Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - Spot freight rates are continuously falling, and the bullish sentiment has faded. The market is weakening, and it is not recommended to add more positions. Stop - loss should be set [2]. - The market shows a pattern of near - term strength and long - term weakness. Attention should be paid to tariff policies, the Middle East situation, and spot freight rates [4]. - Tariff issues have a marginal effect. In the short - term, wait for the market to bottom; in the long - term, take profit on rallies and wait for the market to stabilize after a pullback [4]. 3. Summary by Content Freight Rate Indexes - From September 19th to 22nd, multiple freight rate indexes declined. For example, the NCFI (composite index) dropped 13.24%, the SCFIS (European route) fell 12.9%, and the NCFI (US West route) decreased 23.30% [3]. Economic Data - In August, the manufacturing PMI in China was 49.4%, up 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, and the composite PMI output index was 50.5%, up 0.3 percentage points [4]. - The eurozone's August manufacturing PMI, services PMI, and composite PMI all showed improvement. The Sentix investor confidence index was - 3.7 [3]. - The US August manufacturing and services PMI data were better than expected [4]. Trading Strategies - Short - term strategy: The main contract is weak, and it is recommended to stop loss on long positions and wait for the bottoming opportunity. Do not hold positions stubbornly and set stop - loss [4]. - Arbitrage strategy: Due to the volatile international situation, it is recommended to temporarily observe or participate with a light position [4]. - Long - term strategy: Take profit on rallies and wait for the market to stabilize after a pullback before making further decisions [4]. Market Conditions - On September 23rd, the main contract 2510 closed at 1100.0, with a decline of 0.18%, a trading volume of 28,500 lots, and an open interest of 41,500 lots, a decrease of 4,522 lots from the previous day [4]. - The daily trading limit for contracts 2508 - 2606 was adjusted to 18%, the margin was adjusted to 28%, and the intraday opening limit for all contracts 2508 - 2606 was 100 lots [4]. Geopolitical Events - On September 23rd, a ship reported an explosion in the sea area about 222 kilometers east of Aden, Yemen, but the ship and its crew were safe [4]. - Australia, Canada, and the UK announced the recognition of the State of Palestine, and the international community's call for the implementation of the "two - state solution" has increased [4].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - In the short - term, the EC futures market is under pressure from spot prices. The price in early October is expected to decline, with a potential rebound in late October (before the National Day), but more likely to stabilize due to the off - season [1]. - From a medium - term perspective, considering multiple upward drivers, the 02 contract has a higher cost - performance for long - position allocation as the Spring Festival in 2026 is relatively late (February 17, 2026), which may lead to a higher settlement price. The 04 contract, being an off - season contract, is suitable for short - position allocation in the short term, but its low liquidity may cause price fluctuations. Attention should be paid to the 02 and 04 contracts. Also, be aware of the pre - holiday position - reduction volatility and the capital transfer risk of the 10 contract [8]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 EC Futures Contract Price and Trading Volume - **Contract Prices**: The prices of EC2510, EC2512, EC2602, EC2604, and EC2606 contracts are 1100.0, 1623.4, 1535.6, 1234.6, and 1421.3 respectively, with daily changes of 0.58%, - 1.84%, - 2.41%, - 3.17%, and - 2.28% [1]. - **Trading Volumes**: The trading volumes of EC2510, EC2512, EC2602, EC2604, and EC2606 contracts are 28527, 12535, 2521, 1838, and 157 respectively [1]. - **Open Interest**: The open interest of EC2510, EC2512, EC2602, EC2604, and EC2606 contracts are 41508, 22118, 7601, 8854, and 961 respectively, with changes of - 4522, 162, 203, - 68, and 11 [1]. 3.2 Month - to - Month Spreads - **EC2510 - 2512**: The spread is - 523.4, with a daily increase of 36.8 and a weekly increase of 38.9 [1]. - **EC2512 - 2602**: The spread is 87.8, with a daily increase of 7.5 and a weekly decrease of 5.4 [1]. 3.3 Spot Freight Rate Indexes - **TCI**: Updated every Monday, as of September 15, 2025, it is 1440.24 points, down 8.06% from the previous period and 11.68% from the period before that [1]. - **SCFI (European Line)**: Updated weekly, as of September 19, 2025, it is 1052 dollars/EU, down 8.84% from the previous period and 12.24% from the period before that [1]. - **CCFI (European Line)**: Updated every Friday, as of September 19, 2025, it is 1470.97 points, down 4.31% from the previous period and 6.19% from the period before that [1]. - **NCFI (European Line)**: Updated every Friday, as of September 19, 2025, it is 673.61 points, down 7.65% from the previous period and 14.78% from the period before that [1]. 