Core Viewpoint - The competition among the 13 cities in Jiangsu Province has evolved beyond sports, encompassing economic and demographic aspects, leading to a comprehensive evaluation of urban strength and real estate performance [2][23]. Economic Performance - Jiangsu Province is home to the most cities with a GDP exceeding 1 trillion yuan, with a total GDP of 13.70 trillion yuan in 2024, ranking second nationally [3]. - Suzhou leads the province with a GDP of 2.67 trillion yuan, followed by Nanjing at 1.85 trillion yuan, indicating a significant economic gap between the two cities [3][7]. - The top five cities in Jiangsu account for over 60% of the province's total economic output [3]. Real Estate Market - In the first five months of 2024, Suzhou's new housing sales volume decreased by 2%, while Nanjing's increased by 8%, indicating a divergence in market recovery [13]. - Salt City recorded the highest year-on-year growth in new housing sales at 30%, while Suzhou's total sales for the first half of the year reached 171.09 million square meters, a slight increase of 0.9% year-on-year [14][15]. - The average new housing price in Nanjing reached 27,329 yuan per square meter, the highest in the province, while cities like Huai'an and Xuzhou had prices below 10,000 yuan per square meter [17][20]. Population Dynamics - Suzhou has the largest permanent resident population in Jiangsu at 12.987 million, surpassing Nanjing's 9.577 million [9][11]. - Nanjing experienced the highest population growth in the province over the past five years, with an increase of 262,300 residents [10]. - The population in several northern Jiangsu cities, including Xuzhou, has been declining, reflecting a trend of out-migration [10][11]. Competitive Landscape - The competition among Jiangsu cities is intensifying, with Suzhou maintaining an advantage in population and GDP per capita, while Nanjing is strengthening its position as the provincial capital through population growth [23]. - Salt City and Nantong have emerged as "dark horses" in terms of new housing sales growth and price increases, respectively [23].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [7] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the upcoming summer peak season as a catalyst for the tourism and cultural sectors, highlighting the integration of cultural tourism with IP-driven new consumption logic [2][3] - It suggests focusing on the IP + scenic area concept, particularly in regions like Jiangsu, and recommends companies such as Emei Mountain A, Changbai Mountain, Xiangyuan Cultural Tourism, and Haichang Ocean Park [3][21] - The report notes the stabilization of second-hand prices in the trendy toy sector, driven by the summer season, while also addressing regulatory risks and price fluctuations in the second-hand market [3][22] - In the gold and jewelry sector, the report highlights the potential for high growth in terminal store efficiency and expansion opportunities for brands targeting high-end and young consumers [4][131] - The beauty and personal care sector is identified as having structural opportunities, with a focus on product innovation and long-term growth potential [5][101] Summary by Sections 1. Duty-Free and Scenic Areas - The report tracks the performance of duty-free operators and suggests focusing on city duty-free store openings to capture inbound tourist spending [14] - It highlights the summer tourism market's preparation, with a predicted peak in hotel guest flow in early August [15][21] 2. Trendy Toys - The report notes a significant year-on-year increase in online sales for the trendy toy sector, with a total of approximately 2,754 million yuan in sales from January to May 2025, reflecting a 61% growth [23] - It emphasizes the strong cultural presence of LABUBU, surpassing the popularity of Nintendo Switch2 and LOL in recent trends [3][27] 3. Gold and Jewelry - The report indicates that gold prices remain high, with retail sales in the gold and jewelry sector reaching 30 billion yuan in May 2025, a year-on-year increase of 21.8% [128][131] - It recommends brands like Chaohongji, Laisentongling, and Laopu Gold for their growth potential in high-end markets [131] 4. Beauty and Personal Care - The report identifies significant growth opportunities in the beauty sector driven by product innovation and changing consumer habits, recommending companies like Mao Ge Ping and Shangmei [5][101] - It highlights the successful listing of Ying Tong Holdings as a leading player in the fragrance distribution and brand management sector [68] 5. Medical Aesthetics - The report suggests