中东乱局持续，市场关注美国是否出手，黄金能否再测3400？点击观看金十研究员文成直播分析 相关链接 ...

今日金价 单位 变动幅度 涨跌 老庙黄金价格 1016 元/克 6月19日国内黄金市场动态：品牌金店首饰金价格整体趋稳，部分金店小跌5元/克。具体来看，周生 生、老凤祥黄金的首饰金价维持1025元/克高位，与昨日持平，继续领跑市场；菜百首饰则延续990元/ 克的低价策略，暂为当前市场最低报价。今日品牌金店价差仍保持35元/克（1025元/克-990元/克），与 前一交易日持平。 具体各大品牌金店最新价格见下表格： 0 平 六福黄金价格 1020 元/克 5 跌 周大福黄金价格 1020 元/克 5 跌 周六福黄金价格 1005 元/克 0 今日金店黄金价格一览（2025年6月19日） 金店报价 平 金至尊黄金价格 1020 元/克 5 跌 老凤祥黄金价格 1023 元/克 0 平 潮宏基黄金价格 1020 元/克 5 跌 周生生黄金价格 1023 元/克 0 平 菜百黄金价格 990 元/克 0 平 上海中国黄金价格 993 元/克 0 平 周大生黄金价格 1020 元/克 而在黄金价格持稳之际，铂金迎来强势补涨。以周生生黄金为例，今日黄金饰品价格不变，铂金饰品价 格大涨17元/克，报价531元/克。若您还关 ...

Core Viewpoint - Citibank analysts predict a significant decline in gold prices, potentially dropping below $3,000 per ounce in the coming quarters, with estimates suggesting a range of $2,500 to $2,700 per ounce by the second half of 2026 [3][5]. Group 1: Current Gold Prices and Predictions - Current gold prices are at $3,386.14 per ounce for Dunjin and $3,405.00 per ounce for New York gold, indicating a substantial gap from the predicted lows [3]. - The anticipated drop in gold prices could present a buying opportunity for investors who have been waiting for lower entry points [3]. Group 2: Factors Influencing Gold Prices - The recent high prices of gold have been driven by global economic uncertainty, market volatility, and the long-term impacts of the pandemic, leading investors to seek gold as a safe haven [5]. - U.S. monetary policy, particularly interest rate changes by the Federal Reserve, is expected to have a direct impact on gold prices, with potential rate hikes reducing gold's attractiveness and shifting funds to other investment channels [5][7]. Group 3: Future Scenarios for Gold - Analysts suggest a polarized outlook for gold prices, where continued global economic recovery could diminish gold's safe-haven appeal, while renewed geopolitical tensions could drive prices back up [7]. - The relationship between gold prices and global economic conditions is highlighted, with fluctuations reflecting broader economic and political changes [7]. Group 4: Investment Considerations - Despite potential price declines, gold remains a traditional safe-haven asset with unique value during economic turmoil, suggesting that investors may still consider it a viable option [9]. - The question of whether to wait for lower gold prices or invest now reflects the ongoing uncertainty in the market and the enduring belief in gold's long-term value [9].

中东冲突升级的危险，犹如达摩克利斯之剑，高悬全球资本市场之上。 1 中东危险压顶 隔夜，美国总统特朗普最新发声进一步加剧局势失控的风险，其警告伊朗——美国耐心在耗尽，称已知道伊朗领导人哈梅内伊的下落，但"我们不会干掉 他"，呼吁伊方"无条件投降"。 这引发市场新猜测，难道美国要亲自下场？ 受此影响，全球股市全线下挫，美股三大指数收跌，欧洲股市跌至近一个月最低，原油一度飙涨5%。 最新消息称："今晚，将会发生一件大事！"。 中东局势持续升级的云波诡谲时刻，居然有人看空黄金！ 金价将在未来几个季度滑落至3000美元，明年下半年跌至2500-2700美元？？？ 也就是说，以现在3383的点位来看，金价未来要下跌20%以上。 在当前全世界众志成城看多黄金的背景下，高盛甚至看好明年中期冲击4000美元，花旗银行突然搞这一出，着实是惊人。 这究竟是为何？ 花旗在分析报告中预测，黄金价格将在今年三季度后回落至3000美元/盎司以下，明年下半年到2500-2700美元/盎司。 对于这则消息，市场看起来并不以为意，伦敦金价甚至红翻绿，截至发稿，伦敦金现小幅下跌0.06%，报3385.18。 (本文内容均为客观数据信息罗列，不构 ...

