金融风险

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美联储降息对中国货币政策有何影响?潘功胜:坚持以我为主、兼顾内外平衡|快讯
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-22 14:34
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) emphasizes a self-directed monetary policy that balances internal and external factors, ensuring liquidity based on macroeconomic conditions and changes [2][3]. Group 1: Monetary Policy and Economic Support - During the 14th Five-Year Plan period, the PBOC focuses on stabilizing growth while preventing financial risks, enhancing financial support for the real economy [3]. - The PBOC has effectively managed the dynamic balance between stabilizing growth and mitigating risks, with a significant reduction in the number of financing platforms by over 60% and a decrease in financial debt scale by over 50% as of June 2023 compared to the beginning of the year [3]. - The PBOC supports the Central Huijin Investment Ltd. to act as a "stabilization fund" and is working on improving long-term mechanisms to support the capital market [3]. Group 2: Financial Stability and Risk Management - The PBOC is advancing the legislative framework for financial stability, including the Financial Stability Law and the People's Bank Law, while enhancing the monitoring, assessment, and early warning systems for financial risks [3]. - A financial stability guarantee fund has been established, and the deposit insurance mechanism is operating smoothly [3]. - Overall, financial risks in China are deemed controllable, and the financial system is operating robustly, providing strong support for high-quality economic development during the 14th Five-Year Plan [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The PBOC's current discussion focuses on a mid-to-long-term perspective regarding the 14th Five-Year Plan, with no immediate adjustments to short-term policies mentioned [3]. - Future financial reforms and the 15th Five-Year Plan will be communicated after central government directives [3].
金融监管“掌门人”齐亮相,回顾“十四五”金融发展得失
Xin Jing Bao· 2025-09-22 14:31
Group 1: Financial Industry Overview - As of June 2023, China's banking sector total assets reached nearly 470 trillion yuan, ranking first globally; stock and bond market sizes are second in the world; foreign exchange reserves have been the largest for 20 consecutive years [1] - In August 2023, the total market capitalization of the A-share market surpassed 100 trillion yuan for the first time, with the Shanghai Composite Index's annualized volatility at 15.9%, a decrease of 2.8 percentage points compared to the "13th Five-Year Plan" [1] Group 2: Financial Risk Management - During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, significant progress has been made in preventing and resolving financial risks, with a focus on high-risk small financial institutions, real estate, and local government debt [2] - Financial regulatory authorities have effectively reduced the number and scale of high-risk institutions, achieving a dynamic clearance of high-risk small institutions in several provinces [2][3] - Financial support for affordable housing and related projects exceeded 1.6 trillion yuan, with over 7 trillion yuan in loans for "white list" projects, aiding nearly 20 million housing units [2] Group 3: Currency and Exchange Rate Stability - The external environment has become increasingly complex, yet China has maintained basic stability in the RMB exchange rate, with cross-border receipts and payments projected at 14 trillion USD in 2024, a 64% increase from 2020 [4] - The RMB's share in cross-border trade has risen from 16% to nearly 30%, reflecting its strengthened role as a stabilizer in macroeconomics and international payments [4] Group 4: Capital Market Regulation - The capital market has faced significant challenges, with the CSRC focusing on controlling new risks and stabilizing existing ones, maintaining a bond default rate around 1% [6] - Over 7,000 zombie private equity firms have been cleared, and all problematic financial institutions have been dealt with, including the issuance of record fines against Evergrande and its auditing firm [6][11] Group 5: Monetary Policy Response - In response to the recent 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve, the People's Bank of China emphasized a policy of "self-determination," maintaining a supportive monetary stance to foster economic recovery [7][8]
潘功胜:“十四五”金融事业取得重大成就 我国金融风险总体可控
Xin Jing Bao· 2025-09-22 14:07
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, China's financial sector has achieved significant accomplishments, with a focus on supporting high-quality economic development [1][2][4] - As of June 2023, China's banking sector total assets reached nearly 470 trillion yuan, ranking first globally, while the stock and bond market sizes ranked second [1] - The average annual growth rate of loans to technology-based small and medium-sized enterprises, inclusive finance for small businesses, and green loans exceeded 20% during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [2][5] Group 2 - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has established a modern monetary policy framework that effectively supports economic and social development goals [2][3] - The PBOC has implemented various monetary policy measures to stabilize market expectations and boost confidence, contributing to a sustained economic recovery [2][5] - The number of financing platforms has decreased by over 60%, and the scale of financial debt has dropped by over 50% compared to early 2023, indicating a significant reduction in local government financing platform risks [5][6] Group 3 - The PBOC is focused on enhancing the monetary policy and macro-prudential policy framework to achieve both currency stability and financial stability [3][4] - The PBOC has emphasized the importance of market-driven exchange rate formation and has maintained the basic stability of the RMB exchange rate amid external fluctuations [6][7] - The PBOC's monetary policy stance is characterized as supportive, with a commitment to moderate easing to foster economic recovery and stabilize financial markets [7][8]
审计署:加大地方政府债务、金融、能源等领域重大风险隐患揭示力度
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-09-22 11:23
人民财讯9月22日电,中共审计署党组发布关于二十届中央第三轮巡视整改进展情况的通报,下一步, 坚决贯彻党中央对审计工作的重大决策部署。持续巩固完善与党中央集中统一领导相适应的审计工作运 行机制,充分发挥党委审计办职能作用,加快推进审计工作全国一盘棋。依法全面履行监督职责,立足 经济监督定位,做实研究型审计,加大科技、民生等重点资金和项目审计力度,加大地方政府债务、金 融、能源等领域重大风险隐患揭示力度,拓展监督广度深度。加强审计与其他监督贯通,深化审计结果 运用,推动重大问题线索及时移送、查办、反馈和报告。 ...