3.4 European Line Spot Quotations - **Week 39**: The average quotation is 1600 dollars (equivalent to 1150 points on the disk). MSK's quotation is 1500 dollars (later rising to 1570), PA Alliance's is 1550 - 1600 dollars, and OA Alliance's is 1600 - 1720 dollars [2]. - **Week 40 - 41**: The average quotation is 1450 dollars (equivalent to 1020 points on the disk). MSK's is 1400 dollars; PA's is 1300 - 1500 dollars, with YML's 1300 dollars being the lowest price of the year; OA's is 1400 - 1600 dollars [2]. 3.5 Related News - On September 23, the Polish Prime Minister decided to reopen the border crossing with Russia. The Polish Interior Minister is expected to issue a relevant order, and border traffic is expected to resume between Wednesday and Thursday midnight [3]. - On September 23, Trump expected the meeting on the Gaza issue to be successful and hoped for an end to the war in Gaza [3]. - A UN investigation report showed that the Israeli government intends to establish permanent control in the Gaza Strip [3].

行业 集运指数日报 日期 2025 年 9 月 24 日 研究员：何卓乔(宏观贵金属) 18665641296 hezhuoqiao@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3008762 研究员：黄雯昕(国债集运) 021-60635739 huangwenxin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3051589 研究员：聂嘉怡(股指) 021-60635735 niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03124070 宏观金融团队 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 | | | 表1：集运欧线期货9月23日交易数据汇总 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | 前结算 价 | 开盘价 | 收盘价 | 结算价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 （%） | 成交量 | 持仓量 | 仓差 | | EC2510 | 1,102.0 | 1,101.0 | 1,100.0 | 1,085.4 | -2.0 | -0. ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - SCFIS is continuously falling, but the freight rate is approaching the break - even line, and the futures market has stopped falling and rebounded. It is not recommended to increase positions and stop - loss should be set [1]. - The tariff issue has a marginal effect, and the core is the trend of spot freight rates. The main contract may be in the bottom - building process. It is recommended to participate with a light position or wait and see [4]. - For short - term strategies, the main contract remains weak, and it is advisable to stop losses on long positions and wait for the bottom - building opportunity. For arbitrage strategies, it is recommended to wait and see or try with a light position. For long - term strategies, it is advisable to take profits when the contract price rises and wait for the price to stabilize after a pull - back [4]. Summary by Related Contents Freight Rate Index - On September 22, the Shanghai Export Container Settlement Freight Index (SCFIS) for the European route was 1254.92 points, down 12.9% from the previous period; for the US West route, it was 1193.64 points, down 11.6% from the previous period [2]. - On September 19, the Shanghai Export Container Freight Index (SCFI) was 1198.21 points, down 199.90 points from the previous period; the SCFI price for the European route was 1052 USD/TEU, down 8.8% from the previous period; for the US West route, it was 1636 USD/FEU, down 31.0% from the previous period [2]. - On September 19, the Ningbo Export Container Freight Index (NCFI) (composite index) was 783.71 points, down 13.24% from the previous period; for the European route, it was 673.61 points, down 7.65% from the previous period; for the US West route, it was 944.89 points, down 23.30% from the previous period [2]. - On September 19, the China Export Container Freight Index (CCFI) (composite index) was 1125.30 points, down 2.1% from the previous period; for the European route, it was 1537.28 points, down 6.2% from the previous period; for the US West route, it was 757.45 points, down 2.2% from the previous period [2]. PMI Data - The preliminary value of the Eurozone's manufacturing PMI in August was 50.5, the service PMI was 50.7, and the composite PMI was 51.1, showing continuous improvement [3]. - China's manufacturing PMI in August was 49.4%, up 0.1 percentage point from the previous month, and the composite PMI output index was 50.5%, up 0.3 percentage point from the previous month, indicating an acceleration in the overall expansion of business production and operation activities [3]. - The preliminary value of the US S&P Global manufacturing PMI in August was 53.3, and the service PMI was 55.4, both higher than expected [3]. Contract Information - On September 22, the main contract 2510 closed at 1093.7, with a 2.00% increase, a trading volume of 4.49 million lots, and an open interest of 4.60 million lots, a decrease of 1685 lots from the previous day [4]. - The daily limit for contracts 2508 - 2606 was adjusted to 18%, and the company's margin for these contracts was adjusted to 28%. The daily opening limit for all contracts 2508 - 2606 was set at 100 lots [4].

