Group 1 - The total number of QDII funds reached 314, with a total scale of 673 billion yuan, an increase of 141 billion yuan from the beginning of the year, reflecting a growth rate of 26.5% [1] - A total of 25 products have seen their net value increase by over 80% this year, indicating strong performance in the market [1] - The significant growth in QDII fund scale this year is attributed to investors' increasing demand for global asset allocation and enhanced risk tolerance, as well as the performance of certain products [1]

Group 1: QDII Fund Overview - As of September 12, the total number of QDII funds reached 314, with a total scale of 673 billion yuan, an increase of 141 billion yuan from the beginning of the year, representing a growth rate of 26.5% [1] - Among these, there are 215 equity QDII funds with a scale of 567.7 billion yuan, which accounts for the highest proportion in terms of both number and scale [1] - The significant growth in QDII fund scale this year reflects an increased demand for global asset allocation and improved risk tolerance among investors, influenced by the performance of certain QDII funds [1] Group 2: Performance of QDII Funds - The Hong Kong stock market has performed well this year, contributing to the strong performance of several QDII funds, with 25 funds showing a net value growth rate exceeding 80%, and some surpassing 100% [1] - Thematic funds focusing on innovative drugs and biotechnology have shown particularly strong performance [1] - Market experts attribute the strong performance of QDII funds to ample liquidity in the Hong Kong market and a robust valuation recovery, especially in sectors like innovative drugs, consumption, and technology [1] Group 3: Biopharmaceutical Industry Insights - The biopharmaceutical sector, including gene editing and synthetic biology, is recognized as a key driver for the development of new productive forces in China and is crucial for building a healthy China [2] - The long-term development of the biopharmaceutical industry is fundamentally driven by rigid demand, making it an attractive investment area for many investors [2] - Recent favorable policies in the domestic pharmaceutical industry support the development of innovative drugs across the entire chain, accelerating industry transformation [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of global asset allocation, highlighting the contrasting performances of A-shares and US stocks, and validating the effectiveness of the company's portfolio strategies [1][3]. Weekly Market Review - A-shares (CSI 300) declined by 1.24%, while the dividend index rose by 0.50% [2]. - The Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong saw a slight increase of 0.06% [4]. - The NASDAQ 100 in the US increased by 1.48% [4]. - The DAX in Germany fell by 0.96% [4]. - The Nikkei 225 in Japan rose by 3.45%, and the Sensex 30 in India increased by 0.53% [4]. - The Ho Chi Minh Index in Vietnam dropped significantly by 3.43% [4]. - Overall, bond markets experienced a slight decline of 0.08%, but Chinese and US bonds rose, with US bonds increasing by 4.75% [4]. - Gold prices increased by 3.07%, with a cumulative rise of 5%-10% since the company increased its holdings [4]. Portfolio Performance - The "Rui Ding Tou Global Version" portfolio achieved a 1.32% increase, reaching a new net value high despite the decline in A-shares [7]. - This portfolio includes diverse assets such as US stocks, Indian stocks, and gold, which helped mitigate risks during A-share adjustments [7]. - The "Lazy Balanced" portfolio, with a high bond allocation, reported a cumulative return of 13.37% this year, outperforming previous years [8]. - The "Peace of Mind Bond" portfolio, which is defensive in nature, rose by 0.81% last week and has a year-to-date return of 9.32%, also reaching a historical high [13]. - The "Pure Bond" portfolio experienced a minor decline of 0.06%, demonstrating strong defensive capabilities by falling less than the market average [16]. Investment Strategy - The article suggests that the "Peace of Mind Bond" portfolio is suitable for investors seeking stability and lower volatility, serving as a "ballast" to balance equity market fluctuations [18]. - The company plans to continue optimizing its asset allocation strategies to provide stable and sustainable returns [32].

