Report Industry Investment Rating - The report gives a short - term investment rating of "oscillating and slightly bullish" for the coke industry [1][2][3] Core Viewpoints - The overall supply - demand situation of coke is weak, with continuous increase in supply and low - level operation of iron - water production on the demand side. However, short - term anti - involution news boosts market sentiment, and there are still policy expectations at the macro level. Therefore, it is expected that coke will oscillate and be slightly bullish in the short term [2] Summary by Related Catalogs Market Analysis - As of December 26, independent coking enterprises' coke inventory increased slightly by 1.25% to 92.24 tons, steel mills' coke inventory increased by 1.34% to 642.2 tons, port coke inventory increased by nearly 2%, and the comprehensive coke inventory increased by 14.36 tons to 978.64 tons, reaching a 12 - week high with a year - on - year increase of 4.7% [1] - The average profit of 30 independent coking plants nationwide is - 18 yuan/ton; the average profit of quasi - first - grade coke in Shanxi is - 3 yuan/ton, in Shandong is 27 yuan/ton, in Inner Mongolia's second - grade coke is - 64 yuan/ton, and in Hebei's quasi - first - grade coke is 35 yuan/ton [1] - The terminal demand for steel is weak, mainly for rigid - demand restocking; the profitability of 247 steel mills increased by 1.3 percentage points to 37.23%, and the daily average pig iron output increased by 0.03 tons to 226.58 tons compared with last week, ending the previous five - consecutive - decline, and decreased by 1.29 tons compared with last year [1] - Steel and coking enterprises are cautious in purchasing upstream coking coal. Independent coking enterprises' inventory increased slightly by 3.43 tons to 1039.72 tons, steel mills' coking coal inventory increased slightly by 1.73 tons to 806.72 tons. While coal mines' coking coal inventory increased by 10.1 tons, port imported coking coal inventory increased by 23.09 tons. Therefore, the comprehensive coking coal inventory increased by 1.47% to 2647.24 tons, reaching a nearly 7 - month high, with a year - on - year decline of nearly 14% [2] - The market supervision总局 has deployed key tasks for 2026, emphasizing continuous deepening of fair - competition governance, strengthening the crackdown on administrative monopolies, and anti - monopoly and anti - unfair - competition law enforcement. Some steel mills in Hebei have lowered the price of wet - quenched coke by 50 yuan/ton and dry - quenched coke by 55 yuan/ton, starting from 0:00 on January 1, 2026, and the fourth round of coke price reduction has begun [2] Futures and Spot Market - On the futures side, the 05 coke contract opened at 1680.5, reached a high of 1735, and closed at 1715, with an increase of 198 lots. It is expected to oscillate and be slightly bullish in the short term, and attention should be paid to the support at the intraday low and the pressure of the 40 - day moving average [3] - In the spot market, the port spot market is stable. The ex - warehouse price of quasi - first - grade metallurgical coke at Rizhao Port is 1450. The trading atmosphere in the spot market is average, and the inventory at the two ports has increased slightly compared with the previous trading day [4]

