研究员： 廖宏斌 期货从业资格号F30825507 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0020723 免责声明 | | | 贵金属期货日报 | | | | 2025/12/25 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | | 期货市场 | 沪金主力合约收盘价（日，元/克） | 1008.760 | -5.9↓ 沪银主力合约收盘价（日，元/千克） | 17408 | -201.00↓ | | | | 主力合约持仓量:沪金(日,手) | 182,179.00 | -4619.00↓ 主力合约持仓量:沪银(日,手) | 16,778.00 | +4967.00↑ | | | | 主力合约成交量:沪金 | 220,136.00 | -131165.00↓ 主力合约成交量:沪银 | 1,313,777.00 | -53477.00↓ | | | | 仓单数量:沪金(日,千克) | 93711 | 0↑ 仓单数量:沪银(日,千克) | 852,417 | -29532↓ | | | 现货市场 | ...

2025.12.25 在加利福尼亚州生活的萨利（化名）对记者表示，2023年底，开市客开始销售1盎司的金条产品，有两 种选择：PAMP Suisse Lady Fortuna Veriscan金条和Rand Refinery金条，在2023年底的价格大概在1950- 1980美元/盎司，尽管价格不菲，她还是果断购入，截至12月，以她购买的PAMP Suisse Lady Fortuna Veriscan金条为例，售价已经跟随黄金市场的走势上涨到了4200美元左右，涨幅超过100%了。 开市客首席财务官米勒奇普（Gary Millerchip）在本月早些时候的财报电话会议上表示，在截至11月23 日的季度中，黄金与珠宝、健康和美容产品一样，是销售额实现两位数增长的产品类别之一。虽然开市 客没有透露具体销售额，但富国银行此前估计，每月金条和银币的销售额达到1亿至2亿美元。 开市客所售金条 （来源：开市客网站） 开市客的"淘金热" 本文字数：1360，阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 |第一财经 冯迪凡 "每个会员每次交易最多购买4件，每24小时最多购买4件"，这是美国开市客（Costco ）网站上对黄金产 品的限购条款。 ...

数据显示，12月25日上海黄金现货价格报价1000.70元/克，相较于期货主力价格（1008.76元/克）贴水 8.06元/克。 【黄金期货最新行情】 | 12月25日 | 收盘价（元/克） | 当日涨跌幅 | 成交量（手） | 持仓量（手） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪金主力 | 1008.76 | -0.39% | 220136 | 182179 | 打开APP，查看更多高清行情>> 【基本面消息】 逻辑：美国就业数据改善支撑美元，贵金属冲高回落，全球主流机构上调价格预测，ETF 持仓持续增 加。数据：国际金价收报 4480.09 美元 / 盎司，微跌 0.09%；现货铂金跌 2.7% 报 2221.83 美元 / 盎司。 观点：短期偏强震荡，中长期上涨空间可期，关注美国经济及货币政策变动。 乌克兰总统泽连斯基公布俄乌"和平计划"草案20点细节，包括乌克兰加入欧盟、向乌克兰提供类似北约 第五条集体防御条款的保障、乌克兰将尽快举行选举等。但关键的领土问题仍未解决，目前的方案包 括"维持现状"、在顿巴斯地区建立潜在的"自由经济区"等。泽连斯基表示，不同意草案中提出 ...

Core Viewpoint - Costco has seen a significant increase in demand for gold products, with sales of gold bars and coins estimated to reach between $100 million to $200 million per month, driven by a unique membership model and limited purchase options [3][8]. Group 1: Sales Performance - In the latest quarter ending November 23, gold and jewelry sales were among the product categories that achieved double-digit growth [3]. - Costco's overall sales increased by 15.6% year-over-year, with a previous year's growth of 16.1% [8]. - The price of gold bars sold by Costco has risen significantly, with examples showing increases from around $1,950-$1,980 per ounce to approximately $4,200, reflecting a growth of over 100% [3][8]. Group 2: Membership and Demand - The membership structure of Costco has effectively stimulated demand for gold products, with some customers registering for membership specifically to purchase gold [9]. - The pricing strategy for gold bars is competitive, with a markup of only 2% to 3% over spot prices, making it more accessible compared to traditional dealers [9]. - The limited purchase policy (maximum of 4 items per transaction and per 24 hours) has created a sense of urgency and exclusivity, further driving demand [3][9]. Group 3: Future Prospects - Industry experts predict that if economic uncertainty continues, Costco's precious metals business could exceed $3 billion in annual sales by 2027, enhancing the company's profitability [11]. - There are indications that Costco may expand its precious metals product line to include platinum or themed collectibles to maintain growth momentum [10][11].