Group 1 - The World Gold Council's survey indicates that over 95% of central banks expect to continue increasing their gold reserves in the next 12 months, marking the highest level since the survey began in 2019, and an increase of 17 percentage points from 2024 [1] - The survey collected responses from 73 central banks, the highest participation rate to date, with nearly 43% planning to increase their gold reserves in the coming year [1] - Central banks' primary motivations for holding gold include its long-term value storage function (80%), portfolio diversification (81%), and performance during crises (85%) [1] Group 2 - Citigroup analysts predict that gold prices may fall below $3,000 per ounce in the coming quarters, marking the end of the current record rally, with a peak expected between $3,100 and $3,500 per ounce in Q3 of this year [3] - By the second half of 2026, gold prices are anticipated to decline to between $2,500 and $2,700 per ounce, representing a decrease of approximately 20% to 25% from current forward prices [3] Group 3 - Geopolitical tensions are providing short-term support for gold prices, with attention on the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision and Jerome Powell's press conference [4] - Long-term factors influencing gold prices include the global dollar-based credit monetary system, economic de-globalization, central bank de-dollarization, and inflation outlook, suggesting potential for further price increases within the year [4]

以伊冲突持续，结局会是怎样，黄金能否再上3400？点击观看金十研究员文成直播分析 相关链接 黄金能否再上3400？ ...

在该银行所设定的基本情景中(这种情景出现的概率为 60%)，预计未来一个季度黄金价格将维持在每盎 司 3000 美元以上，随后会有所下跌。目前现货黄金的价格约为 3396 美元。 在对其他金属的展望中，花旗银行表示对铝和铜都持极度乐观的态度。分析师们称，这种轻质金属"与 全球经济增长和市场情绪的回暖高度相关"。 智通财经APP获悉，据花旗称，由于创纪录的涨势逐渐消退，黄金价格预计在未来几个季度将回落至每 盎司 3000 美元以下。包括Max Layton在内的分析师在一份报告中表示："我们的研究显示，到 2026 年 下半年，黄金价格将回落至每盎司 2500 至 2700 美元。"他们称，金价下跌可能是由于投资需求减弱、 全球经济增长前景改善以及美联储的降息举措所致。 今年黄金价格已上涨 30%，在 4 月份曾创下历史新高。由于美国总统特朗普破坏性的贸易政策以及中 东地区的危机刺激了避险需求，黄金价格持续攀升。此外，对美国财政赤字和资产的担忧，以及各大央 行为实现储备多元化而持续的购买行为，也支撑了黄金价格的上涨。 花旗分析师们表示："我们预计，到 2025 年末和 2026 年，对黄金的投资需求将会减少，因 ...

