央视网消息：中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行。会议明确提出，明年经济工作在政策取向上要坚持稳中求进、提质增效，提 质增效这一表述有何不同？来看专家解读。 招联首席研究员、上海金融与发展实验室副主任董希淼表示，这次会议强调"提质增效"。与以往相比，"质的有效提升""提质增效"等表述 凸显出在保持合理经济增速的同时，对发展质量和效益等方面的更高要求。2026年是"十五五"的开局之年，预计2026年宏观政策将更具前瞻 性，力求为未来五年奠定高质量发展基础。 中金首席宏观分析师张文朗称："在政策取向上，会议提出'提质增效'，我们认为这个要求的内涵是让财政、货币、产业等政策协同配 合，把传统工具和创新工具结合起来，把周期性政策和改革性政策结合起来，全方位地推动经济高质量增长。" 降准降息可期 资金流向实体经济"关键处" 中央经济工作会议提出，要继续实施适度宽松的货币政策，把促进经济稳定增长、物价合理回升作为货币政策的重要考量，同时，首次提 到要灵活高效运用降准降息等多种政策工具，这意味着2026货币政策操作将呈现何种变化？继续来看专家解读。 董希淼称："预计2026年存款利率和政策利率将进一步下降，贷款市 ...

会议特别强调"一体推进教育科技人才发展方案"，还点名打造京津冀、长三角、粤港澳三大国际科创中心。更值得关注的是，"人工智能 +"要"深化拓展"并"完善治理"——既要跑得快，也要跑得稳。 央视网消息：中央经济工作会议明确了明年经济工作的重点，更透露出不少新提法、新信号。来看总台央视记者王雷——财经老王带来的 解读。 先说财政政策。大家熟悉的育儿补贴、家电以旧换新、养老服务支持，背后都有财政"真金白银"的支撑。明年，我国将继续实施"更加积 极的财政政策"。跟去年的"提高赤字率、增加发行超长期特别国债"相比，今年变成了"保持必要的财政赤字、债务总规模和支出总量"。听着 是不是有点低调？其实不然。老王问了专家：2026年，国家要把每一分钱都用在刀刃上——该给养老的给养老，该补科技的补科技，该稳企业 的稳企业。说白了，财政要"提质增效"。 再看货币政策。会议强调要"加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度"。逆周期调节是通过降息、扩大财政支出等措施稳定经济；而跨周期调节则是 强调政策的连续性和可持续性。"逆周期+跨周期"意味着政策将从应急救火转向长期筑基，既要稳住当下，更要布局未来，提前五年甚至十年 布局，解决人口老龄化、产业升级等 ...

China: Central Economic Work Conference readout suggests modestly pro-growth policy stance 12 December 2025 | 2:22AM HKT Economics Research The annual Central Economic Work Conference (CEWC) was held on 10-11 December, chaired by President Xi. Policymakers reviewed economic work in 2025 and set the macro policy stance for 2026. In our view, the signals from CEWC appear modestly more pro-growth than the December Politburo meeting three days ago, as policymakers this time emphasized growth challenges, highlig ...

Core Viewpoint - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasizes the need for China to maintain a stable yet progressive economic approach, focusing on high-quality development and effective policy implementation as it transitions into the 15th Five-Year Plan [2][5][16]. Economic Context - The past five years have seen China effectively navigate various challenges, achieving significant accomplishments as it approaches the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan, setting a solid foundation for the 15th Five-Year Plan [4][15]. - Despite achievements, challenges remain, including external economic uncertainties and internal structural issues that need to be addressed for sustainable growth [4][15]. Policy Directions - The conference highlighted the importance of enhancing macroeconomic policy consistency and effectiveness, advocating for a combination of supportive policies and reform innovations [6][17]. - A more proactive fiscal policy is proposed, with a focus on maintaining necessary fiscal deficits and optimizing expenditure structures, while addressing local fiscal difficulties [6][17]. Key Tasks for 2026 - Eight key tasks were identified for the upcoming year, including: 1. Strengthening domestic demand and building a robust domestic market 2. Accelerating innovation to foster new growth drivers 3. Promoting reforms to enhance high-quality development 4. Expanding international cooperation 5. Coordinating urban-rural integration and regional development 6. Leading green transformation in line with carbon neutrality goals 7. Prioritizing public welfare and improving services for citizens 8. Safeguarding against risks in key sectors [7][18]. Focus on Consumption - Consumption is prioritized as a key component of domestic demand, with policies aimed at enhancing consumer capacity, expanding the supply of quality goods and services, and removing unreasonable restrictions in the consumption sector [8][19]. Innovation and Technology - Innovation is positioned as a core driver for high-quality development, with a focus on nurturing new industries and enhancing competitiveness through technological advancements [10][21]. - The conference calls for targeted development in key sectors such as artificial intelligence, digital trade, and green technologies to create a favorable policy environment for industry growth [9][20].

