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久违大涨!创新药再度“起舞”,“出海”或成关键词
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-07 23:24
炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 步入2026年的3个交易日里,A股持续走强,在半导体、有色板块集体上涨的势头中,此前一度"沉 寂"的创新药板块也再度亮眼,其中港股创新药板块更为出色;此外叠加"脑机接口"的风潮,有公募认 为此前沉寂数年的医疗器械板块或也迎来投资机遇。 展望后市,"普涨"已不再是基金经理的共识,而具备业绩验证的优质个股或将走出持续性的独立行情; 此外,因具备更好的研发和盈利前景,出海能力也成为多名基金经理筛选公司的核心标准之一。 创新药板块回暖 因此,在医药板块,尤其是创新药领域在经历近期回调后,多名基金经理表示,当前估值已进入具有吸 引力的区间,今年或许是布局医药的好时机。 "创新药预计仍是2026年医药板块最重要的投资主线。"平安基金表示,当前板块经历近2~3个月调整 后,股价、市场预期与机构配置均已回到相对低位,投资安全边际显著提升。行业正面催化正在密集释 放,进入2026年一季度,以JPM大会为代表的行业盛会,叠加企业商业化及出海进展,将持续提供股价 催化剂。同时,海外流动性环境改善预期升温,美国降息前景强化,美股生物科技指数持续走强,映射 出全 ...
万亿外资巨头,加仓!
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2026-01-07 13:52
据此前披露,贝莱德曾于2025年12月29日批量减持了美的集团等多只H股。 贝莱德再度加仓中国 【导读】贝莱德加仓海尔智家、药明生物、美的集团、中国银行等港股 万亿外资巨头又加仓了。 1月7日,据香港交易所披露,贝莱德在2026年首个交易日(1月2日)加仓海尔智家、药明生物、美的集 团、中国银行等港股股票。 外资建议:高配中国 1月5日,高盛发布《中国2026年展望:探索新动能》,预测2026年中国实际GDP增速将高于市场预测, 建议高配中国股票。高盛的股票策略团队在亚太范围内建议高配A股和港股。 他们预计中国股市将延续牛市,但上涨步伐有所放缓。预计2026年和2027年中国股市将每年涨幅为15% ~20%,分别由14%和12%的盈利增长以及约10%的估值向上重估支撑。盈利增长潜在再加速的关键驱 动因素包括人工智能应用、"出海"趋势和"反内卷"政策。中国股市当前估值相比全球同业存在显著折 价,显著的分散化配置价值有望吸引更多资本流入。 此前,瑞银财富管理投资总监办公室曾表示,经历了表现亮眼的一年后,中国市场的涨势有望在2026年 延续,先进制造业和科技自立自强成为新的增长引擎。此外,中国AI变现步伐领先其他市 ...
2025消费IPO真相:熬够16.5年,才配敲钟
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-07 10:54
Group 1 - The consumer investment landscape in China has drastically changed, with the number of financing events dropping from 4,345 in 2016 to just 812 in 2025, indicating a cleansing of over 80% of false demands and PPT projects [4] - The number of IPOs is rebounding, increasing from 25 in 2024 to 38 in 2025, signaling a shift where the primary market is purging excess while the secondary market is identifying valuable opportunities [4] - The average age of companies going public in 2025 is 16.5 years, highlighting that only those with extensive industry experience and stable supply chains are able to secure IPOs [4][5] Group 2 - Investment is increasingly directed towards companies with high barriers to entry and essential needs, such as hard-tech consumer products, rather than purely marketing-driven DTC brands [5] - The pet industry is emerging as a significant sector, attracting investment in areas like pet CT and vaccine development, indicating a shift in consumer spending patterns [5] - Global expansion is a key trend, with 20% of funded projects having international attributes, emphasizing the importance of leveraging China's supply chain advantages in global markets [5][6] Group 3 - The current market environment favors companies with factories, technology, and overseas channels, which are considered scarce assets [6] - The era of relying on capital to sustain operations is over, and a focus on profitability from day one is essential for survival [5][6] - The lengthy wait for IPOs has filtered out truly valuable companies, marking a transition to an era that rewards craftsmanship, scientific innovation, and long-term thinking [7]
从巨星科技,看中国企业出海韧性
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-07 10:07
1月5日晚间,巨星科技(002444.SZ)发布《2025年度业绩预告》,公司预计全年实现扣非归母净利润23.09 ~ 26.54亿元,同比增长0.20% ~ 15.20%。单独拆 分第四季度来看,2025Q4实现扣非归母净利润约2.74 ~ 6.19亿元(对比2024Q4约3.71亿元),同比增长 -26.15% ~ 66.84%。 取业绩预告的区间中位数后,2025Q4巨星科技实现扣非归母净利润约4.47亿元,同比增长约20.35%,相比于2025Q1 ~ Q3各季度的业绩增速7.17%、 2.14%、7.59%,出现二阶导数大于零的加速增长趋势。 | 项 目 | | 本会计年度 | | | 上年同期 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 归属于上市公司股东 | | 241, 880. 55 | 2 | 276, 434. 91 | 230. 362. 43 | | 的净利润 | 比上年同期增长 | 5.00% | | 20.00% | | | 扣除非经常性损益后 | | 230, 880. 55 | ~ | 265, 434. 91 | 230. 410. ...