证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师：金倩婧 A0230513070004 冯晓宇 A0230521080005 林遵东 A0230524100005 涂锦文 A0230525070006 王胜 A0230511060001 2025.9.11 美国公布新增非农就业远低于预期，降息预期提升，沪深300领涨全球 www.swsresearch.com 证券研究报告 2 ◼ 7月全球资产价格回顾：美国就业数据不及预期提示了美国经济的衰退风险持续上升，降息预期推动下，全球风险偏好提升明显，8月全球权益类和商品类资产表现较好，而中国的创业板 以及沪深300领涨全球股市。1）权益方面，8月在中国股市走势本身的强动量下，各路资金纷纷被吸引入市，推动股市不断上涨，8月来说，创业板上涨24.4%，沪深300上涨10.9%，相 比之下，标普500仅上涨3.6%，而发达国家股市上涨3.5%；2）固收层面，美国就业数据的恶化推动降息预期提升，7月31日到8月29日，10年美债收益率下行14BPs，美元指数从 100.03下行到97.85；3）商品层面，降息预期下，贵金属涨幅上涨明显，COMEX黄金上涨3.4%，铜上涨2.07%；原油 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry or Company Involved - The discussion primarily revolves around the **Chinese economy** and its comparison with **developed markets**, particularly the **U.S. stock market**. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Economic Cycles**: The Chinese economy is currently in a recovery phase, contrasting with the downturn in the U.S. and other developed countries, which enhances the investment value of Chinese stocks while posing risks for U.S. equities [1][5] 2. **Asset Allocation Framework**: The asset allocation analysis framework is divided into **strategic** and **tactical** configurations, with strategic allocation focusing on long-term fixed asset ratios and tactical allocation allowing for adjustments based on market conditions [2] 3. **Liquidity vs. Inflation**: In the Chinese market, liquidity is deemed more critical than inflation, with "credit pulse" being a significant leading indicator for asset price changes [1][11] 4. **Fiscal Pulse**: Fiscal pulse has gained importance as a supplementary indicator to credit pulse, especially in times of poor macro liquidity transmission, showing a predictive capability that has surpassed credit pulse post-pandemic [1][14] 5. **Risk Premium (ERP)**: ERP is highlighted as a crucial valuation metric, indicating the expected excess return of stocks over bonds, particularly significant in the Chinese market [1][15][16] 6. **Global Asset Allocation Factors**: Key factors for Chinese investors in global asset allocation include the U.S. dollar, U.S. Treasury bonds, and the Federal Reserve, with U.S. inflation being a dominant variable affecting these factors [1][17] 7. **Gold Pricing Framework**: A new pricing framework for gold has been established, predicting potential price increases to the range of $3,000 to $5,000, following the decoupling of gold from U.S. Treasury yields [1][22] 8. **Dollar Strength**: The strength of the U.S. dollar is driven by fundamental, policy, and capital factors, maintaining its significant role in global asset allocation [1][21] 9. **Market Indicators**: The analysis of forward-looking indicators can help predict inflation trends, with historical data supporting the predictive power of rental prices on future inflation [1][19] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content 1. **Limitations of the Merrill Clock**: The applicability of the Merrill Clock in the Chinese market is limited, as economic phases often jump or reverse, leading to poor predictive performance regarding asset behavior [1][8][10] 2. **Impact of Economic Downturns**: During economic downturns, there is a tendency to increase bond holdings, and this analysis can be extended globally to inform cross-border asset allocation decisions [1][4] 3. **Long-term vs. Short-term Cycles**: Short-term growth cycles last 3 to 5 years, while long-term cycles can extend for decades, necessitating a broader data reference to avoid misleading conclusions from single-country cases [1][6] 4. **Complexity of Policy Responses**: The complexity of policy responses in China, which may not directly reflect economic fundamentals, complicates the predictive capabilities of frameworks like the Merrill Clock [1][9][10] 5. **Renminbi Exchange Rate**: The future trajectory of the Renminbi is influenced not only by trade factors but also by the performance of Chinese market stocks, which can support the currency [1][23] 6. **Changing Dynamics of Global Asset Allocation**: The traditional relationship between U.S. Treasuries and the dollar is evolving, indicating a potential fragmentation in global asset allocation strategies [1][24]

Core Viewpoint - The control of key global ports is crucial for supply chain dynamics, and recent developments indicate that Chinese companies may miss the opportunity to acquire ports owned by Li Ka-shing, as new buyers have emerged [2][10]. Group 1: Port Business Overview - Li Ka-shing's business empire includes a significant port network that spans Asia, Europe, and the Americas, with over 50 terminals and an annual throughput accounting for more than 11% of the global total [4]. - The strategic focus of Cheung Kong Group appears to be shifting due to increasing geopolitical risks, leading to higher policy uncertainties for infrastructure assets like ports [4][6]. Group 2: Potential Buyers and Market Dynamics - The potential buyers for the ports include American and Italian consortiums, with BlackRock, the world's largest asset management company, and the Italian Aponte family, who control the second-largest shipping company, MSC [6][8]. - The combination of BlackRock's financial leverage and the Aponte family's operational expertise is seen as a strong competitive advantage over Chinese firms [8][14]. Group 3: Chinese Companies' Exit from Bidding - Chinese companies are likely to be completely out of the bidding process due to stringent regulatory scrutiny from Western nations regarding foreign investments in critical infrastructure [10][12]. - The shift in Chinese overseas investment strategies from aggressive acquisitions to more cautious "light asset cooperation" models reflects the changing landscape [12][14]. Group 4: Implications of the Transaction - If the transaction is completed, it could lead to a reshaping of the global port power structure, with BlackRock and the Aponte family controlling key logistics nodes and potentially creating a tighter supply chain [16]. - The sale of these ports may provide a short-term boost to Cheung Kong's stock price and could trigger adjustments in the valuation of international logistics stocks [19][21]. Group 5: Future Considerations - The funds from the sale may be directed towards increasing investments in stable, inflation-resistant assets in Europe and the U.S., reflecting a cautious approach to global economic uncertainties [21]. - Potential regulatory challenges from the EU regarding the acquisition of ports by shipping giants could complicate the transaction [21].

