓得住他。 他也没得选,全写进了合同 表面上看马斯克得了个大便宜,但真要细看,他其实也被捆得很死,这份薪酬方案不是立刻到账的现 金,而是未来基于公司表现兑现的股票奖励,想拿满,得靠实打实的业绩。 问题是,这种"天价婚约"真能套牢这位"宇宙网红"吗,或者说,特斯拉真有底气,能承受得起这场靠一 个人撑起来的豪赌? 他要走,公司就慌了 这几年,马斯克干什么都能上头条,跟特朗普搞政治,自己创办space,做脑机、做ai,新时代几乎所有 的高科技他都有涉及,由于今年他短暂的把精力放到白宫那里,特斯拉多的情况直线下滑。, 董事会这次直接挑明了:马斯克的角色太重要了,不是说没有他公司就垮了,但失去他的领导,公司未 来的方 ...