有色套利早报 研究中心有色团队 2026/01/26 铜：跨市套利跟踪 2026/01/26 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 100680 12859 7.78 三月 101540 12926 7.84 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 7.89 -590.48 现货出口 -176.73 锌：跨市套利跟踪 2026/01/26 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 24620 3206 7.68 三月 24640 3239 5.30 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.32 -2044.55 铝：跨市套利跟踪 2026/01/26 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 24110 3142 7.67 三月 24340 3146 7.73 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.31 -2017.82 镍：跨市套利跟踪 2026/01/26 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 144550 18492 7.82 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 7.99 -1277.12 铅：跨市套利跟踪 2026/01/26 免责声明: 以上内容所依据的信息均来源于交易所、媒体及资讯公司等发布的公开资料或通过合法授权渠道向发布人取得的资讯，我们力求分析及建议内 容 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core View - The report presents the cross - market, cross - period, and cross - variety arbitrage tracking data of non - ferrous metals including copper, zinc, aluminum, nickel, and lead on January 23, 2026, including domestic and LME prices, price ratios, equilibrium price ratios, and profit data [1][3][5] Summary by Directory Cross - Market Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: On January 23, 2026, the domestic spot price was 100110, the LME spot price was 12762, with a ratio of 7.89; the domestic three - month price was 100900, the LME three - month price was 12845, with a ratio of 7.83. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 7.90, with a profit of - 498.98, and the profit for spot export was - 159.97 [1] - **Zinc**: The domestic spot price was 24300, the LME spot price was 3163, with a ratio of 7.68; the domestic three - month price was 24445, the LME three - month price was 3200, with a ratio of 5.34. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.33, with a profit of - 2042.42 [1] - **Aluminum**: The domestic spot price was 23740, the LME spot price was 3110, with a ratio of 7.63; the domestic three - month price was 24100, the LME three - month price was 3129, with a ratio of 7.65. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.32, with a profit of - 2153.83 [1] - **Nickel**: The domestic spot price was 140200, the LME spot price was 17829, with a ratio of 7.86. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.00, with a profit of 427.18 [1] - **Lead**: The domestic spot price was 16900, the LME spot price was 1987, with a ratio of 8.51; the domestic three - month price was 17185, the LME three - month price was 2032, with a ratio of 11.95. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.55, with a profit of - 86.18 [3] Cross - Period Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads of the next - month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts relative to the spot month were - 350, - 150, 70, and 50 respectively, while the theoretical spreads were 607, 1113, 1627, and 2141 [3] - **Zinc**: The spreads were 95, 140, 175, and 180 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 225, 355, 486, and 616 [3] - **Aluminum**: The spreads were - 30, 15, 55, and 75 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 231, 364, 496, and 629 [3] - **Lead**: The spreads were 80, 125, 165, and 195 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 210, 317, 423, and 529 [3] - **Nickel**: The spreads were - 320, - 140, 100, and 140 respectively [3] - **Tin**: The 5 - 1 spread was 3280, and the theoretical spread was 8334 [3] Spot - Futures Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads of the current - month and next - month contracts relative to the spot were 1020 and 670 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 632 and 1133 [3] - **Zinc**: The spreads were 5 and 100 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 188 and 329 [3] - **Lead**: The spreads were 160 and 240 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 182 and 295 [3] Cross - Variety Arbitrage Tracking - The cross - variety ratios of copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, and lead/zinc in Shanghai (three - continuous contracts) were 4.13, 4.19, 5.87, 0.99, 1.40, and 0.70 respectively; in London (three - continuous contracts) were 3.97, 4.07, 6.31, 0.98, 1.55, and 0.63 respectively [5]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core View of the Report - The report presents the arbitrage data of various futures varieties on January 23, 2026, including basis, inter - period spreads, and inter - variety spreads for different commodities such as thermal coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures [1][5][21][27][36][48] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Thermal Coal - Basis data from January 16 to January 22, 2026, shows a continuous decline from - 106 to - 116 yuan/ton. The inter - period spreads (5 - 1, 9 - 1, 9 - 5) remain at 4.0, 0.0, 0.0 respectively during this period [2] 3.2 Energy Chemicals 3.2.1 Energy Commodities - Basis data of fuel oil, INE crude oil, and crude oil/asphalt from January 16 to January 22, 2026, are presented, along with their price ratios and other data. For example, on