潘功胜:今日发布会不涉及短期政策调整,下一步金融改革内容将在中央统一部署后做进一步沟通
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-22 11:15
Group 1 - The core theme of the press conference was to introduce the achievements of the financial industry during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, focusing on medium to long-term perspectives without discussing short-term policy adjustments [19] - The overall financial system in China is stable, with healthy financial institutions and smooth market operations [4][18] - The banking and insurance sectors have seen total assets exceed 500 trillion yuan, with an annual growth rate of 9% over the past five years [21] Group 2 - The A-share market has shown significant resilience and risk resistance, with the proportion of technology companies in the top 50 by market capitalization increasing from 18 to 24 during the "14th Five-Year Plan" [2][26] - A total of 10.6 trillion yuan has been distributed to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, representing an increase of over 80% compared to the "13th Five-Year Plan" [2][26] - The annualized volatility of the Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 2.8 percentage points to 15.9% during the "14th Five-Year Plan" [2][27] Group 3 - The financial regulatory authority has taken strict measures against financial irregularities, including the dismissal of over 3,600 illegal shareholders and the resolution of several illegal financial groups [3][36] - The regulatory framework has been significantly restructured, with over 60 supporting rules introduced following the new "National Nine Articles" [2][25] - The financial regulatory authority has imposed penalties on 20,000 institutions and 36,000 individuals, with fines totaling 21 billion yuan [23][28] Group 4 - The stock issuance registration system has transitioned from a pilot program to full implementation, with various measures introduced to optimize the listing and financing processes [5][42] - The total market capitalization of the A-share market surpassed 100 trillion yuan for the first time in August [26] - The proportion of direct financing in the capital market has increased by 2.8 percentage points to 31.6% compared to the end of the "13th Five-Year Plan" [26] Group 5 - The foreign capital holding in A-shares is currently 3.4 trillion yuan, with 269 companies listed overseas [6] - The central bank's monetary policy stance is supportive, implementing moderately loose monetary policies to stabilize the economy [7][8] - The modern monetary policy framework in China has been initially formed and continuously improved, effectively promoting reasonable growth in financial totals and optimizing credit structures [9][33]
美联储降息对中国货币政策有何影响?潘功胜:坚持以为我主、兼顾内外平衡
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-09-22 10:25
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) emphasizes a balanced approach to monetary policy, focusing on both domestic and international factors while ensuring liquidity remains ample [2] Group 1: Monetary Policy and Economic Support - The PBOC will utilize various monetary policy tools based on macroeconomic conditions and changes in the economic landscape to maintain sufficient liquidity [2] - During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, the PBOC aims to enhance financial support for the real economy while also prioritizing the prevention of financial risks and maintaining financial stability [2] Group 2: Risk Management and Financial Stability - The PBOC has achieved a significant reduction in local government financing platform risks, with the number of financing platforms decreasing by over 60% and financial debt scale declining by over 50% compared to the beginning of 2023 [2] - The PBOC is committed to maintaining stable financial market operations and has supported the Central Huijin Investment Ltd. in playing a role similar to a "stabilization fund" [2] - Legislative efforts are ongoing to enhance the financial stability framework, including the advancement of laws related to financial stability and the PBOC, as well as the establishment of a financial stability guarantee fund [2] Group 3: Future Outlook - The PBOC's overall assessment indicates that financial risks are manageable, and the financial system is operating robustly, providing strong support for high-quality economic development during the "14th Five-Year Plan" [2] - Discussions regarding the "15th Five-Year Plan" and future financial reforms will be communicated after central government directives [3]
美联储降息对中国货币政策有何影响?潘功胜:坚持以为我主、兼顾内外平衡|快讯
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-09-22 09:57
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) emphasizes a balanced approach to monetary policy, focusing on both domestic and international factors while ensuring liquidity remains ample in response to macroeconomic conditions [2][3]. Group 1: Monetary Policy and Economic Support - The PBOC will utilize various monetary policy tools to maintain sufficient liquidity based on macroeconomic performance and changing circumstances [2]. - During the 14th Five-Year Plan period, the PBOC aims to enhance financial support for the real economy while also prioritizing the prevention of financial risks and maintaining stability [3]. Group 2: Financial Risk Management - The PBOC has successfully reduced the number of financing platforms by over 60% and decreased the scale of financial debt by more than 50% compared to the beginning of 2023, significantly lowering the risk levels associated with local government financing platforms [3]. - The PBOC is committed to maintaining stable financial markets and has supported the Central Huijin Investment Ltd. in acting as a "stabilization fund" to improve the long-term mechanisms supporting the capital market [3]. Group 3: Legislative and Institutional Framework - The PBOC is advancing legislative reforms, including the Financial Stability Law and the People's Bank Law, to enhance the monitoring, assessment, and early warning systems for financial risks [3]. - A financial stability guarantee fund has been established, and the deposit insurance mechanism is operating smoothly to ensure resource security [3]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The PBOC's overall assessment indicates that financial risks are manageable, and the financial system is robust, providing strong support for high-quality economic development during the 14th Five-Year Plan [3]. - Discussions regarding the 15th Five-Year Plan and future financial reforms will be communicated after central government directives [3].
