摘要5月5日，COMEX黄金库存录得1271.78吨，较上一交易日减持12.03吨；COMEX黄金周一（5月5 日）收报3343.50美元/盎司，上涨2.96%，comex黄金价格日内最高上探至3346.70美元/盎司，最低触及 3243.10美元... 【要闻回顾】 瑞士宝盛银行经济学家David Kohl表示，美国经济几乎没有显示出疲软的迹象。在4月份的非农就业报 告发布后，他表示："美国不稳定和限制性的经济政策，包括引入高关税，到目前为止还没有对劳动力 市场数据产生预期的负面影响。"这位经济学家指出，好于预期的新增就业人数和低失业率推动了私人 消费的持续强劲增长。Kohl补充说，数据非常稳固，预计美联储本周不会降息。Kohl说，美联储可能会 忽略调查指标的负面数据，等到经济数据显示疲软时再采取行动。 5月5日，COMEX黄金库存录得1271.78吨，较上一交易日减持12.03吨；COMEX黄金周一（5月5日）收 报3343.50美元/盎司，上涨2.96%，comex黄金价格日内最高上探至3346.70美元/盎司，最低触及3243.10 美元/盎司。 最新comex黄金库存数据： 日期 COMEX黄金库存 ...

Core Viewpoint - International gold prices are experiencing upward momentum, driven by a weaker dollar and increased demand for safe-haven assets, with significant fluctuations observed in recent trading sessions [4][5]. Group 1: Current Market Performance - As of May 6, international gold is trading at $3,356.65 per ounce, reflecting a 0.67% increase from the previous session [3]. - The trading session opened at $3,335.94 per ounce, with a high of $3,386.59 and a low of $3,323.14 [3][4]. Group 2: Recent Trends and Influences - On May 5, gold prices surged nearly 3%, closing at $3,333.73 per ounce, which is an increase of nearly $100 compared to the previous Friday's closing price [4]. - The market is currently awaiting the Federal Reserve's policy decision later this week, which may further influence gold prices [4]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - The gold market showed strong upward movement, with the price initially opening at $3,242.70, then experiencing a low of $3,237.10 before rallying to a high of $3,337.80 [5]. - The weekly chart indicates a bullish outlook, with the price recovering from previous losses and suggesting potential targets of $3,418, while support is seen at the 5-week moving average [6]. - The daily chart reflects increased bullish momentum, with expectations of further upward movement towards the $3,500 mark, contingent on maintaining support from short-term moving averages [6].

Fundamental Analysis - Trump's announcement of a 100% tariff on overseas film production has raised global trade war concerns, increasing market uncertainty and driving demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [3] - The U.S. services sector showed signs of recovery in April, with the non-manufacturing PMI rising from 50.8 in March to 51.6, indicating positive growth [3] - However, the index measuring corporate payment prices surged to its highest level in over two years, driven by tariff impacts, leading to increased inflationary pressures [3] - The market is closely watching the Federal Reserve's policy decision, with expectations that interest rates will remain unchanged at 4.25%-4.50% [3] - Due to the ongoing effects of Trump's tariff policy, market expectations for a rate cut in June have dropped to 37%, with major financial institutions like Goldman Sachs and Barclays pushing back their rate cut predictions to July [3] Technical Analysis - The gold market exhibited a clear shift in momentum last week, initially experiencing a consolidation phase before a downward trend took hold [5] - A significant bullish reversal occurred on Monday, with gold prices rising sharply and closing with a large bullish candle, indicating a potential shift back to a bullish market [5] - Current technical indicators suggest that if gold can maintain support above the moving averages, an upward trend may continue; otherwise, a new round of adjustments could occur [5] - Key resistance levels for gold are identified at 3353, 3370/3371, and 3386, while support levels are at 3305 and the critical zone of 3270-3260 [7][8]

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices are expected to trade in the range of $3200 to $3350 ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting, influenced by a weaker dollar and anticipation of trade policy clarity between the U.S. and its trading partners [1] Group 1 - Gold prices strengthened on Monday due to a softening dollar, as investors await clearer trade policies [1] - Tim Waterer, Chief Market Analyst at KCM Trade, indicated that gold prices may continue to fluctuate within the $3200 to $3350 range before the Federal Reserve meeting [1] - Any new developments regarding trade agreements could lead to increased volatility in gold prices [1]

| 期限品种 | 收益率% | 基点 | | --- | --- | --- | | US 1-MO | 4.311 | +0.004 A | | US 2-MO | 4.309 | +0.016 ▲ | | US 3-MO | 4.32 | +0.019 A | | US 4-MO | 4.337 | +0.027 A | | US 6-MO | 4.254 | +0.047 A | | US 1-YR | 4.013 | +0.08 A | | US 2-YR | 3.824 | +0.123 ▲ | | US 3-YR | 3.809 | +0.121 A | | US 5-YR | 3.917 | +0.104 A | | US 7-YR | 4.104 | +0.09 A | | US 10-YR | 4.308 | +0.077 ▲ | | US 20-YR | 4.806 | +0.054 A | | US 30-YR | 4.789 | +0.052 A | 新华财经北京5月3日电美国劳工统计局周五（2日）公布的美国4月非农就业报告好于预期，缓解了对经济衰退的担忧，投资者抛售美债转向股市，2年 ...