Group 1 - The Nikkei 225 index rose by 1.46%, with Nikkei ETFs increasing over 2%, indicating a positive market trend in Japan [1] - Foreign investors are reshaping the structure of the Japanese capital market, highlighted by Berkshire Hathaway increasing its stake in Mitsubishi Corporation to 10.23% [1] - Mitsubishi Corporation and Mitsui & Co. are engaging in discussions with Berkshire Hathaway regarding their shareholdings, reflecting ongoing interest from foreign investors [1] Group 2 - The manager of the Nikkei 225 ETF E Fund anticipates a stable domestic demand supported by a virtuous cycle of wages and inflation, despite external uncertainties [2] - The Bank of Japan is expected to gradually normalize its monetary policy, focusing on interest rate hikes and balance sheet reduction, which will be key market focal points [2] - Ongoing corporate governance reforms in Japan are encouraging companies to prioritize shareholder returns, such as increasing dividends and stock buybacks, attracting long-term value investors [2] Group 3 - The Nikkei 225 index serves as a key benchmark for the Japanese stock market, reflecting the performance of 225 major blue-chip companies and the overall economic recovery [3] - The index's performance has outpaced Japan's nominal GDP growth, drawing renewed attention from global investors amid corporate governance reforms and global supply chain restructuring [3] - The E Fund manager notes that Japan's economy faces challenges from inflation, trade policy uncertainties, and geopolitical tensions, which could impact growth [3] Group 4 - Key variables to watch in the second half of the year include the outcomes of the Japanese Senate elections and progress in US-Japan tariff negotiations [4] - The Japanese stock market is expected to maintain upward momentum due to factors such as potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and strong performance in the technology sector [4] - The exchange rate of the yen will be influenced by the pace of monetary policy divergence, economic data validation, and geopolitical developments, with a slight appreciation against the RMB anticipated [4]

Market Coverage - Sina Finance APP covers over 40 markets including A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, US stocks, futures, and foreign exchange, providing millisecond-level real-time quotes [2] - Futu NiuNiu primarily focuses on Hong Kong and US markets, with weaker support for A-shares [2] - Tongda Xin is focused on A-shares and lacks international market data [2] - Wind (Wande) covers global markets but is more oriented towards institutional users, making it costly for individual investors [2] - Wall Street News has limited market coverage, mainly focusing on financial news rather than comprehensive market data [2] Information Services - Sina Finance has a professional editorial team providing 24/7 updates on financial reports, company dynamics, and macroeconomic policies, with a leading response time for major events [3] - Futu NiuNiu updates global business and financial news but lacks the authority and timeliness of Sina Finance [3] - Tongda Xin's information function is relatively weak, relying on third-party data sources [3] - Wind's information is primarily professional research reports, which may be complex for ordinary users [3] - Wall Street News excels in deep analysis and international perspectives but lacks the comprehensiveness and timeliness of Sina Finance [3] Intelligent Decision-Making Tools - Sina Finance offers powerful AI tools, including "AI Strategy Factory" and "Capital Compass," enhancing decision-making accuracy [4] - Futu NiuNiu provides various big data applications but lacks the depth and breadth of intelligent decision-making tools compared to Sina Finance [4] - Tongda Xin focuses on technical analysis tools, requiring users to write their own formulas, which may be challenging for average investors [4] - Wind's intelligent tools are aimed at professional investors, making them difficult for ordinary users to utilize [4] - Wall Street News has limited intelligent decision-making tools, primarily focusing on news and opinions [5] Community Ecosystem - Sina Finance integrates seamlessly with Weibo, allowing real-time market sentiment analysis and professional filtering of community content [6] - Futu NiuNiu's community gathers global Chinese investors but lacks the professional authority of Sina Finance [6] - Tongda Xin has a weak community function with limited user interaction [6] - Wind's community is mainly focused on research report interpretation, with low participation from ordinary investors [6] - Wall Street News has some professional community aspects but lacks the scale and activity level of Sina Finance [6] Trading Convenience - Sina Finance collaborates with multiple brokers to provide convenient trading access, maintaining high transaction speed [7] - Futu NiuNiu, as a licensed broker, offers comprehensive trading functions and a smooth user experience [7] - Tongda Xin's trading convenience depends on broker configurations, with a focus on data analysis tools [7] - Wind primarily focuses on data services and information provision, making trading inconvenient for ordinary investors [7] - Wall Street News does not provide direct trading functions, requiring users to trade through other channels [8] Summary - Overall, Sina Finance APP demonstrates strong capabilities across