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挖潜经济的大招在哪?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-14 13:29
当然,潜能不会自己跳出来。改革才是总开关。破除市场分割、地方保护和"内卷式竞争,全国统一大市场跑顺了,优势才能变成动能。 故事的答案其实很清楚:潜能一直都在,关键在于持续激活。 ——在复杂局势中找到"好风口",把中国经济的潜能真正激活 但中央经济工作会议偏偏把它放在了C位,意思很直白:中国这台"超级引擎",远没到满转速。 一提"经济潜能",是不是听着有点虚? 潜能藏在哪?不在神秘公式里,而在几张"明牌"上。超大规模市场,让创新和消费都有天然试验场;完整产业体系,让新技术落地更快;超2亿技能人才, 是持续升级的硬核底座;再加上制度优势的统筹协调,这些都是可以持续深挖的"家底"。 怎么挖?会议给了清晰路线图。第一,内需主导。投资端,新型城镇化、绿色改造、公共服务补短板空间巨大;消费端,服务消费、品质消费、银发经济仍 在起跑线。关键不是"刺激",而是稳就业、增收入、优供给。第二,创新驱动。从"人工智能+"到新质生产力,既要突破关键技术,也要推动传统产业升 级,让科技真正变成增长发动机。 第三,协调发展。城镇化率每提高1个百分点,就能撬动万亿级投资和千亿级消费,城乡融合、城市群联动,本身就是潜 力放大器。 《挖潜经济 ...
第一个20万亿大省,呼之欲出
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-14 13:13
Core Viewpoint - Guangdong Province aims to achieve a GDP of over 25 trillion yuan by 2035, effectively doubling its current economic output and reaching the level of a moderately developed country in terms of per capita GDP [6][9][11]. Group 1: Economic Growth Targets - The "14th Five-Year Plan" suggests that Guangdong's GDP should reach approximately 25 trillion yuan by 2035, with a nominal annual growth rate of over 5% [6][11]. - As of 2022, Guangdong's GDP was around 13 trillion yuan, and it surpassed 14 trillion yuan in the previous year, maintaining its position as the top province in China for 36 consecutive years [8][11]. - The target of 22 trillion yuan by 2035 would require a lower annual growth rate of about 3.5% [11]. Group 2: Economic Structure and Key Cities - The economic structure of Guangdong is heavily concentrated in the Pearl River Delta, with nine cities contributing over 80% of the province's GDP [19]. - Major cities like Guangzhou, Shenzhen, and the newly recognized Huizhou are expected to play pivotal roles in driving economic growth, with Huizhou's GDP already exceeding 600 billion yuan [20]. - The province plans to enhance the roles of secondary cities and urban clusters, including Zhuhai, Shantou, and Zhanjiang, to support overall economic development [22]. Group 3: Regional Development Disparities - The economic disparity between the Pearl River Delta and the less developed regions of East and West Guangdong is significant, with the latter contributing only about 20% of the province's GDP despite covering over 70% of its area [28][29]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the need for coordinated development across the province, promoting industrial transfer and support for underdeveloped areas [30][31]. Group 4: High-Tech Industry Development - Guangdong aims to leverage national strategies to develop high-tech industries, focusing on sectors like new energy, aerospace, and advanced manufacturing [43][46]. - The province is home to nine trillion-yuan industrial clusters and has been recognized as the leading province in technological innovation for nine consecutive years [46][48]. - Guangdong's R&D expenditure is projected to reach approximately 509.96 billion yuan in 2024, with over 90% coming from enterprises, surpassing the total of 12 western provinces [48].
