Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Leap Motor (9863.HK) and raises the target price to HKD 83.0, indicating a potential upside of 22% from the current price of HKD 68.15 [2][4]. Core Insights - Leap Motor's sales and net profit guidance for the year exceed expectations, with a target of 580,000 to 650,000 vehicles for 2025. The company anticipates significant growth in both domestic and overseas markets, supported by new model launches and partnerships [8]. - The gross margin is expected to improve, with a forecasted annual gross margin of 14%-15% for the year, driven by increased sales volume and better product mix [8]. - The valuation methodology used is a sum-of-the-parts approach, applying a price-to-sales ratio of 1.6x for 2025 sales, leading to the target price of HKD 83.0 [8]. Financial Performance and Forecast - For Q2 2025, Leap Motor reported revenue of RMB 14.23 billion, a year-on-year increase of 166% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 42%. The gross margin was 13.6%, up 10.8 percentage points year-on-year [12]. - The company achieved a net profit of RMB 163 million in Q2 2025, marking a return to profitability after a loss in the previous quarter [12]. - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 show significant growth, with expected revenues of RMB 16.75 billion in 2023, increasing to RMB 108.44 billion by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate [3][9]. Valuation and Market Position - The current market capitalization of Leap Motor is approximately HKD 91.11 billion, with an average trading volume of HKD 472.2 million over the past three months [4]. - The report highlights that Leap Motor's current price-to-sales ratio is 1.1x, suggesting potential for revaluation as the company continues to grow [8]. - The financial forecasts indicate a steady improvement in profitability, with net losses expected to turn into profits by 2025, projecting a net profit of RMB 634 million [3][9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5] Core Views - The company is experiencing a transition driven by high-end products, which is expected to enhance profitability significantly [5] - The company has implemented a dual upgrade strategy focusing on products and customers to meet the demands of emerging industries such as new energy vehicles and AI [5] - The company is expanding its international presence and green transformation initiatives, with overseas revenue increasing by 21.86% [5] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to grow from 110,500 million in 2023 to 153,585 million by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 7.1% [4][6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rise from 527 million in 2023 to 1,186 million by 2027, reflecting a significant growth rate of 53.9% in 2025 [4][6] - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase from 0.31 in 2023 to 0.80 in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios decreasing from 35.2 to 15.7 [4][6] Operational Highlights - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 592.94 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.46%, and a net profit of 3.73 billion, up 203.86% [5] - The company has successfully entered the supply chains of major clients such as BYD, Geely, and CATL, particularly in the high-demand new energy vehicle sector [5] - The production of copper-based products and rare earth permanent magnets has shown significant growth, with the latter achieving a revenue increase of 37.76% [5] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on the AI computing industry, particularly in data center cooling solutions, with a 72% increase in sales of copper cooling products [5] - The company is enhancing its overseas production capabilities, with projects in Thailand and Vietnam progressing well [5] - The sales of recycled copper products have increased by 61%, aligning with global trends towards sustainable sourcing [5]

Group 1: Automotive Sales and Market Trends - In the first half of 2025, only 30.3% of dealers met their sales targets, with 29.0% of dealers achieving less than 70% of their targets, and 40.7% achieving between 70% and 100% [1] - In July, wholesale sales of passenger cars reached a historical high of 2.22 million units, a year-on-year increase of 13%, while the cumulative wholesale from January to July was 15.5 million units, up 12.4% year-on-year [1] - The wholesale performance of domestic car manufacturers showed a strong year-on-year growth of 20%, while mainstream joint venture brands grew by 7%, and luxury car sales declined by 16% [1] Group 2: New Product Launches and Strategic Moves - Tesla announced the upcoming launch of the Model Y L [2] - Xiaopeng Motors secured a credit line of 10 billion yuan from CITIC Bank to support its business operations and development [3] - NIO plans to enter the Singapore, Uzbekistan, and Costa Rica markets between 2025 and 2026, with a collaboration in Singapore to launch a right-hand drive model [4] Group 3: Industry Collaborations and Innovations - BYD's brand and public relations manager emphasized the importance of healthy competition in the automotive industry to foster progress [5] - Audi's first strategic electric model, the Audi E5 Sportback, was officially pre-sold starting at 235,900 yuan [5] - SAIC-GM signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Momenta to enhance their smart driving capabilities [6] Group 4: Market Dynamics and Challenges - A logistics company jointly owned by Toyota, FAW, and GAC has been deregistered, indicating potential shifts in operational strategies [7] - Global sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) reached 4.868 million units in Q2 2025, marking a 30% year-on-year increase, with electric vehicles accounting for 29% of total global car sales [7] - Tesla is offering significant rental discounts to UK car rental companies in response to declining sales, with July sales dropping by approximately 60% year-on-year [7]

