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山海:美元走再弱,黄金在强支撑上走出预期的上涨!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-10 02:01
Group 1 - The gold market has shown volatility this week, with fluctuations around the 3285 level, indicating a potential upward trend after testing lower levels [2][4] - The highest price reached was 3322, with a trading range of 40 dollars, confirming a bullish sentiment despite some adjustments [2][4] - The focus for Thursday is on whether the upward momentum can continue, with key resistance levels at 3345 and potential targets of 3365 and 3400 if broken [4][5] Group 2 - Silver has not yet shown a significant upward movement, maintaining a support level at 36 and resistance at 37.3, suggesting a cautious approach to trading [2][5] - The domestic gold market has seen a rebound, with specific contracts like the Shanghai Gold (2512 contract) showing potential targets of 785 and 795 [5] - The international oil market has reached a target of 69, with further upward potential if this level is broken, indicating a bullish trend [6]
山海:黄金在低位疯狂试探,主力上涨还有待考验!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-09 01:26
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The strong performance of the US dollar has led to a decline in gold prices, dropping to 3285, which exceeded expectations for this downturn [1] - Gold is currently in a low-level oscillation, with each drop followed by a rebound that lacks continuation, suggesting a need for a strategy focused on accumulating positions at key levels [1][2] - The short-term trading range for gold is defined by a triangle pattern, with key support at 3285 and resistance at 3345; breaking these levels will determine the direction of future movements [2] Group 2: Silver Market Analysis - Silver is expected to exhibit limited movement, with an upward resistance at 37.3 and a downward support at 35.5, indicating a likely oscillation phase [1] - The current price of silver is around 36.5, and while it remains in a bullish trend, caution is advised against chasing prices due to potential risks of a pullback [3] - The trading strategy for silver suggests either waiting for a pullback to enter long positions or considering short positions if the upper resistance is not broken [3] Group 3: Domestic Market Insights - Domestic gold contracts have shown good profits previously, but a recent pullback has occurred, with the Shanghai gold contract (2512) dropping to around 767; a continuation of long positions is recommended [3] - The expected target for the Shanghai gold contract is between 785 and 795, while the Rongtong gold contract has a target of 780 to 790 [3] - The domestic silver market is also experiencing a pullback, with a current price of 36.5, and the strategy suggests maintaining a cautious approach while monitoring key support levels [4] Group 4: Oil Market Performance - International crude oil has risen to 69, achieving the first target point after previously advising to maintain long positions at 64 [4] - The upward target for crude oil is set at 72, and the strategy is to hold existing long positions while looking for further opportunities to enter the market [4] - Domestic fuel oil has also shown signs of a bullish trend, currently above 2900, with potential targets of 3000 and 3200 [4]
山海:黄金周内还是多头趋势,不过中期调整也需关注!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-07 03:06
Group 1: Gold and Silver Market Analysis - The gold and silver markets are currently experiencing fluctuations within their respective bullish trends, with gold not reaching its previous high while silver is approaching the 37.3 high point [2] - The trading range for gold last week was between 3245 and 3365, and it is expected to continue this range unless it breaks out, with potential downward movement to 3120 if it breaks below [4] - For silver, the key points to watch are the breakout of the 37.3 high and the support level at 35.2, indicating a bullish trend but with limited upward momentum [6] Group 2: Domestic Gold and Silver Trading - Domestic gold trading saw a successful bottom-fishing strategy last week, with profits captured, and the outlook remains bullish for