紧跟中央信号!中部多省密集部署
21世纪经济报道· 2025-12-14 10:56
"十四五"即将圆满收官、"十五五"正待开启序幕之际,中央经济工作会议于12月10日至11日在 北京举行。会议明确了2026年经济工作中的八大重点任务,包括坚持内需主导,建设强大国内 市场;坚持创新驱动,加紧培育壮大新动能等。 近日,中部地区湖北、河南、湖南、江西、山西等地均召开相关会议,深入学习贯彻中央经济 工作会议精神。梳理来看, 激发内需潜力、推动科技创新和产业创新深度融合、促进城乡融 合和区域协调发展等方面成为重点,中部省份将力争结合因地制宜的谋划布局,形成更多新增 长点。 围绕贯彻落实中央经济工作会议精神,各地的部署中释放出哪些重要信号? 持续激发内需潜力 记者丨 吴文汐 编辑丨李果 其中,培育服务消费新增长点将成为"十五五"时期的重点,这也与国家层面的导向相契合。 据东方金诚宏观首席分析师王青预计,明年财政促消费资金规模会从今年3000亿上调至5000 亿,支持范围有望从耐用消费品扩大到一般消费品及服务消费,其中服务消费将成为大力提振 消费的重点。 湖北在其"十五五"规划的建议中提出了,扩大服务消费,推动基础型生活服务品质提升,促进 大健康、新文旅、泛娱乐、智能化等改善型生活服务扩量提效;河南提出, ...
——基础化工行业周报(20251208-20251214):政策蓝图绘就,化工结构性机会浮现-20251214
EBSCN· 2025-12-14 08:29
2025 年 12 月 14 日 行业研究 政策蓝图绘就,化工结构性机会浮现 ——基础化工行业周报(20251208-20251214) 要点 政策协同发力稳中求进,内需创新引领经济高质量发展。2025 年中央经济工 作会议于 12 月 10 日至 11 日在北京举行,习近平总书记发表重要讲话,会 议肯定了党中央团结带领全国各族人民迎难而上,推动高质量发展取得新成 效,经济社会发展主要目标顺利完成。会议明确 2025 年八大重点任务:坚 持内需主导,建设强大国内市场;坚持创新驱动,加紧培育壮大新动能;坚 持改革攻坚,增强高质量发展动力活力;坚持对外开放,推动多领域合作共 赢;坚持协调发展,促进城乡融合和区域联动;坚持"双碳"引领,推动绿 色转型等等。2025 年经济工作以稳中求进为主线,聚焦内需、创新、改革、 开放、民生、风险六大领域,政策协同发力。 深化国有企业改革,持续看好"三桶油"。2025 年中央经济工作会议强调要 制定和实施进一步深化国资国企改革方案,完善民营经济促进法配套法规政 策。此前政府工作报告也指出,24 年我国坚定不移全面深化改革扩大开放, 增强发展内生动力,深化国有企业改革,持续优化国有 ...
2025年杰出口碑上市公司南山铝业:聚焦机器人高端铝材,精准锚定机器人产业发展机遇
Sou Hu Wang· 2025-12-14 08:21
Core Viewpoint - Nanshan Aluminum has been recognized for its outstanding operational performance and governance, winning two prestigious awards at the "2025 Capital Market Honor Ceremony," highlighting its leading position in the aluminum industry amid high-quality development trends [1] Industry Overview - China's aluminum industry has entered a phase of "stable total volume and optimized structure," playing a crucial role in the development of strategic emerging industries such as new energy and new-generation information technology [3] Company Development Strategy - The core development lines for Nanshan Aluminum are "innovation-driven" and "global layout," focusing on high-end aluminum processing technology and a globalized industrial chain to enhance its competitive edge [4] - The company has established a complete aluminum deep processing industrial chain domestically and has expanded its operations internationally, including a new aluminum deep processing chain in Indonesia since 2015 [4] Market Position and Product Development - Nanshan Aluminum is targeting high-end demands in the transportation sector, particularly in high-value products like aerospace and high-end automotive aluminum plates, leveraging its technological and production advantages [6] - The company has made significant breakthroughs in the aerospace materials sector, being the only domestic supplier of aluminum extrusion materials to major aviation companies like COMAC, Airbus, and Boeing [6] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, Nanshan Aluminum reported total revenue of 26.325 billion yuan and a net profit of 3.772 billion yuan, reflecting the effectiveness of its high-end and international strategies [8] Emerging Opportunities - The company is exploring opportunities in the rapidly growing robotics market, which is projected to reach a market size of over $150 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate exceeding 20% [9] - Nanshan Aluminum is actively developing materials for humanoid robots, capitalizing on its experience in aluminum alloys to meet the lightweight and high-performance demands of this emerging sector [9][10] Future Outlook - The robotics industry is seen as a new growth node for Nanshan Aluminum, with plans to strengthen its position through collaborations and customized solutions for core materials [10][12] - The company aims to leverage its existing customer base in the electric vehicle sector to explore synergies in the robotics business, creating a comprehensive supply system for global robotics companies [12]
中央经济工作会议定调后,这些中部省份锚定了哪些重点任务?