来源：中国基金报 记者 泰勒 【导读】A股上涨，泰勒套利失败，白银基金跌停 A股低开高走 12月25日，A股早盘低开，随后逐渐回暖，沪指录得7连阳，深成指、创业板指探底回升。截至收盘， 沪指涨0.47%，深成指涨0.33%，创业板指涨0.3%。 全市场共3773只个股上涨，93只个股涨停，1473只个股下跌。 大家好，今天的A股表现不错，三大指数上涨，近4000只个股上涨！一起看看发生了什么事情。 | 880005 涨跌家数 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | E | 涨停 | | d3 | | 涨幅 | > 7% | | 153 | | 涨幅 | 5-7% | 1 | 129 | | 涨幅 | 3-5% | | 359 | | 涨幅 | 0-3% | | 3132 | | 跌幅 | 0-3% | | 1359 | | 跌幅 | 3-5% | | 95 | | 跌幅 | 5-7% | | | | 跌幅 | > 7% | | | | 其中 跌停 | | | 2 | | | | | 3773 | | 上證身數 下跌穿發 新聞 烏蘭報 | | | 1473 | | | | | 2 ...

Core Insights - Costco's limit purchase strategy and member-exclusive discounts have attracted a significant number of consumers to buy gold products [1][4] - The price of gold bars sold by Costco has seen substantial appreciation, with some products increasing over 100% in value since their purchase [1][3] - The demand for gold and silver products is driving membership registrations, as consumers see the value in purchasing these items at Costco [3][4] Group 1: Sales and Financial Performance - Costco's sales of gold and jewelry, along with health and beauty products, have experienced double-digit growth in the latest quarter [1] - The company's digital sales increased by 15.6% year-over-year, with gold and silver sales contributing significantly to online revenue [3][4] - Wells Fargo estimates that Costco's monthly sales of gold bars and silver coins reach between $100 million to $200 million [1] Group 2: Market Trends and Consumer Behavior - The price of spot gold reached $4,500 per ounce, reflecting a year-to-date increase of over 70% [3] - Costco's gold products typically sell out within hours of being listed, indicating high demand [3] - The membership fee of $65 is seen as a minor cost compared to the potential profits from gold investments, encouraging new memberships [3][4] Group 3: Competitive Landscape and Future Outlook - Competitors like Walmart are also entering the precious metals market, indicating a growing trend [5] - Costco's supply chain includes partnerships with reputable mints, reducing the risk of counterfeit products [5] - Industry experts predict that if economic uncertainty persists, Costco's precious metals business could exceed $3 billion in annual sales by 2027 [5]