当周影响EC价格走势的核心因素在于欧线现舱报价已降至近年来的新低。延续此前逻辑我们认为当周主 流船司10月初现舱报价持续下行，当前世界排名第二的船司——马士基欧线小柜现舱报价已跌破九百美元， 且赫伯罗特、ONE两家船司小柜现舱报价也已跌破一千美元，跟进下调力度，期货价格的估值持续下行，且 就当前来看，集运市场在十一月前仍将处于传统淡季，欧指期货价格维持震荡偏弱走势的可能较大。我们可 以看到，EC价格与欧线现舱报价价格整体呈现高度的正相关性，后期可继续关注船司欧线现舱报价变动和欧 线市场基本面。此外，也需关注船司是否会发布涨价函以维持利润水平。 欧线大柜现舱报价与EC主力合约收盘价 source： Wind、GeekYum、南华研究 点 美元/FEU EC主力合约周度收盘价 上海至鹿特丹40英尺现舱报价均值(右轴) 24/06 24/07 24/08 24/09 24/10 24/11 24/12 25/01 25/02 25/03 25/04 25/05 25/06 25/07 25/08 25/09 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found 2. Core Views of the Report - In the short - term, there is a risk of price - cutting in the spot market, and the futures market is expected to remain weak. The current high position of the October contract has the risk of pre - holiday position reduction or subsequent position transfer fluctuations. In the medium - term, there are multiple upward drivers. From a valuation perspective, the 02 contract has a higher cost - performance ratio for long - position allocation than the 12 contract because the Spring Festival in 2026 is relatively late (February 17, 2026), and the settlement price of the 02 contract may be higher. The 04 contract is currently over - valued and is more suitable for short - position allocation in the short - term as it is a off - season contract, but its low liquidity may make it vulnerable to disturbances. Therefore, attention can be paid to the reverse spread of 12 - 02 and the positive spread of 02 - 04 [2][20] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - **Futures Contract Prices and Changes**: The closing prices of EC2510, EC2512, EC2602, EC2604, and FC2606 on the previous trading day were 1050.5, 1630.0, 1562.5, 1250.0, and 1439.1 respectively, with changes of - 5.01%, - 0.93%, - 0.23%, - 0.41%, and 6600F respectively. The trading volumes were 33110, 11583, 2298, 1293, and 132 respectively, and the open interest changes were 542, 1510, 61, 307, and 52 respectively [2][20] - **Monthly Spread**: The spreads of EC2510 - 2512, EC2512 - 2602 on the previous day were - 579.5 and 67.5 respectively, with daily changes of - 40.1 and - 11.7 respectively, and weekly changes of - 86.4 and - 71.8 respectively [2][20] Spot Market - **Spot Price Index**: The SCFIS SCFI index (updated every Monday) on September 15, 2025 was 0 points, a decrease of 100.00% from the previous period; the SCFIS SCFI (in US dollars/TEU, updated every Friday) on September 19, 2025 was 1052 US dollars, a decrease of 8.84% from the previous period. The CCFI index on September 19, 2025 was 1470.97 points, a decrease of 4.31% from the previous period. The NCFI index on September 19, 2025 was 673.61 points, a decrease of 7.65% from the previous period [2][20] - **Spot Booking and Quotation**: Currently, downstream customers are booking shipping space for the first ten days of October (week 39 - 41). The average quotation for week 39 is 1640 US dollars (equivalent to 1150 points on the futures market). For weeks 40 - 41, the shipping space is released together (because most of the cargo volume in week 41 has been diverted during the holiday). The average quotation is 1500 US dollars (equivalent to 1050 points on the futures market). Among them, MSK quotes 1450 US dollars, PA (excluding YML) quotes between 1400 - 1600 US dollars, YML quotes 1300 US dollars (the lowest price of the year), and OA quotes between 1500 - 1600 US dollars [2][20] Shipping Capacity - **Shipping Capacity Adjustment**: This week, the shipping capacities in October and November have been adjusted downwards. The main changes are that OA has added one more sailing suspension in the schedule of week 41, and PA & MSC have added 2 and 1 more sailing suspensions in weeks 46 and 47 respectively. The average weekly shipping capacities in September, October, and November are 290,000, 271,400, and 313,900 TEU respectively. After classifying all TBN as sailing suspensions, they are 290,000, 271,400, and 293,400 TEU respectively [2][20]