this week, focusing on support levels at 772 and 765 for further buying opportunities [5] - In the silver market, the domestic contract (沪银) reached a target of 9000, and the strategy for this week involves either waiting for a pullback to key support levels or holding light short positions [6] Group 3: Oil Market Overview - The international oil market is showing a bullish trend, with support at 64 and a recent high of 67.5, indicating potential for further gains depending on market news [7] - Domestic fuel oil is also maintaining a bullish outlook, with previous positions held at 2850 and potential for upward movement towards 3000 and 3200 [7]
山海:黄金上涨实现了预期,今天看非农数据影响!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-03 02:15
Group 1 - Gold has seen a continuous rise for three days, reaching the target of 3365, with a focus on maintaining a bullish outlook while waiting for pullbacks to enter long positions [2][4] - The ADP data released on Wednesday showed results close to expectations, which is seen as bullish for gold, but the market did not react strongly, indicating a cautious approach to trading [2][5] - The domestic gold market has also shown upward movement, with support levels identified at 775 for Shanghai gold and 766 for Rongtong gold, suggesting potential for further gains after adjustments [5][6] Group 2 - The US dollar index remains weak, which supports the bullish trend in gold, with expectations that if the upcoming non-farm payroll data is positive, gold could reach 3400 [4][5] - International silver has also performed well, reaching a high of 36.6, with a focus on maintaining a cautious bullish stance while waiting for non-farm data [6] - Crude oil has shown effective rebounds, with a current upward trend, and support identified at 64, indicating potential for further gains depending on market news [7]
领峰环球金银评论:特朗普税改法案引发危机 黄金多头强势上攻
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-02 04:50
Fundamental Analysis - Gold prices surged to approximately $3,357, maintaining a bullish trend due to the passage of Trump's "big and beautiful plan" in the Senate and the approaching deadline for tariff suspension on July 9, prompting investors to seek safe-haven assets [1] - The Republican-majority Senate approved a broad tax and spending bill that will cut several social service programs, potentially increasing the deficit by $3 trillion over the next decade, which may stimulate inflation and increase the debt burden, positively impacting the gold market [1] - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated that stable economic activity allows the Fed to wait and observe the impact of tariff increases on prices and economic growth before deciding on interest rate cuts, with a focus on inflation data and labor market signs [1] Technical Analysis - The gold price has formed a standard double bottom pattern at low levels, initiating a strong upward trend, with bullish momentum continuing; a consolidation phase is expected before reaching new highs [4] - The MACD indicator shows a death cross signal, indicating a shift into a consolidation phase, with potential for a new bullish wave after sufficient adjustment [4] Trading Strategy - For gold, a long position is suggested at $3,320 with a stop loss at $3,310 and a target range of $3,335 to $3,357 [5] - For silver, a long position is recommended at $35.80 with a stop loss at $35.50 and a target range of $36.30 to $36.70 [9] News Events - Upcoming economic indicators include the Eurozone unemployment rate for May at 17:00, U.S. Challenger job cuts for June at 19:30, and U.S. ADP employment numbers for June at 20:15 [9]
避险情绪无法推动黄金上涨,震荡僵局还是持续多久?白银多头趋势出现风险?最新一期《Steven趋势方程式》栏目已经更新,点击即可观看…
news flash· 2025-06-23 11:49
Group 1 - The core issue revolves around the inability of safe-haven sentiment to drive gold prices higher, leading to a prolonged state of market stagnation [1] - There are emerging risks for silver bulls as market dynamics shift, indicating potential challenges ahead [1]
黄金震荡何时破局?白银假突破后,多头趋势没有改变?最新一期《Steven趋势方程式》栏目已经更新,点击即可观看>>
news flash· 2025-06-19 11:50
黄金震荡何时破局?白银假突破后,多头趋势没有改变?最新一期《Steven趋势方程式》栏目已经更 新,点击即可观看>> 黄金等待周线阻力上破,白银继续坚定看多! 相关链接 ...