Core Viewpoint - The current trends in gold prices are influenced by the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, geopolitical tensions, and market sentiment, with potential for both upward and downward movements depending on upcoming developments [2][3]. Group 1: Current Gold Prices - Domestic gold price (99.95%) is quoted at 785.78 CNY per gram, down 1.37% [1]. - International gold price is reported at 3418.9 USD per ounce, up 0.05% [2]. Group 2: Influential Factors on Gold Prices - Federal Reserve Policy Meeting: The market anticipates the Fed to maintain interest rates, but investors are keen on future policy signals, particularly regarding rate cuts. A dovish signal could weaken the dollar and support gold prices, while an emphasis on inflation risks could strengthen the dollar and pressure gold [2]. - Geopolitical Situation: Ongoing conflicts between Israel and Iran have previously driven gold prices up. However, Iran's willingness to restart nuclear negotiations has eased market fears, limiting further gold price increases. Nonetheless, geopolitical risks continue to provide support for gold as tensions may escalate again [2][3]. - Market Profit-Taking: On June 16, gold prices fell over 1% as traders locked in profits after reaching an 8-week high. Without new safe-haven demand, gold prices may continue to consolidate [2]. Group 3: Price Outlook - Short-term gold price movements are highly dependent on the outcomes of the Federal Reserve meeting, geopolitical developments, and market sentiment. A clear signal of rate cuts could lead to a rise in gold prices, while the opposite could exert downward pressure [3]. - Although current geopolitical tensions have eased, they remain a potential source of support for gold prices. The market is also facing profit-taking pressures, and without new positive stimuli, gold prices may remain in a consolidation phase [3]. - In the medium to long term, global economic uncertainties and central bank gold purchases are expected to support an upward shift in gold price levels [3].

中长期来看，全球央行购金潮与美元信用体系隐忧构成黄金的战略支撑。中国央行连续7个月增持黄 金，5月末储备达7383万盎司（约2296吨）；欧洲央行黄金占外汇储备比例升至20%，超越欧元成为第 二大储备资产。高盛预测，若美国债务展期压力加剧，2026年金价或突破4000美元/盎司。 分析师指出，若中东冲突外溢或美国经济数据疲软，金价可能突破3500美元关口；反之，若地缘局势缓 和或美联储释放鹰派信号，短期或回踩3400美元支撑位。市场需重点关注6月17日美国密歇根消费者信 心指数及6月下旬非农数据，这些因素或成为金价下一步走势的关键风向标。 美联储货币政策转向预期亦为黄金提供支撑。6月FOMC会议虽维持利率不变，但删除"通胀向2%目标 取得进展"的表述，鲍威尔强调"依赖数据调整政策"。市场押注美联储年内将降息两次（6月、12月）， 美元指数跌至97.8的4月以来低点，削弱了黄金的持有成本。此外，美国5月PPI同比增速降至2.6%，核 心PPI同比3.0%，创2024年8月以来新低，企业端通胀压力缓解强化了宽松预期。 技术面显示黄金短期动能强劲。伦敦金周线级别形成"上升旗形"形态，理论目标指向3500-3550美 ...

资讯早间报 制作日期： 2025/06/16 地址：北京市朝阳区朝阳门外大街甲 6 号万通中心 D 座 20 层 （100020） 隔夜夜盘市场走势 1. 国内期货主力合约涨跌互现。SC 原油涨超 6%，棕榈油涨超 3%，豆油涨超 2%， 菜油、焦煤、燃料油、液化石油气（LPG）涨超 1%；跌幅方面，烧碱、20 号胶、 乙二醇（EG）跌超 1%。 2. 国际贵金属期货普遍收涨，COMEX 黄金期货涨 1.48%报 3452.60 美元/盎司， 周涨 3.17%。COMEX 白银期货涨 0.21%报 36.37 美元/盎司，周涨 0.64%。 3. 国际油价大幅走高，美油主力合约涨 7.55%报 73.18 美元/桶，周涨 13.32%； 布油主力合约涨 7.5%报 74.56 美元/桶，周涨 12.17%。 4. 伦敦基本金属收盘多数下跌，LME 期铜跌 0.56%报 9647.5 美元/吨，周跌 0.47%；LME 期锌跌 0.61%报 2626.5 美元/吨，周跌 1.48%。 5. 国际农产品多数上涨，美大豆涨 2.52%，美玉米涨 1.43%，美豆油涨 6.30%， 美豆粕跌 1.09%，美小麦涨 3 ...