中央经济工作会议提出,坚持内需主导,建设强大国内市场。作为明年八项工作任务之首,这也意味着 2026年我国经济增长将更多依靠内需发力。 21世纪经济报道记者吴文汐 武汉报道 "十四五"即将圆满收官、"十五五"正待开启序幕之际,中央经济 工作会议于12月10日至11日在北京举行。会议明确了2026年经济工作中的八大重点任务,包括坚持内需 主导,建设强大国内市场;坚持创新驱动,加紧培育壮大新动能等。 近日,中部地区湖北、河南、湖南、江西、山西等地均召开相关会议,深入学习贯彻中央经济工作会议 精神。梳理来看,激发内需潜力、推动科技创新和产业创新深度融合、促进城乡融合和区域协调发展等 方面成为重点,中部省份将力争结合因地制宜的谋划布局,形成更多新增长点。 围绕贯彻落实中央经济工作会议精神,各地的部署中释放出哪些重要信号? 持续激发内需潜力 中部地区位居我国经济地理版图中承东启西、连南接北的关键位置,在建设强大的国内市场中具有不可 或缺的重要作用。 在各省近日召开的深入学习贯彻中央经济工作会议精神相关会议上,均对扩大内需作出相应部署,例 如,湖北提出,要坚定不移扩大消费和投资,持续激发内需潜力,以新需求引领新供给、以新 ...
80万亿行业机构 重磅发声!
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-12-14 06:22
为金融行业服务国家发展大局指明方向 中央经济工作会议对当前经济形势作出研判,同时用全新的"五个必须"总结了对做好新形势下经济工作 的新认识和体会。 易方达基金表示,中央经济工作会议全面总结了今年和"十四五"时期经济工作,深入分析了当前经济形 势,系统部署明年经济工作,提出了"引导金融机构加力支持扩大内需、科技创新、中小微企业等重点 领域"等要求,为公募基金行业指明了行动方向。 嘉实基金认为,中央经济工作会议为2026年经济工作举旗定向,明确了"稳中求进、提质增效"的总基调 和一系列重点任务。这不仅擘画出"十五五"开局之年的宏观经济发展路线,也为资本市场和公募基金行 业提供了新阶段服务实体经济与国家战略、满足居民财富管理需求的行动指南。 敦和资产管理有限公司总经理张志洲表示,2026年是"十五五"时期开篇布局之年,在此承前启后的重要 时刻,中央经济工作会议既考虑了2026年的短期经济社会发展,还统筹衔接未来五年的中期发展,为实 现下阶段发展目标的政策工具箱储备了充足的财政货币政策"弹药",以充分的政策储备推动经济社会发 展"稳中求进、提质增效"。 君联资本表示,中央经济工作会议强调,"坚持创新驱动,加紧培育壮大 ...