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2) Core Viewpoints - In the short - term, there is a risk of price - slashing in the spot market, and the futures market is expected to remain weak. High current positions pose risks of pre - holiday position reduction or subsequent position transfer [1]. - In the medium - term, there are multiple upward drivers. From a valuation perspective, the 02 contract has a higher cost - effectiveness for long - positions compared to the 12 contract because the Spring Festival in 2026 is relatively late (February 17, 2026), and the settlement price of the 02 contract may be higher. The 04 contract is currently over - valued and is more suitable for short - positions in the short - term, but its low liquidity may make it vulnerable to disturbances. Therefore, attention can be paid to the 12 - 02 reverse spread and the 02 - 04 positive spread [1]. 3) Summary by Relevant Content Futures Contract Information - **Futures Prices and Changes**: The closing prices and price changes of multiple EC and FC futures contracts are presented. For example, the EC2510 contract closed at 1050.5 with a 5.01% increase, while the FC2512 contract closed at 1630.0 with a 0.93% decrease [1]. - **Month - to - Month Spreads**: The spreads between different contract months are provided, such as the EC2510 - 2512 spread being - 579.5, showing a - 40.1 change compared to the previous day [1]. Index Information - **Shipping Indexes**: Various shipping indexes are updated weekly or monthly. For instance, the SCHIS index was 0 on September 15, 2025, down 100.00% from the previous period; the SCFI index was 1052 dollars/TEU on September 19, 2025, down 8.84% from the previous period [1]. Spot Market Information - **Downstream Booking**: Currently, downstream customers are booking shipping space for the period from the end of September to the beginning of October (week 39 - 41). The average quote for week 39 is 1640 dollars (equivalent to 1150 points on the futures market), and for weeks 40 - 41, it is 1500 dollars (equivalent to 1050 points on the futures market) [1]. - **Shipping Capacity**: The weekly average shipping capacities in September, October, and November are 290,000, 271,400, and 313,900 TEU respectively. After considering all TBN as suspended sailings, they are 290,000, 271,400, and 293,400 TEU [1]. News and Other Information - **Military Action News**: On September 20, 2025, the Israeli Defense Forces expanded their ground operations in Gaza City, resulting in 34 Palestinian deaths in the past 24 hours [3]. - **Index Delay Note**: The XSI - C index is delayed by three working days for publication [4].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the documents 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Spot freight rates remain low, the US has restarted the interest - rate cut, and the market is fluctuating at a low level. It is not recommended to increase positions, and stop - losses should be set [1]. - The tariff issue has a marginal effect, and the core is the direction of spot freight rates. The main contract may be in the bottom - building process, and it is recommended to participate with a light position or wait and see [3]. 3. Summary by Related Content Freight Rate Index - On September 15, the Shanghai Export Container Settlement Freight Index (SCFIS) for the European route was 1440.24 points, down 8.1% from the previous period; the SCFIS for the US - West route was 1349.84 points, up 37.7% from the previous period. The Ningbo Export Container Freight Index (NCFI) (composite index) was 903.32 points, down 11.71% from the previous period; the NCFI for the European route was 729.42 points, down 14.78% from the previous period; the NCFI for the US - West route on September 12 was 1216.14 points, down 9.13% from the previous period [1]. - On September 12, the Shanghai Export Container Freight Index (SCFI) was 1398.11 points, down 46.33 points from the previous period; the SCFI price for the European route was 1154 USD/TEU, down 12.24% from the previous period; the SCFI for the US - West route was 2370 USD/FEU, up 8.27% from the previous period. The China Export Container Freight Index (CCFI) (composite index) was 1125.30 points, down 2.1% from the previous period; the CCFI for the European route was 1537.28 points, down 6.2% from the previous period; the CCFI for the US - West route was 757.45 points, down 2.2% from the previous period [1]. PMI Data - In August, China's Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) was 49.4%, up 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, and the manufacturing prosperity level improved. The Composite PMI Output Index was 50.5%, up 0.3 percentage points from the previous month, indicating that the overall expansion of Chinese enterprises' production and business activities accelerated [2]. - The preliminary value of the Eurozone's manufacturing PMI in August was 50.5 (estimated 49.5, previous value 49.8), the preliminary value of the service PMI was 50.7 (estimated 50.8, previous value 51), and the preliminary value of the composite PMI rose to 51.1, higher than 50.9 