沪指13连阳创历史,业内人士:在向更均衡的全面牛市演进
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-07 00:56
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has set two historical records on January 6, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4083.67 points, marking a nearly ten-year high, and achieving a record 13 consecutive trading days of gains, breaking a 33-year-old record [1][3][19]. Market Performance - On January 6, all three major A-share indices rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 1.50%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 1.4%, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.75% [3][19]. - The market volume reached 2.83 trillion yuan, indicating strong buying enthusiasm among investors [2][17]. - The brain-computer interface sector saw a surge, with nearly 20 stocks hitting the daily limit, while the commercial aerospace sector also performed well, with several stocks reaching their daily limit [3][19]. Fund Inflows - The main driving force behind the current market rally is the continuous inflow of funds from insurance, financing, and foreign investments [2][18]. - As of January 5, 2026, the financing balance reached 2.54 trillion yuan, a historical high, while insurance funds allocated to stocks and funds increased by 1.49 trillion yuan since the beginning of the year [8][23]. - The market anticipates significant inflows from financial institutions due to the "opening red" effect, with a large amount of new premium funds available for market allocation [6][22]. Sector Performance - On January 6, sectors such as non-ferrous metals, non-bank financials, basic chemicals, and defense industries led the market [4][20]. - The Wenke Brain-Computer Interface Theme Index surged by 12.97%, while the Commercial Aerospace Theme Index rose by 9.49% over the first two trading days of 2026 [3][19]. Investment Strategies - Institutions recommend a balanced allocation strategy in response to the market's historic performance, focusing on sectors such as AI, resilient external demand, domestic consumption, and high dividend stocks [11][27]. - The "dumbbell strategy" is suggested, emphasizing technology growth sectors like AI and semiconductors for offensive positions, while defensive positions should focus on cyclical assets like non-ferrous metals and chemicals [27][29]. - Investors are advised to avoid short-term speculation and focus on long-term industry directions and value from dividend assets [29].
全国互联网百强,广州六成上榜企业被一个区“承包”
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2026-01-06 13:18
这两天,一份榜单的发布,让天河区再次成为焦点。 报告通过企业规模、盈利能力、创新能力、成长性、风险防控与社会责任等六大维度、二十类指标的系 统评估,逐年遴选百家领先企业,刻画行业演进轨迹,树立创新实践标杆。 仔细看这份榜单,天河上榜企业中,一个鲜明的特征呼之欲出:出海。 上榜的钛动科技和汇量科技,都是服务中国企业出海的标杆。它们不是简单的"卖货",而是为品牌提供 从营销、技术到运营的全链路数字化基建。 钛动科技作为扎根天河的国家级高新技术企业与专精特新企业,依托区域完备的产业生态与创新政策, 已快速成长为服务超10万家出海企业的领先数字增长平台。 中国互联网协会公布2025年互联网企业百强榜。广州表现亮眼,共有8家企业上榜,其中5家都来自天河 区,占比高达62.5%。 这五家上榜企业个个实力不俗:钛动科技、库洛科技、趣丸科技、汇量科技、荔枝集团。它们横跨 AI、数字内容、游戏、音频社交、数字贸易等多个最火的赛道,勾勒出天河数字经济多元且厚积薄发 的生态全景。 为什么是天河?这份榜单背后,其实藏着两条清晰的产业线,勾勒出一幅以数字驱动高质量发展的区域 创新图景。 出海"天团",天河造 这份《中国互联网企业综合实 ...
兴业证券:95%个股仍待新高 市场或存在结构性机会
智通财经网· 2026-01-06 12:43
Core Viewpoint - As of January 6, 95% of individual stocks have not broken their previous highs, despite major indices reaching new highs, indicating potential structural opportunities in the market [1][2]. Group 1: Market Overview - Major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index, All A-shares, CSI 300, and CSI 800 have all reached new highs, but only 5% of individual stocks have surpassed their previous highs [2]. - The previous high for individual stocks is defined as the highest closing price from September 24, 2024, to December 31, 2025, with most stocks still down by over 10% from these highs [2]. Group 2: Sector Performance - The sectors that have broken through previous highs are concentrated in a few segments, particularly in large financials represented by insurance, and sectors benefiting from price increases such as non-ferrous metals, chemicals, petrochemicals, and construction materials [1][5]. - Other sectors that have seen new highs include military, machinery, and home appliance components driven by commercial aerospace and robotics [1][5]. Group 3: Sectors Near Previous Highs - Sectors that have not yet broken their previous highs but are close include technology growth (commercial vehicles, semiconductors, communication equipment), cyclical industries (steel raw materials, renovation materials), and consumer sectors (animal health, textiles, agriculture) [10]. - Industries with significant gaps to their previous highs include technology growth (motors, software, batteries, photovoltaics), dividend sectors (electricity, white goods, banks), and consumer sectors (food and beverage, social services, retail) [13].