Global Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 25,635, down 0.71% for the day but up 27.79% year-to-date [1] - The S&P 500 Index in the US closed at 6,906, down 0.35% for the day and up 17.41% year-to-date [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index showed a slight increase of 0.04% to close at 3,965, with a year-to-date increase of 18.30% [1] Hong Kong Stock Performance - The Hang Seng Financial Index closed at 49,089, down 0.36% for the day, with a year-to-date increase of 39.71% [2] - The Hang Seng Real Estate Index decreased by 1.45% to 17,628, with a year-to-date increase of 18.21% [2] - The Hang Seng Utilities Index closed at 38,202, down 0.71% for the day, with a year-to-date increase of 7.12% [2] Chinese Market Dynamics - Southbound capital recorded a net sell-off of 3.414 billion HKD, with major sell-offs in China Mobile, Alibaba, and Zijin Mining [3] - The A-share market saw declines in non-ferrous metals, utilities, and power equipment, while oil, defense, and banking sectors performed well [3] - The Chinese market regulatory authority announced plans to strengthen antitrust enforcement by 2026, targeting "involution" competition [3] US Market Insights - The US stock market experienced declines, particularly in materials, consumer discretionary, and financial sectors, while energy, real estate, and utilities outperformed [3] - Tesla faced significant setbacks due to delays in the Cybertruck project and a drastic reduction in battery material supply contracts, leading to a decline in its stock [3] - A Bloomberg survey indicated that institutional views on the S&P 500 for 2026 remain optimistic, with an average predicted increase of 9% [3] Debt and Credit Market Trends - US Treasury yields slightly decreased due to a rise in risk-averse demand [3] - Private credit assets in the US recorded their worst performance since 2020, with the Cliffwater BDC Index down approximately 6.6% year-to-date [3] - The demand for housing improved as the November pending home sales index rose by 3.3% month-on-month and 2.6% year-on-year, marking the highest level since February 2023 [3]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The precious metals market experienced a significant decline on Monday, with silver prices first surging and then plummeting, dragging down other precious metals. The domestic precious metals market also saw sharp drops [9]. - China will be the first economy to pay interest on central bank digital currency, and the new - generation digital RMB system will be launched on January 1, 2026 [9]. - The Chinese People's Liberation Army Eastern Theater Command organized military exercises, and the State Council Tariff Commission announced the 2026 tariff adjustment plan [10]. - The market regulatory总局 deployed key tasks for 2026 and introduced new regulations on food production supervision [11]. - In the futures market, different varieties showed various trends. Some agricultural products and energy - chemical products had price fluctuations, and the stock index futures and options market also had its own characteristics [6][13][18]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Chemical Industry - On December 30, 2025, among chemical products, the prices of coking coal, coke, asphalt, methanol, etc. rose, while the prices of natural rubber, 20 - number rubber, etc. fell. For example, coking coal rose 20.50 to 1,108.50, with a 1.884% increase; natural rubber fell 65.0 to 15,600.00, with a - 0.415% decrease [6]. 2. Agricultural Products - On December 29, 2025, the prices of some agricultural products showed different trends. Sugar prices were in a low - level range, with cost support but limited upside due to supply pressure. Corn prices rebounded, and peanuts were under pressure below 8000 yuan. The pig market showed signs of stabilization, and the egg market had a strong price - increase expectation. Cotton prices had a short - term correction after rising, but the fundamentals remained strong [13]. 3. Energy - Chemical Products - For caustic soda, the market is expected to continue its weak trend due to supply - demand contradictions. Coking coal and coke markets are in a weak and volatile state. Log prices are in a narrow - range shock, and pulp prices have a greater downward risk. Double - offset paper prices have broken through the previous resistance level, and copper and aluminum prices continue to run at a high level. Alumina is in an oversupply situation, and steel prices are in a range - bound state. Ferroalloys are currently treated with a bullish short - term view, and lithium carbonate prices have reversed their previous upward trend [14][15][16]. 4. Option Finance - On December 29, 2025, the three major A - share indexes showed different trends, with more stocks falling than rising. The trading volume exceeded 2 trillion for two consecutive days. The stock index futures and options market had different performance in terms of positions, spreads, and implied volatility. The short - term market may fluctuate, and investors are advised to pay attention to the trading rhythm and moderately increase positions on dips [18][19][20].

Market Performance - On December 29, 2025, the A-share market showed mixed results with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3965.28 points, up 0.04%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.49% to 13537.10 points, and the ChiNext Index dropped 0.66% to 3222.61 points. Over 3300 stocks declined, with total trading volume at 2.14 trillion yuan, a decrease of 20.8 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] - The Hong Kong stock market opened higher but closed lower, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.71% to 25635.23 points, and a total trading volume of 224.5 billion HKD. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index fell 0.26% to 8891.71 points, and the Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 0.3% to 5483.01 points [1] - In the US market, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.61% to 47716.42 points, the S&P 500 increased by 0.54% to 6849.09 points, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.65% to 23365.69 points [1] New Stock Listings - Three new stocks were listed today with no new stock subscriptions. - Strong One Co., Ltd. (stock code 688809) listed at 85.09 yuan per share with a price-to-earnings ratio of 48.55. The company specializes in advanced integrated circuit wafer testing probe cards and provides semiconductor testing solutions globally [2] - Yufan Technology (stock code 001396) listed at 22.29 yuan per share with a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.77. The company focuses on underground pipeline management and operation, addressing urban flooding and water pollution issues [2] - Shuangxin Environmental Protection (stock code 001369) listed at 6.85 yuan per share with a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.19. The company is involved in the research, production, and sales of polyvinyl alcohol and related products [3] Regulatory News - The State Administration for Market Regulation outlined key tasks for 2026, emphasizing the need to strengthen antitrust and unfair competition enforcement, improve market entry and exit systems, and enhance the protection of intellectual property and trade secrets. The focus will also be on regulating platform economies and ensuring compliance with platform rules [4] Fiscal Data - From January to November, state-owned enterprises reported total operating revenue of 756257.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.0%. However, profits decreased by 3.1% to 37194.5 billion yuan during the same period [6][7]