9.18黄金惊魂高台跳水60美金 高位洗盘
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 09:46
黄金昨天调整后,多头再起,涨破3700刷新历史新高后,再次上演高台跳水,一度大跌60美金,上蹿下 跳,高位洗盘,多空博弈。 下方再探3626的位置,看反弹的机会。 上方反弹,先看到3651的阻力承压。 再次突破,持续看到3674的阻力承压。 今天的走势 昨天黄金快涨快跌,再刷历史新高。 刚破3700,就迎来跳水。 一度跌至3645的位置,到今天止跌调整。 下方再次回调,看调整力度。 一方面,美联储靴子落地,最终预期25基点降息,毫无悬念。基于劳动力市场的疲软,以及金融风险的 压力,美联储不得不开启降息的大门,美元快速走低,黄金一度反超新高。 同时,处在3651下方,再次回调。 跌破了3626的位置,下方看到3600的位置,关注支撑反弹的机会。 黄金单边上涨4个月后,到8月持续了4个月横盘,到本月终于打破震荡格局,再刷历史新高,又迎来再 次单边涨势。到本周高位洗盘调整,多空难辨,再上破新高不猜顶。同时,下方再次大幅回调,看向 3600的关口。 另外一方面,美联储鲍威尔讲话,此次降息降的不怎么情愿,反而是被逼无奈的选择。强调只是风险预 期管理式的降息,并没有对下一步降息预期表态,整体谨慎态度明显,黄金快速降温。 ...
泰康人寿青岛莱西支公司金融风险提示:买金融产品,请收好这份“避坑”指南
Qi Lu Wan Bao· 2025-09-18 07:22
理财产品收益与风险并存,预期收益≠实际收益,有波动风险。基金或股票波动较大,可能赚得更多, 也可能亏得更多。购买产品前一定要问清楚:这是什么产品?钱用主要来做什么投资?多久能领取?了 解自己购买的产品,结合自己的实际需求和风险承受能力选择。 第二招,识别销售套路。购买金融产品时,遇到这些话术要特别留心:"稳赚不赔"、"保本高收益"—— 一般存在夸大、虚假宣传的嫌疑;"最后一天优惠"、"这个产品很快就停售"——常见的促销手段;"礼 品限量赠送"——用赠品吸引客户,容易造成冲动消费。请记住:白纸黑字写在合同里的内容才是真正 属于自己的权益,口头承诺不算数。 保障金融权益,助力美好生活。2025年9月15日至9月21日,泰康人寿青岛分公司及辖区内分支机构积极 开展"金融教育宣传周"活动,持续发布金融知识普及和风险提示,以期提升公众金融素养。 金融产品看不懂?销售话术分不清?别担心,这些都是很多小伙伴遇到的常见问题。今天,泰康人寿青 岛莱西支公司给大家带来一份购买金融产品的"避坑"指南,帮助大家明明白白消费,安安心心投资。 第一招,看懂产品再下手。很多消费者购买金融产品时,只关注收益高不高,不了解自己购买的产品类 型 ...
非农数据不佳 要求美联储加快降息脚步
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-07 05:18
Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the significant underperformance of the U.S. non-farm payroll data for August, which has led to increased expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [2][4] - The non-farm employment data showed an increase of only 22,000 jobs in August, far below the expected 75,000, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.3%, the highest level since 2021 [2] - Following the disappointing non-farm data, Barclays analysts now predict that the Federal Reserve will cut rates three times this year, each by 25 basis points, and two additional cuts in March and June 2026 [2] Group 2 - The article discusses the implications of potential stagflation in the U.S. economy, emphasizing the risks associated with high asset bubbles and the need for careful monetary policy [3][4] - It is noted that if employment continues to decline, the Federal Reserve may need to implement rate cuts of up to 100 basis points by early next year to prevent a rapid economic downturn [4] - The article warns that if financial risks escalate, the Federal Reserve might have to consider even larger cuts, potentially exceeding 150 basis points, to stabilize the financial markets [4]