January 22, 2026, the basis of INE crude oil is - 1.74 yuan/ton [7] 3.2.2 Chemical Commodities - Inter - period spreads of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol are provided. For example, the 5 - 1 inter - period spread of rubber is - 645 yuan/ton. Inter - variety spreads such as LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, etc., are also given, with the LLDPE - PVC spread being 1953 yuan/ton on January 22, 2026. Basis data of these chemical commodities from January 16 to January 22, 2026, are presented [9][10] 3.3 Black Metals - Inter - period spreads of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are shown. For example, the 5 - 1 inter - period spread of rebar is - 70 yuan/ton. Inter - variety spreads like rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, etc., are also provided, with the rebar/iron ore ratio being 3.98 on January 22, 2026. Basis data of these black metals from January 16 to January 22, 2026, are presented [20][21] 3.4 Non - Ferrous Metals 3.4.1 Domestic Market - Domestic basis data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from January 16 to January 22, 2026, are presented. For example, the basis of copper is - 690 yuan/ton on January 22, 2026 [28] 3.4.2 London Market - LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit/loss data of LME non - ferrous metals (copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, tin) on January 22, 2026, are provided. For example, the LME spread of copper is (82.84) and the import profit/loss is (143.21) [32] 3.5 Agricultural Products - Basis data of soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, and corn from January 16 to January 22, 2026, are presented. Inter - period spreads of various agricultural products and inter - variety spreads such as soybeans No.1/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, etc., are also provided. For example, the basis of soybeans No.1 is - 167 yuan/ton on January 22, 2026 [36] 3.6 Stock Index Futures - Basis data of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from January 16 to January 22, 2026, are presented. Inter - period spreads (next month - current month, next quarter - current quarter) of these stock index futures are also provided. For example, the basis of CSI 300 is 21.95 on January 22, 2026 [48]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - Not provided in the content Summary by Directory I. Thermal Coal - **Base Price Data**: From January 15 to January 21, 2026, the base price of thermal coal showed a continuous decline, starting from -100.40 yuan/ton on January 15 and dropping to -115.40 yuan/ton on January 21 [2]. II. Energy and Chemical Industry - **Energy Commodities**: - **Base Price**: For fuel oil, crude oil, and asphalt, the base prices on January 21 were 62.33, -0.58, and 64.30 yuan/ton respectively [7]. - **Price Ratio**: The price ratio of crude oil to asphalt was 0.1395 on January 21 [7]. - **Chemical Commodities**: - **Inter - period Spread**: The inter - period spreads (5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 5 - month) for rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol were provided. For example, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread for rubber was - 680 yuan/ton [9]. - **Inter - variety Spread**: The inter - variety spreads (LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, PP - 3 * methanol) were given for different dates from January 15 to January 21, 2026. For instance, on January 21, LLDPE - PVC was 1896 yuan/ton [9]. - **Base Price**: The base prices of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, and PP from January 15 to January 21, 2026 were presented. For example, the base price of rubber on January 21 was - 345 yuan/ton [10]. III. Black Metals - **Inter - period Spread**: The inter - period spreads (5 - month minus 1 - month, 9(10) - month minus 1 - month, 9(10) - month minus 5 - month) for rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal were provided. For example, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread for rebar was - 780.30 yuan/ton [19]. - **Inter - variety Spread**: The inter - variety spreads (rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, rebar - hot rolled coil) were given for different dates from January 15 to January 21, 2026. For instance, on January 21, rebar/iron ore was 3.96 [19]. - **Base Price**: The base prices of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from January 15 to January 21, 2026 were presented. For example, the base price of rebar on January 21 was 143.0 yuan/ton [20]. IV. Non - ferrous Metals - **Domestic Market**: The domestic base prices of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from January 15 to January 21, 2026 were provided. For example, the base price of copper on January 21 was - 1270 yuan/ton [28]. - **London Market**: The LME premium/discount, Shanghai - London ratio, CIF price, domestic spot price, and import profit/loss of LME non - ferrous metals (copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, tin) on January 21 were given. For example, the LME premium/discount of copper was (29.11), and the Shanghai - London ratio was 7.83 [31]. V. Agricultural Products - **Base Price**: The base prices of soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, and corn from January 15 to January 21, 2026 were presented. For example, the base price of soybeans No.1 on January 21 was - 152 yuan/ton [37]. - **Inter - period Spread**: The inter - period spreads (5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 5 - month) for soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, palm oil, corn, sugar, and cotton were provided. For example, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread for soybeans No.1 was - 41 yuan/ton [37]. - **Inter - variety Spread**: The inter - variety spreads (soybeans No.1/corn, soybeans No.2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, soybean meal - rapeseed meal, soybean oil - palm oil, rapeseed oil - soybean oil, corn - corn starch) were given for different dates from January 15 to January 21, 2026. For instance, on January 21, soybeans No.1/corn was 1.89 [37]. VI. Stock Index Futures - **Base Price**: The base prices of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from January 15 to January 21, 2026 were provided. For example, the base price of CSI 300 on January 21 was 0.27 [49]. - **Inter - period Spread**: The inter - period spreads (next month - current month, next quarter - current quarter) for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 were given. For example, for CSI 300, the next - month minus current - month spread was - 57.4 [51].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core View of the Report The report presents a daily summary of futures arbitrage data for various commodities on January 21, 2026, including power coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures, covering aspects such as basis, inter - period spreads, and inter - commodity spreads. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Power Coal - Basis data from January 14 - 20, 2026, shows a change from - 100 yuan/ton to - 112 yuan/ton [1][2] 3.2 Energy and Chemicals - **Energy Commodities**: Basis data for fuel oil, crude oil, and asphalt from January 14 - 20, 2026, with values like 0.1410, - 0.58, etc. [7] - **Chemical Commodities**: - Basis: Data for rubber, methanol, PTA, etc., on different dates from January 14 - 20, 2026, e.g., rubber basis changed from - 310 yuan/ton to - 320 yuan/ton [9] - Inter - period spreads: For 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, and 9 - month minus 5 - month of rubber, methanol, etc. For example, rubber's 5 - month minus 1 - month is - 645 yuan/ton [10] - Inter - commodity spreads: Spreads like LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP on different dates from January 14 - 20, 2026 [10] 3.3 Black Metals - Basis: Data for rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from January 14 - 20, 2026, e.g., rebar basis on January 20 is 159.0 yuan/ton [20] - Inter - period spreads: For rebar, iron ore, etc., including 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month (10) minus 1 - month, and 9 - month (10) minus 5 - month [19] - Inter - commodity spreads: Spreads like rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke on different dates from January 14 - 20, 2026 [19] 3.4 Non - ferrous Metals - **Domestic Market**: Basis data for copper, aluminum, zinc, etc., from January 14 - 20, 2026, e.g., copper basis on January 20 is - 740 yuan/ton [27] - **London Market**: LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss for copper, aluminum, etc., on January 20, 2026 [31] 3.5 Agricultural Products - Basis: Data for soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, etc., from January 14 - 20, 2026, e.g., soybeans No.1 basis on January 20 is - 178 yuan/ton [35] - Inter - period spreads: For soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, etc., including 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, and 9 - month minus 5 - month [35] - Inter - commodity spreads: Spreads like soybeans No.1/corn, soybeans No.2/corn on different dates from January 14 - 20, 2026 [35] 3.6 Stock Index Futures - Basis: Data for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from January 14 - 20, 2026, e.g., CSI 300 basis on January 20 is 10.28 [46] - Inter - period spreads: For CSI 300, SSE 50, etc., including next - month minus current - month, next - quarter minus current - quarter [48]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core View of the Report The report presents the arbitrage data of various futures varieties on January 19, 2026, including basis, inter - period spreads, and inter - commodity spreads for power coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures. 3. Summary by Directory Power Coal - Basis data from January 12 - 16, 2026, shows values ranging from - 106 to - 100 yuan/ton, with 5 - 1, 9 - 1, and 9 - 5 spreads all at 0 [1][2] Energy and Chemicals Energy Commodities - Basis data for fuel oil, INE crude oil, and crude oil/asphalt from January 12 - 16, 2026, is presented, with values such as - 13.39, - 7.53, etc. for different dates [7] Chemical Commodities - Inter - period spreads for rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol are provided, e.g., 5 - 1 spread for rubber is - 480 yuan/ton [9] - Inter - commodity spreads like LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, etc. are given for January 12 - 16, 2026 [9] - Basis data for rubber, methanol, etc. from January 12 - 16, 2026, is presented [10] Black Metals - Inter - period spreads for rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are shown, e.g., 5 - 1 spread for rebar is - 73 yuan/ton [19] - Inter - commodity spreads such as rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, etc. are provided for January 12 - 16, 2026 [19] - Basis data for rebar, iron ore, etc. from January 12 - 16, 2026, is presented [20] Non - Ferrous Metals Domestic Market - Domestic basis data for copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from January 12 - 16, 2026, is presented, with values like 360 yuan/ton for copper on January 16 [29] London Market - LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit/loss for copper, aluminum, etc. on January 16, 2026, are provided [32] Agricultural Products - Basis data for soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, etc. from January 12 - 16, 2026, is presented [38] - Inter - period spreads for soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, etc. are given, e.g., 5 - 1 spread for soybeans No.1 is 78 yuan/ton [38] - Inter - commodity spreads such as soybeans No.1/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, etc. for January 12 - 16, 2026, are provided [38] Stock Index Futures - Basis data for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from January 12 - 16, 2026, is presented [50] - Inter - period spreads for CSI 300, SSE 50, etc. are given, e.g., next - month - current - month spread for CSI 300 is - 40.6 [50]

Report Summary 1. Overall Investment Outlook - In the first half of 2026, PX is expected to be the strongest product in the polyester industry chain [15] 2. Core Views - PX: After a negative feedback cycle, PX processing fees have reached a reasonable level, and the pressure on short - selling has eased. Attention should be paid to the 3 - 5 positive spread and the strategy of going long on PX and short on PTA [3] - PTA: It is expected to enter a pattern of declining demand. The downside space for the unilateral price is limited, and attention should be paid to the position of narrowing the processing fees [4] - MEG: In the medium - term, it will be in a volatile market with limited downside space. Attention should be paid to the possibility of the basis and spread increasing [5] 3. Summary by Product PX - **Valuation and Profit** - The PXN spread is at $326/ton (-$18), and the PX - MX spread is $145/ton. The internal - external spread arbitrage space has narrowed, and the 3 - 5 spread has rebounded from the bottom [3][23] - The gasoline inventory has been rising, the aromatics blending oil demand is weak, and the aromatics blending oil economy has declined [32][41] - **Supply and Inventory** - Domestic PX production is at a high level, with an operating rate of 89.4% (-1.5%). Overseas, the Asian overall load is 80.6% (-0.6%). The import volume in the first quarter is expected to increase [3][63] - In December, the PX inventory was 445 million tons (+6) [90] PTA - **Valuation and Profit** - The basis and spread have been declining. The PTA processing fee has increased, with the 05 - contract processing fee at 335 yuan/ton (+20) and the spot processing fee at 378 yuan/ton (+59) [96][104] - **Supply and Inventory** - The PTA operating rate is 76.9% (-1.1%). In November, the PTA export was 360,000 tons, with significant increases in Egypt, Oman, and India [108][112] - The total inventory is at a low level, but the inventory accumulation in February is expected to be significant [127] MEG - **Valuation and Profit** - The unilateral price has rebounded from the bottom, but the spread structure is still weak. The relative valuation has been decreasing [150][155] - The coal - based device profit is - 295 yuan/ton (-34), and the oil - based device continues to be in a loss situation [157] - **Supply and Inventory** - The MEG operating rate is 74.4%. The coal - based load is at a high level, and the import volume in 1 - 2 months is expected to decrease [5][160] - The port inventory is at a high level [172] Polyester - **Production and Inventory** - The polyester operating rate is 88.8% (-2%). The inventory has increased slightly, but the pressure is not significant [179][187] - **Export and Profit** - From January to November, the total polyester export was 13.3 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 14.7%. The long - filament factory's loss has been repaired, and the profits of short - fiber and bottle - chip are acceptable [191][193] Terminal (Weaving and Textile) - **Domestic Market** - The domestic textile and clothing retail sales from January to November were 1359.7 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.5% [223] - The weaving industry has a poor new order atmosphere, but there are sporadic improvements in some markets. The domestic demand orders are weakening, and the raw material