华福证券 策略点评 2025 年 12 月 12 日 锚定提质增效，聚力八大任务 事件： 12 月 10 日至 11 日，中央经济工作会议在北京举行。习近平总书记在重要讲话 中总结 2025 年经济工作，分析当前经济形势，部署 2026 年经济工作。 主要政策解读： （1）政策协同发力锚定提质增效核心。"逆周期调节"旨在熨平短期经济波 动，而"跨周期调节"则着眼于中长期的结构优化与风险防范。财政和货币 政策双宽松旨在有效对冲内需不足的压力，为"十五五"实现良好开局营造 充裕的流动性环境和需求支撑。 （2）八大重点任务攻坚，夯实高质量发展底盘。会议部署的八大重点任务构 建起全方位发展布局，既聚焦核心动力培育，也注重发展活力激发，更强化 底线思维落实，系统回应了当前经济的主要矛盾。会议将"坚持内需主导， 建设强大国内市场"置于首位，并提出了从需求端到供给端、从消费到投资 的一揽子具体措施，标志着扩内需战略从宏观定调进入精细化实施阶段。 "对内改革攻坚"破除体制机制障碍、"对外扩大开放"拓展发展空间，形 成内外协同、双向赋能的发展格局，为高质量发展注入持久动力。"协调发 展"和"双碳引领"两大重点任务的推进将共同指 ...

今日关注 申购提示：今日两只新股申购。 5．中国汽车工业协会12月11日发布的最新数据显示，11月份，我国汽车产销延续良好表现，生产供给 依然保持较快节奏，产销量环比、同比均实现增长。最新数据显示，11月份，我国汽车月度产量首次超 过350万辆，创历史新高。不仅如此，今年前11个月，汽车产销量均超过3100万辆，同比增长均超过 10%。中国汽车工业协会的最新数据同时显示，今年1至11月，我国新能源汽车产销量均接近1500万 辆，同比增长均超过30%。在出口方面，新能源汽车出口231.5万辆，同比增长1倍。 6．《辽宁省冰雪旅游高质量发展三年行动计划（2025—2027年）》公开征求意见。其中提到，充分挖 掘辽宁冰雪文化内涵，健全完善专业型、爱好型、大众型三级产品体系，持续创新"冰雪+""+冰雪"多元 业态与消费场景，构建层次清晰、特色鲜明的辽宁冰雪旅游发展新格局，塑造具有辽宁辨识度的大众冰 雪旅游品牌。培育省级以上滑雪旅游度假地10个，打造冰雪旅游精品线路10条以上，冰雪旅游综合消费 带动效应显著增强，辽宁冰雪品牌影响力全面提升。力争到2027年，全省冰雪旅游年接待人次突破2.6 亿，年综合收入达到2500亿 ...

Monetary Policy Overview - The central economic work conference held on December 10-11 maintained a policy tone of "moderate easing," emphasizing the efficiency and proactivity of policy tools like reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts and interest rate reductions [2] - The macro policy orientation shifted from "strengthening extraordinary counter-cyclical adjustments" to "increasing counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustment efforts," indicating a focus on long-term economic cycle changes [2] Policy Implementation Characteristics - Throughout 2025, the monetary policy maintained a consistent moderate easing tone, with RRR cuts and interest rate reductions implemented to ensure stable funding rates [3] - Fiscal policy was notably proactive in 2025, with significant government bond issuance and increased fiscal spending in the first half of the year, aligning with the macro policy orientation [3] Core Objectives and Framework - The core objectives of monetary policy include enhancing expectations management, with increased flexibility in total monetary operations to address economic risks and uncertainties [4] - Coordination between monetary and fiscal policies is crucial, aiming to create a conducive environment for stable financial markets and successful government bond issuance [4] - A new policy interest rate transmission mechanism and liquidity management framework were established, focusing on reforming the monetary policy transmission mechanism [5] Future Outlook - For 2026, the focus will be on stabilizing growth and managing risks while emphasizing expectations management and fiscal coordination [5] - The first half of 2026 may see a need for total easing operations to lower social financing costs and stabilize expectations due to high growth base effects [5] - The central bank is expected to release approximately 1 trillion yuan in long-term funds through a 0.5 percentage point RRR cut in early 2026, alongside continued use of MLF and reverse repos for medium-term liquidity [6] Interest Rate Dynamics - The central bank's interest rate reduction space has opened up due to the Federal Reserve's continuous rate cuts, with expectations for a 10 basis point reduction in the policy rate in both the first and second halves of 2026 [7] - By the end of 2026, the 7-day reverse repo policy rate is projected to decrease to 1.2%, with the LPR also expected to follow suit [7]