Market Data - As of December 29, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.04% to 3965.28 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.49% to 13537.1 points and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.66% to 3222.61 points [1] - In the U.S. market, all three major indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones down by 0.51%, the Nasdaq down by 0.5%, and the S&P 500 down by 0.35% [1] - International oil prices increased, with light crude oil futures for February 2026 rising by $1.34 to $58.08 per barrel (up 2.36%) and Brent crude oil futures for February rising by $1.30 to $61.94 per barrel (up 2.14%) [1] Economic News - The State Council Tariff Commission announced a tariff adjustment plan effective January 1, 2026, which includes a temporary import tariff rate lower than the most-favored-nation rate for 935 items to enhance the linkage between domestic and international markets [2] - From January to November 2025, state-owned enterprises in China reported a total operating revenue of 7,562.576 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.0%, while total profits decreased by 3.1% to 371.945 billion yuan [2] - The asset-liability ratio of state-owned enterprises was reported at 65.2% as of the end of November, an increase of 0.3 percentage points year-on-year [2] Regulatory Developments - The State Administration for Market Regulation has set key tasks for 2026, focusing on fair competition governance, breaking administrative monopolies, and enhancing the quality of business entities [3] - The Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration announced new tax deduction rules for advertising and business promotion expenses, effective from January 1, 2026, allowing certain companies to deduct up to 30% of their annual sales revenue [3] - A new regulation on food entrusted production management will take effect on December 1, 2026, aimed at clarifying responsibilities and preventing food safety risks [4] Corporate Developments - The restructuring plan for 38 companies under Suning Electric Group has been approved, with total debts amounting to 238.73 billion yuan, including 18.807 billion yuan of confirmed debts [6] - Airbus secured a significant order from domestic airlines for 55 A320 series aircraft, with a catalog price exceeding $8.2 billion, to be delivered between 2028 and 2032 [6]

Group 1 - The National Market Regulation Administration (NMR) introduced the "Credit Repair Management Measures" to establish a more scientific and complete credit repair mechanism [1] - The NMR released the "Enforcement Guidelines for Commercial Bank Charging Behavior" to standardize bank charging practices and reduce corporate financing costs [1] - New regulations on "Live E-commerce Supervision Management Measures" and "Network Trading Platform Rules Supervision Management Measures" are expected to be introduced soon to ensure orderly development [1] Group 2 - The NMR is working on the "Antitrust Compliance Guidelines for Internet Platforms" and has completed public consultation, focusing on three key areas: policy delivery, listening to enterprises, and strict enforcement against monopolistic behaviors [2] - The NMR plans to introduce a second batch of penalty exemption lists, adding three categories of first violations and four categories of minor violations that will not incur penalties [3] - The criteria for "first violation" and "minor violation" are clearly defined, emphasizing that "no penalty" does not equate to "no oversight" [3] Group 3 - Starting from October 1, the NMR launched a cross-provincial enterprise migration data transmission system, which simplifies the migration process through three main reductions: reducing the need for physical travel, reducing required documentation from 32 to 8 items (a 75% reduction), and reducing the number of processing steps [4] - The new system allows for seamless data sharing and processing, enabling businesses to complete migration in a more efficient manner [4]