晶采观察丨180秒!从“五个必须”读懂明年经济怎么干
Yang Guang Wang· 2025-12-14 02:47
Core Insights - The central theme of the news is the strategic direction for China's economy in 2026, emphasizing the need to navigate complex domestic and international challenges while maintaining long-term growth potential [1][2]. Economic Situation Analysis - The meeting highlighted persistent old issues and new challenges in China's economic development, with deepening external environmental changes and prominent contradictions between strong supply and weak demand [1]. - The overall assessment indicates that despite these challenges, the fundamental conditions and trends supporting long-term economic growth remain unchanged [1]. Key Strategic Directions - The "Five Musts" are introduced as essential principles for economic work in 2026, which align with eight key tasks aimed at stimulating domestic demand and fostering innovation [2][3]. Must 1: Unlock Economic Potential - Emphasizes the importance of activating "incremental space" within the economy to create new opportunities and benefits, particularly through policies that support domestic demand and emerging industries [2]. Must 2: Policy Support and Reform Innovation - Highlights the dual approach of providing market support through subsidies and loans while fostering innovation to enhance product quality and affordability, particularly in sectors like new energy vehicles and smart home technology [2]. Must 3: Balance Between Flexibility and Regulation - Stresses the need for a dynamic market environment that encourages consumer choice while ensuring regulatory measures to maintain market order and prevent disruptions [2]. Must 4: Investment in Infrastructure and Human Capital - Advocates for increased investment in both physical infrastructure and human development, aiming to enhance living standards and educational equity, thereby boosting overall productivity [3]. Must 5: Strengthening Internal Capabilities - Focuses on the importance of solidifying domestic foundations and enhancing core competencies to effectively respond to external challenges, ensuring resilience in supply chains and industries [3]. Conclusion - The "Five Musts" are interconnected and aim to build confidence, leverage advantages, and address challenges, ultimately ensuring that economic growth benefits all citizens [3].
2025—2026中国经济年会在京召开
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-12-14 01:50
来自中央财办、国家发展改革委和有关部门的领导,专家学者、企业家、智库代表和媒体代表300余人参加了年 会。 与会嘉宾表示,今年是很不平凡的一年。我国经济顶压前行、向新向优发展,现代化产业体系建设持续推进,改 革开放迈出新步伐,重点领域风险化解取得积极进展,民生保障更加有力。过去5年,我们有效应对各种冲击挑 战,扎实推动高质量发展取得新突破,确保"十四五"圆满收官,第二个百年奋斗目标新征程实现良好开局。 与会嘉宾指出,明年经济工作在政策取向上,要坚持稳中求进、提质增效,发挥存量政策和增量政策集成效应, 加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度,提升宏观经济治理效能。继续实施更加积极的财政政策,保持必要的财政赤字、 债务总规模和支出总量,优化财政支出结构。继续实施适度宽松的货币政策,把促进经济稳定增长、物价合理回 升作为货币政策的重要考量。增强宏观政策取向一致性和有效性,健全预期管理机制,提振社会信心。 与会嘉宾强调,明年要坚持内需主导,建设强大国内市场;坚持创新驱动,加紧培育壮大新动能;坚持改革攻 坚,增强高质量发展动力活力;坚持对外开放,推动多领域合作共赢;坚持协调发展,促进城乡融合和区域联 动;坚持"双碳"引领,推动全面 ...
大家提前做好准备,2026年开始,没有意外的话,或将呈现7个趋势
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-14 01:31
Group 1 - The core economic growth target for next year is set at around 5%, focusing on employment and livelihood improvements, with a clear signal for more proactive fiscal policies and moderate monetary easing [1][3] - The emphasis on expanding domestic demand will drive consumption and investment as the main growth engines, with measures to enhance consumer spending and optimize investment structures [3][4] - The government plans to implement a more aggressive fiscal policy, with a projected deficit rate of approximately 4%-4.2% and an increase in special bond issuance to support infrastructure and social welfare [5][6] Group 2 - Innovation-driven actions will accelerate, with a focus on developing education and technology talent, and enhancing the role of enterprises in innovation [4][7] - Monetary policy is expected to be moderately eased, providing ample liquidity and lowering financing costs to support domestic demand and technological innovation [5][6] - High-level opening-up will be expanded, promoting foreign trade quality and efficiency, and increasing international job opportunities [6][7] Group 3 - The government aims to pragmatically address risks in key areas such as real estate and local government debt, with policies tailored to local conditions [6][7] - The transition from old to new growth drivers will be expedited, with a focus on service sector expansion and the integration of artificial intelligence [7][8] - The overall economic strategy is designed to ensure stability and growth, with a focus on policy implementation that directly benefits the public [8]