that the medical aesthetics industry is poised for market share gains due to refined operations and the upcoming release of new products in Q3 [5][61] - It recommends focusing on companies like Jinbo Bio and Sihuan Pharmaceutical for their innovative product pipelines [5][66] 6. Employment and Human Resources - The report notes a stable employment situation with a slight decrease in urban unemployment rates, suggesting a focus on flexible employment leaders [102][105] 7. Sports and Events - The report highlights the ongoing development of outdoor sports and suggests monitoring the "Su Chao" theme for investment opportunities in related companies [111]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that after breaking through key points, the stock market still has room for growth, with a focus on growth sectors rather than indices [1][2] - The reduction in the risk-free interest rate and the shift in expectations for the RMB from depreciation to stability or slight appreciation are significant drivers for the revaluation of Chinese assets [1][2] - The article highlights the importance of macro policies that prioritize investor returns and capital market reforms, which are crucial for changing investors' conservative attitudes towards risks [1][2] Group 2 - Economic policies and innovation support are expected to improve risk appetite and drive growth performance, with new business opportunities emerging in China [2] - The article notes that the financial sector's recent strong performance is influenced by multiple factors, including the ongoing development of stablecoin concepts and favorable domestic policies [6] - Historical analysis shows that financial stock rallies are often driven by liquidity, fundamentals, or policy events, with the sustainability of these drivers determining future market trends [8]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [7] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the upcoming peak season for tourism and cultural activities, highlighting the potential of combining IP with scenic spots and the ongoing popularity of the "Su Chao" theme in Jiangsu [3][4] - The report suggests focusing on brands with high terminal store efficiency and significant expansion potential in the gold and jewelry sector, as well as the growing demand for personal care products driven by innovation and emotional branding [5][6] - The medical beauty sector is expected to see market share gains among leading institutions due to refined operations and the upcoming release of new products in Q3 [5][6] Summary by Sections 1. Duty-Free and Scenic Areas - The tourism market in Hainan is thriving, with a 62% year-on-year increase in overall bookings for the summer of 2025 [11] - China Duty Free Group is expanding its presence in Macau with a new store opening [11] - Investment suggestions include focusing on duty-free operators and their city store openings, particularly China Duty Free, Wangfujing, and Lingnan Holdings [11] 2. Trendy Toys - The trendy toy sector is experiencing short-term volatility due to regulatory risks and price fluctuations in the secondary market, but long-term growth is anticipated as China's cultural products expand internationally [19] - In the first five months of 2025, the domestic online sales of trendy toys reached approximately 2.754 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 61% [19][22] 3. Hotels - The hotel sector is seeing fluctuations in RevPAR due to the impact of the Dragon Boat Festival holiday, with a notable year-on-year decline in performance metrics [36] - Supply growth remains stable, primarily driven by lower-tier markets [40] 4. Education - The number of high school graduates is expected to remain high, maintaining competitive pressure in the education sector [42] - The number of college graduates is projected to reach 12.22 million in 2025, increasing demand for vocational training and exam preparation services [45] 5. Medical Beauty and Cosmetics - The medical beauty sector is recovering, with a focus on product innovation and market share expansion among leading companies [47] - The beauty sector is expected to see a rebound in sales during the 618 shopping festival, with total online sales reaching 855.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.2% [53][58] 6. Gold and Jewelry - Gold prices remain high, with retail sales in the gold and jewelry sector increasing by 21.8% year-on-year in May 2025 [82] - Investment recommendations include brands with strong terminal store performance and expansion potential, such as Chao Hong Ji and Lai Shen Tong Ling [86]