山海:本周黄金以地缘变化为主导,涨跌均有机会!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-16 01:35
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have led to a significant increase in gold prices, rising from 3400 to 3446, driven primarily by market sentiment and news events [2][3] - The gold market is expected to maintain a bullish trend, with key support levels at 3420 and 3380, indicating that as long as these levels hold, the bullish sentiment will persist [4] - The strategy for the upcoming week is to remain bullish on gold, focusing on low-entry positions while avoiding chasing highs, with a target of 3500 if the geopolitical situation escalates [2][5] Group 2: Silver Market Outlook - The silver market has shown a correction after reaching a peak of 37, with a recommendation to avoid chasing highs and consider light short positions around 36.5 [6] - The support level for silver is identified at 35.2, and a break below this level could indicate a shift in market sentiment [6] - Domestic silver prices should not be pursued above 9000, with a suggestion to consider short positions above 8900 to capture potential adjustments [6] Group 3: Oil Market Trends - The oil market has been on a strong upward trend, reaching a high of 77.5, with expectations for continued bullish momentum [7] - Key support levels for oil are set at 72 and 68, with a strategy to buy on dips as long as these levels hold [7] - Domestic fuel oil has also shown bullish behavior, with a recommendation to maintain long positions, targeting new highs above 3200 [7]
山海:黄金上涨达到3400预期,接下来看黑色周五行情!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-13 00:50
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The gold price reached a high of approximately 3399, achieving the target of 3400 as predicted, indicating successful trading strategies from previous lows of 3300 [1][2] - The market is expected to maintain a bullish trend, with potential testing of upper resistance levels around 3405 to 3410, although significant single-direction increases are not anticipated due to market conditions [2][3] - Domestic gold trading strategies have been successful, with specific contracts achieving significant profits, and a recommendation to avoid short positions even if a downturn appears imminent [3] Group 2: Silver Market Insights - International silver peaked at 37 before experiencing a pullback, with a recommendation to avoid chasing highs and consider light short positions around 36.5 [4] - The market remains in a bullish trend with high volatility, and key support levels are identified at 35.2, which must hold for the bullish outlook to remain valid [4] - Domestic silver trading strategies suggest avoiding new long positions above 9000 and considering light short positions to observe market trends [4] Group 3: Oil Market Overview - International crude oil has shown a clear upward trend, reaching 72, with expectations for further increases towards 74.5, advising against short positions [5] - Domestic fuel oil has also broken above 2800, with a target of 3000, and strategies suggest maintaining long positions while monitoring support levels around 2800 [5]
山海:市场等待CPI数据刺激,看好黄金上行放量!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-11 04:01
Core Viewpoint - The market is currently experiencing a strong upward potential but is also facing significant fluctuations, indicating a balance between bullish and bearish forces. The upcoming CPI data release is expected to influence market movements significantly, potentially leading to a breakout from the current consolidation phase [1][2][3]. Gold Market - Gold has shown a bullish trend with recent prices reaching a high of 3348, following a series of profitable trades initiated around 3300-3316 [1][2]. - The technical analysis indicates that as long as the price does not break below the middle Bollinger band, the bullish outlook remains intact, with targets set at 3365 and 3400 [3]. - The market is advised to look for buying opportunities on pullbacks, particularly around the support level of 3315, while monitoring the impact of the CPI data [3][4]. Silver Market - Silver has experienced high-level fluctuations, with a recent peak at 36.9, but is currently facing resistance and uncertainty regarding its next move [4][5]. - The market sentiment suggests a cautious approach, with recommendations to observe the market rather than engage in aggressive trading until clearer signals emerge from the CPI data [4][5]. Domestic Gold and Silver - Domestic gold prices have reached a high of 783, with bullish targets set at 795 for Shanghai gold and 785 for Rongtong gold, indicating further upside potential [4]. - Domestic silver has shown a recent peak at 9052 but is currently trading lower at around 8940, suggesting a potential for further declines if key support levels are breached [5]. Oil Market - International crude oil has reached a target of 66, with a recent high of 66.2, and is expected to maintain a bullish trend with potential targets of 68 and beyond [5][6]. - Domestic fuel oil has also shown upward movement, reaching a target of 2800 before experiencing a minor pullback, with expectations for further increases towards 3000 [6].