周三，在宏观经济信号、政策预期以及全球市场供应面不确定性加剧的综合支撑下，黄金和白银在欧洲交易中延续了势头。 【华通白银网12月25日】•美国GDP 4.3%的强劲增长缓和了上行空间，但消费者信心疲软令风险情绪保持谨慎。 •市场已消化对2026年美联储多次降息的预期，从而降低了收益率前景，进而强化了黄金和白银的看涨基础。 •供应方面的不确定性和贸易中断加剧了假日交易清淡期间黄金和白银的防御性资金流入。 市场概述 这种支撑被美国经济数据的弹性部分抵消。美国经济分析局报告称，美国经济第三季度的年化增长率为4.3%，远高于普遍预期。强劲的 经济增长通常会支撑美元，这可能会限制贵金属的上涨势头。 与此同时，消费者信心数据走软，世界大型企业联合会12月消费者信心指数下滑至89.1，表明美国家庭存在潜在的谨慎情绪。 随着年末流动性趋于稀薄，投资者重新展现出将贵金属作为投资组合对冲工具的偏好，而非短期交易。 供应风险和市场谨慎提振贵金属 贵金属持续受益于因全球贸易中断和能源相关供应问题而抬升的风险意识。近期关键生产地区影响航运和大宗商品流动的立法举措，为 全球市场增添了一层不确定性，促使投资者转向配置黄金、白银等传统上被视 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the unprecedented surge in precious metal prices, including gold, silver, and platinum, driven by multiple factors such as geopolitical tensions and increased demand from central banks [3][5][16] - Gold prices have reached a new high of $4,500 per ounce, marking a more than 66% increase this year, potentially leading to the best annual performance since 1979 [3][5] - Platinum has seen a remarkable rise to $2,300 per ounce, with a cumulative increase of over 150% this year, attributed to supply shortages from South Africa and high borrowing costs [7][9] Group 2 - Silver has also experienced significant gains, surpassing the $70 mark, driven by strong investment demand and industrial usage, with global demand exceeding supply for five consecutive years [11][12] - The surge in precious metals has extended to domestic markets, with platinum futures hitting the limit up, and both silver and palladium prices increasing by over 6% [14] - The current market dynamics reflect a global search for reliable assets amid economic uncertainty, with precious metals serving as a safe haven for investors [16]

中辉有色观点 | 品种 | 核心观点 | 主要逻辑 | | --- | --- | --- | | 黄金 | | 政策真空资金持续流入稳定增长的黄金，短期重大事件落地，流动性风险偏好尚可， | | | 长线持有 | 基本面短期没有重大事件驱动。中长期来看，地缘秩序重塑，不确定性持续存在， | | ★ | | 央行继续买黄金，长期战略配置价值不变。 | | | | 白银交割故事或将持续重演，长期来看市场押注降息持续、供需缺口连续 5 年持续， | | 白银 | 控制风险 | 全球大财政均对白银长期有利，长期做多逻辑不变。短期金银比价大幅快速降低， | | ★★ | | 盘面进入超买区间，谨防高波动风险。 | | | | LME 因圣诞节休市两天，美国三季度 GDP 超预期，市场流动性充裕，风险偏好提高， | | 铜 | 长线持有 | 基本面对铜强支撑，铜续创历史新高。隔夜铜高位调整，波动放大，建议铜多单部 | | ★ | | 分移动逢高止盈，中长期对铜依旧看好。 | | | | 海外锌隐形库存加速显性化，锌精矿加工费持续下调，下游进入消费淡季，整体供 | | 锌 | 反弹承压 | 需双弱，国内淡季去库。锌承压回 ...

临近2025年收官，贵金属继续"狂欢"。 现货黄金、白银、铂金均创出历史新高。其中，现货黄金一度突破4525美元/盎司，现货白银则在盘中一度突破72.7美元/盎司，铂金期货一度突破2400美元/ 盎司，三者均在12月24日盘中创出历史纪录。与此同时，三者在创出新高后出现震荡调整。 每经编辑：杜宇 值得注意的是，白银今年涨幅已接近150%，成为今年涨幅最高的贵金属品种。在近期白银价格狂飙的同时，A股一只国投白银LOF基金连续第三天涨停，溢 价超68%。 12月24日午后，杭州一位"70后"向钱江晚报透露："太疯狂了，在这只基金上赚了3万多元，今天跑了。" 这位投资者表示，她是9月底买入该基金的，买入后的两个月，都涨得还算温和，12月份这么个涨幅，太吓人，拿不住就离场了。 从月涨幅来看，该基金10、11、12月份涨幅分别为4.37%、16.37%、103.93%，12月份的涨幅确实惊人。 12月24日早上，该基金临时停牌一小时，复牌即涨停，再次刷新场内价格高度。 "我认为高溢价率不可持续，像国投白银LOF的场内交易价格已严重偏离实际净值，投资者不要盲目追高，否则可能面临双重风险：既要承受白银价格回调 的损失，也要 ...