Group 1: Open Market Operations - The central bank conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation on December 11, with a fixed rate and quantity tendering, amounting to 118.6 billion yuan at an interest rate of 1.40%, with the same amount being the bid and awarded [1] - On the same day, 180.8 billion yuan of reverse repos matured, resulting in a net withdrawal of 62.2 billion yuan [1] Group 2: Funding Conditions - The interbank market remains loose, with the D R001 weighted average interest rate dropping over 1 basis point to around 1.27%, marking a new low for the phase [3] - Overnight quotes in the anonymous click (X-repo) system stabilized at 1.25% after a drop, indicating ample supply; non-bank institutions' pledging of credit bonds for overnight funding is quoted around 1.45% [3] - The latest overnight financing rate in the U.S. is reported at 3.93% [3] Group 3: Interbank Certificates of Deposit - The latest transaction for one-year interbank certificates of deposit among national and major joint-stock banks is around 1.66%, showing a slight increase from the previous day [7] Group 4: Major Interest Rate Bond Yields - The yields for various government bonds have shown slight changes, with the 1-year government bond yield at 1.3875%, down 0.25 basis points, and the 10-year yield at 1.7090%, down 0.75 basis points [9] - The yields for policy bank bonds and local government bonds also reflect minor fluctuations, indicating a stable bond market environment [9] Group 5: Central Economic Work Conference - The conference held on December 10-11 emphasized a policy direction focused on stability and quality improvement, advocating for a more proactive fiscal policy and maintaining necessary fiscal deficits and debt levels [13] - Key tasks for the upcoming year include promoting domestic demand, fostering innovation, enhancing high-quality development, and addressing local government debt risks [14] Group 6: Global Macro Insights - South Korea plans to strengthen market monitoring due to rising government bond yields and concerns over foreign exchange volatility [17] - Japan is set to introduce tax incentives to stimulate capital expenditure, reflecting a broader trend of fiscal support in the region [18]

中央经济工作会议指出，明年经济工作在政策取向上，要坚持稳中求进、提质增效，发挥存量政策和增 量政策集成效应，加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度，提升宏观经济治理效能。 机构人士表示，2026年财政政策仍有发力空间，货币政策会采用多种结构性工具，为高质量发展提供更 加精准有效的支撑。在有力高效的政策支撑下，2026年中国经济有望继续保持高质量发展的良好势头， 资本市场行稳致远基础进一步巩固。 保持必要的财政赤字 ● 本报记者 吴玉华 刘英杰 谭丁豪 会议指出，明年经济工作在政策取向上，要坚持稳中求进、提质增效，发挥存量政策和增量政策集成效 应，加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度，提升宏观经济治理效能。要增强宏观政策取向一致性和有效性。将 各类经济政策和非经济政策、存量政策和增量政策纳入宏观政策取向一致性评估。健全预期管理机制， 提振社会信心。 明明表示，明年的政策制定可能不会过度关注短期内的刺激效果，更多着眼于"十五五"时期整体经济的 长远发展规划，既关注新增政策的出台，也重视已有政策的落实落细，体现对宏观政策协同以及落地效 果的重视。 "在政策取向上，会议提出'提质增效'。"张文朗认为，这个要求的内涵是让财政、货币、产业等政 ...

继续实施更加积极的财政政策 会议指出，要继续实施更加积极的财政政策。保持必要的财政赤字、债务总规模和支出总量，加强财政 科学管理，优化财政支出结构，规范税收优惠、财政补贴政策。 ● 本报记者 彭扬 欧阳剑环 12月10日至11日在北京举行的中央经济工作会议强调，做好明年经济工作，要实施更加积极有为的宏观 政策，增强政策前瞻性针对性协同性，持续扩大内需、优化供给，做优增量、盘活存量，因地制宜发展 新质生产力，纵深推进全国统一大市场建设，持续防范化解重点领域风险，着力稳就业、稳企业、稳市 场、稳预期，推动经济实现质的有效提升和量的合理增长，保持社会和谐稳定，实现"十五五"良好开 局。 专家认为，明年宏观政策将保持连续性、稳定性，以稳定社会预期、提振市场信心。此外，有关部门还 将进一步强化各类经济政策和非经济政策、存量政策和增量政策的协同配合，通过制度化安排精准引导 市场预期。 加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度 会议指出，明年经济工作在政策取向上，要坚持稳中求进、提质增效，发挥存量政策和增量政策集成效 应，加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度，提升宏观经济治理效能。 这一政策取向传递出明年的宏观政策将更加注重质量和效果的信号，也意 ...