Core Viewpoint - Kaidi Co., Ltd. reported a stock price of 57.26 yuan on August 18, with a decrease of 0.55 yuan, representing a decline of 0.95% [1] Company Overview - The company specializes in the research, development, production, and sales of linear drive systems, with applications in smart home, medical care, and smart office sectors [1] - As a listed company in Jiangsu, its business spans multiple concept areas including new energy vehicles and smart home technologies [1] Financial Performance - On August 18, the trading volume was 0.99 billion yuan, with a turnover rate of 2.47%, and a total market capitalization of 4.047 billion yuan [1] Corporate Actions - On the evening of August 18, the company announced that its fourth board of directors' third meeting approved several resolutions, including changes to the company's registered capital and amendments to business registration [1] Capital Flow - On August 18, the net inflow of main funds was 3.115 million yuan, accounting for 0.08% of the circulating market value; over the past five days, the cumulative net inflow was 1.0016 million yuan, representing 0.02% of the circulating market value [1]

长江期货股份有限公司交易咨询业务资格：鄂证监期货字[2014]1号 【产业服务总部|有色中心】 研究员：汪国栋 执业编号：F03101701 投资咨询号：Z0021167 咨询电话：027-65777106 资深研究员：李 旎 执业编号：F3085657 投资咨询号: Z0017083 碳酸锂周报 2025/8/18 01 周度观点 l 供需状况： 从供应端来看，宁德枧下窝矿山确认停产3个月，中信国安超采被要求停产，7月国内碳酸锂产量环比增加5.8%，6月锂精矿进口 量环比减少5%，6月锂盐进口环比减少16%，预计后续南美锂盐进口量将对供应形成补充。从需求端来看，储能终端需求较好，8月 大型电芯厂排产环比增加7%。宜春和青海地区生产企业均收到矿权转让重审的通知，矿证风险持续存在，供应受到影响，利润修复 背景下矿石提锂持续增产，成本中枢上移。电池厂长协客供比例提高，预计短期碳酸锂价格具有支撑。下游排产超预期，当前矿端减 产情况对整体供应影响频发，下游采购碳酸锂相对谨慎，预计价格延续强势局面，建议谨慎交易，建议持续关注上游企业减产情况和 正极材料厂排产情况。 资料来源：IFIND、SMM、百川盈孚、长江期货有色产 ...

Core Insights - Longhua Automobile received a net financing inflow of 56.51 million yuan last week, ranking 186th in the market [1] - The company had a total financing purchase of 267 million yuan and repayment of 210 million yuan during the same period [1] Company Overview - Longhua Automobile Co., Ltd. was established in 2001 and is located in Baoding City, primarily engaged in the automotive manufacturing industry [1] - The registered and paid-in capital of the company is 848,655.9123 million yuan [1] - The legal representative of the company is Wei Jianjun [1] Investment and Business Activities - Longhua Automobile has invested in 75 external enterprises and participated in 2,584 bidding projects [1] - The company holds 5,000 trademark registrations and 5,000 patent registrations, along with 639 administrative licenses [1] Financial Flow and Market Performance - Over the past 5 days, the main capital inflow for Longhua Automobile was 30.63 million yuan, with a price increase of 0.96% [1] - Over the past 10 days, the main capital inflow was 41.99 million yuan, with a price increase of 0.86% [1] Conceptual Segments - Longhua Automobile is associated with various sectors including automotive manufacturing, new energy vehicles, hydrogen energy, and artificial intelligence [1]