inventory is increasing [215][219] - **Overseas Market** - The overseas textile and clothing retail data in the US and Europe are strongly rising. The US clothing and fabric inventory has decreased slightly month - on - month [233][239]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The geopolitical situation in Iran has eased, the upward trend of oil prices has slowed down, and the focus will return to the fundamentals of pure benzene and styrene [3]. - The fundamentals of pure benzene have improved, with downstream开工率 bottoming out and rebounding. However, the port inventory is still at a historical high, and the sustainability of the improvement in downstream开工率 needs to be monitored [3]. - For styrene, the port inventory is still being depleted, the recovery rate of styrene开工率 is slow, and the downstream开工率 has increased, with the inventory pressure of ABS gradually alleviating [3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs I. Pure Benzene and EB's Basis Structure, Inter - Period Spreads - Figures include pure benzene's main basis and main futures contract price, main contract basis, spot - M2 paper cargo spread, and the spread between the first - and third - month contracts; also styrene's main basis and main contract, EB main contract basis, and the spread between the first - and third - month contracts [8][12][17] II. Pure Benzene and Styrene Production Profits, Domestic - Foreign Spreads - Figures cover naphtha processing fee, the difference between pure benzene FOB Korea and naphtha CFR Japan, styrene non - integrated device production profit, and various spreads and profits related to pure benzene and styrene in different regions [19][22][29] III. Pure Benzene and Styrene Inventory, Operating Rates - Figures show pure benzene's East China port inventory and operating rate, and styrene's East China port inventory, commercial inventory, factory inventory, and operating rate [35][38][40] IV. Styrene Downstream Operating Rates and Production Profits - Figures display the operating rates and production profits of EPS, PS, and ABS [49][51][53] V. Pure Benzene Downstream Operating Rates and Production Profits - Figures present the operating rates and production profits of caprolactam, phenol - acetone, aniline, adipic acid, and other downstream products of pure benzene [59][61][70] 4. Strategy - Unilateral: Cautiously go long and hedge EB2602 and BZ2603 at low prices [4] - Basis and inter - period: No strategy [4] - Cross - variety: No strategy [4]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View The report presents the daily arbitrage data of various futures varieties on January 16, 2026, including basis, inter - period spreads, and inter - commodity spreads for different sectors such as power coal, energy and chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures. 3. Summary by Directory Power Coal - Basis data from January 9 to January 15, 2026, shows that the basis was - 102 yuan/ton on January 9, - 101 yuan/ton on January 12, and - 100 yuan/ton from January 13 to January 15. The 5 - 1 spread, 9 - 1 spread, and 9 - 5 spread remain at 0 [1][2]. Energy and Chemicals Energy Commodities - Basis data for fuel oil, crude oil, and asphalt from January 9 to January 15, 2026, and related ratio data such as price ratios are provided. For example, the basis of INE crude oil was - 3.18 yuan/ton on January 15 [7]. Chemical Commodities - Basis data for rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, and PP from January 9 to January 15, 2026. For example, the basis of rubber was - 345 yuan/ton on January 15 [9]. - Inter - period spreads for rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol. For example, the 5 - 1 spread of rubber was - 390 yuan/ton [10]. - Inter - commodity spreads for LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3 * methanol from January 9 to January 15, 2026. For example, the LLDPE - PVC spread was 1939 yuan/ton on January 15 [10]. Black Metals - Basis data for rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from January 9 to January 15, 2026. For example, the basis of rebar was 110 yuan/ton on January 15 [20]. - Inter - period spreads for rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal. For example, the 5 - 1 spread of rebar was - 40 yuan/ton [19]. - Inter - commodity spreads for rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, and rebar - hot - rolled coil from January 9 to January 15, 2026. For example, the rebar/iron ore ratio was 3.87 on January 15 [19]. Non - Ferrous Metals Domestic Market - Domestic basis data for copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from January 9 to January 15, 2026. For example, the basis of copper was - 360 yuan/ton on January 15 [28]. London Market - LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss data for copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin on January 15, 2026. For example, the LME spread of copper was 37.60 on January 15 [31]. Agricultural Products - Basis data for soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, and corn from January 9 to January 15, 2026. For example, the basis of soybeans No.1 was - 253 