in July, improving for three consecutive months and reaching the highest level since May 2024, higher than the expected value of 50.7. The Eurozone's Sentix Investor Confidence Index in August was - 3.7 (expected 8, previous value 4.5) [1]. - The preliminary value of the US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI in August was 53.3, reaching a 39 - month high (estimated 49.5, previous value 49.8); the preliminary value of the service PMI was 55.4 (estimated 54.2, previous value 55.7). The preliminary value of the US Markit Manufacturing PMI in August was 53.3, the highest level since May 2022 (expected 49.7, previous value 49.8) [2]. Tariff and Market Situation - The Sino - US tariff issue has been postponed, and there is no substantial progress in the negotiation. The tariff war has evolved into a trade negotiation issue between the US and other countries. The current spot price has slightly decreased, and the tariff issue has a marginal effect [3]. - On September 18, the main contract 2510 closed at 1105.9, down 2.08%, with a trading volume of 1.96 million lots and an open interest of 4.72 million lots, a decrease of 2436 lots from the previous day [3]. Trading Strategies - Short - term strategy: The main contract is weak, and the far - month contract is strong. Risk - preferring investors are recommended to try going long lightly around 1200 for the 2510 contract and increase positions around 1600 for the 2512 contract. Pay attention to the subsequent market trend, and do not hold losing positions. Set stop - losses [3]. - Arbitrage strategy: Under the background of the volatile international situation, each contract still follows the seasonal logic with large fluctuations. It is recommended to wait and see or try with a light position [3]. - Long - term strategy: It is recommended to take profits when each contract rises, wait for the callback to stabilize, and then judge the subsequent trend [3]. Other Information - Israel's Ministry of Defense announced on September 17 that it had completed the development of the "Iron Beam" laser air - defense system, which can intercept rockets, mortars, and drones at a "low cost" and is expected to be delivered by the end of this year [4]. - The Federal Reserve cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.00% - 4.25% on September 18, restarting the interest - rate cut since December last year [4].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the document. 2. Core View of the Report - The spot market has a risk of price - cutting, and the futures market is expected to continue its weak trend. The current valuation of the December contract is relatively neutral to high, and it may experience a deeper short - term decline. In the medium term, there are multiple upward drivers. In terms of valuation, the February contract has a higher cost - effectiveness for long positions compared to the December contract, while the April contract has a relatively high valuation and is more suitable for short positions in the off - season, but its low liquidity may make it vulnerable to disturbances [2][17]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Contracts - EC2510: Yesterday's closing price was 1105.9, down 0.34%, with a trading volume of 19585, an open interest of 47173, and a decrease of 2436 in open interest [2][17]. - EC2512: Yesterday's closing price was 1645.3, down 1.60%, with a trading volume of 9304, an open interest of 20570, and an increase of 133 in open interest [2][17]. - EC2602: Yesterday's closing price was 1566.1, down 0.80%, with a trading volume of 1549, an open interest of 7215, and an increase of 110 in open interest [2][17]. - EC2604: Yesterday's closing price was 1255.2, down 2.32%, with a trading volume of 1289, an open interest of 8534, and an increase of 200 in open interest [2][17]. - FC2606: Yesterday's closing price was 1453.5, down 1.03%, with a trading volume of 68, an open interest of 936, and an increase of 12 in open interest [2][17]. Month - to - Month Spreads - EC2510 - 2512: The previous day's spread was - 539.4, with a daily increase of 22.9 and a weekly decrease of 86.8 [2][17]. - FC2512 - 2602: The previous day's spread was 79.2, with a daily decrease of 14.0 and a weekly decrease of 30.2 [2][17]. Spot Market Indicators - SCHIS: On September 15, 2025, it was 0 points, down 100.00% from the previous period and down 11.68% from the period before the previous one [2][17]. - SCEI: On September 12, 2025, it was 1154 dollars/TEU, down 12.24% from the previous period and down 