兴证策略张启尧团队:95%个股仍待新高
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-06 12:26
炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 来源:尧望后势 截至1月6日,上证指数、全A、沪深300、中证800等主要指数均创新高,但从个股维度来看,仍有95% 的个股未破前高。我们将个股的前高定义为2024/9/24至2025/12/31期间的最高收盘价,按照1月6日的最 新收盘价来看,当前仅有5%的个股突破前高,大部分个股距离前高的跌幅仍在10%以上。 上述现象背后,反映的是去年12月中旬以来市场涨幅结构相对集中的特征。去年12月中旬以来,指数整 体虽然实现"连阳",但更多由少数板块上涨带动,近期保险等权重大涨也为指数新高做了不少贡献。从 当前已经突破新高的行业可以看到,主要集中在少数细分板块以及权重板块,包括保险为代表的大金融 权重,以及"涨价链"带动的部分有色、化工、石油石化、建材相关细分板块,和商业航天、机器人、出 海等带动的军工、机械、家电零部件等。 从已破前高的个股分布来看,主要集中在:有色(小金属、工业金属、能源金属等)、军工(航天航空 装备、军工电子)、非银(保险)、钢铁(冶钢原料、特钢)、石油石化(炼化及贸易)、化工(农化 制品、化学纤维)、AI算力(通信设备 ...
对话周其仁:AI替代不了“你真正的喜欢”
虎嗅APP· 2026-01-06 09:13
以下文章来源于中国企业家杂志 ,作者梁宵 中国企业家杂志 . 讲好企业家故事,弘扬企业家精神 本文来自微信公众号: 中国企业家杂志 ,编辑:米娜,作者:梁宵 企业家问路在哪里?他只会给出三个字——"看着办"。 即便没有亲身感受过北京大学国家发展研究院教授(以下简称"北大国发院")周其仁的课堂,在两个 小时的采访中也不难发现,这位以犀利、敢言风格著称的经济学家,在研究、治学中特有的敏锐,以 及风趣: 从他的口中,不会听到艰深晦涩的概念和理论,都是具体而微的企业实践;对于"泛泛的宏观"、貌似 普遍的提法,他总是很警惕,"人云亦云一番,毫无意义";他还经常"反客为主",从受访者转变为提 问者,一个追问接着一个,直到答案已在来来回回间跃然而出;最好,对方意见相左,比起自说自 话,他显然更喜欢在"观点的自由市场"中辩出一个所以然——"来,斗。"他甚至鼓励争论继续。 据说很多学生毕业后还很怀念"周老师的午餐"——每周六中午课后,周其仁会邀请一些善于提问的学 生边吃边聊,可以想象得到,那是怎样一场高能的"头脑风暴"。 同是北大国发院经济学教授的汪丁丁对其尤为赞佩,"他的洞察力跟别人很不一样,他能够把细节抓 住,而且他抓住细 ...
金鹰基金杨晓斌:关注科技变革、出海优势、供给受限三大主线
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-06 02:19
专题:2026年度投资策略|顶级基金公司、基金经理展望马年投资机会 经历了过去半年市场的上涨,去年年底时段A股在3900点附近高位震荡,出现了明显的主题轮动和阶段 性畏高情绪,尽管股市短期滞涨,但来自国内外的不确定性因素自去年四季度以来都有所下降,我们认 为A股市场在2026年或依然大有可为。 放眼历史和全球股市,目前A股的估值尚处在历史中枢下方,国际比较下A股的"估值洼地"优势较为突 出。虽然2025年A股表现较好,但整体上看股市走得非常理性,更多体现了对过去几年过度悲观预期的 修复,这种修复只在局部景气上行的成长和周期行业当中,而非全部行业,因此我们不认为股市目前存 在系统性高估风险。 随着后续我们看到更多行业基本面见底,或有更多行业和个股出现估值修复,因此,站在2026年初的时 点,我们倾向认为A股市场的慢牛或还处在上半场。在地产逐步出清的大背景下,A股将是未来居民最 重要的可配置资产,在这个过程中我们会逐步见证股市波动率下降(吸引更多老百姓长期配置)和宏观 基本面见底(推动A股的戴维斯双击逐步兑现)。不仅仅是实际GDP,名义GDP以及上市公司利润增速 在2026年都大概率会经历前低后高的过程,这也意味 ...