与其在繁杂的分析中徘徊，不如坚定跟随一位专业可靠的引路人。尽管市场变幻莫测，无人能承诺百分 百盈利，但我们拥有独家打造的入场、出场、风控三位一体平衡术。通过科学严谨的入场时机研判，让 你在最佳点位精准布局；凭借精准无误的出场策略，确保你及时落袋为安；再依托严密的风控体系，为 你的资金安全保驾护航。凭借这套完善的体系，实现稳定盈利并非遥不可及。只要坚持下去，积少成 多，财富增长的目标轻松可达。别再犹豫，选择我们，开启你的财富增值之旅。 近期有哪些消息面影响黄金原油走势？后市黄金多空该如何研判？ 换资前言： 一篇文章的触动，或许只是投资路上的短暂启发。但日复一日、精准无误的行情分析，才是你财富稳步 增长的核心秘诀。你在投资的茫茫信息海洋中，想必已浏览过无数分析，也见证过不少盈利案例，可为 何亏损仍如影随形？原因就在于，你习惯将众多观点综合考量后操作，然而金融市场本就是一场残酷的 博弈，遵循着多数人失败、少数人成功的铁律。过多观点的杂糅，往往让你陷入迷茫，错失最佳时机。 空单策略： 周五（5月2日），北京时间20:30，美国劳工统计局（BLS）公布了备受关注的4月非农就业报告，数据 显示美国经济新增就业17.7万人 ...

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The current gold price is around $3240.55 per ounce, reflecting a decline of approximately 0.4% [1] - Gold has experienced a downward trend, with a recent low of $3267.07, approaching a critical support level of $3260 [1] - Market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's policies are mixed, with weak U.S. economic data supporting rate cuts, while a rebound in the U.S. dollar index and Treasury yields is pressuring gold's safe-haven appeal [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - The daily chart indicates a bearish trend for gold, with a recent break below the support level of $3370, confirming a downward adjustment [2] - The MACD indicator shows a bearish crossover, suggesting further downside potential for gold prices [2] - The short-term trading strategy recommends focusing on short positions during any rebounds, particularly around the resistance levels of $3260-$3270 [4] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - Brent crude oil prices have dipped to $63.16, reflecting concerns over potential global economic recession due to unpredictable tariff strategies from the U.S. [5] - The uncertainty surrounding tariffs has disrupted global supply chains and affected investor confidence in long-term energy demand [5] - Current oil price trends indicate a downward trajectory, with expectations of further declines unless there are signs of trade resolution or demand recovery [6] Group 4: Technical Analysis of Oil - The daily chart shows a downward trend for oil prices, with a potential target of $50 following a recent low of $55.20 [6] - The short-term outlook remains bearish, with recommendations to focus on short positions during any price rebounds, particularly around resistance levels of $59.0-$60.0 [6]

Core Viewpoint - The significant fluctuations in the Japanese yen against the US dollar in April have drawn market attention, primarily influenced by the US government's trade policies and economic data, leading to a historical high in net long positions for the yen [1][3][8]. Exchange Rate Fluctuations - In April, the yen's exchange rate against the dollar fluctuated from approximately 149 yen to 139 yen, a movement of nearly 10 yen [1][8]. - As of May 1, the yen was trading around 143 yen to the dollar, showing a cautious market sentiment ahead of the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision [1]. Market Sentiment and Positioning - Leveraged funds and asset management firms have significantly increased their net long positions in the yen, reaching the highest level since data collection began in 1992 [1][3]. - As of April 22, speculative institutions held a net long position of approximately $157 billion in yen, marking a continuous increase over three weeks [3]. Impact of US Policies - The market is reacting to the US government's potential influence on the dollar's value, with concerns about the administration's desire to weaken the dollar [2][5]. - The US's announcement of high tariffs on trade partners has led to a temporary strengthening of the yen, which later reversed due to policy shifts from the Trump administration [6][8]. Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that while the yen has appreciated, the sustainability of this trend is uncertain, with potential volatility if the US reintroduces pressure on Japan regarding currency valuation [9][12]. - The current environment indicates a structural demand for selling yen, which could limit the currency's rebound potential [13].

金十数据5月1日讯，周四金价下跌至两周低点，因贸易紧张局势缓解的迹象增强了风险偏好，降低了黄 金的避险吸引力，同时美元走强也令金价承压。瑞银分析师Giovanni Staunovo表示，"市场仍对美国将 很快与其他国家签署较低关税协议抱有信心，这种乐观情绪加上美元走强，正对金价构成压力。"投资 者等待周五的非农就业报告，以进一步了解美联储的政策方向。Giovanni Staunovo表示，"就业报告疲 弱应会支持美联储今年进一步降息的呼声，并使金价在未来几个月回升至3500美元/盎司。" 瑞银：非农或是黄金重回3500的救命稻草 ...

在一周前，中国对黄金的需求似乎无穷无尽。由于诸如华安易富、博时以及国泰等中国黄金交易型开放式指数基金（ETF）出现惊人的资金流入等因素，现 货黄金价格上周短暂触及了3500美元的历史纪录。 然而，这场基于市场动能的淘金热潮来也匆匆，去也匆匆。高盛大宗商品交易员亚当・吉拉德（Adam Gillard）写道，中国投资者在劳动节假期前清算了上 周增加的黄金持仓，导致目前中国境内总持仓量较历史峰值回落5%。尽管中国在全球未平仓合约中的占比仍维持在40%的高位，但上行势头可能已暂时见 顶。 以下图表呈现了中国投资者"先抢购后抛售"黄金的情况。 上周二（4月22日），黄金创下历史最高纪录，中国投资者在上海黄金交易所（SGE）和上海期货交易所（SHFE）共增加了120万盎司的持仓量，交易量也 创下纪录。 而时间快进到今天，中国投资者在这两大交易所近乎创纪录地抛售100万盎司的黄金头寸，完全逆转了4月22日的买入热潮。不过，相关的黄金ETF的持仓量 基本没有变化。 目前中国的总持仓量较峰值下降约5%，纸黄金套利空间较高点缩水20美元/盎司。 吉拉德的观点证实了市场人士的一些观察，即近期黄金的价格波动都集中在中国市场开盘时段。 ...