market coverage, information services, intelligent decision-making tools, community ecosystem, and trading convenience, making it the best choice for investors [9] - Futu NiuNiu has advantages in Hong Kong and US markets but lacks breadth and authority in information [9] - Tongda Xin excels in technical analysis but is weak in information and community features [9] - Wind is professional but costly and less user-friendly [9] - Wall Street News offers unique insights but lacks comprehensive functionality [9]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the increasing demand for diversified asset allocation among investors in a volatile market, highlighting the innovative strategies employed by Xingzheng Global Fund to create resilient investment portfolios that can withstand market fluctuations [1]. Group 1: Multi-Asset Investment Strategy - Xingzheng Global Fund is a pioneer in the "multi-asset + multi-strategy" investment model, having established its FOF investment and financial engineering department in 2016 with a team of 22 members [2] - The team utilizes a modular management approach, with dedicated researchers focusing on various asset classes, including equity funds, fixed income funds, overseas markets, and alternative assets, to identify diverse income opportunities [2] - The fund offers a range of FOF products, including public FOFs, separate account FOFs, and advisory services, providing clients with tailored multi-asset and multi-strategy solutions [2] Group 2: Global Asset Allocation - In 2024, the fund launched the "Xingzheng Global Multi-Asset Income" advisory strategy, which employs dynamic asset allocation across regions and asset classes to create an investment framework with all-weather risk hedging capabilities [3] - This strategy is recognized as one of the first domestic cases to implement global asset allocation concepts in buy-side advisory practices, winning the Golden Bull Award for innovative advisory cases in June 2023 [3] Group 3: Evolving Asset Allocation Services - In July 2023, the FOF Investment and Financial Engineering Department was renamed the Multi-Asset Allocation Department, aiming to build a flexible and rich multi-asset research system to meet the evolving asset allocation needs of investors [4] - The investment practice focuses on three core objectives: high-quality beta, stable alpha, and reduced gamma, establishing a disciplined framework to manage risk and return characteristics of each product [4] - As of June 30, 2025, all ten public FOF products established for over six months have generated significant excess returns compared to their performance benchmarks [4] Group 4: Wealth Management Redefined - The transition from FOF investment to multi-asset allocation and advisory services is redefining the essence of wealth management at Xingzheng Global Fund [5] - The advisory team emphasizes the importance of professional support to help investors navigate market volatility and build trust through long-term engagement [5] - The multi-asset allocation team is committed to optimizing cross-asset and cross-cycle combinations, smoothing portfolio volatility, and effectively managing risks through a dynamic rebalancing mechanism [5]

Group 1: Market Outlook - The discussion among financial institutions highlighted the future direction of China's capital markets, focusing on global economic trends, changes in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, and investment strategies in the Chinese market [1] - ICBC International's Chief Economist Cheng Shi noted that both A-shares and H-shares have moved out of valuation troughs and entered a phase of value re-evaluation, indicating a "slow bull" market trend in China's capital markets [1][4] - Standard Chartered's Chief Investment Strategist Wang Xinjie emphasized that Hong Kong stocks will continue to attract overseas investment due to their high dividend yields and growth potential in emerging industries [3] Group 2: Economic Conditions - Cheng Shi described the current state of the Chinese economy as "steady with progress," supported by factors such as consumption recovery, industrial upgrades, and diversified foreign trade [4] - Despite recent economic slowdown due to weather impacts, Wang Xinjie stated that the overall growth rate remains above the 5% target set last year [4] Group 3: Policy Recommendations - Cheng Shi suggested focusing on proactive fiscal policies, moderate monetary easing, and breaking down barriers to domestic market construction to release economic dividends [4] - Wang Xinjie indicated that policy efforts in the second half of the year will primarily focus on "sustained efforts" while retaining the flexibility for "timely increases" [4] Group 4: Federal Reserve Policy - Cheng Shi predicted that the Federal Reserve may adjust its policy with a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 to 75 basis points throughout the year, considering employment risks [7] - Market expectations suggest a high probability of at least a 25 basis point cut in September [7] Group 5: Investment Strategies - Wang Xinjie expressed a bullish outlook on stocks for the next 6 to 12 months, while also acknowledging short-term risks [9] - He recommended reallocating funds from U.S. investments to Asian stocks (excluding Japan) while maintaining core holdings in Japanese and European stocks, and focusing on emerging market local currency bonds [9]