Core Viewpoint - The National Market Regulation Administration's recent approval of a joint venture between Chile's National Copper Corporation and Chile's Chemical Mining Company is a significant practice in antitrust review within key mineral resources, positively impacting the development of a healthy and orderly new energy industry ecosystem [1]. Group 1: Joint Venture Approval - In May 2024, Chile's National Copper Corporation and Chile's Chemical Mining Company signed an agreement to form a joint venture for the development of lithium resources in the Atacama Salt Flat [2]. - The joint venture could potentially negatively impact China's carbonated lithium import market due to the change from competition to cooperation between the two companies, which may alter the competitive landscape and enhance market control [2]. - The National Market Regulation Administration approved the joint venture with additional restrictive conditions to ensure fair supply and timely communication of significant information, balancing the prevention of monopoly risks with the promotion of industry development [2]. Group 2: Upcoming Regulations - The National Market Regulation Administration plans to introduce new regulations, including the "Live E-commerce Supervision Management Measures" and "Network Trading Platform Rules Supervision Management Measures," to standardize platform economy [3]. - New regulations aimed at strengthening food safety, such as the "Food Commission Production Supervision Management Measures" and "Food Sales Chain Enterprises' Implementation of Food Safety Main Responsibility Supervision Regulations," are set to be released [3]. - The administration will also publish revised regulations to enhance antitrust and anti-unfair competition efforts, creating a fairer and more transparent development environment for various business entities [3].

Core Points - The State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR) is set to launch several important initiatives, including the "Artificial Intelligence National Standard Construction Special Action" in collaboration with relevant departments [1] - SAMR plans to introduce two new regulations: the "Live E-commerce Supervision Management Measures" and the "Network Transaction Platform Rules Supervision Management Measures" to ensure orderly development and regulatory compliance in the platform economy [1] - To enhance food safety, SAMR will release two new systems: the "Food Commissioned Production Supervision Management Measures" and the "Food Sales Chain Enterprises Implementing Food Safety Main Responsibility Supervision Management Regulations" [1] - SAMR aims to strengthen anti-monopoly and anti-unfair competition efforts by announcing revised "Prohibition of Monopoly Agreements Regulations" and introducing "Regulations on Stopping the Abuse of Administrative Power to Exclude or Restrict Competition" [1] - To improve the quality and safety supervision of fiber products, SAMR will publish revised "Fiber Product Quality Supervision Management Measures" to better align with industry development and regulatory needs [1]

Core Viewpoint - The National Market Supervision Administration (NMSA) is focusing on enhancing the regulatory environment and responding to public expectations through a series of new regulations and standards aimed at various sectors, including finance, food safety, and technology [1][2]. Group 1: Regulatory Developments - The NMSA has introduced the "Credit Repair Management Measures" to establish a more scientific credit repair mechanism [1]. - A "Guideline for Enforcement of Commercial Bank Charging Behavior" has been released to standardize bank fees and reduce financing costs for enterprises [1]. - The NMSA has published 38 international standards related to key sectors such as 5G, semiconductors, new energy, and aerospace in the fourth quarter alone [1]. Group 2: Upcoming Regulations - New regulations, including the "Live E-commerce Supervision Management Measures" and "Network Trading Platform Rules Supervision Management Measures," are set to be introduced to regulate the platform economy [2]. - Two new systems, "Supervision Management Measures for Food Commissioned Production" and "Supervision Management Regulations for Food Safety Responsibilities of Chain Enterprises," will be released to strengthen food safety [2]. - The NMSA plans to announce revised "Prohibition of Monopoly Agreement Regulations" and introduce "Regulations to Stop Abuse of Administrative Power to Exclude or Restrict Competition" to create a fairer and more transparent business environment [2].

Core Viewpoint - A series of new regulations will be implemented to enhance the supervision of platform economy and ensure food safety, as well as to strengthen anti-monopoly and fair competition practices in the market [1]. Group 1: Platform Economy Regulations - Two new regulations, the "Live E-commerce Supervision Management Measures" and the "Network Trading Platform Rules Supervision Management Measures," will be introduced to provide a more structured regulatory framework for the platform economy [1]. Group 2: Food Safety Regulations - Two new systems, the "Food Commissioned Production Supervision Management Measures" and the "Food Sales Chain Enterprises Implementing Food Safety Main Responsibility Supervision Regulations," are set to be released to enhance food safety oversight [1]. Group 3: Anti-Monopoly and Competition Regulations - The revised "Prohibition of Monopoly Agreements Regulations" will be published, along with the introduction of the "Regulations on Stopping the Abuse of Administrative Power to Exclude or Restrict Competition," aimed at strengthening anti-monopoly and unfair competition efforts [1]. Group 4: Fiber Product Quality Regulations - The revised "Fiber Product Quality Supervision Management Measures" will be released to better align with industry development and regulatory needs, ensuring the quality and safety of fiber products [1].