Core Insights - The "Su Super" league has significantly boosted local businesses in Changzhou, with a notable increase in consumer spending and engagement on platforms like Douyin [1][6]. Group 1: Business Impact - Douyin group purchase orders in Changzhou increased by 42% from June 21 to 22, with restaurant orders rising over 56% during the same period [1]. - The "土味" sponsor, Dongha Northeast Street Barbecue, saw a staggering 3074-fold increase in Douyin search volume, along with a 732-fold increase compared to the previous period [1]. - The "小恐龙" from the Changzhou China Dinosaur Park gained popularity, leading to a 125% increase in weekend group purchase orders for the park [4]. Group 2: Promotional Activities - The Tianmu Lake scenic area launched a promotional campaign offering free admission to bald visitors, which resulted in a 456% increase in Douyin live broadcast orders from June 21 to 22 [6]. - The Tianmu Lake also introduced special ticket offers, including children's tickets priced as low as 0.1 yuan, attracting significant attention [6]. - Douyin's initiative "Follow Su Super to Explore Jiangsu" aims to enhance business growth for Jiangsu merchants, leading to a 225% increase in leisure and sports group purchase orders and an 181% increase in in-store spending [6].

Group 1 - The "Su Super" league has gained significant popularity, with a record attendance of 36,712 at a recent match, highlighting its appeal and the growing interest from sponsors and online engagement [1] - The league's charm lies in its intense competition, which reflects the cultural and community aspects of modern football, resonating well with social media dynamics [3] - The "Thirteen Taibao" collaboration mechanism between northern and southern Jiangsu has evolved from a one-way support system to a more balanced partnership, effectively reducing the development gap between regions [4] Group 2 - The "Su Super" league serves as a platform for cross-industry collaboration, integrating cultural, tourism, sports, and business sectors, emphasizing the importance of teamwork among cities [5] - Jiangsu's automotive industry, particularly in Changzhou, showcases a localized supply chain, with significant portions of procurement occurring within the region, promoting regional economic integration [7] - The Long Triangle region, where Jiangsu is located, is recognized for its high level of coordinated development, with recent meetings focusing on enhancing regional innovation capabilities and market integration [8] Group 3 - The adjustment of the "North-South Link" mechanism, where Xuzhou transitioned from a support role to a supportive partner with Anhui, exemplifies the successful outcomes of regional collaboration [10] - The ongoing success of the "Su Super" league has attracted attention from other regions looking to replicate its competitive and collaborative model [10]

Core Viewpoint - The "Su Super" competition in Jiangsu has become a cultural phenomenon, showcasing local pride through humorous songs and community engagement, enhancing the region's cultural identity and tourism appeal [1][3][10]. Group 1: Cultural Engagement - The practice of creating humorous "song battles" between cities has become a tradition, with the first instance occurring on June 6 when Suzhou teased Lianyungang with a song [3]. - Local citizens express enjoyment in the playful nature of these cultural exchanges, which foster community interaction and shared experiences [7]. Group 2: Promotion of Local Culture - The local cultural and tourism department is actively integrating local culinary and scenic elements into these humorous exchanges to promote regional specialties [5][12]. - Businesses are also participating by displaying popular phrases and themes from these cultural trends on public screens, further embedding the "scattered Jiangsu" concept into everyday life [8][10].

Core Viewpoint - Xinghui Entertainment has gained significant market attention due to its involvement in multiple hot business sectors, including IP, football, and toys, leading to a substantial increase in its stock price [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - On June 11, Xinghui Entertainment's stock surged by 13.43%, reaching an intraday increase of nearly 15%, following a cumulative rise of over 30% in the last three trading days [1] - The company has become the first A-share listed company to hold a controlling stake (99.59%) in a European top five league football club, specifically the Espanyol Football Club [1] Group 2: Business Operations - Xinghui Entertainment's business encompasses game development and operation, toy research, production, sales, and football club management [1] - The company is leveraging its position in the football industry to promote collaboration between Chinese and Spanish football, including the establishment of the Shanghai Football Academy to nurture local talent [2] Group 3: Market Rumors and Clarifications - There were rumors that Xinghui Entertainment is a manufacturer for the LABUBU plush toys of Pop Mart, which the company has denied, stating its toy business focuses on remote control models, alloy models, building block models, and outdoor toys [3] - The company clarified that it does not currently engage in digital currency or stablecoin-related businesses but will monitor developments in this area for potential future integration [3]

Group 1: Equity Market Insights - A-shares showed an upward trend this week, driven by stable macroeconomic data and short-term concepts like "Soochow Super," 5G, and innovative pharmaceuticals[2] - The technology sector is expected to become a mainline market trend, with significant performance driven by internal risk clearance and external positive news[3] - Consumer sectors are experiencing rotation, with pharmaceuticals and consumer electronics benefiting from hot topics, while dividend sectors may face upward limitations due to international volatility[3][15] Group 2: Bond Market Analysis - The bond market is experiencing high volatility, with short-term bonds favored due to their liquidity, which helps mitigate short-term investment risks[4][36] - Current domestic liquidity remains loose, supporting short-term prosperity in the bond market despite increasing uncertainties[4][36] - A recommendation for bond allocation suggests favoring short-term bonds for their flexibility in responding to potential market changes[6][36] Group 3: Commodity Market Overview - The commodity market is rebounding from low levels, with metals and precious metals showing strong performance, influenced by global recovery expectations[6][45] - Gold remains in a high volatility state, with short-term demand expected to decline as U.S. tariff policies stabilize, but long-term demand may still be supported by ongoing geopolitical uncertainties[6][45] - Overall, other commodity categories are underperforming, with a prevailing trend of low volatility expected in the commodity market[6][45]

Core Viewpoint - The Guizhou "Village Super" football league has faced rumors of being halted, which the organizing committee has firmly denied, emphasizing the negative impact of misinformation on its development [1][2]. Group 1: Event Overview - The Guizhou "Village Super" league, a grassroots football event, opened on May 13, 2023, attracting over 10,000 spectators and gaining significant attention due to its vibrant atmosphere and local cultural performances [2]. - The league achieved a remarkable online presence, with a total viewership exceeding 58 billion and over 600 million live stream views [2]. Group 2: Current Status and Comparisons - Despite its initial success, the current viewership has stabilized, with live stream numbers on platforms like Douyin dropping to around 100,000 to 200,000, compared to millions during peak times [2]. - The Guizhou "Village Super" committee expressed hope for the continued success of other regional leagues, such as "Yue Super" and "Lu Super," to further enhance the popularity of football in China [1].