Core Viewpoint - Yutong Bus has seen a net financing inflow of 33.34 million yuan in the last week, ranking 306th in the market, indicating a moderate level of investor interest [1] Financing Data - The total financing amount for Yutong Bus last week was 95.36 million yuan, while the repayment amount was 62.02 million yuan [1] - Over the past 5 days, the main capital outflow was 517.65 thousand yuan, with a decline of 0.29% [1] - Over the past 10 days, the main capital outflow reached 6.62 million yuan, with a decline of 1.79% [1] Company Overview - Yutong Bus Co., Ltd. was established in 1997 and is located in Zhengzhou, primarily engaged in the automotive manufacturing industry [1] - The company has a registered capital of 2.21 billion yuan and a paid-in capital of 12.5 million yuan [1] - The legal representative of the company is Li Panpan [1] Investment and Intellectual Property - Yutong Bus has invested in 67 companies and participated in 5,000 bidding projects [1] - The company holds 587 trademark registrations and 4,733 patents, along with 920 administrative licenses [1]

Core Viewpoint - The financing activities and market performance of Ruishun Technology indicate a mixed sentiment among investors, with notable inflows and outflows in recent weeks [1] Financing Activities - Ruishun Technology recorded a net financing inflow of 17.05 million yuan last week, ranking 473rd in the market [1] - The total financing amount for the week was 79.53 million yuan, while repayments amounted to 62.48 million yuan [1] Market Performance - Over the past 5 days, the main capital outflow from Ruishun Technology was 42.15 million yuan, with a price drop of 6.79% [1] - In the last 10 days, the total capital outflow reached 96.06 million yuan, with a price decline of 6.62% [1] Company Overview - Guangzhou Ruishun Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. was established in 2012 and is located in Guangzhou, primarily engaged in the manufacturing of computers, communications, and other electronic devices [1] - The company has a registered capital of 1.22 billion yuan and a paid-in capital of 673.61 million yuan [1] - The legal representative of the company is Sun Zhiqiang [1] Investment and Intellectual Property - Ruishun Technology has invested in 7 companies and participated in 156 bidding projects [1] - The company holds 236 trademark registrations and 288 patents, along with 42 administrative licenses [1]

Core Viewpoint - Aikesaibo has seen a net financing inflow of 16.11 million RMB last week, ranking 495th in the market, with a total financing purchase of 90.83 million RMB and repayment of 74.72 million RMB [1] Financing and Investment Data - The company has a total registered capital of 115.39 million RMB and paid-in capital of 54.18 million RMB [1] - Over the past 5 days, the main capital outflow was 24.10 million RMB, with a decline of 2.98% [1] - Over the past 10 days, the main capital outflow was 22.17 million RMB, with a decline of 2.1% [1] Company Overview - Aikesaibo Electric Co., Ltd. was established in 1996 and is located in Xi'an, primarily engaged in the manufacturing of electrical machinery and equipment [1] - The company has made investments in 8 enterprises and participated in 662 bidding projects [1] - Aikesaibo holds 29 trademark registrations and 228 patents, along with 23 administrative licenses [1]

Group 1 - Jianghuai Automobile received a net financing inflow of 758 million RMB last week, ranking 4th in the two markets [1] - The total financing amount for Jianghuai Automobile last week was 2.176 billion RMB, with repayments amounting to 1.418 billion RMB [1] - The stock has seen a main capital inflow of 267 million RMB over the past 5 days, with a price increase of 2.37% [1] Group 2 - Over the past 10 days, the main capital outflow for Jianghuai Automobile was 1.117 billion RMB, resulting in a price decline of 4.25% [1] - Jianghuai Automobile Group was established in 1999 and is primarily engaged in the automotive manufacturing industry, located in Hefei [1] - The company has a registered capital of approximately 2.184 billion RMB and a paid-in capital of about 1.680 billion RMB [1] Group 3 - Jianghuai Automobile Group has made investments in 48 companies and participated in 5,000 bidding projects [1] - The company holds 946 trademark registrations and 5,000 patent registrations, along with 734 administrative licenses [1]