yuan/ton on January 15 [36]. - Inter - period spreads for soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, palm oil, corn, sugar, and cotton. For example, the 5 - 1 spread of soybeans No.1 was - 10 yuan/ton [36]. - Inter - commodity spreads for soybeans No.1/corn, soybeans No.2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, soybean meal - rapeseed meal, soybean oil - palm oil, rapeseed oil - soybean oil, and corn - corn starch on January 15, 2026. For example, the soybeans No.1/corn ratio was 1.89 on January 15 [36]. Stock Index Futures - Basis data for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from January 9 to January 15, 2026. For example, the basis of CSI 300 was 4.83 on January 15 [47]. - Inter - period spreads for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000. For example, the next - month - current - month spread of CSI 300 was - 6.0 [49].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The report presents cross - market, cross - period, spot - futures, and cross - variety arbitrage tracking data for non - ferrous metals including copper, zinc, aluminum, nickel, and lead on January 14, 2026 [1][3][4] Summary by Related Catalogs Cross - market Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: On January 14, 2026, the domestic spot price was 102,680, the LME spot price was 13,158, and the spot price ratio was 7.85; the domestic three - month price was 102,480, the LME three - month price was 13,068, and the three - month price ratio was 7.85. The equilibrium price ratio for spot imports was 7.92 [1] - **Zinc**: On January 14, 2026, the domestic spot price was 24,330, the LME spot price was not provided; the domestic three - month price was 24,280, the LME three - month price was 3,204, and the three - month price ratio was 5.41 [1] - **Aluminum**: On January 14, 2026, the domestic spot price was 24,300, the LME spot price was not provided; the domestic three - month price was 24,375, the LME three - month price was 3,165, and the three - month price ratio was 7.74 [1] - **Nickel**: On January 14, 2026, the domestic spot price was 139,850, the LME spot price was not provided. The profit for spot imports was 1,072.78 [1] - **Lead**: On January 14, 2026, the domestic spot price was 17,200, the LME spot price was 2,010, and the spot price ratio was 8.54; the domestic three - month price was 17,360, the LME three - month price was 2,054, and the three - month price ratio was 11.81. The profit for spot imports was 18.63, and the equilibrium price ratio for spot imports was 8.53 [3] Cross - period Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: On January 14, 2026, the spreads between the next month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts and the spot month were - 1140, - 950, - 800, and - 720 respectively, while the theoretical spreads were 619, 1136, 1662, and 2189 respectively [4] - **Zinc**: On January 14, 2026, the spreads between the next month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts and the spot month were 105, 150, 185, and 200 respectively, while the theoretical spreads were 224, 353, 483, and 613 respectively [4] - **Aluminum**: On January 14, 2026, the spreads between the next month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts and the spot month were - 260, - 190, - 145, and - 100 respectively, while the theoretical spreads were 234, 369, 503, and 638 respectively [4] - **Lead**: On January 14, 2026, the spreads between the next month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts and the spot month were - 95, - 45, 0, and 25 respectively, while the theoretical spreads were 212, 320, 428, and 536 respectively [4] - **Nickel**: On January 14, 2026, the spreads between the next month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts and the spot month were - 3350, - 3160, - 2820, and - 2530 respectively [4] - **Tin**: On January 14, 2026, the spread between the 5 - month and 1 - month contracts was - 2000, and the theoretical spread was 7802 [4] Spot - futures Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: On January 14, 2026, the spreads between the current - month and next - month contracts and the spot were 965 and - 175 respectively, while the theoretical spreads were 219 and 619 respectively [4] - **Zinc**: On January 14, 2026, the spreads between the current - month and next - month contracts and the spot were - 200 and - 95 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 61 and 202 (also mentioned as 119 and 225) respectively [4][5] - **Lead**: On January 14, 2026, the spreads between the current - month and next - month contracts and the spot were 205 and 110 respectively, while the theoretical spreads were 110 and 224 respectively [5] Cross - variety Arbitrage Tracking - On January 14, 2026, the ratios of copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, and lead/zinc for the Shanghai (triple - continuous) contracts were 4.22, 4.20, 5.90, 1.00, 1.40, and 0.71 respectively; the ratios for the London (triple - continuous) contracts of copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, and copper/lead were 4.11, 4.12, and 6.39 respectively [5]