11.21% from the period before the previous one [2][17]. - CCFI: On September 12, 2025, it was 1537.28 points, down 6.19% from the previous period and down 2.79% from the period before the previous one [2][17]. - NCFI: On September 12, 2025, it was 729.42 points, down 14.78% from the previous period and down 7.92% from the period before the previous one [2][17]. Recent European Line Quotations - Week 39: The average quote was 1600 dollars (equivalent to 1150 points on the futures market). MSK's quote was initially 1500 dollars and then rose to 1570 dollars, PA Alliance's quote was between 1550 - 1600 dollars, and OA Alliance's quote was between 1600 - 1720 dollars [2][17]. - Week 40: The average quote was 1525 dollars (equivalent to 1060 points on the futures market). MSK opened at 1400 dollars, OOCL reduced its price to between 1500 - 1550 dollars, and YML dropped to 1400 dollars [2][17]. - Week 41: MSK kept the price at 1400 dollars. On Thursday, YML reduced the freight rates for Week 39 - 41 to 1300 dollars, the lowest of the year, equivalent to about 900 points on the futures market. CMA reduced the price by 100 to 1600 dollars, and EMC's Week 40 price was 1500 dollars [2][17].

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating The report does not provide an overall investment rating for the industry. 2. Core Viewpoints - The tariff issue has a marginal effect, and the current core is the direction of spot freight rates. The main contract may be in the bottoming process, and it is recommended to participate with a light position or wait and see [3]. - Spot freight rates are maintaining a low level, the bulk market is generally weak, the US has cut the benchmark interest rate again, and market pessimism persists. Attention should be paid to tariff policies, the Middle - East situation, and spot freight rates [3]. 3. Summary by Content Freight Index - On September 15, the Shanghai Export Container Settlement Freight Index (SCFIS) for the European route was 1440.24 points, down 8.1% from the previous period; the SCFIS for the US - West route was 1349.84 points, up 37.7% from the previous period. The Ningbo Export Container Freight Index (NCFI) composite index was 903.32 points, down 11.71%; the NCFI for the European route was 729.42 points, down 14.78%; the NCFI for the US - West route on September 12 was 1216.14 points, down 9.13% [1]. - On September 12, the Shanghai Export Container Freight Index (SCFI) was 1398.11 points, down 46.33 points from the previous period; the SCFI European - line price was 1154 USD/TEU, down 12.24%; the SCFI US - West route was 2370 USD/FEU, up 8.27%. The China Export Container Freight Index (CCFI) composite index was 1125.30 points, down 2.1%; the CCFI for the European route was 1537.28 points, down 6.2%; the CCFI for the US - West route was 757.45 points, down 2.2% [1]. Economic Data - In August, China's manufacturing PMI was 49.4%, up 0.1 percentage point from the previous month, and the comprehensive PMI output index was 50.5%, up 0.3 percentage point from the previous month [2]. - The preliminary value of the Eurozone's manufacturing PMI in August was 50.5, the service PMI was 50.7, and the composite PMI was 51.1, higher than in July and the highest since May 2024 [1]. - The preliminary value of the US S&P Global manufacturing PMI in August was 53.3, and the service PMI was 55.4 [2]. Tariff and Trade - The Sino - US tariff issue has evolved into a trade negotiation problem between the US and other countries. The tariff issue has a marginal effect, and the focus is on the direction of spot freight rates [3]. Trading Strategies - Short - term strategy: For risk - takers, it is recommended to lightly test long positions around 1200 for the 2510 contract and increase positions around 1600 for the 2512 contract. Pay attention to the subsequent market trend and set stop - losses [3]. - Arbitrage strategy: Due to the volatile international situation, it is recommended to wait and see or try with a light position [3]. - Long - term strategy: It is recommended to take profits when the contracts rise and wait for the market to stabilize after a pullback [3]. Contract Information - On September 18, the main contract 2510 closed at 1105.9, down 2.08%, with a trading volume of 1.96 million lots and an open interest of 4.72 million lots, a decrease of 2436 lots from the previous day [3]. - The daily limit for contracts 2508 - 2606 is adjusted to 18%, the margin is adjusted to 28%, and the daily opening limit for all contracts 2508 - 2606 is 100 lots [3].